17770 Palm Beach Blvd · Alva, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 28 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +9.9/15.0
- 1% rule +7.9/10.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$294,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
BACK ON MARKET, REMODELED GEM ON 1/2 ACRE LOT IN THE CENTER OF IT ALL. .. .. .. .OWNER HAS REMODELED INTERIOR WITH BEAUTIFUL RESULTS FOR LARGE FAMILY. .. 3 GOOD SIZE BEDROOMS, 2 FULLY REMODELED BATHROOMS AND NEW A/C, HOT WATER HEATER, APPLIANCES, WINDOWS AND SO MUCH MORE. .. .SELLER SAYS WORK IS DONE AND ITS TIME TO SELL IT SO COME AND SEE THIS REMODELED HOME TODAY. .. .. .. .. ..
Key facts
- New a/c system
- Ag-2 zoned
- Fresh paint
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Pets allowed
- HOA & community: Non-gated community; No association fee
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway (unpaved); Attached carport (1 covered space); Has carport (1 space)
- Utilities: Well water; Septic tank sewer; Cable available
- Home design: Single-story; Entry level: 1; North-facing
- Construction: Block, concrete and stucco construction; Shingle roof; Built as resale property
- Exterior features: Room for pool; Open porch
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric cooktop; Microwave; Refrigerator; Freezer; Dishwasher
- Flooring: Tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric); Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Window coverings; Family/dining room; Living/dining room; Pantry; Separate shower; Shower-only bath; Window treatments; Split bedrooms; Unfurnished
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Laundry inside
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $295k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $295k).
- Recommended offer: $260k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#514 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Lee (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #42 of 73 in FL (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 456 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 15,411 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (4,686 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lee County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $83k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 167 days — a 12% lower offer ($260k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $35k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→28/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 167 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.29% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.10%
- Cash-on-cash
- 17.15%
- DSCR
- 1.76
- GRM
- 6.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $311,328
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1981 Seminole Harbor Dr | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,268 (+12%) | 14mo | $350,000 | $276 | 24 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 8.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.33×
- Total profit
- $27,310
- Equity at exit
- $43,971
- IRR
- 17.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.46×
- Total profit
- $120,271
- Equity at exit
- $25,498
Cash invested: $82,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33920
- Home prices YoY
- -11.8%
- Active inventory
- 456
- Price-to-rent
- 6.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,800 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,546
- Tax from tax record
- −$152 /mo · $1,828/yr
- Insurance
- −$123
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$798
- Net cashflow
- $1,180
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,347 | -5% $1,264 | +0% $1,180 | +5% $1,097 | +10% $1,013 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $880 | -5% $1,030 | +0% $1,180 | +5% $1,330 | +10% $1,480 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,329 | -0.5pp $1,255 | base $1,180 | +0.5pp $1,104 | +1.0pp $1,026 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $73,725
- Closing costs
- $8,847
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17621 Oak Creek Rd Alva, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1312 | $3,800 | $2.90 | 16d | 1 | 0.62mi |
Listing history 30 events
-
2026-06-17pricedays on market $294,900 Active 167 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $299,900 Active 166 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $299,900 Active 165 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $299,900 Active 163 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $299,900 Active 160 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $299,900 Active 159 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $299,900 Active 157 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $299,900 Active 152 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $299,900 Active 151 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $299,900 Active 150 DOM
-
2026-04-10price $299,900
-
2026-03-10price $309,000
-
2026-02-17price $316,000
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2026-02-02price $319,900
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2026-01-19price $323,000
-
2025-12-31$330,000 Active
-
2025-05-30historical
-
2024-12-10price $260,000
-
2024-10-25$280,000 Active
-
2022-03-01soldstatus $259,000 Closed 383-char remark
Show marketing remark (383 chars)
BACK ON MARKET, REMODELED GEM ON 1/2 ACRE LOT IN THE CENTER OF IT ALL. .. .. .. .OWNER HAS REMODELED INTERIOR WITH BEAUTIFUL RESULTS FOR LARGE FAMILY. .. 3 GOOD SIZE BEDROOMS, 2 FULLY REMODELED BATHROOMS AND NEW A/C, HOT WATER HEATER, APPLIANCES, WINDOWS AND SO MUCH MORE. .. .SELLER SAYS WORK IS DONE AND ITS TIME TO SELL IT SO COME AND SEE THIS REMODELED HOME TODAY. .. .. .. .. ..
-
2022-02-28soldstatus $259,000
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2022-02-03price $1,980
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2022-01-07status Pending 383-char remark
Show marketing remark (383 chars)
BACK ON MARKET, REMODELED GEM ON 1/2 ACRE LOT IN THE CENTER OF IT ALL. .. .. .. .OWNER HAS REMODELED INTERIOR WITH BEAUTIFUL RESULTS FOR LARGE FAMILY. .. 3 GOOD SIZE BEDROOMS, 2 FULLY REMODELED BATHROOMS AND NEW A/C, HOT WATER HEATER, APPLIANCES, WINDOWS AND SO MUCH MORE. .. .SELLER SAYS WORK IS DONE AND ITS TIME TO SELL IT SO COME AND SEE THIS REMODELED HOME TODAY. .. .. .. .. ..
