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824 Mercer Avenue Ave W
B- Composite 65.07
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.4/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$79,900

824 Mercer Avenue Ave W · Albany, GA 31701
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,270 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 4 Days on market
Built 1951 0.26 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

~ AFFORDABLE INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY ~ UPDATED & MOVE-IN READY ~ ONLY $79,900 ~ Whether you're looking to expand your investment portfolio or searching for an affordable home, this 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath property offers great value with several key updates already completed! Improvements include updated flooring throughout portions of the home (2022), refreshed kitchen cabinetry (2022), and an updated HVAC system with electric heat. Inside, you'll find a comfortable living area, separate dining space, a functional kitchen complete with all existing appliances, and a spacious laundry room that offers flexibility for a home office, hobby room, storage, or other uses. The property also feat

Key facts

  • Functional kitchen
  • Updated hvac system
  • Updated flooring

Tags

UPDATED FLOORINGREFRESHED KITCHEN CABINETRYUPDATED HVAC SYSTEMCOMFORTABLE LIVING AREASEPARATE DINING SPACEFUNCTIONAL KITCHEN

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: 2 parking spaces
  • Security: Smoke detector(s)
  • Home design: Single-family detached home; One story
  • Construction: Masonite exterior; Shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Fenced lot; Storage structure on property

Interior

  • Kitchen: Refrigerator; Electric cooktop; Electric oven
  • Flooring: Ceramic tile; Hardwood; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Electric central heating
  • Interior features: Smoke detectors; Storage
  • Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $297 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
  • Cap rate 11.8% vs local median 4.7% in Albany — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 60/100 on livability (#371 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-, health & safety B+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
  • Dougherty County (urban): math 12% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #163 of 174 in GA (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 177 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 45 units permitted in Dougherty County in 2024 (20 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($35k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $552 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Dougherty County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $68/mo; built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 98% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $79,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.34%
Cap rate
11.77%
Cash-on-cash
19.57%
DSCR
1.87
GRM
6.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
6.9%
Equity multiple
1.27×
Total profit
$5,990
Equity at exit
$11,913
10-year hold
IRR
16.2%
Equity multiple
2.33×
Total profit
$29,644
Equity at exit
$6,908

Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 31701

Home prices YoY
-27.3%
Active inventory
177
Price-to-rent
6.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,074 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$419
Tax from tax record
$31 /mo · $372/yr
Insurance
$33
Flood insurance flood zone
−$68 /mo · $814/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$225
Net cashflow
$297

Break-even live

Break-even rent $698
Max offer price $79,900
Occupancy floor 67%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$19,975
Closing costs
$2,397
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1312 Colquitt Ave Albany, GA 3.0 1.0 1133 $900 $0.79 21d 1 0.86mi
1502 Gillespie Ave Albany, GA 3.0 1.0 1104 $875 $0.79 21d 1 0.99mi
612 Florence Dr Albany, GA 3.0 1.0 1428 $1,200 $0.84 21d 1 1.37mi

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $79,900 Active 4 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $79,900 Active 3 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $79,900 Active 2 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    remarks 695-char remark
  5. 2026-06-16
    listed $79,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$372 · $31/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$735 · $61/mo
Expected delta
+$363/yr (+$30/mo · 97.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone D · 76% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 98% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,884
− Mortgage interest
−$4,476
− Property taxes
−$372
− Insurance
−$1,214
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,031
− Management
−$1,031
− Depreciation
−$2,324
Taxable income
$2,437
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$585
After-tax cash flow
$2,980/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Dougherty County
NCES district ID
1301830
Math proficiency
12% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
16% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$33,105
Composite
11.31/100
National rank
#9716
State rank
#163 of 174 in GA

Livability — Albany

Score
60/100
State rank
#371
US rank
#18903

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A- Health & safety B+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Albany, GA
County
Dougherty County · 89,040 people
City population
89,040
Metro
Albany, GA
Population (ZIP)
16,135
Household income
$35,025
Rent vs Own
66.9% rent · 33.1% own
Severe rent burden
1383.0

Population outlook (Dougherty County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
84,551 people
By 2030
80,637 · -4.6%
By 2040
72,090 · -14.7%
By 2050
64,056 · -24.2%
By 2075
46,332 · -45.2%
By 2100
33,127 · -60.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (74%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 74% White 21% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Dougherty

2024 margin
Solid D (+41.1) · D 70.4% · R 29.3%
2008→2024 swing
+6.2pp toward D · 2008: 35.0pp · 2024: 41.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+41.1 2020: D+40.0 2016: D+38.3 2012: D+39.0 2008: D+35.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -54.55%
Current HPI
145.4604
Rent YoY
Metro
Albany, GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-16 Listed $79,900 SWGABOR

Property tax history

+4.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $372 · +9.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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