1705 Coal St · Chesterhill, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +10.3/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Schools +4.4/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$73,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- 9,321 sq ft lot
- Built 1900
- Listed 77 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $74k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $553 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $74k).
- Recommended offer: $69k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#933 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, health & safety C-, crime D+.
- Morgan Local (rural): math 46% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #420 of 656 in OH (top 64%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 34 units permitted in Morgan County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($508 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Morgan County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 78 days — a 6% lower offer ($69k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $6k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 78 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.76% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.33%
- Cash-on-cash
- 32.26%
- DSCR
- 2.44
- GRM
- 4.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $78,324
- List price
- $73,500
- Delta
- -6.16%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 5 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 38.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.14×
- Total profit
- $44,085
- Equity at exit
- $33,049
- IRR
- 38.0%
- Equity multiple
- 6.23×
- Total profit
- $107,559
- Equity at exit
- $50,932
Cash invested: $20,580 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 45728
- Active inventory
- 1
- Price-to-rent
- 4.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,290 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$385
- Tax from tax record
- −$50 /mo · $602/yr
- Insurance
- −$31
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$271
- Net cashflow
- $553
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,375
- Closing costs
- $2,205
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 28 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $73,500 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $73,500 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $73,500 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $73,500 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $73,500 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $73,500 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $73,500 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $73,500 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $73,500 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $73,500 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $73,500 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $73,500 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $73,500 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $73,500 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-04-28price $74,900
-
2026-03-31$79,740 Active
-
2024-03-13soldstatus $245,500
-
2023-12-05historical
-
2023-08-21status Pending
-
2023-06-27historical Contingent
-
2023-03-21$54,900 Active
-
2022-12-31historical
-
2022-12-31status Pending
-
2022-09-01historical Contingent
-
2022-09-01status Pending
-
2022-07-26price $54,900
-
2022-06-28$59,900 Active
-
2007-07-05soldstatus $12,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $602 · $50/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $874 · $73/mo
- Expected delta
- +$272/yr (+$23/mo · 45.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,486
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,117
- − Property taxes
- −$602
- − Insurance
- −$368
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,239
- − Management
- −$1,239
- − Depreciation
- −$2,138
- Taxable income
- $5,783
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,388
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,251/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Morgan Local
- NCES district ID
- 3904877
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -20.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 60% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,523
- Composite
- 43.93/100
- National rank
- #2907
- State rank
- #420 of 656 in OH
Livability — Chesterhill
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #933
- US rank
- #17853
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Chesterhill, OH
Population outlook (Morgan County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 14,024 people
- By 2030
- 13,485 · -3.8%
- By 2040
- 12,222 · -12.8%
- By 2050
- 10,912 · -22.2%
- By 2075
- 8,181 · -41.7%
- By 2100
- 5,838 · -58.4%
Not yet ingested
- Political lean
- —
- Race & ethnicity
- —
- Common origin
- —
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
+524.2% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-28 Price Changed $74,900 MLSNOW
- 2026-03-31 Listed $79,740 MLSNOW
- 2024-03-13 Sold (Public Records) $245,500 Public Records
- 2023-12-05 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 2023-08-21 Pending — MLSNOW
- 2023-06-27 Contingent — MLSNOW
- 2023-03-21 Listed $54,900 MLSNOW
- 2022-12-31 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 2022-12-31 Pending — MLSNOW
- 2022-09-01 Contingent — MLSNOW
- 2022-09-01 Pending — MLSNOW
- 2022-07-26 Price Changed $54,900 MLSNOW
- 2022-06-28 Listed $59,900 MLSNOW
- 2007-07-05 Sold (Public Records) $12,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-0.6%/yrLatest (2025): $602 · -0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…