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1600 W Yellowstone Ave #45
D+ Composite 49.75
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +10.2/15.0
  • DSCR +5.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$89,000

1600 W Yellowstone Ave #45 · Osburn, ID 83849
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 918 sqft · SingleFamily · 110 Days on market
Built 1996 Good condition $97/sqft · 6% below area Est $95k · 6% under ↓ 9% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Cozy 2-bedroom, 2-bath home in well-maintained Leisure Acres featuring a spacious primary suite with soaking tub and separate shower, durable laminate vinyl plank flooring, and a new gas forced-air furnace (2025) for piece of mind. Includes carport and storage shed, plus low $425/month lot rent covering water and sewer. Conveniently located near Rails to Trails and Gene Day Park!

Key facts

  • Soaking tub
  • Carport
  • Storage shed

Tags

SPACIOUS PRIMARY SUITESOAKING TUBSEPARATE SHOWERNEW GAS FORCED-AIR FURNACECARPORTSTORAGE SHED

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $89k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $56 ($671/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $85k (4.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $81k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#141 in ID) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
  • Wallace District (town): math 37% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #57 of 92 in ID (top 62%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Silver Hills Elementary School (math 47% / reading 57%, grade C-, #130 of 357 statewide, top 38%, 298 students, 41% FRL); Wallace Jr/Sr High School (math 22% / reading 42%, grade F, #119 of 169 statewide, top 73%, 214 students, 39% FRL) — zoned schools at 40% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 22 active listings in the ZIP; 36 units permitted in Shoshone County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $615 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Shoshone County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 110 days — a 9% lower offer ($81k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $80,990 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 110 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.95%
Cap rate
7.05%
Cash-on-cash
2.69%
DSCR
1.12
GRM
8.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$94,701
List price
$89,000
Delta
-6.02%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
15 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1600 W Yellowstone Ave #19 0.06mi 2/2.0 938 (+2%) 12mo $79,000 $84 84
1704 W Yellowstone Ave 0.21mi 2/2.0 938 (+2%) 4mo $89,900 $96 83
1706 Polaris Ave #35 0.17mi 3/1.5 (+1) 840 (-8%) 18mo $50,000 $60 56

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-12.0%
Equity multiple
0.56×
Total profit
$-10,849
Equity at exit
$13,270
10-year hold
IRR
-2.9%
Equity multiple
0.81×
Total profit
$-4,811
Equity at exit
$7,695

Cash invested: $24,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
91 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Idaho
91 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+18
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempted; minimal tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 83849

Home prices YoY
-16.4%
Active inventory
22
Price-to-rent
8.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$849 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$467
Tax est. 1.5%
$111 /mo · $1,335/yr
Insurance
$37
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$178
Net cashflow
$56

Break-even live

Break-even rent $779
Max offer price $89,000
Occupancy floor 88%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $117 -5% $87 +0% $56 +5% $25 +10% $-6
Rent -10% $-11 -5% $22 +0% $56 +5% $89 +10% $123
Rate -1.0pp $101 -0.5pp $79 base $56 +0.5pp $33 +1.0pp $9

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,250
Closing costs
$2,670
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-06-12
    statusdays on market $89,000 Pending 110 DOM
  2. 2026-06-09
    days on market $89,000 Active 109 DOM
  3. 2026-06-08
    days on market $89,000 Active 108 DOM
  4. 2026-06-07
    days on market $89,000 Active 107 DOM
  5. 2026-06-05
    days on market $89,000 Active 105 DOM
  6. 2026-06-04
    days on market $89,000 Active 103 DOM
  7. 2026-06-02
    days on market $89,000 Active 102 DOM
  8. 2026-06-01
    days on market $89,000 Active 101 DOM
  9. 2026-05-31
    days on market $89,000 Active 100 DOM
  10. 2026-05-31
    days on market $89,000 Active 99 DOM
  11. 2026-05-06
    price $89,000 382-char remark
    Show marketing remark (382 chars)

    Cozy 2-bedroom, 2-bath home in well-maintained Leisure Acres featuring a spacious primary suite with soaking tub and separate shower, durable laminate vinyl plank flooring, and a new gas forced-air furnace (2025) for piece of mind. Includes carport and storage shed, plus low $425/month lot rent covering water and sewer. Conveniently located near Rails to Trails and Gene Day Park!

  12. 2026-02-20
    listed $98,000 Active 382-char remark
    Show marketing remark (382 chars)

    Cozy 2-bedroom, 2-bath home in well-maintained Leisure Acres featuring a spacious primary suite with soaking tub and separate shower, durable laminate vinyl plank flooring, and a new gas forced-air furnace (2025) for piece of mind. Includes carport and storage shed, plus low $425/month lot rent covering water and sewer. Conveniently located near Rails to Trails and Gene Day Park!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,192
− Mortgage interest
−$4,985
− Property taxes
−$1,335
− Insurance
−$445
− Repairs & maintenance
−$815
− Management
−$815
− Depreciation
−$2,589
Taxable loss
−$793
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$190
After-tax cash flow
$861/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

A well-maintained 2-bedroom, 2-bath home with a new gas furnace, located in a convenient neighborhood with low lot rent.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both paint exterior — enhances curb appeal
  • Both update kitchen appliances — modernizes space
  • Both install new windows — improves energy efficiency and view

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both paint exterior — enhances curb appeal
  • Both update kitchen appliances — modernizes space
  • Both install new windows — improves energy efficiency and view

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Wallace District
NCES district ID
1603300
Math proficiency
37% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$38,276
Composite
36.23/100
National rank
#4718
State rank
#57 of 92 in ID

Livability — Osburn

Score
64/100
State rank
#141
US rank
#13676

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Osburn, ID
Population (ZIP)
2,057

Population outlook (Shoshone County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
11,864 people
By 2030
11,416 · -3.8%
By 2040
10,462 · -11.8%
By 2050
9,693 · -18.3%
By 2075
8,438 · -28.9%
By 2100
7,028 · -40.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (87%)
Race & ethnicity
White 87% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 7% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 5% Slovak 4% Lithuanian 4%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · German/W. Germanic 2% Spanish 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Shoshone

2024 margin
Solid R (+49.4) · D 24.0% · R 73.4% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
-41.8pp toward R · 2008: -7.6pp · 2024: -49.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+49.4 2020: R+41.7 2016: R+37.4 2012: R+8.2 2008: R+7.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -50.12%
Current HPI
255.32
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.51%
F500 in state
6

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in ID)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-9.2% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-06 Price Changed $89,000 CDAMLS
  • 2026-02-20 Listed $98,000 CDAMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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