7497 Rowles Ave · Ferguson, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.8/5.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$29,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Looking for your next project? This 3-bedroom, 1-bath home offers 986 sqft and plenty of opportunity for the right buyer. In need of extensive updates and likely a full rehab, this property is ideal for investors ready to bring it back to life. Features include a 1-car driveway and detached garage. Endless potential awaits! Bring a flashlight as utilities are not on.
Key facts
- 9,051 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1951
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Living area reported as 986 (source: public records); Lot size approximately 0.2078 acres
- Financial info: No investor or income/expense details provided
- HOA & community: No HOA information provided
Exterior
- Parking: 1-car garage
- Security: No security features listed
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service by Ameren; Sewer available
- Home design: Single-family residence; One level
- Construction: Vinyl siding
- Exterior features: Front yard; Back yard
Interior
- Kitchen: No specific appliance details provided
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms — all on the main level
- Flooring: No flooring information provided
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; No central cooling
- Interior features: Partial basement
- Laundry & utility: No specific laundry or utility appliances listed
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $30k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $817 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $30k).
- Recommended offer: $29k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 39.1% vs local median 9.2% in Ferguson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 58/100 on livability (#586 in MO) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F, amenities F.
- Ferguson-Florissant R-II (suburban): math 7% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #311 of 324 in MO (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Berkeley Elementary School (math 4% / reading 13%, grade F, #1,050 of 1,115 statewide, top 94%, 346 students, 99% FRL); Mccluer High (math 0% / reading 17%, grade F, #511 of 521 statewide, top 98%, 1,181 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 70% district-wide (30 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.0%/yr); 162 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 52% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 920 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($52k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $207 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $897 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($29k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.2% of price; built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 4.52% ✓
- Cap rate
- 39.08%
- Cash-on-cash
- 117.10%
- DSCR
- 6.21
- GRM
- 1.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $75,427
- List price
- $29,900
- Delta
- -60.36%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 296 Meadowcrest Dr | 0.38mi | 3/1.0 | 960 (-3%) | 2mo | $109,900 | $114 | 76 |
| 6016 Dupree Ave | 0.28mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,020 (+3%) | 3mo | $34,900 | $34 | 74 |
| 277 Dashwood Dr | 0.45mi | 3/1.0 | 960 (-3%) | 2mo | $74,900 | $78 | 73 |
| 299 Dashwood Dr | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 | 960 (-3%) | 4mo | $114,000 | $119 | 70 |
| 227 Meadowcrest Dr | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 | 960 (-3%) | 3mo | $129,900 | $135 | 68 |
| 1006 Highmont Dr | 0.62mi | 3/1.0 | 960 (-3%) | 4mo | $109,900 | $114 | 63 |
| 247 S Hartnett Ave Unit 1/2 | 0.49mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 902 (-8%) | 2mo | $75,000 | $83 | 57 |
| 35 Lee Ave | 0.52mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,066 (+8%) | 2mo | $65,000 | $61 | 56 |
| 945 Edgehill Dr | 0.58mi | 3/1.0 | 1,110 (+13%) | 3mo | $114,900 | $104 | 50 |
| 5614 Sanborn Dr | 0.62mi | 3/1.0 | 1,120 (+14%) | 1mo | $104,999 | $94 | 48 |
| 1120 Highmont Dr | 0.59mi | 3/1.0 | 1,116 (+13%) | 4mo | $58,000 | $52 | 47 |
| 941 Highmont Dr | 0.65mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 840 (-15%) | 3mo | $105,900 | $126 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 7.49×
- Total profit
- $54,371
- Equity at exit
- $4,458
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 18.56×
- Total profit
- $147,018
- Equity at exit
- $2,585
Cash invested: $8,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 63135
- Rents YoY
- 9.0%
- Active inventory
- 162
- Price-to-rent
- 1.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,350 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$157
- Tax from tax record
- −$81 /mo · $967/yr
- Insurance
- −$12
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$284
- Net cashflow
- $817
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $7,475
- Closing costs
- $897
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6180 Emerald Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 729 | $1,300 | $1.78 | 44d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 6188 Dupree Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.5 | 972 | $1,300 | $1.34 | 44d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 7733 Brand Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 656 | $1,090 | $1.66 | 24d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 296 Meadowcrest Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,550 | $1.61 | 15d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 26 Arbor Village Ct Ferguson, MO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 714 | $950 | $1.33 | 24d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 249 S Hartnett Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,220 | $1.27 | 24d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 5900 Sheriton Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,050 | $1.22 | 24d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 5830 Bermuda Dr Unit 30B St. Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $895 | $0.99 | 24d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 5830 Bermuda Dr Unit 34C St. Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $895 | $1.05 | 44d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 110 Paul Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $1,050 | $1.20 | 7d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 12 Lee Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 832 | $1,080 | $1.30 | 7d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 5925 Brand Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 951 | $1,200 | $1.26 | 44d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 227 Meadowcrest Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,500 | $1.56 | 44d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 945 Edgehill Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1110 | $1,575 | $1.42 | 44d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 617 Tesmore Pl Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 877 | $1,200 | $1.37 | 44d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 7816 Dartmoor Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,195 | $1.26 | 44d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 419 S Florissant Rd Ferguson, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,200 | $1.09 | 44d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 223 Wiegel Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,560 | $1.81 | 12d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 204 Hawkesbury Dr Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 849 | $1,250 | $1.47 | 4d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 104 Fenwick Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,250 | $1.30 | 24d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 222 Randolph Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 964 | $1,400 | $1.45 | 7d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 801 Thomas Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,350 | $1.56 | 44d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 246 Louisa Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1036 | $1,600 | $1.54 | 44d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 1550 Northwinds Estates Dr St. Louis, MO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 877 | $1,050 | $1.20 | 44d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 806 Marvin Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 726 | $1,100 | $1.52 | 44d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 9717 Dennis Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1056 | $1,323 | $1.25 | 44d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 5300 Grove Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $1,295 | $1.54 | 24d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 8408 Hill Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1040 | $1,550 | $1.49 | 24d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 307 Coppinger Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,095 | $1.14 | 18d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 360 S Harvey Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 936 | $925 | $0.99 | 44d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 519 Graf Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 887 | $1,297 | $1.46 | 20d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 338 La Motte Ln Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 904 | $1,150 | $1.27 | 44d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 709 Suburban Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 975 | $1,400 | $1.44 | 44d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 415 Ames Pl Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 816 | $1,400 | $1.72 | 44d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 401 Millman Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $1,450 | $1.44 | 16d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 502 Averill Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $1,250 | $1.49 | 44d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 5600 Gatesworth Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 672 | $1,095 | $1.63 | 4d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 9750 Lorna Ln Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1032 | $1,100 | $1.07 | 44d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 9845 Dennis Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,550 | $1.61 | 12d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 9725 Medford Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,485 | $1.63 | 44d | 1 | 1.26mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $29,900 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $29,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $29,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $29,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $29,900 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $29,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $29,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $29,900 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $29,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $29,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $29,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $29,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $29,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $29,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-05-15$29,900 Active 369-char remark
-
2026-03-27$45,000 Active
-
2009-05-28soldstatus $28,900
-
2007-05-03soldstatus $24,200
-
2001-10-16soldstatus
-
1988-01-01soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $967 · $81/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $967 · $81/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,205
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,675
- − Property taxes
- −$967
- − Insurance
- −$150
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,296
- − Management
- −$1,296
- − Depreciation
- −$870
- Taxable income
- $9,951
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,388
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,415/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Ferguson-Florissant R-II
- NCES district ID
- 2912010
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,610
- Composite
- 11.96/100
- National rank
- #9666
- State rank
- #311 of 324 in MO
Livability — Ferguson
- Score
- 58/100
- State rank
- #586
- US rank
- #20809
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ferguson, MO
- County
- Saint Louis County · 888,823 people
- City population
- 18,381
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,381
- Household income
- $52,328
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 957.0
Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,025,227 people
- By 2030
- 1,028,023 · +0.3%
- By 2040
- 1,020,940 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 1,007,280 · -1.8%
- By 2075
- 987,277 · -3.7%
- By 2100
- 921,984 · -10.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (66%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 66% White 28% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Iranian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+23.4) · D 60.8% · R 37.4% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.9pp · 2024: 23.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+23.4 2020: D+24.0 2016: D+16.2 2012: D+13.7 2008: D+19.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -152.56%
- Current HPI
- 138.6781
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 9.03%
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
||
| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
|
||
| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
|
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Price history
+23.6% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Listed $29,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-27 Listed $45,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-05-28 Sold (Public Records) $28,900 Public Records
- 2007-05-03 Sold (Public Records) $24,200 Public Records
- 2001-10-16 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1988-01-01 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+1.4%/yrLatest (2022): $967 · +3.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…