46 W Third St · Waynesboro, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 3.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.6/30.0
- ARV discount +11.2/15.0
- DSCR +6.2/10.0
- 1% rule +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$219,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This beautifully updated brick home combines timeless character with modern upgrades throughout. Offering 4 bedrooms, 1 bath, and a versatile side addition featuring two extra rooms. We are counting the upstairs room as a bedroom and there's plenty of space for a home office, playroom, hobby area, or guest accommodations on the main floor room. Recent improvements provide peace of mind, including a new roof (with Warranty) , new vinyl windows, new 200-amp electrical service and wiring, and a new heat pump with oil backup and central air. Inside, you'll find freshly sanded and refinished hardwood floors, updated lighting throughout, and a partially renovated kitchen and bath. The kitchen fe
Key facts
- New heat pump
- Updated brick home
- New vinyl windows
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Fee simple ownership; Property condition listed as excellent
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage (front entry) with 1 garage space; On-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric and oil heating fuels; Electric cooling; Electric hot water
- Home design: Semi-detached; Estimated year built
- Construction: Brick construction; Stone foundation; Architectural shingle roof; Vinyl-clad windows
- Exterior features: No tidal water
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Stove; Refrigerator; Microwave
- Bedrooms: Four bedrooms on the upper level
- Flooring: Wood flooring; Luxury vinyl plank flooring
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump with oil backup; Central air (electric)
- Interior features: Dishwasher; Water heater; Stove; Refrigerator; Microwave; Washer/dryer stacked; Wood and luxury vinyl plank flooring; No basement
- Laundry & utility: Stacked washer and dryer; Electric hot water
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $220k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $255 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $205k (6.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $205k (6.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.7% vs local median 3.7% in Waynesboro — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#280 in PA, #2,482 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, commute F.
- Waynesboro Area SD (town): math 36% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #283 of 539 in PA (top 52%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Fairview Avenue El Sch (math 31% / reading 52%, grade F, #927 of 1,518 statewide, top 61%, 620 students, 70% FRL); Waynesboro Area Ms (math 27% / reading 48%, grade F, #292 of 512 statewide, top 58%, 990 students, 54% FRL); Waynesboro Area Shs (math 69% / reading 24%, grade D-, #173 of 437 statewide, top 40%, 1,439 students, 47% FRL) — zoned schools average 57% FRL vs 36% district-wide (21 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 234 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 80% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 633 units permitted in Franklin County in 2024 (112 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($73k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.93% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.69%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.97%
- DSCR
- 1.22
- GRM
- 8.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $239,412
- Comps found
- 9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 105 Fairview Ave | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,692 (+0%) | 15mo | $114,500 | $68 | 57 |
| 41 Potomac St N | 0.38mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,800 (+7%) | 18mo | $255,000 | $142 | 49 |
| 43 Potomac St N | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,800 (+7%) | 16mo | $245,000 | $136 | 48 |
| 53 E North St | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,506 (-11%) | 6mo | $185,000 | $123 | 47 |
| 607 Chicory Spring Ct | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,600 (-5%) | 8mo | $279,900 | $175 | 43 |
| 90 Price Ave S | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,521 (-10%) | 11mo | $284,900 | $187 | 36 |
| 92 Price Ave S | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,521 (-10%) | 12mo | $293,000 | $193 | 35 |
| 150 S S Price Ave | 0.64mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 1,920 (+14%) | 1mo | $150,000 | $78 | 33 |
| 95 Old Mill Rd | 0.70mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,581 (-6%) | 22mo | $264,000 | $167 | 28 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.68×
- Total profit
- $-19,446
- Equity at exit
- $32,788
- IRR
- 0.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.06×
- Total profit
- $3,729
- Equity at exit
- $19,013
Cash invested: $61,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 17268
- Active inventory
- 234
- Price-to-rent
- 8.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,049 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,153
- Tax from tax record
- −$119 /mo · $1,428/yr
- Insurance
- −$92
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$430
- Net cashflow
- $255
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $380 | -5% $317 | +0% $255 | +5% $193 | +10% $131 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $93 | -5% $174 | +0% $255 | +5% $336 | +10% $417 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $366 | -0.5pp $311 | base $255 | +0.5pp $198 | +1.0pp $140 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $54,975
- Closing costs
- $6,597
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Philadelphia Ave Waynesboro, PA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1985 | $2,200 | $1.11 | 45d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 228 Ridge Ave Waynesboro, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,500 | $1.15 | 45d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 457 Frick Ave Waynesboro, PA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2193 | $2,200 | $1.00 | 22d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 8820 Hillside Way Waynesboro, PA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1536 | $2,100 | $1.37 | 45d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 13061-13121 Welty Rd Unit 18B Waynesboro, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,300 | $1.08 | 45d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-22remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-22$219,900 Coming Soon 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,428 · $119/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,451 · $204/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,023/yr (+$85/mo · 71.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,592
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,318
- − Property taxes
- −$1,428
- − Insurance
- −$1,100
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,967
- − Management
- −$1,967
- − Depreciation
- −$6,397
- Taxable loss
- −$585
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$140
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,202/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Waynesboro Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4225110
- Math proficiency
- 36% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -15.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,445
- Composite
- 37.79/100
- National rank
- #4342
- State rank
- #283 of 539 in PA
Livability — Waynesboro
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #280
- US rank
- #2482
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Waynesboro, PA
- County
- Franklin County · 56,916 people
- City population
- 29,362
- Metro
- Chambersburg-Waynesboro, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,362
- Household income
- $73,161
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 539.0
Population outlook (Franklin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 157,827 people
- By 2030
- 158,933 · +0.7%
- By 2040
- 159,060 · +0.8%
- By 2050
- 155,132 · -1.7%
- By 2075
- 138,545 · -12.2%
- By 2100
- 112,321 · -28.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6% Black 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Romanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Franklin
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+43.0) · D 28.1% · R 71.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.4pp toward R · 2008: -32.6pp · 2024: -43.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+43.0 2020: R+43.1 2016: R+46.5 2012: R+38.5 2008: R+32.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -113.20%
- Current HPI
- 189.6931
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Chambersburg-Waynesboro, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
-6.4% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-21 Coming Soon $219,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-07-31 Sold (Public Records) $234,900 Public Records
Property tax history
+10.1%/yrLatest (2026): $1,428 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…