9422 Dassler Spgs · Converse, TX
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.0/30.0
- ARV discount +9.2/15.0
- DSCR +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- 1% rule +2.8/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
- Rent growth +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$278,999
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
The Cumberland- The second floor of this new two-story home is host to a flexible and spacious game room, great for entertaining and hosting. Off the foyer are three secondary bedrooms, leading to an inviting open-concept floorplan with access to a covered patio. The luxe owner's suite is tucked into a private rear corner on the first floor, complete with a spa-inspired bathroom and walk-in closet. Prices and features may vary and are subject to change. Photos are for illustrative purposes only.
Key facts
- Walk-in closet
- Covered patio
- Game room
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $279k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $33 ($399/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $219k (21.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $219k (21.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 4.4% in Converse — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#649 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B; Watch: crime C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Judson ISD (suburban): math 21% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #660 of 826 in TX (top 80%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Converse El (math 21% / reading 30%, grade F, #2,982 of 4,322 statewide, top 70%, 604 students, 63% FRL); Judson H S (math 19% / reading 38%, grade F, #1,157 of 1,632 statewide, top 72%, 2,666 students, 62% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.1%/yr); 1152 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 8,308 units permitted in Bexar County in 2024 (2,506 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Bexar County population projected at +50% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 49 days — a 3% lower offer ($271k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $24k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 49 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 22% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.78% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.44%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.51%
- DSCR
- 1.02
- GRM
- 10.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $290,116
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9422 Dassler Spgs | 0.00mi | 4/3.0 | 2,378 (0%) | 1mo | $278,999 | $117 | 99 |
| 6529 Titan Park | 0.10mi | 4/3.0 | 2,288 (-4%) | 2mo | $280,000 | $122 | 88 |
| 9315 Bennett Frst | 0.16mi | 4/2.5 | 2,243 (-6%) | 3mo | $379,000 | $169 | 78 |
| 6814 Shiraz | 0.37mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 2,371 (-0%) | 1mo | $299,900 | $126 | 77 |
| 9410 Dassler Spgs | 0.03mi | 4/3.0 | 2,024 (-15%) | 1mo | $264,999 | $131 | 73 |
| 9335 Nubuck Br | 0.28mi | 4/2.5 | 2,243 (-6%) | 3mo | $335,000 | $149 | 73 |
| 443 Abigail | 0.53mi | 4/2.5 | 2,361 (-1%) | 4mo | $249,000 | $105 | 69 |
| 9430 Dassler Spgs | 0.07mi | 5/3.5 (+1) | 2,731 (+15%) | 3mo | $440,900 | $161 | 63 |
| 7935 Morning Grv | 0.67mi | 4/2.5 | 2,278 (-4%) | 3mo | $215,000 | $94 | 58 |
| 8859 Kestrel Oak | 0.72mi | 4/2.5 | 2,278 (-4%) | 1mo | $209,900 | $92 | 57 |
| 9111 Spigel Way | 0.45mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,082 (-12%) | 3mo | $240,000 | $115 | 49 |
| 9626 Copper | 0.71mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 2,703 (+14%) | 2mo | $280,000 | $104 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -18.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.36×
- Total profit
- $-49,619
- Equity at exit
- $41,600
- IRR
- -17.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.16×
- Total profit
- $-65,726
- Equity at exit
- $24,123
Cash invested: $78,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 78109
- Home prices YoY
- -17.8%
- Rents YoY
- -1.1%
- Active inventory
- 1152
- Price-to-rent
- 10.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,190 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,463
- Tax from tax record
- −$84 /mo · $1,002/yr
- Insurance
- −$116
- HOA
- −$34
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$460
- Net cashflow
- $33
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $191 | -5% $112 | +0% $33 | +5% $-46 | +10% $-125 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-140 | -5% $-53 | +0% $33 | +5% $120 | +10% $206 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $174 | -0.5pp $104 | base $33 | +0.5pp $-39 | +1.0pp $-113 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $69,750
- Closing costs
- $8,370
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6622 Aglet Aly Converse, TX | 5.0 | 3.5 | 2723 | $2,300 | $0.84 | 4d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 9338 Espadrille Run Converse, TX | 5.0 | 2.5 | 2543 | $2,197 | $0.86 | 24d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 9310 Bennett Frst Converse, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2198 | $2,300 | $1.05 | 18d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 9334 Aniston Blf Converse, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2243 | $2,200 | $0.98 | 5d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 9206 Foxing Blfs Converse, TX | 5.0 | 2.5 | 2544 | $2,295 | $0.90 | 24d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 9335 Nubuck Br Converse, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2243 | $2,095 | $0.93 | 44d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 9142 Canvas Run Converse, TX | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2544 | $2,595 | $1.02 | 16d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 9019 Gore Cres Converse, TX | 3.0–5.0 | 2.0–3.5 | 2058 | $2,590 | $1.26 | 2d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 466 Dolly Dr Converse, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2704 | $1,941 | $0.72 | 22d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 466 Dolly Dr Converse, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2704 | $1,765 | $0.65 | 5d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 6414 Kensinger Pass Converse, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1582 | $2,100 | $1.33 | 44d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 6326 Kensinger Pass Converse, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2278 | $1,800 | $0.79 | 15d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 326 Diana Dr Converse, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2422 | $1,800 | $0.74 | 24d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 8914 Kestrel Oak Converse, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1582 | $1,600 | $1.01 | 24d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 313 Renee Dr Converse, TX | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1884 | $1,650 | $0.88 | 24d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 9818 Copper Rose Converse, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2030 | $2,075 | $1.02 | 2d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 