1435 2nd St · Natrona Heights, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +14.6/15.0
- 1% rule +4.7/10.0
- DSCR +4.6/10.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$140,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great starter home. All brand new carpet and vinyl floors. Freshly painted throughout home. Vinyl thermopane windows. Level lot. Alley in rear. Newer roof, central air, hot water tank and wiring. 1 car detached garage plus 2 off street parking spaces in rear.
Key facts
- Attached bonus space
- Off street parking
- Large backyard
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Public transportation nearby
Exterior
- Parking: 2 parking spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: 2-story home; Resale property
- Construction: Concrete construction; Asphalt roof
- Exterior features: Lot approximately 0.11 acres; Lot dimensions about 40 x 120
Interior
- Kitchen: Microwave
- Flooring: Vinyl flooring; Carpet
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air gas heating
- Interior features: Window screens and window treatments; Full basement with walk-up access
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $140k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $44 ($525/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $136k (2.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $136k (2.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 3.9% in Natrona Heights — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Highlands SD (suburban): math 29% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #376 of 539 in PA (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Highlands El Sch (math 31% / reading 50%, grade F, #938 of 1,518 statewide, top 62%, 610 students, 100% FRL); Highlands Ms (math 24% / reading 47%, grade F, #317 of 512 statewide, top 63%, 652 students, 100% FRL); Highlands Shs (math 52% / reading 75%, grade B-, #68 of 437 statewide, top 15%, 713 students, 90% FRL) — zoned schools average 97% FRL vs 56% district-wide (41 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 30 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,996 units permitted in Allegheny County in 2024 (1,588 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $968 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $80k; list at $140k implies a 75% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.97% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.67%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.34%
- DSCR
- 1.06
- GRM
- 8.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $166,025
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1522 3rd St | 0.16mi | 2/1.0 | 1,133 (-1%) | 6mo | $135,000 | $119 | 84 |
| 1438 4th St | 0.10mi | 2/1.0 | 1,032 (-10%) | 1mo | $176,000 | $171 | 76 |
| 1116 Idaho Ave | 0.13mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,008 (-12%) | 1mo | $93,000 | $92 | 66 |
| 1219 Fairmont Ave | 0.44mi | 2/1.5 | 1,061 (-7%) | 9mo | $166,000 | $156 | 60 |
| 1209 Union Ave | 0.46mi | 2/1.0 | 1,082 (-6%) | 9mo | $132,000 | $122 | 60 |
| 1210 Fairmont Ave | 0.46mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,228 (+7%) | 3mo | $185,000 | $151 | 59 |
| 1103 Dallas Ave | 0.44mi | 2/1.5 | 1,310 (+14%) | 0mo | $229,000 | $175 | 55 |
| 1408 Princeton Ave | 0.68mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,088 (-5%) | 1mo | $182,250 | $168 | 50 |
| 1275 11th Ave | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,068 (-7%) | 7mo | $155,000 | $145 | 50 |
| 1318 Pennsylvania Ave | 0.68mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,243 (+9%) | 1mo | $149,000 | $120 | 48 |
| 1304 Harvard Ave | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,183 (+3%) | 9mo | $85,000 | $72 | 46 |
| 1025 Union Ave | 0.72mi | 2/1.0 | 1,308 (+14%) | 10mo | $130,000 | $99 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.49×
- Total profit
- $-19,840
- Equity at exit
- $20,874
- IRR
- -5.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.66×
- Total profit
- $-13,439
- Equity at exit
- $12,105
Cash invested: $39,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 15065
- Home prices YoY
- -19.3%
- Active inventory
- 30
- Price-to-rent
- 8.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,365 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$734
- Tax from tax record
- −$242 /mo · $2,903/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$287
- Net cashflow
- $44
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $123 | -5% $83 | +0% $44 | +5% $4 | +10% $-36 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-64 | -5% $-10 | +0% $44 | +5% $98 | +10% $152 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $114 | -0.5pp $79 | base $44 | +0.5pp $7 | +1.0pp $-29 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $35,000
- Closing costs
- $4,200
