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8198 Soule Rd
C Composite 56.27
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +11.5/15.0
  • DSCR +6.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.1/10.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$299,900

8198 Soule Rd · Radisson, NY 13090
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,566 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 48 Days on market
Built 1880 3.82 ac lot $192/sqft · 9% below area Est $329k · 9% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

* * One of a Kind Property * * Original Farmhouse and acreage of all surrounding Subdivisions * * * Versatile Property with over 3.8 acres covered in trees and bushes for private yard buffer * Set up your own home business in either the detached 2 car garage with office space or one of the 2 Large Barns all equipped with 220 amp! Have Trucks or equipment to store. .. ? Perfect Location in the middle of everything ! Main Barn has loft which lends itself to additional office space, studio, or sitting area. * * Main house is side turned on lot which allows you to sit on front porch and enjoy the wildlife! * * 4 Bedrooms with primary bedroom on 1st floor, Open Kitchen, 1st f

Key facts

  • Original farmhouse
  • Front porch
  • Over 3.8 acres

Tags

ORIGINAL FARMHOUSEOVER 3.8 ACRESDETACHED 2 CAR GARAGELARGE BARNSMAIN BARN HAS LOFTFRONT PORCH

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage; Garage with 10 spaces
  • Utilities: Water connected (public); Septic tank
  • Home design: Single-story home; Existing construction
  • Construction: Wood siding; Block and stone foundation
  • Exterior features: Blacktop driveway; Second garage; Rectangular, wooded lot (approx. 3.82 acres, dimensions 500 x 400)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen island; Eat-in kitchen; Breakfast bar; Appliances negotiable; Gas water heater
  • Bedrooms: 1 main-level bedroom
  • Flooring: Carpet; Tile; Varies
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom; 1 main-level bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Gas heating; Baseboard heat; Hot water heat; Has heating
  • Interior features: Breakfast bar; Ceiling fan(s); Entrance foyer; Eat-in kitchen; Separate/formal living room; Country kitchen; Kitchen island; Main level primary
  • Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $300k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $393 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $300k).
  • Recommended offer: $291k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 3.5% in Radisson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Liverpool Central School District (suburban): math 49% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #381 of 590 in NY (top 65%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 96 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 616 units permitted in Onondaga County in 2024 (256 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 45% of the median local income ($88k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Onondaga County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 48 days — a 3% lower offer ($291k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 13y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $125k (29%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1880 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $290,903 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 48 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1880 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.11%
Cap rate
7.87%
Cash-on-cash
5.62%
DSCR
1.25
GRM
7.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$328,906
List price
$299,900
Delta
-8.82%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
8195 Laurie Ln 0.12mi 4/2.0 1,610 (+3%) 7mo $240,000 $149 80
8137 Mesa Ln 0.24mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,550 (-1%) 6mo $275,000 $177 75
4122 Metauro Dr 0.17mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,624 (+4%) 2mo $377,000 $232 74
4041 Winterpark Dr 0.28mi 5/1.5 (+1) 1,520 (-3%) 4mo $270,000 $178 71
8252 Elaine Cir 0.17mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,418 (-10%) 2mo $133,000 $94 68
8159 Portobello 0.13mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,716 (+10%) 6mo $359,900 $210 61
4245 Rancho Park Dr 0.67mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,536 (-2%) 2mo $315,000 $205 57
4189 Balboa Dr 0.52mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,450 (-7%) 7mo $284,000 $196 51
8323 Falcon Dr 0.52mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,404 (-10%) 6mo $215,000 $153 48
8292 Redwing Dr 0.71mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,520 (-3%) 7mo $217,000 $143 47
4177 Torrey Ln 0.52mi 4/2.0 1,368 (-13%) 6mo $240,000 $175 46
4152 Lucan Rd 0.75mi 4/1.5 1,792 (+14%) 1mo $335,000 $187 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-7.6%
Equity multiple
0.72×
Total profit
$-23,406
Equity at exit
$44,716
10-year hold
IRR
2.1%
Equity multiple
1.15×
Total profit
$12,454
Equity at exit
$25,930