-
2021-10-04status Active 383-char remark
Show marketing remark (383 chars)
BACK ON MARKET, REMODELED GEM ON 1/2 ACRE LOT IN THE CENTER OF IT ALL. .. .. .. .OWNER HAS REMODELED INTERIOR WITH BEAUTIFUL RESULTS FOR LARGE FAMILY. .. 3 GOOD SIZE BEDROOMS, 2 FULLY REMODELED BATHROOMS AND NEW A/C, HOT WATER HEATER, APPLIANCES, WINDOWS AND SO MUCH MORE. .. .SELLER SAYS WORK IS DONE AND ITS TIME TO SELL IT SO COME AND SEE THIS REMODELED HOME TODAY. .. .. .. .. ..
-
2021-09-23status Pending 383-char remark
Show marketing remark (383 chars)
BACK ON MARKET, REMODELED GEM ON 1/2 ACRE LOT IN THE CENTER OF IT ALL. .. .. .. .OWNER HAS REMODELED INTERIOR WITH BEAUTIFUL RESULTS FOR LARGE FAMILY. .. 3 GOOD SIZE BEDROOMS, 2 FULLY REMODELED BATHROOMS AND NEW A/C, HOT WATER HEATER, APPLIANCES, WINDOWS AND SO MUCH MORE. .. .SELLER SAYS WORK IS DONE AND ITS TIME TO SELL IT SO COME AND SEE THIS REMODELED HOME TODAY. .. .. .. .. ..
-
2021-08-16$259,000 Active 383-char remark
Show marketing remark (383 chars)
BACK ON MARKET, REMODELED GEM ON 1/2 ACRE LOT IN THE CENTER OF IT ALL. .. .. .. .OWNER HAS REMODELED INTERIOR WITH BEAUTIFUL RESULTS FOR LARGE FAMILY. .. 3 GOOD SIZE BEDROOMS, 2 FULLY REMODELED BATHROOMS AND NEW A/C, HOT WATER HEATER, APPLIANCES, WINDOWS AND SO MUCH MORE. .. .SELLER SAYS WORK IS DONE AND ITS TIME TO SELL IT SO COME AND SEE THIS REMODELED HOME TODAY. .. .. .. .. ..
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2021-05-13soldstatus $110,000
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2021-05-04soldstatus $110,000
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1977-08-01soldstatus $11,200
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1969-05-01soldstatus $11,200
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,828 · $152/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,448 · $204/mo
- Expected delta
- +$619/yr (+$52/mo · 33.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 28 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $45,600
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,519
- − Property taxes
- −$1,828
- − Insurance
- −$1,474
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,648
- − Management
- −$3,648
- − Depreciation
- −$8,579
- Taxable income
- $9,903
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,377
- After-tax cash flow
- $11,787/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lee
- NCES district ID
- 1201080
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,518
- Composite
- 41.49/100
- National rank
- #3458
- State rank
- #42 of 73 in FL
Livability — Alva
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #514
- US rank
- #9471
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Alva, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,689
Population outlook (Lee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 871,946 people
- By 2030
- 955,468 · +9.6%
- By 2040
- 1,113,587 · +27.7%
- By 2050
- 1,256,891 · +44.1%
- By 2075
- 1,560,270 · +78.9%
- By 2100
- 1,726,848 · +98.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 7% Asian 5% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Portuguese 5% German 3%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Vietnamese 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Lee
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+28.4) · D 35.5% · R 63.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.0pp toward R · 2008: -10.4pp · 2024: -28.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+28.4 2020: R+19.2 2016: R+20.4 2012: R+16.6 2008: R+10.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -47.83%
- Current HPI
- 355.9229
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+2577.7% since first listed20 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-10 Price Changed $299,900 FORTMLS
- 2026-03-10 Price Changed $309,000 FORTMLS
- 2026-02-17 Price Changed $316,000 FORTMLS
- 2026-02-02 Price Changed $319,900 FORTMLS
- 2026-01-19 Price Changed $323,000 FORTMLS
- 2025-12-31 Listed $330,000 FORTMLS
- 2025-05-30 Listing Removed — FORTMLS
- 2024-12-10 Price Changed $260,000 FORTMLS
- 2024-10-25 Listed $280,000 FORTMLS
- 2022-03-01 Sold (MLS) $259,000 FORTMLS
- 2022-02-28 Sold (Public Records) $259,000 Public Records
- 2022-02-03 Price Changed $1,980 RENT.
- 2022-01-07 Pending — FORTMLS
- 2021-10-04 Relisted — FORTMLS
- 2021-09-23 Pending — FORTMLS
- 2021-08-16 Listed $259,000 FORTMLS
- 2021-05-13 Sold (Public Records) $110,000 Public Records
- 2021-05-04 Sold (Public Records) $110,000 Public Records
- 1977-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $11,200 Public Records
- 1969-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $11,200 Public Records
Property tax history
+19.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,828 · -28.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…