15033 Atlas Ct · Omaha, NE
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $508 – $851
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,161 – $2,155
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.3/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.0/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$80,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Meadow Brooks Estate Park Application Approval for purchase.
Key facts
- Built 1992
- Listed 37 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Home design: Built in 1992
- Construction: Construction completed in 1992
- Exterior features: Located in the West Omaha subdivision
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $80k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $719 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $80k).
- Recommended offer: $78k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 17.1% vs local median 3.6% in Omaha — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 84/100 on livability (#7 in NE, #663 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F.
- Millard Public Schools (urban): math 58% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #13 of 111 in NE (top 12%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 13% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.6%/yr); 113 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 4,539 units permitted in Douglas County in 2024 (2,583 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $553 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Douglas County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.6% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($78k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.01% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.08%
- Cash-on-cash
- 38.51%
- DSCR
- 2.71
- GRM
- 4.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.58% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 35.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.51×
- Total profit
- $33,791
- Equity at exit
- $11,928
- IRR
- 42.4%
- Equity multiple
- 5.13×
- Total profit
- $92,402
- Equity at exit
- $6,917
Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Nebraska
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 68137
- Rents YoY
- 3.6%
- Active inventory
- 113
- Price-to-rent
- 4.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,610 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$420
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$100 /mo · $1,200/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$338
- Net cashflow
- $719
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $20,000
- Closing costs
- $2,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3820 S 148th Ave Omaha, NE | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1029 | $1,798 | $1.75 | 3d | 20 | 1.08mi |
| 15950 Wright Plz Omaha, NE | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1032 | $1,428 | $1.38 | 2d | 13 | 1.10mi |
| 5380 S 156th Ct Omaha, NE | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1088 | $1,572 | $1.45 | 3d | 10 | 1.28mi |
| 5723 S 152nd Avenue Cir Omaha, NE | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1866 | $2,100 | $1.13 | 43d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 14735 W Plz Omaha, NE | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 1469 | $1,320 | $0.90 | 3d | 12 | 1.42mi |
| 2222 S 142nd Ct Omaha, NE | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 772 | $1,320 | $1.71 | 3d | 20 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $80,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $80,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $80,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $80,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $80,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $80,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $80,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $80,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $80,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $80,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $80,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $80,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $80,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $80,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-12$80,000 Active 60-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,317
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,481
- − Property taxes
- −$1,200
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,545
- − Management
- −$1,545
- − Depreciation
- −$2,327
- Taxable income
- $7,818
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,876
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,750/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo
The home requires moderate renovations, including new carpet and paint refresh, to improve its resale and rental value.
Repairs flagged
- Major carpet — Worn and in need of replacement
- Minor paint — Slightly faded, could be refreshed
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint refresh — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
- Both New carpet — Improves comfort and appearance
- Rental HVAC maintenance — Ensures comfort and energy efficiency
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| carpet · Worn and in need of replacement | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| paint · Slightly faded, could be refreshed | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 2 items | $15,500–53,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint refresh — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both New carpet — Improves comfort and appearance ↑
- Rental HVAC maintenance — Ensures comfort and energy efficiency ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Millard Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3173740
- Math proficiency
- 58% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 60% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $81,146
- Composite
- 53.23/100
- National rank
- #1500
- State rank
- #13 of 111 in NE
Livability — Omaha
- Score
- 84/100
- State rank
- #7
- US rank
- #663
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Omaha, NE
- County
- Douglas County · 538,646 people
- City population
- 552,986
- Metro
- Omaha-Council Bluffs, NE-IA
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,277
- Household income
- $80,739
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 728.0
Population outlook (Douglas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 625,245 people
- By 2030
- 661,613 · +5.8%
- By 2040
- 732,395 · +17.1%
- By 2050
- 801,988 · +28.3%
- By 2075
- 968,637 · +54.9%
- By 2100
- 1,101,871 · +76.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 7% Asian 5% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 2% Portuguese 2%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, Vietnam, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Douglas
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.2) · D 54.4% · R 44.2% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.5pp toward D · 2008: 4.6pp · 2024: 10.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.2 2020: D+11.3 2016: D+1.4 2012: R+4.3 2008: D+4.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -240.79%
- Current HPI
- 231.568
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.58%
- Metro
- Omaha-Council Bluffs, NE-IA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 0.68%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NE)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Conglomerate | 1 | $371B |
|
||
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Listed $80,000 FSBO.com
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…