3014 Lake Shore Dr Unit 13E · Lake George, NY 12845

$179,500

2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,667 sqft · Condo · 1 Days on market

Built 1990 Good condition $550/mo HOA · 21% of rent

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Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +21.4/30.0
• Appreciation +10.0/10.0
• 1% rule +9.5/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• DSCR +6.8/10.0
• Schools +6.1/10.0
• Condition / age +3.8/5.0
• Livability +3.2/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0

Listing remarks

The Quarters is located on the shore of Lake George close to town. Stunning condo fully furnished unit. Just bring your groceries. 1/4 ownership comes w/ 13 weeks per year on a rotating basis. Dock space available during owned weeks. Year around unit w/ gas FP, WiFi & cable. Cherry kitchen, granite counters & stainless steel appliances. Amenities include beach, outdoor pool, sauna, exercise area & laundry room. Grill front of the unit for summer barbecue. HOA $550 per year. No Pets. Dock, Dock w/ Sundeck, Excellent Condition, Custom Kitchen Feature

Key facts

• Outdoor pool
• Grill
• Sauna

Tags

• DOCK SPACE
• OUTDOOR POOL
• SAUNA
• EXERCISE AREA
• LAUNDRY ROOM
• GRILL

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Unit number 13E
• HOA & community: Monthly association fee of $550; Association amenities include beach access, boat dock, lake access and recreation facilities; Association fee covers cable TV, cooling, electricity, gas, heating, insurance, grounds maintenance, security, sewer, snow removal, trash and water

Exterior

• Parking: One paved parking space
• Utilities: Public water; Septic (shared septic)
• Home design: Condominium; Entry on the first level
• Construction: Wood siding
• Exterior features: Paved drive; Seasonal, shared access to Lake George

Interior

• Kitchen: Electric oven; Freezer; Microwave; Oven; Range; Range hood; Refrigerator
• Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the first level
• Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (one on the first level, one on the second level)
• Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central air conditioning
• Interior features: 10 total rooms; Loft

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $180k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $266 ($3k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $180k).
• Cap rate 8.1% vs local median 2.9% in Lake George — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 63/100 on livability (#788 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Watch: employment C-, cost of living D+, crime D.
• Lake George Central School District (rural): math 68% / reading 73% proficiency, ranked #131 of 590 in NY (top 22%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 17% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
• Zoned schools: Lake George Elementary School (math 62% / reading 82%, grade A-, #378 of 2,108 statewide, top 20%, 300 students, 24% FRL); Lake George Junior-Senior High School (math 72% / reading 62%, grade B, #746 of 1,100 statewide, top 69%, 330 students, 19% FRL) — zoned schools at 22% FRL track the district average.
• Market conditions: 112 active listings in the ZIP; 180 units permitted in Warren County in 2024 (40 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $19k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $18k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
• Warren County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $50k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

• Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: HOA is 21% of rent.

Recommended offer $179,500

Questions for the listing agent

1. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
2. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.45% ✓
• Cap rate: 8.07%
• Cash-on-cash: 6.34%
• DSCR: 1.28
• GRM: 5.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 29.0%
• Equity multiple: 3.29×
• Total profit: $115,058
• Equity at exit: $161,708

10-year hold

• IRR: 25.2%
• Equity multiple: 7.49×
• Total profit: $326,271
• Equity at exit: $348,729

Cash invested: $50,260 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
• State New York: 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 12845

• Home prices YoY: 3.5%
• Active inventory: 112
• Price-to-rent: 5.7×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,603 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$941
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$224 /mo · $2,692/yr
• Insurance: −$75
• HOA: −$550
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$547
• Net cashflow: $266

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,266

Max offer price $179,500

Occupancy floor 85%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $390	-5% $328	+0% $266	+5% $204	+10% $142
Rent	-10% $60	-5% $163	+0% $266	+5% $368	+10% $471
Rate	-1.0pp $356	-0.5pp $311	base $266	+0.5pp $219	+1.0pp $172

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $44,875
• Closing costs: $5,385
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

HOA detail condo

• Monthly dues: $550 · $6,600/yr
• Likely covers: gasinternetcablepool
• Assessments: None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 2 events

1. 2026-06-18
   remarks 560-char remark
2. 2026-06-18
   listed $179,500 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥93°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $31,233
• − Mortgage interest: −$10,055
• − Property taxes: −$2,692
• − Insurance: −$898
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,499
• − Management: −$2,499
• − HOA: −$6,600
• − Depreciation: −$5,222
• Taxable income: $769
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$185
• After-tax cash flow: $3,003/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This fully furnished condo is in good condition with a good location and amenities. It has a good resale and rental value with minor updates that could further increase its value.

Value-add opportunities

• Both Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value
• Both Replace carpet with hardwood flooring — Improves aesthetics and value
• Both Install smart home technology — Enhances convenience and marketability

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

• Both Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
• Both Replace carpet with hardwood flooring — Improves aesthetics and value ↑
• Both Install smart home technology — Enhances convenience and marketability ↑

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Lake George Central School District
• NCES district ID: 3616470
• Math proficiency: 68% ▼ -8.00%
• Reading proficiency: 73% ▲ 9.00%
• Median HH income: $65,873
• Composite: 61.29/100
• National rank: #777
• State rank: #131 of 590 in NY

Livability — Lake George

• Score: 63/100
• State rank: #788
• US rank: #15111

Category grades

Amenities D Commute F Cost of living D+ Crime D Employment C- Housing C Health & safety D- User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Population (ZIP): 4,389

Population outlook (Warren County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 62,372 people
• By 2030: 60,491 · -3.0%
• By 2040: 55,616 · -10.8%
• By 2050: 50,437 · -19.1%
• By 2075: 40,843 · -34.5%
• By 2100: 31,159 · -50.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (92%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 92% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 3% Black 1%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 7% Italian 4% Iranian 3%
• Foreign-born: 2% · Canada
• Languages at home: 96% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Warren

• 2024 margin: Toss-up / Even · D 47.9% · R 52.1%
• 2008→2024 swing: -6.9pp toward R · 2008: 2.6pp · 2024: -4.2pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+4.2 2020: R+0.2 2016: R+10.6 2012: D+2.1 2008: D+2.6

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 12.18%
• Current HPI: 364.9782
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.60%
• F500 in state: 92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Financial Services	10	$950B
▸Consumer Goods	9	$162B
▸Insurance	4	$225B
▸Telecommunications	2	$144B
▸Pharmaceuticals	2	$112B
▸Media / Entertainment	2	$69B

Price history

1 event — show timeline

• 2026-06-17 Listed $179,500 Global MLS