1315 11th Ave · Clarkfield, MN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $888 – $1,650
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.9/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +7.0/10.0
- 1% rule +5.7/10.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$80,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Step into this 2 Bedroom, 1 Bathroom house located just off of Highway 59. This cute home offers a lot of potential for it's new owners. Whether you are starting out, or downsizing, there is possibility in this 744 sqft single story home. Updated windows and a newer water heater.
Key facts
- Updated windows
- Newer water heater
- 4,312 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other:
- Financial info:
- HOA & community:
Exterior
- Parking: Gravel parking
- Security:
- Utilities: City water connected; City sewer connected; Natural gas
- Home design: Residential property, one story; Entry level: Main; Above-grade finished living area of 744; Below-grade area (unfinished basement) present
- Construction: Frame construction; Asphalt roof; Block foundation (24 x 28 foundation dimensions); Unfinished basement (block)
- Exterior features: Vinyl exterior
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen with range, microwave, and refrigerator (main level)
- Bedrooms: Two bedrooms — both on the main level (approx. 11.5 x 11.5 and 9.7 x 11.5)
- Flooring:
- Bathrooms: One full bath on the main floor
- Heating & cooling: Boiler heating; No central air
- Interior features: Microwave, Range, Refrigerator; Main floor full bathroom; Main floor bedroom
- Laundry & utility:
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $125 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($856 rent vs $80k).
- Recommended offer: $70k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#497 in MN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, crime D+, health & safety D+.
- Yellow Medicine East (town): math 31% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #227 of 301 in MN (top 75%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Bert Raney Elementary School (math 47% / reading 52%, grade D, #423 of 857 statewide, top 55%, 267 students, 59% FRL); Yellow Medicine East Middle School (math 12% / reading 47%, grade F, #204 of 258 statewide, top 80%, 143 students, 49% FRL); Yellow Medicine East High School (math 24% / reading 44%, grade F, #306 of 471 statewide, top 70%, 206 students, 44% FRL) — zoned schools average 50% FRL vs 33% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 6 active listings in the ZIP; 7 units permitted in Yellow Medicine County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $9k of equity ($553 loan paydown + $8k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Yellow Medicine County population projected at -26% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 207 days — a 12% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 207 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.07% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.18%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.72%
- DSCR
- 1.30
- GRM
- 7.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 29.2%
- Equity multiple
- 3.30×
- Total profit
- $51,575
- Equity at exit
- $72,070
- IRR
- 25.3%
- Equity multiple
- 7.50×
- Total profit
- $145,616
- Equity at exit
- $155,422
Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 46 Balanced
- State Minnesota
- 46 Balanced · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 56223
- Active inventory
- 6
- Price-to-rent
- 7.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $856 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$420
- Tax from tax record
- −$98 /mo · $1,174/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$180
- Net cashflow
- $125
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $171 | -5% $148 | +0% $125 | +5% $103 | +10% $80 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $58 | -5% $92 | +0% $125 | +5% $159 | +10% $193 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $166 | -0.5pp $146 | base $125 | +0.5pp $105 | +1.0pp $84 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $20,000
- Closing costs
- $2,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $80,000 Active 207 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $80,000 Active 206 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $80,000 Active 205 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $80,000 Active 203 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $80,000 Active 202 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $80,000 Active 201 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $80,000 Active 200 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $80,000 Active 198 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $80,000 Active 197 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $80,000 Active 194 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $80,000 Active 193 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $80,000 Active 192 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $80,000 Active 190 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $80,000 Active 188 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $80,000 Active 187 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $80,000 Active 186 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $80,000 Active 185 DOM
-
2025-11-27$80,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,174 · $98/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,174 · $98/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,271
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,481
- − Property taxes
- −$1,174
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$822
- − Management
- −$822
- − Depreciation
- −$2,327
- Taxable income
- $245
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$59
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,447/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Yellow Medicine East
- NCES district ID
- 2700099
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 47% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,457
- Composite
- 33.74/100
- National rank
- #5369
- State rank
- #227 of 301 in MN
Livability — Clarkfield
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #497
- US rank
- #11957
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Clarkfield, MN
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,403
Population outlook (Yellow Medicine County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 8,959 people
- By 2030
- 8,451 · -5.7%
- By 2040
- 7,514 · -16.1%
- By 2050
- 6,650 · -25.8%
- By 2075
- 5,306 · -40.8%
- By 2100
- 4,453 · -50.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 5% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 33% Lithuanian 4% Scottish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 6%
Political lean MEDSL · Yellow Medicine
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+40.6) · D 28.7% · R 69.3% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -44.9pp toward R · 2008: 4.3pp · 2024: -40.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+40.6 2020: R+37.0 2016: R+35.4 2012: R+6.3 2008: D+4.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 106.79%
- Current HPI
- 318.75
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.41%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $407B |
|
||
| Retail | 2 | $150B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $32B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $6B |
|
||
| Agriculture | 1 | $40B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $32B |
|
||
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2025-11-27 Listed $80,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+8.0%/yrLatest (2025): $1,174 · +5.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…