2106 Richmond Ave · Portsmouth, VA
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.13%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.5/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +5.1/10.0
- 1% rule +4.3/10.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$202,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
ALL BRICK CAPE COD BEAUTY! COME ADD YOUR PERSONAL TOUCH! AWESOME, CENTRAL LOCATION! GLEAMING, STUNNING HARDWOOD FLOORS THROUGHOUT! EXTRA LARGE GARAGE! OVERSIZED GRAND LIVING ROOM SPACE! AWESOME BACK YARD! NEWER ROOF! EXPAND INTO SECOND FLOOR??? BUMP OUT A PRIMARY BATHROOM INTO THE LIVING ROOM??? GREAT DEAL! GREAT OPPORTUNITY RIGHT HERE! COME GET IT TODAY! WOWZER IN YOUR BROWSER!
Key facts
- Back yard
- Newer roof
- Central location
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No HOA (fees listed as 0)
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 1-car garage; Additional multi-car parking; Driveway parking; Street parking
- Utilities: City/County water; City/County sewer; Electric water heater; Electric power (implied by electric range and water heater)
- Home design: Detached single-family home; Cape Cod style; Single-story living level (1 living level); Crawl space foundation
- Construction: Crawl foundation; Brick exterior; Asphalt shingle roof
- Exterior features: Brick siding; Chain link fence; Asphalt shingle roof; Lot approximately 0.17 acres (75 x 100)
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom on the first floor; Additional bedroom on the first floor
- Flooring: Ceramic flooring; Wood flooring
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced hot air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceramic and wood flooring; Bedroom with full bathroom on the first floor; First-floor master bedroom; Seven total rooms (living room, great room, dining room, family room, kitchen, utility room, master bedroom, additional bedroom, full bathroom)
- Laundry & utility: Utility room on the first floor
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $202k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $117 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $187k (7.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $187k (7.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.0% vs local median 4.6% in Portsmouth — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#172 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F, commute F.
- Portsmouth City Public School District (urban): math 34% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #107 of 131 in VA (top 82%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Douglass Park Elementary (math 12% / reading 37%, grade F, #1,051 of 1,108 statewide, top 96%, 550 students, 98% FRL); I.C. Norcom High (math 39% / reading 58%, grade D, #301 of 319 statewide, top 95%, 1,043 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 60% district-wide (39 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.3%/yr); 131 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 300 units permitted in Portsmouth city in 2024 (112 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,872/mo this rent would consume 45% of the median local household income ($50k/yr) (locally 1727% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($196k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1953 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 7% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1953 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.93% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.99%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.48%
- DSCR
- 1.11
- GRM
- 9.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $263,000
- List price
- $202,000
- Delta
- -23.19%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1912 Deep Creek Blvd | 0.32mi | 3/1.0 | 1,496 (+1%) | 2mo | $240,000 | $160 | 82 |
| 1908 Elm Ave | 0.23mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,554 (+5%) | 2mo | $230,000 | $148 | 71 |
| 1803 Lansing Ave | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 | 1,312 (-12%) | 2mo | $270,000 | $206 | 66 |
| 2317 Chestnut St | 0.50mi | 3/1.5 | 1,560 (+5%) | 1mo | $260,000 | $167 | 66 |
| 1902 Camden Ave | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 | 1,290 (-13%) | 1mo | $219,000 | $170 | 65 |
| 1930 Nashville Ave | 0.45mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,422 (-4%) | 0mo | $273,000 | $192 | 62 |
| 908 Lincoln St | 0.46mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,554 (+5%) | 1mo | $281,900 | $181 | 62 |
| 1801 Elm Ave | 0.29mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,608 (+8%) | 2mo | $290,000 | $180 | 60 |
| 2103 Elm Ave | 0.23mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,320 (-11%) | 1mo | $200,000 | $152 | 59 |
| 2506 Oak St | 0.21mi | 3/2.5 | 1,700 (+14%) | 2mo | $278,000 | $164 | 58 |
| 2121 Effingham St | 0.57mi | 3/1.5 | 1,650 (+11%) | 1mo | $280,000 | $170 | 52 |
| 918 Centre Ave | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 1,330 (-10%) | 1mo | $297,000 | $223 | 52 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.31% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -12.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.56×
- Total profit
- $-24,706
- Equity at exit
- $30,119
- IRR
- -2.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.83×
- Total profit
- $-9,492
- Equity at exit
- $17,465
Cash invested: $56,560 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 23704
- Home prices YoY
- -4.6%
- Rents YoY
- 3.3%
- Active inventory
- 131
- Price-to-rent
- 9.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,872 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,059
- Tax from tax record
- −$219 /mo · $2,628/yr
- Insurance
- −$84
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$393
- Net cashflow
- $117
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $50,500
- Closing costs
- $6,060
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1915 Lansing Ave Portsmouth, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1085 | $1,675 | $1.54 | 3d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 2111 Atlanta Ave Portsmouth, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1418 | $2,395 | $1.69 | 43d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 1915 Des Moines Ave Portsmouth, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1070 | $1,700 | $1.59 | 23d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 1915 Des Moines Ave Portsmouth, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1070 | $1,700 | $1.59 | 16d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 2215 Atlanta Ave Portsmouth, VA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1628 | $2,150 | $1.32 | 7d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 1802 Atlanta Ave Unit 2 Portsmouth, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,500 | $1.25 | 23d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 2007 Elm Ave Portsmouth, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 903 | $1,300 | $1.44 | 20d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 1508 Richmond Ave Portsmouth, VA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $2,000 | $1.25 | 3d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 1416 Richmond Ave Portsmouth, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1024 | $1,150 | $1.12 | 43d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 1314 Summit Ave Portsmouth, VA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1152 | $1,750 | $1.52 | 43d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 2810 Roanoke Ave Portsmouth, VA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $2,100 | $1.91 | 43d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 1440 Lasalle Ave Portsmouth, VA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1493 | $2,500 | $1.67 | 23d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 2304 Nashville Ave Portsmouth, VA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1226 | $1,395 | $1.14 | 43d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 