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1117 W State St
C+ Composite 62.4
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +14.6/15.0
  • DSCR +7.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.5/5.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$99,900

1117 W State St · Springfield, MO 65806
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 889 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 42 Days on market
Built 1916 5,227 sqft lot $112/sqft · 16% below area Est $119k · 16% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Home has been a great rental for the last few years. Bring your investors.

Key facts

  • 5,227 sq ft lot
  • Built 1916
  • Listed 42 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property
  • Construction: Composition roof
  • Exterior features: Covered patio/porch; Has a view

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas oven; Free-standing gas oven; Refrigerator
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Gas oven; Free-standing gas oven; Refrigerator; Gas water heater
  • Laundry & utility: Main level laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $171 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $98k (1.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $97k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.3% vs local median 4.6% in Springfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#57 in MO, #4,121 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
  • Springfield R-XII (urban): math 32% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #174 of 324 in MO (top 54%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Mcgregor Elem. (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #993 of 1,115 statewide, top 90%, 271 students, 90% FRL); Parkview High (math 11% / reading 40%, grade F, #433 of 521 statewide, top 83%, 1,234 students, 62% FRL) — zoned schools average 76% FRL vs 46% district-wide (30 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 20% at this address vs 39% district-wide (-19 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Springfield R-XII average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.2%/yr); 86 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,302 units permitted in Greene County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($28k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Greene County population projected at +25% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 42 days — a 3% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1916 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $96,903 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 42 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1916 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.98%
Cap rate
8.35%
Cash-on-cash
7.34%
DSCR
1.33
GRM
8.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$118,646
List price
$99,900
Delta
-15.80%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
735 S Missouri Ave 0.25mi 2/1.0 904 (+2%) 0mo $140,000 $155 85
1530 W Lombard St 0.41mi 2/1.0 840 (-6%) 1mo $145,000 $173 70
925 W Mount Vernon St 0.24mi 2/1.0 990 (+11%) 6mo $129,900 $131 65
942 S Market Ave 0.66mi 2/1.0 884 (-1%) 6mo $139,000 $157 63
942 S Nettleton Ave 0.42mi 2/2.0 816 (-8%) 0mo $122,900 $151 62
1139 S Fort Ave 0.63mi 3/1.0 (+1) 890 (+0%) 5mo $218,000 $245 62
920 S Douglas Ave 0.47mi 3/1.0 (+1) 956 (+8%) 1mo $139,900 $146 59
864 S Main Ave 0.55mi 2/1.0 968 (+9%) 1mo $182,000 $188 58
1012 S Fort Ave 0.42mi 2/1.0 768 (-14%) 1mo $105,000 $137 57
1068 S Broadway Ave 0.55mi 2/1.0 821 (-8%) 7mo $139,900 $170 56
1206 W Elm St 0.21mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,020 (+15%) 6mo $115,000 $113 51
936 S Douglas Ave 0.49mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,000 (+12%) 2mo $89,000 $89 48

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.17% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-3.9%
Equity multiple
0.85×
Total profit
$-4,157
Equity at exit
$14,895
10-year hold
IRR
6.9%
Equity multiple
1.54×
Total profit
$15,172
Equity at exit
$8,638

Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 65806

Home prices YoY
-11.7%
Rents YoY
4.2%
Active inventory
86
Price-to-rent
8.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$981 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax from tax record
$38 /mo · $460/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$206
Net cashflow
$171