Cash invested: $83,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 13090

Active inventory
96
Price-to-rent
7.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,315 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,573
Tax from tax record
$528 /mo · $6,332/yr
Insurance
$125
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$696
Net cashflow
$393

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,817
Max offer price $299,900
Occupancy floor 83%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$74,975
Closing costs
$8,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
8439 Lace Bark Ln Liverpool, NY 5.0 3.0 1694 $2,897 $1.71 13d 1 0.81mi
4071 Sesame Path Liverpool, NY 4.0 2.5 1928 $3,200 $1.66 20d 1 1.00mi

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    status $299,900 Pending 48 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $299,900 Active 48 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $299,900 Active 47 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $299,900 Active 46 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $299,900 Active 45 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $299,900 Active 43 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $299,900 Active 42 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $299,900 Active 40 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $299,900 Active 39 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $299,900 Active 38 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $299,900 Active 37 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $299,900 Active 32 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    pricedays on market $299,900 Active 31 DOM
  14. 2026-05-05
    price $399,900 840-char remark
  15. 2026-04-29
    listed $424,900 Active 840-char remark
  16. 2024-01-13
    historical
  17. 2024-01-13
    historical
  18. 2023-11-08
    listed $325,000 Active
  19. 2023-11-07
    price $325,000
  20. 2023-08-27
    price $370,000
  21. 2023-07-31
    price $489,000
  22. 2023-06-13
    listed $550,000 Active
  23. 2014-05-13
    listed $245,000
  24. 2014-05-12
    listed $245,000
  25. 2013-06-21
    listed $259,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$6,332 · $528/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$6,332 · $528/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$39,776
− Mortgage interest
−$16,799
− Property taxes
−$6,332
− Insurance
−$1,500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,182
− Management
−$3,182
− Depreciation
−$8,724
Taxable income
$57
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$14
After-tax cash flow
$4,705/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Liverpool Central School District
NCES district ID
3617520
Math proficiency
49% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
49% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$59,134
Composite
42.84/100
National rank
#3134
State rank
#381 of 590 in NY

Livability — Radisson

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

County
Onondaga County · 247,257 people
Metro
Syracuse, NY
Population (ZIP)
29,004
Household income
$88,492
Rent vs Own
32.1% rent · 67.9% own
Severe rent burden
733.0

Population outlook (Onondaga County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
467,894 people
By 2030
463,381 · -1.0%
By 2040
447,697 · -4.3%
By 2050
426,399 · -8.9%
By 2075
373,661 · -20.1%
By 2100
307,967 · -34.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (79%)
Race & ethnicity
White 79% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 7% Black 6% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 7% Lithuanian 4% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
93% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Spanish 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Onondaga

2024 margin
D (+17.3) · D 58.6% · R 41.4%
2008→2024 swing
-3.0pp toward R · 2008: 20.3pp · 2024: 17.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+17.3 2020: D+20.6 2016: D+12.8 2012: D+21.1 2008: D+20.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -228.53%
Current HPI
320.4989
Rent YoY
Metro
Syracuse, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+15.4% since first listed
15 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-18 Pending CNYIS
  • 2026-06-01 Relisted CNYIS
  • 2026-06-01 Price Changed $299,900 CNYIS
  • 2026-05-05 Price Changed $399,900 CNYIS
  • 2026-04-29 Listed $424,900 CNYIS
  • 2024-01-13 Listing Removed CNYIS
  • 2024-01-13 Listing Removed CNYIS
  • 2023-11-08 Listed $325,000 CNYIS
  • 2023-11-07 Price Changed $325,000 CNYIS
  • 2023-08-27 Price Changed $370,000 CNYIS
  • 2023-07-31 Price Changed $489,000 CNYIS
  • 2023-06-13 Listed $550,000 CNYIS
  • 2014-05-13 Listed $245,000 CNYIS
  • 2014-05-12 Listed $245,000 CNYIS
  • 2013-06-21 Listed $259,900 CNYIS

Property tax history

+16.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $6,332 · +5.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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