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1210 Minnesota Ave Natrona Heights, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1224 | $1,980 | $1.62 | 3d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 1715 State St Natrona Heights, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1007 | $1,300 | $1.29 | 3d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 1079 9th Ave Brackenridge, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1352 | $1,095 | $0.81 | 3d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 1017 Lilac St Natrona Heights, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $900 | $1.03 | 3d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 1067 Cleveland Ave Brackenridge, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1096 | $1,350 | $1.23 | 3d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 1067 Cleveland Ave Brackenridge, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1096 | $1,500 | $1.37 | 45d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 728 9th Ave Brackenridge, PA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $900 | $0.86 | 23d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 875 1st Ave Brackenridge, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1440 | $1,399 | $0.97 | 16d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 1127 Highland St Unit 2 Tarentum, PA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $800 | $1.14 | 25d | 1 | 1.35mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-06-01status $140,000 Pending 3 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $140,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-28$140,000 Active
-
2019-11-21soldstatus $79,900
-
2019-11-19soldstatus $79,900 Sold 259-char remark
Show marketing remark (259 chars)
Great starter home. All brand new carpet and vinyl floors. Freshly painted throughout home. Vinyl thermopane windows. Level lot. Alley in rear. Newer roof, central air, hot water tank and wiring. 1 car detached garage plus 2 off street parking spaces in rear.
-
2019-11-15status Under Contract 259-char remark
Show marketing remark (259 chars)
Great starter home. All brand new carpet and vinyl floors. Freshly painted throughout home. Vinyl thermopane windows. Level lot. Alley in rear. Newer roof, central air, hot water tank and wiring. 1 car detached garage plus 2 off street parking spaces in rear.
-
2019-10-09historical Contingent 259-char remark
Show marketing remark (259 chars)
Great starter home. All brand new carpet and vinyl floors. Freshly painted throughout home. Vinyl thermopane windows. Level lot. Alley in rear. Newer roof, central air, hot water tank and wiring. 1 car detached garage plus 2 off street parking spaces in rear.
-
2019-10-04$79,900 Active 259-char remark
Show marketing remark (259 chars)
Great starter home. All brand new carpet and vinyl floors. Freshly painted throughout home. Vinyl thermopane windows. Level lot. Alley in rear. Newer roof, central air, hot water tank and wiring. 1 car detached garage plus 2 off street parking spaces in rear.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,903 · $242/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,903 · $242/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,377
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,842
- − Property taxes
- −$2,903
- − Insurance
- −$700
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,310
- − Management
- −$1,310
- − Depreciation
- −$4,073
- Taxable loss
- −$1,761
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$423
- After-tax cash flow
- $947/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Highlands SD
- NCES district ID
- 4211880
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 48% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,730
- Composite
- 32.58/100
- National rank
- #5679
- State rank
- #376 of 539 in PA
Livability — Natrona Heights
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Natrona Heights, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,927
Population outlook (Allegheny County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,250,282 people
- By 2030
- 1,256,482 · +0.5%
- By 2040
- 1,256,318 · +0.5%
- By 2050
- 1,244,169 · -0.5%
- By 2075
- 1,197,693 · -4.2%
- By 2100
- 1,093,187 · -12.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 94% Two or more races 3% Black 2% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 18% Serbian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 1% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Allegheny
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+20.3) · D 59.7% · R 39.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.8pp toward D · 2008: 15.5pp · 2024: 20.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+20.3 2020: D+20.4 2016: D+16.4 2012: D+14.4 2008: D+15.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -60.64%
- Current HPI
- 252.9355
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+75.2% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-28 Listed $140,000 West Penn MLS
- 2019-11-21 Sold (Public Records) $79,900 Public Records
- 2019-11-19 Sold (MLS) $79,900 West Penn MLS
- 2019-11-15 Pending — West Penn MLS
- 2019-10-09 Contingent — West Penn MLS
- 2019-10-04 Listed $79,900 West Penn MLS
Property tax history
+1.0%/yrLatest (2026): $2,903 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…