Break-even live

Break-even rent $764
Max offer price $99,900
Occupancy floor 78%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,975
Closing costs
$2,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
627 S Fort Ave Springfield, MO 2.0 1.0 880 $895 $1.02 23d 1 0.12mi
1036 W Monroe Ter Springfield, MO 2.0 1.0 812 $795 $0.98 23d 1 0.14mi
930 W Harrison St Springfield, MO 3.0 2.0 1046 $1,150 $1.10 13d 1 0.17mi
513 S Broadway Ave Springfield, MO 2.0 1.0 800 $855 $1.07 43d 1 0.21mi
1200 W Walnut St Springfield, MO 2.0 2.0 1000 $995 $0.99 13d 3 0.26mi
865 S Douglas Ave Springfield, MO 2.0 2.0 850 $895 $1.05 13d 4 0.39mi
847 S Grant Ave Springfield, MO 2.0 1.0 1080 $815 $0.75 43d 1 0.45mi
733 W College St Springfield, MO 1.0 1.0 700 $750 $1.07 13d 1 0.51mi
535 W Walnut St Springfield, MO 2.0 2.0 1096 $1,495 $1.36 43d 1 0.60mi
505 W Grand St Springfield, MO 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 996 $1,395 $1.40 13d 1 0.63mi
211 S Market Ave Springfield, MO 2.0–4.0 1.0–2.0 1442 $1,425 $0.99 21d 5 0.68mi
211 S Market Ave Springfield, MO 2.0–4.0 1.0–2.0 1442 $1,425 $0.99 23d 5 0.68mi
1911 W Elm St Springfield, MO 2.0 1.0 580 $875 $1.51 43d 1 0.68mi
433 W Grand St Unit C Springfield, MO 2.0 1.0 1023 $1,295 $1.27 43d 1 0.68mi
430 W Pershing St Springfield, MO 2.0 2.0 765 $1,195 $1.56 13d 1 0.69mi
1044 S Main Ave Springfield, MO 2.0 1.0 1089 $1,050 $0.96 43d 1 0.69mi
1740 W Olive St Springfield, MO 3.0 1.0 736 $1,195 $1.62 13d 1 0.69mi
301 W State St Unit D Springfield, MO 1.0 1.0 570 $875 $1.54 23d 1 0.69mi
810 W Catalpa St Apt 302 Springfield, MO 2.0 1.0 806 $664 $0.82 23d 1 0.70mi
810 W Catalpa St Apt 316 Springfield, MO 1.0 1.0 581 $551 $0.95 23d 1 0.70mi
305 S Campbell Ave Unit 208 Springfield, MO 1.0 1.0 649 $975 $1.50 13d 1 0.72mi
1112 S Grant Ave Springfield, MO 1.0 1.0 800 $1,095 $1.37 43d 1 0.72mi
235 N Market Ave Springfield, MO 1.0–4.0 1.0–2.0 1350 $1,267 $0.94 13d 4 0.73mi
235 N Market Ave Springfield, MO 1.0–4.0 1.0–2.0 1350 $1,267 $0.94 23d 5 0.73mi
741 South Ave Unit 5 Springfield, MO 1.0 1.0 950 $750 $0.79 43d 1 0.74mi
755 South Ave Unit 2 Springfield, MO 1.0 1.0 600 $850 $1.42 23d 1 0.75mi
901 South Ave Springfield, MO 2.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 695 $825 $1.19 43d 1 0.79mi
806 South Ave Springfield, MO 1.0 1.0 670 $1,085 $1.62 13d 3 0.79mi
209 W McDaniel St Unit 209-207 Springfield, MO 1.0 1.0 700 $950 $1.36 43d 1 0.82mi
138 Park Central Sq Springfield, MO 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1083 $2,489 $2.30 13d 8 0.84mi
2204 W Madison St Springfield, MO 3.0 1.0 960 $1,095 $1.14 13d 1 0.92mi
309 S Jefferson Ave Unit 211 Springfield, MO 2.0 2.0 762 $767 $1.01 43d 1 0.93mi
813 W Poplar St Unit 813 Springfield, MO 2.0 1.0 560 $795 $1.42 13d 1 0.94mi
511 E Cherry St Unit 2 Springfield, MO 1.0 1.0 700 $850 $1.21 43d 1 1.00mi
1735 W Bennett St Springfield, MO 1.0 1.0 800 $1,124 $1.41 13d 2 1.01mi
533 Bear Blvd Unit 111 Springfield, MO 1.0 1.0 1100 $649 $0.59 43d 1 1.02mi
815 N Grant Ave Unit A Springfield, MO 2.0 1.0 801 $625 $0.78 43d 1 1.04mi
647 W Central St Springfield, MO 3.0 1.0 882 $1,050 $1.19 23d 1 1.10mi
916 N Kansas Expy Springfield, MO 1.0 1.0 573 $595 $1.04 43d 1 1.10mi
627 Bear Blvd Springfield, MO 2.0 2.0 943 $1,400 $1.48 43d 2 1.11mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $99,900 Active 42 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $99,900 Active 41 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $99,900 Active 40 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $99,900 Active 39 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $99,900 Active 37 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $99,900 Active 34 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $99,900 Active 33 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $99,900 Active 32 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $99,900 Active 31 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $99,900 Active 27 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $99,900 Active 26 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $99,900 Active 25 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $99,900 Active 24 DOM
  14. 2026-05-30
    days on market $99,900 Active 23 DOM
  15. 2026-05-07
    listed $99,900 Active 74-char remark
  16. 2024-01-23
    historical $550
  17. 2024-01-20
    listed $550
  18. 2006-05-05
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$460 · $38/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$969 · $81/mo
Expected delta
+$509/yr (+$42/mo · 110.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,772
− Mortgage interest
−$5,596
− Property taxes
−$460
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$942
− Management
−$942
− Depreciation
−$2,906
Taxable income
$427
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$103
After-tax cash flow
$1,951/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Springfield R-XII
NCES district ID
2928860
Math proficiency
32% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$37,886
Composite
32.45/100
National rank
#5717
State rank
#174 of 324 in MO

Livability — Springfield

Score
75/100
State rank
#57
US rank
#4121

Category grades

Amenities B+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Springfield, MO
County
Greene County · 244,327 people
City population
223,044
Metro
Springfield, MO
Population (ZIP)
13,692
Household income
$28,165
Rent vs Own
87.3% rent · 12.7% own
Severe rent burden
1966.0

Population outlook (Greene County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
319,054 people
By 2030
335,135 · +5.0%
By 2040
366,186 · +14.8%
By 2050
397,431 · +24.6%
By 2075
477,035 · +49.5%
By 2100
520,828 · +63.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (75%)
Race & ethnicity
White 75% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 7% Black 6% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Italian 1% Scotch-Irish 1%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Greene

2024 margin
Strong R (+20.8) · D 38.9% · R 59.7% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-5.0pp toward R · 2008: -15.8pp · 2024: -20.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+20.8 2020: R+20.1 2016: R+27.4 2012: R+24.4 2008: R+15.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -27.72%
Current HPI
208.8156
Rent YoY
▲ 4.17%
Metro
Springfield, MO
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-07 Listed $99,900 SOMO
  • 2024-01-23 Rental Removed $550 APPFOLIO
  • 2024-01-20 Listed for Rent $550 APPFOLIO
  • 2006-05-05 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+3.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $460 · +23.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…