6606 Highland Grass Converse, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2278 | $1,800 | $0.79 | 45d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 7306 Autumn Brk Converse, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1996 | $1,519 | $0.76 | 5d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 8818 Kestrel Oak Converse, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1972 | $1,525 | $0.77 | 44d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 6123 Ironmill Crk Converse, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1590 | $1,595 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 6911 Waterfall Pass Converse, TX | 5.0 | 2.5 | 2109 | $1,840 | $0.87 | 44d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 5810 Rue Picasso Converse, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2241 | $2,650 | $1.18 | 13d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 9503 Copper Mist Converse, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2440 | $1,850 | $0.76 | 44d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 7038 Cole Creek Dr Converse, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1582 | $1,695 | $1.07 | 24d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 8732 Seneca Crk Converse, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1582 | $1,445 | $0.91 | 44d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 6863 Cypress Mist Dr Converse, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1735 | $1,550 | $0.89 | 11d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 6870 Flaming Ridge Dr Converse, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1698 | $1,695 | $1.00 | 24d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 6870 Flaming Ridge Dr Converse, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1698 | $1,695 | $1.00 | 13d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 7554 Copper Cv Converse, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2881 | $2,450 | $0.85 | 2d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 8911 Sumners Wise Converse, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1627 | $1,745 | $1.07 | 3d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 8607 Rock Mdw Converse, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1902 | $1,895 | $1.00 | 16d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 8603 Rock Mdw Converse, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2241 | $2,090 | $0.93 | 44d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 6827 Cypress Mist Dr Converse, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1698 | $1,449 | $0.85 | 3d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 6802 Canary Meadow Dr Converse, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1734 | $1,550 | $0.89 | 24d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 5147 Longhorn Riv Converse, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2096 | $2,000 | $0.95 | 24d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 5923 Dewdrop Ln Converse, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2870 | $3,500 | $1.22 | 22d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 8320 Morning Grv Converse, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1879 | $1,590 | $0.85 | 22d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 9747 Copperway Converse, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2650 | $1,950 | $0.74 | 44d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 8911 Nature Trl Converse, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2042 | $1,790 | $0.88 | 24d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 8830 McCoy Pass Converse, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1950 | $2,020 | $1.04 | 13d | 1 | 1.08mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $34 · $408/yr
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-04-27status Pending
-
2026-04-25price $278,999
-
2026-04-21price $283,999
-
2026-04-20status Back on Market
-
2026-04-06status Pending
-
2026-04-03price $288,999
-
2026-03-31price $293,999
-
2026-03-30status Back on Market
-
2026-02-18status Pending
-
2026-02-11price $301,999
-
2026-02-10price $303,999
-
2026-01-14$302,999 New
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,002 · $84/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,106 · $425/mo
- Expected delta
- +$4,103/yr (+$342/mo · 409.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,280
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,628
- − Property taxes
- −$1,002
- − Insurance
- −$1,395
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,102
- − Management
- −$2,102
- − HOA
- −$408
- − Depreciation
- −$8,116
- Taxable loss
- −$4,474
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,074
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,473/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Judson ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4824990
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -21.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 33% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $57,542
- Composite
- 24.39/100
- National rank
- #7689
- State rank
- #660 of 826 in TX
Livability — Converse
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #649
- US rank
- #12250
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Converse, TX
- County
- Bexar County · 1,990,555 people
- City population
- 63,067
- Metro
- San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 63,067
- Household income
- $91,320
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1732.0
Population outlook (Bexar County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,336,851 people
- By 2030
- 2,560,728 · +9.6%
- By 2040
- 3,020,569 · +29.3%
- By 2050
- 3,493,522 · +49.5%
- By 2075
- 4,668,459 · +99.8%
- By 2100
- 5,533,242 · +136.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 44% White 27% Two or more races 21% Black 21% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 29% Puerto Rican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada, Vietnam, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 71% English-only · Spanish 23% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Bexar
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.8) · D 54.3% · R 44.6% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.2pp toward D · 2008: 5.6pp · 2024: 9.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.8 2020: D+18.2 2016: D+13.5 2012: D+4.6 2008: D+5.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -51.02%
- Current HPI
- 236.4923
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.08%
- Metro
- San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-7.9% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-27 Pending — LERA
- 2026-04-25 Price Changed $278,999 LERA
- 2026-04-21 Price Changed $283,999 LERA
- 2026-04-20 Relisted — LERA
- 2026-04-06 Pending — LERA
- 2026-04-03 Price Changed $288,999 LERA
- 2026-03-31 Price Changed $293,999 LERA
- 2026-03-30 Relisted — LERA
- 2026-02-18 Pending — LERA
- 2026-02-11 Price Changed $301,999 LERA
- 2026-02-10 Price Changed $303,999 LERA
- 2026-01-14 Listed $302,999 LERA
Property tax history
+6.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,002 · +0.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…