1600 W Yellowstone Ave #45 · Osburn, ID
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.7/30.0
- ARV discount +10.2/15.0
- DSCR +5.2/10.0
- 1% rule +4.5/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$89,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Cozy 2-bedroom, 2-bath home in well-maintained Leisure Acres featuring a spacious primary suite with soaking tub and separate shower, durable laminate vinyl plank flooring, and a new gas forced-air furnace (2025) for piece of mind. Includes carport and storage shed, plus low $425/month lot rent covering water and sewer. Conveniently located near Rails to Trails and Gene Day Park!
Key facts
- Soaking tub
- Carport
- Storage shed
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $89k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $56 ($671/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $85k (4.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $81k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#141 in ID) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
- Wallace District (town): math 37% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #57 of 92 in ID (top 62%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Silver Hills Elementary School (math 47% / reading 57%, grade C-, #130 of 357 statewide, top 38%, 298 students, 41% FRL); Wallace Jr/Sr High School (math 22% / reading 42%, grade F, #119 of 169 statewide, top 73%, 214 students, 39% FRL) — zoned schools at 40% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 22 active listings in the ZIP; 36 units permitted in Shoshone County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $615 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Shoshone County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 110 days — a 9% lower offer ($81k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 110 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.95% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.05%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.69%
- DSCR
- 1.12
- GRM
- 8.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $94,701
- List price
- $89,000
- Delta
- -6.02%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 15 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1600 W Yellowstone Ave #19 | 0.06mi | 2/2.0 | 938 (+2%) | 12mo | $79,000 | $84 | 84 |
| 1704 W Yellowstone Ave | 0.21mi | 2/2.0 | 938 (+2%) | 4mo | $89,900 | $96 | 83 |
| 1706 Polaris Ave #35 | 0.17mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 840 (-8%) | 18mo | $50,000 | $60 | 56 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -12.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.56×
- Total profit
- $-10,849
- Equity at exit
- $13,270
- IRR
- -2.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.81×
- Total profit
- $-4,811
- Equity at exit
- $7,695
Cash invested: $24,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 91 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Idaho
- 91 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+18
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 83849
- Home prices YoY
- -16.4%
- Active inventory
- 22
- Price-to-rent
- 8.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $849 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$467
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$111 /mo · $1,335/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$178
- Net cashflow
- $56
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $117 | -5% $87 | +0% $56 | +5% $25 | +10% $-6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-11 | -5% $22 | +0% $56 | +5% $89 | +10% $123 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $101 | -0.5pp $79 | base $56 | +0.5pp $33 | +1.0pp $9 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,250
- Closing costs
- $2,670
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-12statusdays on market $89,000 Pending 110 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $89,000 Active 109 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $89,000 Active 108 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $89,000 Active 107 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $89,000 Active 105 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $89,000 Active 103 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $89,000 Active 102 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $89,000 Active 101 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $89,000 Active 100 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $89,000 Active 99 DOM
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2026-05-06price $89,000 382-char remark
Show marketing remark (382 chars)
Cozy 2-bedroom, 2-bath home in well-maintained Leisure Acres featuring a spacious primary suite with soaking tub and separate shower, durable laminate vinyl plank flooring, and a new gas forced-air furnace (2025) for piece of mind. Includes carport and storage shed, plus low $425/month lot rent covering water and sewer. Conveniently located near Rails to Trails and Gene Day Park!
-
2026-02-20$98,000 Active 382-char remark
Show marketing remark (382 chars)
Cozy 2-bedroom, 2-bath home in well-maintained Leisure Acres featuring a spacious primary suite with soaking tub and separate shower, durable laminate vinyl plank flooring, and a new gas forced-air furnace (2025) for piece of mind. Includes carport and storage shed, plus low $425/month lot rent covering water and sewer. Conveniently located near Rails to Trails and Gene Day Park!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,192
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,985
- − Property taxes
- −$1,335
- − Insurance
- −$445
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$815
- − Management
- −$815
- − Depreciation
- −$2,589
- Taxable loss
- −$793
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$190
- After-tax cash flow
- $861/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
A well-maintained 2-bedroom, 2-bath home with a new gas furnace, located in a convenient neighborhood with low lot rent.
Value-add opportunities
- Both paint exterior — enhances curb appeal
- Both update kitchen appliances — modernizes space
- Both install new windows — improves energy efficiency and view
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both paint exterior — enhances curb appeal ↑
- Both update kitchen appliances — modernizes space ↑
- Both install new windows — improves energy efficiency and view ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Wallace District
- NCES district ID
- 1603300
- Math proficiency
- 37% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,276
- Composite
- 36.23/100
- National rank
- #4718
- State rank
- #57 of 92 in ID
Livability — Osburn
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #141
- US rank
- #13676
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Osburn, ID
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,057
Population outlook (Shoshone County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 11,864 people
- By 2030
- 11,416 · -3.8%
- By 2040
- 10,462 · -11.8%
- By 2050
- 9,693 · -18.3%
- By 2075
- 8,438 · -28.9%
- By 2100
- 7,028 · -40.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 7% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 5% Slovak 4% Lithuanian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · German/W. Germanic 2% Spanish 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Shoshone
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+49.4) · D 24.0% · R 73.4% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -41.8pp toward R · 2008: -7.6pp · 2024: -49.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+49.4 2020: R+41.7 2016: R+37.4 2012: R+8.2 2008: R+7.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -50.12%
- Current HPI
- 255.32
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.51%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in ID)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $79B |
|
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| Technology | 1 | $25B |
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $6B |
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Price history
-9.2% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-06 Price Changed $89,000 CDAMLS
- 2026-02-20 Listed $98,000 CDAMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…