6210 Kathy Ln · Shreveport, LA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- AH
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,142 – $2,507
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 68.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.7/30.0
- DSCR +9.2/10.0
- 1% rule +7.6/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$129,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Nice 3 bedroom and 2 bath home with nice size living room with brick fireplace. Nice size bedrooms. Separate kitchen dining area. 2 car attached garage. Fenced back yard. AGENTS: see agent remarks on submitted an offer.
Key facts
- Fenced back yard
- Brick fireplace
- 9,757 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $199 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $130k).
- Recommended offer: $114k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.5% vs local median 5.7% in Shreveport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#270 in LA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools D+, crime F, amenities F.
- Caddo Parish (urban): math 21% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #53 of 98 in LA (top 54%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.9%/yr); 149 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 221 units permitted in Caddo Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $898 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Caddo County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 259 days — a 12% lower offer ($114k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $152/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AH (mandatory federal flood insurance); major wind risk, 68% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 259 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.26% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.54%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.59%
- DSCR
- 1.52
- GRM
- 6.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $262,061
- List price
- $129,900
- Delta
- -50.43%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6121 Fern Ave #18 | 0.18mi | 2/2.0 | 2,067 (+1%) | 1mo | $449,000 | $217 | 85 |
| 6210 Kathy Ln | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,959 (-4%) | 1mo | $129,900 | $66 | 84 |
| 6313 Kathy Ln | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 2,125 (+4%) | 2mo | $235,000 | $111 | 76 |
| 256 Wedgewood Dr | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 2,067 (+1%) | 2mo | $285,000 | $138 | 69 |
| 4625 Fern Ave | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 2,057 (+1%) | 1mo | $187,500 | $91 | 55 |
| 371 Arthur Ave | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,976 (-3%) | 1mo | $100,000 | $51 | 52 |
| 237 Pierremont Rd | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 2,279 (+12%) | 1mo | $272,900 | $120 | 50 |
| 325 Berkshire Pl | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 2,262 (+11%) | 2mo | $200,000 | $88 | 48 |
| 168 Oscar Ln | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 2,078 (+2%) | 7mo | $260,000 | $125 | 48 |
| 4512 Orchid St | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 2,078 (+2%) | 10mo | $265,000 | $128 | 47 |
| 1528 Cambridge Dr | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 2,230 (+9%) | 9mo | $284,550 | $128 | 38 |
| 4606 Tibbs St | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 2,338 (+15%) | 7mo | $199,500 | $85 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.93% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.82×
- Total profit
- $-6,665
- Equity at exit
- $19,369
- IRR
- 6.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.48×
- Total profit
- $17,604
- Equity at exit
- $11,231
Cash invested: $36,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 71105
- Rents YoY
- 3.9%
- Active inventory
- 149
- Price-to-rent
- 6.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,639 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$681
- Tax from tax record
- −$208 /mo · $2,498/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$152 /mo · $1,824/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$344
- Net cashflow
- $199
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,475
- Closing costs
- $3,897
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 119 Charles Ave Shreveport, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1518 | $1,800 | $1.19 | 43d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 720 Delaware St Shreveport, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $1,800 | $1.12 | 13d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 2011 Audubon Pl Shreveport, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1932 | $1,800 | $0.93 | 43d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 2033 Horton Ave Shreveport, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1681 | $1,750 | $1.04 | 21d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-05-15status Pending 219-char remark
Show marketing remark (219 chars)
Nice 3 bedroom and 2 bath home with nice size living room with brick fireplace. Nice size bedrooms. Separate kitchen dining area. 2 car attached garage. Fenced back yard. AGENTS: see agent remarks on submitted an offer.
-
2026-03-26price $129,900 219-char remark
Show marketing remark (219 chars)
Nice 3 bedroom and 2 bath home with nice size living room with brick fireplace. Nice size bedrooms. Separate kitchen dining area. 2 car attached garage. Fenced back yard. AGENTS: see agent remarks on submitted an offer.
-
2025-12-13price $144,900 219-char remark
Show marketing remark (219 chars)
Nice 3 bedroom and 2 bath home with nice size living room with brick fireplace. Nice size bedrooms. Separate kitchen dining area. 2 car attached garage. Fenced back yard. AGENTS: see agent remarks on submitted an offer.
-
2025-11-13price $154,900 219-char remark
Show marketing remark (219 chars)
Nice 3 bedroom and 2 bath home with nice size living room with brick fireplace. Nice size bedrooms. Separate kitchen dining area. 2 car attached garage. Fenced back yard. AGENTS: see agent remarks on submitted an offer.
-
2025-10-08price $169,900 219-char remark
Show marketing remark (219 chars)
Nice 3 bedroom and 2 bath home with nice size living room with brick fireplace. Nice size bedrooms. Separate kitchen dining area. 2 car attached garage. Fenced back yard. AGENTS: see agent remarks on submitted an offer.
-
2025-08-29$179,900 Active 219-char remark
Show marketing remark (219 chars)
Nice 3 bedroom and 2 bath home with nice size living room with brick fireplace. Nice size bedrooms. Separate kitchen dining area. 2 car attached garage. Fenced back yard. AGENTS: see agent remarks on submitted an offer.
-
2011-07-20soldstatus $163,850
-
2006-05-04soldstatus
-
1986-07-14soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,498 · $208/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,498 · $208/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone AH · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 68% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,668
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,276
- − Property taxes
- −$2,498
- − Insurance
- −$2,474
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,573
- − Management
- −$1,573
- − Depreciation
- −$3,779
- Taxable income
- $494
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$118
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,273/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Caddo Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2200300
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -33.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▼ -30.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,227
- Composite
- 22.23/100
- National rank
- #8148
- State rank
- #53 of 98 in LA
Livability — Shreveport
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #270
- US rank
- #19730
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Shreveport, LA
- County
- Caddo Parish · 178,536 people
- City population
- 164,123
- Metro
- Shreveport-Bossier City, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,179
- Household income
- $67,968
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1007.0
Population outlook (Caddo County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 243,190 people
- By 2030
- 237,231 · -2.5%
- By 2040
- 222,502 · -8.5%
- By 2050
- 206,516 · -15.1%
- By 2075
- 165,706 · -31.9%
- By 2100
- 122,262 · -49.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (68%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 68% Black 20% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Serbian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Caddo
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 51.6% · R 47.0% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.6pp toward D · 2008: 3.0pp · 2024: 4.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+4.6 2020: D+6.8 2016: D+4.2 2012: D+4.9 2008: D+3.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -96.75%
- Current HPI
- 129.572
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.93%
- Metro
- Shreveport-Bossier City, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
-20.7% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Pending — NTREIS
- 2026-03-26 Price Changed $129,900 NTREIS
- 2025-12-13 Price Changed $144,900 NTREIS
- 2025-11-13 Price Changed $154,900 NTREIS
- 2025-10-08 Price Changed $169,900 NTREIS
- 2025-08-29 Listed $179,900 NTREIS
- 2011-07-20 Sold (Public Records) $163,850 Public Records
- 2006-05-04 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1986-07-14 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+5.5%/yrLatest (2025): $2,498 · +0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…