CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
14 Race St
D+ Composite 45.45
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +5.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +2.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$149,999

14 Race St · Port Deposit, MD 21904
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 999 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 27 Days on market
Built 1900 4,000 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

3 bed 1 bath home in Port Deposit now available! This home is occupied by a month to month tenant paying $1150 per month and will not be sold vacant. Showings will need advanced notice due to tenant occupancy.

Key facts

  • 4,000 sq ft lot
  • Built 1900
  • Listed 26 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Fee simple ownership

Exterior

  • Parking: On-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric heating fuel
  • Home design: Detached property; Year built per assessor
  • Construction: Aluminum siding; Other foundation
  • Exterior features: Porch(es); Property includes trees/wooded areas; Stream/creek on the lot; Outside entrance to basement

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the upper level
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level; One full bathroom total
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Electric hot water
  • Interior features: Attic; Kitchen with table space; Traditional floor plan

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $63 ($757/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $140k (6.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $140k (6.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.3% vs local median 2.8% in Port Deposit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 56/100 on livability (#406 in MD) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living A, employment B+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Cecil County Public Schools (rural): math 15% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #15 of 24 in MD (top 62%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Perryville High (math 37% / reading 57%, grade D-, #114 of 222 statewide, top 52%, 858 students, 46% FRL).
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 47% at this address vs 22% district-wide (+24 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Cecil County Public Schools average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: 26 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 563 units permitted in Cecil County in 2024 (330 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($148k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $78k; list at $150k implies a 92% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; moderate wind risk, 24% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $140,000 (6.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.93%
Cap rate
7.33%
Cash-on-cash
3.70%
DSCR
1.16
GRM
8.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-13.4%
Equity multiple
0.52×
Total profit
$-20,266
Equity at exit
$22,365
10-year hold
IRR
-4.5%
Equity multiple
0.71×
Total profit
$-12,375
Equity at exit
$12,969

Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
27 Tenant-Leaning
State Maryland
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Failure-to-pay is dismissed if cured before judgment; Baltimore has just-cause; strict deposit rules.

ZIP-level market 21904

Home prices YoY
-35.0%
Active inventory
26
Price-to-rent
8.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,400 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$787
Tax from tax record
$127 /mo · $1,529/yr
Insurance
$62
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$294
Net cashflow
$63

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,320
Max offer price $149,999
Occupancy floor 90%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $148 -5% $105 +0% $63 +5% $21 +10% $-22
Rent -10% $-48 -5% $8 +0% $63 +5% $118 +10% $174
Rate -1.0pp $139 -0.5pp $101 base $63 +0.5pp $24 +1.0pp $-15

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,500
Closing costs
$4,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
42 N Main St Port Deposit, MD 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,400 $1.27 44d 1 0.73mi

Listing history 33 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $149,999 Active 27 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $149,999 Active 26 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $149,999 Active 25 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $149,999 Active 24 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $149,999 Active 22 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $149,999 Active 18 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $149,999 Active 17 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $149,999 Active 16 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $149,999 Active 13 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $149,999 Active 12 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $149,999 Active 11 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $149,999 Active 10 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $149,999 Active 9 DOM
  14. 2026-05-22
    listed $149,999 Active
  15. 2022-08-29
    soldstatus $78,000
  16. 2014-11-14
    historical Withdrawn
  17. 2014-11-14
    historical
  18. 2014-09-11
    price
  19. 2014-08-14
    price
  20. 2014-07-29
    listed Active
  21. 2014-07-29
    listed $79,900
  22. 2010-11-11
    historical
  23. 2010-11-10
    soldstatus $49,900 Sold
  24. 2010-11-10
    soldstatus $49,900
  25. 2010-09-24
    status Contingent (No Kick Out)
  26. 2010-09-23
    historical
  27. 2010-09-16
    price $49,900
  28. 2010-08-18
    listed $64,900 Active
  29. 2010-08-17
    listed $49,900
  30. 2006-09-05
    soldstatus $104,900
  31. 2006-06-13
    soldstatus $104,900
  32. 2006-04-13
    historical
  33. 2006-04-06
    listed $104,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,529 · $127/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,582 · $132/mo
Expected delta
+$53/yr (+$4/mo · 3.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 5/10 Major 24% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,800
− Mortgage interest
−$8,402
− Property taxes
−$1,529
− Insurance
−$1,547
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,344
− Management
−$1,344
− Depreciation
−$4,364
Taxable loss
−$1,730
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$415
After-tax cash flow
$1,172/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Cecil County Public Schools
NCES district ID
2400240
Math proficiency
15% ▼ -21.00%
Reading proficiency
30% ▼ -15.00%
Median HH income
$66,544
Composite
21.51/100
National rank
#8322
State rank
#15 of 24 in MD

Livability — Port Deposit

Score
56/100
State rank
#406
US rank
#22434

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A Crime F Employment B+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Port Deposit, MD
Population (ZIP)
6,401

Population outlook (Cecil County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
105,877 people
By 2030
106,905 · +1.0%
By 2040
107,156 · +1.2%
By 2050
104,170 · -1.6%
By 2075
95,771 · -9.5%
By 2100
82,381 · -22.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (84%)
Race & ethnicity
White 84% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 6% Black 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Italian 3% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, Guatemala
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cecil

2024 margin
Solid R (+30.9) · D 33.5% · R 64.4% · Other 2.1%
2008→2024 swing
-16.3pp toward R · 2008: -14.6pp · 2024: -30.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+30.9 2020: R+26.6 2016: R+35.3 2012: R+20.4 2008: R+14.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -134.21%
Current HPI
249.2215
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.97%
F500 in state
12

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+43.0% since first listed
20 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Listed $149,999 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2022-08-29 Sold (Public Records) $78,000 Public Records
  • 2014-11-14 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2014-11-14 Delisted MRIS
  • 2014-09-11 Price Changed MRIS
  • 2014-08-14 Price Changed MRIS
  • 2014-07-29 Listed MRIS
  • 2014-07-29 Listed $79,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2010-11-11 Delisted MRIS
  • 2010-11-10 Sold (MLS) $49,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2010-11-10 Sold (MLS) $49,900 MRIS
  • 2010-09-24 Pending MRIS
  • 2010-09-23 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2010-09-16 Price Changed $49,900 MRIS
  • 2010-08-18 Listed $64,900 MRIS
  • 2010-08-17 Listed $49,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2006-09-05 Sold (Public Records) $104,900 Public Records
  • 2006-06-13 Sold (MLS) $104,900 MRIS
  • 2006-04-13 Delisted MRIS
  • 2006-04-06 Listed $104,900 MRIS

Property tax history

+2.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,529 · +4.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…