16124 Woodbridge Ave · Harvey, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.8/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.7/10.0
$134,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Exciting opportunity! This frame 1.5 Story offers 4 bedrooms, 1.5 baths, a finished basement and a 2-car detached garage! This property is waiting for the right owner to unlock its full potential and turn it into a stunning home. Conveniently located near shopping, restaurants and transportation, this home is ideal for a first-time buyer ready to transform it into a fabulous living space or an investor looking to add to their rental portfolio.
Key facts
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1957
- Listed 16 days
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No master association fees required
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage; 2 total parking spaces (2 garage spaces)
- Utilities: Water source: Lake Michigan; Public sewer
- Home design: Detached single-family home; 1.5-story design; Fee simple ownership; Built before 1978
- Construction: Frame construction; 61–70 years old
- Exterior features: Lot less than 0.25 acre; Lot dimensions approximately 0.10
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on main level (12 x 9)
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms; Primary bedroom on main level (12 x 11); Three additional bedrooms on second level (12 x 10; 12 x 9; 10 x 9)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Steam heating; Radiant heating
- Interior features: Finished full basement; 7 total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $135k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $528 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $135k).
- Recommended offer: $133k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#539 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: health & safety D+, schools F, crime F.
- Thornton Twp Hsd 205 (suburban): math 7% / reading 8% proficiency, ranked #594 of 620 in IL (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 134 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $14k of equity ($933 loan paydown + $13k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($133k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1957 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1957 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.28% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.99%
- Cash-on-cash
- 16.78%
- DSCR
- 1.75
- GRM
- 6.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $205,720
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15708 Park Ave | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 1,467 (-1%) | 0mo | $167,500 | $114 | 64 |
| 15711 Lowe Ave | 0.59mi | 3/1.5 | 1,404 (-5%) | 2mo | $232,000 | $165 | 62 |
| 16540 Emerald Ave | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 1,469 (-1%) | 16mo | $215,000 | $146 | 57 |
| 16052 Halsted St Unit 2 | 0.09mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,660 (+12%) | 15mo | $165,000 | $99 | 56 |
| 15828 Lathrop Ave | 0.40mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,494 (+1%) | 20mo | $90,000 | $60 | 56 |
| 15930 Carol Ave | 0.32mi | 3/1.0 | 1,400 (-5%) | 22mo | $195,000 | $139 | 55 |
| 16632 Emerald Ave | 0.66mi | 3/1.5 | 1,602 (+8%) | 7mo | $150,000 | $94 | 50 |
| 16626 Union Ave | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 | 1,340 (-10%) | 3mo | $75,000 | $56 | 48 |
| 16325 Vincennes Ave | 0.58mi | 3/1.5 | 1,400 (-5%) | 23mo | $230,000 | $164 | 45 |
| 375 E 167th St | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 1,556 (+5%) | 16mo | $281,195 | $181 | 43 |
| 373 E 167th St | 0.70mi | 3/2.5 | 1,556 (+5%) | 15mo | $220,000 | $141 | 42 |
| 15624 Lowe Ave | 0.66mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,322 (-11%) | 13mo | $135,000 | $102 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 36.7%
- Equity multiple
- 3.84×
- Total profit
- $107,085
- Equity at exit
- $121,529
- IRR
- 31.6%
- Equity multiple
- 8.65×
- Total profit
- $288,822
- Equity at exit
- $262,081
Cash invested: $37,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 60426
- Home prices YoY
- 6.9%
- Active inventory
- 134
- Price-to-rent
- 6.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,727 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$707
- Tax from tax record
- −$73 /mo · $870/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$363
- Net cashflow
- $528
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,725
- Closing costs
- $4,047
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16048 Halsted St Unit 2 Harvey, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1091 | $1,650 | $1.51 | 24d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 16125 Marshfield Ave Markham, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1043 | $2,400 | $2.30 | 1d | 1 | 0.98mi |
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $134,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $134,900 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $134,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $134,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $134,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $134,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $134,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $134,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $134,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $134,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-02remarks 449-char remark
-
2026-06-02$134,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $870 · $73/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,966 · $164/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,096/yr (+$91/mo · 125.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,726
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,556
- − Property taxes
- −$870
- − Insurance
- −$674
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,658
- − Management
- −$1,658
- − Depreciation
- −$3,924
- Taxable income
- $4,384
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,052
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,287/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Thornton Twp Hsd 205
- NCES district ID
- 1738970
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 8% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,392
- Composite
- 6.92/100
- National rank
- #9976
- State rank
- #594 of 620 in IL
Livability — Harvey
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #539
- US rank
- #11162
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Harvey, IL
- City population
- 23,066
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,066
Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,347,519 people
- By 2030
- 5,357,703 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 5,324,924 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 5,230,762 · -2.2%
- By 2075
- 4,785,735 · -10.5%
- By 2100
- 4,188,836 · -21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (59%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 59% Hispanic / Latino 33% Two or more races 12% White 3% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 31%
- Foreign-born
- 17% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 67% English-only · Spanish 30% Other Indo-European 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cook
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 20.36%
- Current HPI
- 313.7895
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-02 Listed $134,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
-6.0%/yrLatest (2023): $870 · +28.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…