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928 Dawn Ave
B+ Composite 75.93
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$97,000

928 Dawn Ave · Interlachen, FL 32148
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,526 sqft · Manufactured public records · 34 Days on market
Built 1985 0.43 ac lot Est $139k · 30% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

SPACIOUS DWMH, FNCED DOUBLE LOT, DETACHED SHED, SPLIT BDRM PLAN, SEP DNRM, AND EAT IN KITCHEN. HOME IN NEED OF SEVERAL REPAIRS. 'AS IS'

Key facts

  • Split-bedroom layout
  • Updated flooring
  • Cozy fireplace

Tags

LARGE GATHERING AREASUPDATED FLOORINGCOZY FIREPLACEOVERSIZED BREAKFAST BARSPLIT-BEDROOM LAYOUTDEDICATED LAUNDRY AREA

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property type: Residential — Manufactured Home; Zoning: R-2; Lot size about 0.43 acre (1/4 to less than 1/2 acre)
  • Financial info: Residential property; no investor-specific financial details provided
  • HOA & community: No HOA

Exterior

  • Parking: No specific parking details listed
  • Security: No security features listed
  • Utilities: Well water; Septic tank; Electricity available; Cable available; Phone available; Water and sewer available
  • Home design: Manufactured single-wide home; One story; Faces west
  • Construction: Frame construction; Shingle roof; Other foundation
  • Exterior features: Other exterior features; Paved road access; Lot dimensions approximately 150 x 125

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Dishwasher not listed
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (one level)
  • Flooring: Tile flooring; Vinyl flooring
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Ductless heating; Wall/window air conditioning units
  • Interior features: Living room fireplace; Other interior features
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Laundry inside

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $97k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $492 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $97k).
  • Recommended offer: $94k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.4% vs local median 5.6% in Interlachen — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#540 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Putnam (town): math 34% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #66 of 73 in FL (top 90%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 759 active listings in the ZIP; 113 units permitted in Putnam County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $671 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Putnam County population projected at -31% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($94k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 19y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $14k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $47k; list at $97k implies a 106% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $94,090 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.46%
Cap rate
12.38%
Cash-on-cash
21.75%
DSCR
1.97
GRM
5.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$138,866
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2200 Kin St 0.08mi 3/2.0 1,678 (+10%) 20mo $119,000 $71 64
935 Dawn Ave 0.05mi 3/2.0 1,352 (-11%) 22mo $157,000 $116 60
528 Wilson Dr 0.39mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,680 (+10%) 4mo $153,000 $91 56

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
14.4%
Equity multiple
1.58×
Total profit
$15,636
Equity at exit
$14,463
10-year hold
IRR
23.1%
Equity multiple
2.99×
Total profit
$53,970
Equity at exit
$8,387

Cash invested: $27,160 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32148

Home prices YoY
-5.8%
Active inventory
759
Price-to-rent
5.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,414 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$509
Tax from tax record
$76 /mo · $910/yr
Insurance
$40
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$297
Net cashflow
$492

Break-even live

Break-even rent $791
Max offer price $97,000
Occupancy floor 60%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,250
Closing costs
$2,910
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $97,000 Active 34 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $97,000 Active 33 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $97,000 Active 32 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $97,000 Active 31 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $97,000 Active 29 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $97,000 Active 25 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    remarks 693-char remark
  8. 2026-06-08
    pricedays on market $97,000 Active 24 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $104,000 Active 23 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $104,000 Active 20 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $104,000 Active 19 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $104,000 Active 18 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $104,000 Active 17 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $104,000 Active 16 DOM
  15. 2026-05-22
    price $104,000
  16. 2026-05-15
    listed $111,000 Active
  17. 2021-01-25
    soldstatus $47,000
  18. 2008-04-20
    historical 136-char remark
    Show marketing remark (136 chars)

    SPACIOUS DWMH, FNCED DOUBLE LOT, DETACHED SHED, SPLIT BDRM PLAN, SEP DNRM, AND EAT IN KITCHEN. HOME IN NEED OF SEVERAL REPAIRS. 'AS IS'

  19. 2008-04-19
    soldstatus $25,000 136-char remark
    Show marketing remark (136 chars)

    SPACIOUS DWMH, FNCED DOUBLE LOT, DETACHED SHED, SPLIT BDRM PLAN, SEP DNRM, AND EAT IN KITCHEN. HOME IN NEED OF SEVERAL REPAIRS. 'AS IS'

  20. 2007-11-03
    listed $29,900 136-char remark
    Show marketing remark (136 chars)

    SPACIOUS DWMH, FNCED DOUBLE LOT, DETACHED SHED, SPLIT BDRM PLAN, SEP DNRM, AND EAT IN KITCHEN. HOME IN NEED OF SEVERAL REPAIRS. 'AS IS'

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$910 · $76/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$910 · $76/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,971
− Mortgage interest
−$5,434
− Property taxes
−$910
− Insurance
−$485
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,358
− Management
−$1,358
− Depreciation
−$2,822
Taxable income
$4,606
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,105
After-tax cash flow
$4,803/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Putnam
NCES district ID
1201620
Math proficiency
34% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$33,350
Composite
29.99/100
National rank
#6361
State rank
#66 of 73 in FL

Livability — Interlachen

Score
67/100
State rank
#540
US rank
#10162

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
11,580
Population (ZIP)
11,580

Population outlook (Putnam County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
65,299 people
By 2030
61,255 · -6.2%
By 2040
52,930 · -18.9%
By 2050
45,051 · -31.0%
By 2075
28,720 · -56.0%
By 2100
15,852 · -75.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (84%)
Race & ethnicity
White 84% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 8% Black 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 7%
Common ancestry
Slovak 4% Lithuanian 3% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Putnam

2024 margin
Solid R (+47.8) · D 25.8% · R 73.6%
2008→2024 swing
-28.5pp toward R · 2008: -19.3pp · 2024: -47.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+47.8 2020: R+41.2 2016: R+36.6 2012: R+24.5 2008: R+19.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -16.98%
Current HPI
277.2763
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+247.8% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Price Changed $104,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-15 Listed $111,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-01-25 Sold (Public Records) $47,000 Public Records
  • 2008-04-20 Listing Removed realMLS
  • 2008-04-19 Sold (MLS) $25,000 realMLS
  • 2007-11-03 Listed $29,900 realMLS

Property tax history

+1.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $910 · -33.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…