1409 Wilcox Ave Portsmouth, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1800 | $2,500 | $1.39 | 43d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 2756 Peach St Portsmouth, VA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1040 | $1,495 | $1.44 | 23d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 818 Coolidge St Portsmouth, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1230 | $2,100 | $1.71 | 43d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 2906 Chestnut St Unit 1328007P Portsmouth, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 947 | $4,650 | $4.91 | 7d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 1447 Talley Cir Portsmouth, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1440 | $2,000 | $1.39 | 23d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 1321 Columbia St Unit 1533640P Portsmouth, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1582 | $5,609 | $3.55 | 7d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 20149 County St Portsmouth, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1738 | $2,400 | $1.38 | 43d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 231 Edison Ave Unit 231 Portsmouth, VA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1050 | $1,275 | $1.21 | 10d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 231 Edison Ave Portsmouth, VA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,275 | $1.16 | 20d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 548 Madison St Portsmouth, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,349 | $1.50 | 16d | 3 | 0.85mi |
| 548 Madison St Unit 542-21-C Portsmouth, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,349 | $1.50 | 23d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 1914 King St Portsmouth, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1332 | $2,200 | $1.65 | 44d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 1100 High St Portsmouth, VA | 2.0–3.0 | 1.5–2.0 | 1003 | $1,545 | $1.54 | 3d | 5 | 0.88mi |
| 622 Effingham St Portsmouth, VA | 2.0–3.0 | 1.5–2.0 | 1027 | $1,797 | $1.75 | 23d | 2 | 0.92mi |
| 533 Columbia St Portsmouth, VA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1110 | $1,495 | $1.35 | 43d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 714 King St Portsmouth, VA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 935 | $1,899 | $2.03 | 43d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 3317 Downes St Portsmouth, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1148 | $1,995 | $1.74 | 10d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 3317 Downes St Portsmouth, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1148 | $1,995 | $1.74 | 3d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 213 Beacon Rd Portsmouth, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1280 | $2,300 | $1.80 | 23d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 1140 London Blvd Portsmouth, VA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1016 | $1,902 | $1.87 | 3d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 70 Manly St Portsmouth, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,350 | $1.35 | 43d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 2715 Portsmouth Blvd Portsmouth, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1428 | $1,425 | $1.00 | 17d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 2715 Portsmouth Blvd Portsmouth, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1428 | $1,425 | $1.00 | 14d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 605 Dinwiddie St Unit B Portsmouth, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,650 | $1.83 | 43d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 3724 Deep Creek Blvd Unit 3754 Portsmouth, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $995 | $1.11 | 12d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 3724 Deep Creek Blvd Unit 3728 Portsmouth, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $995 | $1.11 | 23d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 2211 North St Portsmouth, VA | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1500 | $2,100 | $1.40 | 16d | 1 | 1.19mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $202,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $202,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $202,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $202,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $202,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $202,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $202,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $202,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $202,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $202,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-02status $202,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $202,000 Active Under Contract 24 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $202,000 Active Under Contract 23 DOM
-
2026-05-08$202,000 Active 381-char remark
-
2026-03-28status Under Contract
-
2026-03-25historical
-
2026-03-12historical Active Under Contract
-
2026-02-28price $202,000
-
2026-02-05$204,700 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,628 · $219/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,628 · $219/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 13% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,469
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,315
- − Property taxes
- −$2,628
- − Insurance
- −$1,010
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,797
- − Management
- −$1,797
- − Depreciation
- −$5,876
- Taxable loss
- −$1,956
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$469
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,870/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Portsmouth City Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5103000
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -40.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 58% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,152
- Composite
- 39.01/100
- National rank
- #4071
- State rank
- #107 of 131 in VA
Livability — Portsmouth
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #172
- US rank
- #5381
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Portsmouth, VA
- County
- Portsmouth City · 96,366 people
- City population
- 96,366
- Metro
- Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,207
- Household income
- $49,583
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1727.0
Population outlook (Portsmouth County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 96,730 people
- By 2030
- 96,760 · +0.0%
- By 2040
- 96,573 · -0.2%
- By 2050
- 95,606 · -1.2%
- By 2075
- 93,579 · -3.3%
- By 2100
- 83,756 · -13.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (66%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 66% White 24% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Portsmouth
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+38.6) · D 68.6% · R 30.0% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.7pp no change · 2008: 39.3pp · 2024: 38.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+38.6 2020: D+40.8 2016: D+36.5 2012: D+39.6 2008: D+39.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -15.69%
- Current HPI
- 322.7335
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.31%
- Metro
- Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
|
||
| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
|
||
| Technology | 2 | $15B |
|
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Price history
-1.3% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-02 Relisted — REINMLS
- 2026-05-20 Contingent — REINMLS
- 2026-05-08 Listed $202,000 REINMLS
- 2026-03-28 Pending — REINMLS
- 2026-03-25 Listing Removed — REINMLS
- 2026-03-12 Contingent — REINMLS
- 2026-02-28 Price Changed $202,000 REINMLS
- 2026-02-05 Listed $204,700 REINMLS
Property tax history
+2.9%/yrLatest (2025): $2,628 · +2.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…