1228 Harrington Ave · Carthage, MO
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.72%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.8/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.3/10.0
- 1% rule +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$114,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This ''as is'' home has great potential with solid bones, offering 3 bedrooms plus a bonus den/family room, a one-car garage, storm shelter, and a back patio. Features include a newer roof, vinyl windows, and siding. Situated on a nice corner lot within walking distance of Columbian Elementary.
Key facts
- Vinyl windows
- Newer roof
- Storm shelter
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Tax annual amount available
Exterior
- Parking: 1-car attached garage; Driveway
- Utilities: Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Freestanding; Residential property
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Composition roof; Slab foundation; Built area above grade: 1,165
- Exterior features: Patio; Porch; Corner lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Refrigerator
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Has cooling
- Interior features: Electric range; Refrigerator; 8 total rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $114k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $136 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $107k (6.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $107k (6.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#131 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Carthage R-IX (town): math 37% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #183 of 324 in MO (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Columbian Elem. (math 22% / reading 22%, grade F, #910 of 1,115 statewide, top 83%, 379 students, 87% FRL); Carthage Jr. High (math 38% / reading 41%, grade F, #189 of 391 statewide, top 51%, 752 students, 64% FRL) — zoned schools average 76% FRL vs 56% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 195 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 602 units permitted in Jasper County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $792 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.93% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.72%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.10%
- DSCR
- 1.23
- GRM
- 8.9
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.69×
- Total profit
- $-9,909
- Equity at exit
- $17,072
- IRR
- 1.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.07×
- Total profit
- $2,404
- Equity at exit
- $9,900
Cash invested: $32,060 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 64836
- Home prices YoY
- -18.2%
- Active inventory
- 195
- Price-to-rent
- 8.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,068 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$600
- Tax from tax record
- −$60 /mo · $715/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$224
- Net cashflow
- $136
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,625
- Closing costs
- $3,435
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1735 Hazel Ave Unit 2 Bed, 1 Bath Carthage, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 795 | $450 | $0.57 | 21d | 1 | 0.57mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-06-01statusdays on market $114,500 Pending 3 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $114,500 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-05-27$114,500 Active
Show marketing remark (295 chars)
This ''as is'' home has great potential with solid bones, offering 3 bedrooms plus a bonus den/family room, a one-car garage, storm shelter, and a back patio. Features include a newer roof, vinyl windows, and siding. Situated on a nice corner lot within walking distance of Columbian Elementary.
-
2026-05-27$114,500 Active 295-char remark
Show marketing remark (295 chars)
This ''as is'' home has great potential with solid bones, offering 3 bedrooms plus a bonus den/family room, a one-car garage, storm shelter, and a back patio. Features include a newer roof, vinyl windows, and siding. Situated on a nice corner lot within walking distance of Columbian Elementary.
-
2014-10-06soldstatus
-
2014-10-03soldstatus 171-char remark
Show marketing remark (171 chars)
Well maintained home on corner lot. 3 bedrooms, 2 living areas. Remodeled family room & 3rd bedroom, CH & A serviced yearly. No steps. New carpet in 3rd bedroom.
-
2014-08-28$69,900 171-char remark
Show marketing remark (171 chars)
Well maintained home on corner lot. 3 bedrooms, 2 living areas. Remodeled family room & 3rd bedroom, CH & A serviced yearly. No steps. New carpet in 3rd bedroom.
-
2010-04-01soldstatus
-
2001-08-03soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $715 · $60/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,111 · $93/mo
- Expected delta
- +$396/yr (+$33/mo · 55.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 72% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,820
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,414
- − Property taxes
- −$715
- − Insurance
- −$572
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,026
- − Management
- −$1,026
- − Depreciation
- −$3,331
- Taxable loss
- −$263
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$63
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,698/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Carthage R-IX
- NCES district ID
- 2907460
- Math proficiency
- 37% ▲ 3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,696
- Composite
- 31.85/100
- National rank
- #5874
- State rank
- #183 of 324 in MO
Livability — Carthage
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #131
- US rank
- #7646
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Carthage, MO
- County
- Jasper County · 79,035 people
- City population
- 26,562
- Metro
- Joplin, MO
- Population (ZIP)
- 26,562
- Household income
- $61,335
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 800.0
Population outlook (Jasper County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 120,033 people
- By 2030
- 120,091 · +0.0%
- By 2040
- 119,297 · -0.6%
- By 2050
- 117,705 · -1.9%
- By 2075
- 110,402 · -8.0%
- By 2100
- 99,719 · -16.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (68%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 68% Hispanic / Latino 25% Two or more races 10% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Serbian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 82% English-only · Spanish 18%
Political lean MEDSL · Jasper
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+46.8) · D 25.9% · R 72.7% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -13.6pp toward R · 2008: -33.2pp · 2024: -46.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+46.8 2020: R+46.2 2016: R+50.8 2012: R+41.0 2008: R+33.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -55.61%
- Current HPI
- 250.499
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Joplin, MO
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
+63.8% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-27 Listed $114,500 SOMO
- 2026-05-27 Listed $114,500 OGAR
- 2014-10-06 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2014-10-03 Sold (MLS) — OGAR
- 2014-08-28 Listed $69,900 OGAR
- 2010-04-01 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2001-08-03 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+3.3%/yrLatest (2025): $715 · +23.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…