928 Dawn Ave · Interlachen, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.6/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$97,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
SPACIOUS DWMH, FNCED DOUBLE LOT, DETACHED SHED, SPLIT BDRM PLAN, SEP DNRM, AND EAT IN KITCHEN. HOME IN NEED OF SEVERAL REPAIRS. 'AS IS'
Key facts
- Split-bedroom layout
- Updated flooring
- Cozy fireplace
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property type: Residential — Manufactured Home; Zoning: R-2; Lot size about 0.43 acre (1/4 to less than 1/2 acre)
- Financial info: Residential property; no investor-specific financial details provided
- HOA & community: No HOA
Exterior
- Parking: No specific parking details listed
- Security: No security features listed
- Utilities: Well water; Septic tank; Electricity available; Cable available; Phone available; Water and sewer available
- Home design: Manufactured single-wide home; One story; Faces west
- Construction: Frame construction; Shingle roof; Other foundation
- Exterior features: Other exterior features; Paved road access; Lot dimensions approximately 150 x 125
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Dishwasher not listed
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (one level)
- Flooring: Tile flooring; Vinyl flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Ductless heating; Wall/window air conditioning units
- Interior features: Living room fireplace; Other interior features
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Laundry inside
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $97k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $492 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $97k).
- Recommended offer: $94k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.4% vs local median 5.6% in Interlachen — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#540 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
- Putnam (town): math 34% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #66 of 73 in FL (top 90%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 759 active listings in the ZIP; 113 units permitted in Putnam County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $671 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Putnam County population projected at -31% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($94k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 19y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $14k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $47k; list at $97k implies a 106% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.46% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.38%
- Cash-on-cash
- 21.75%
- DSCR
- 1.97
- GRM
- 5.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $138,866
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2200 Kin St | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 | 1,678 (+10%) | 20mo | $119,000 | $71 | 64 |
| 935 Dawn Ave | 0.05mi | 3/2.0 | 1,352 (-11%) | 22mo | $157,000 | $116 | 60 |
| 528 Wilson Dr | 0.39mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,680 (+10%) | 4mo | $153,000 | $91 | 56 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 14.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.58×
- Total profit
- $15,636
- Equity at exit
- $14,463
- IRR
- 23.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.99×
- Total profit
- $53,970
- Equity at exit
- $8,387
Cash invested: $27,160 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32148
- Home prices YoY
- -5.8%
- Active inventory
- 759
- Price-to-rent
- 5.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,414 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$509
- Tax from tax record
- −$76 /mo · $910/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$297
- Net cashflow
- $492
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,250
- Closing costs
- $2,910
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $97,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $97,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $97,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $97,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $97,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $97,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-08remarks 693-char remark
-
2026-06-08pricedays on market $97,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $104,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $104,000 Active 20 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $104,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $104,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $104,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $104,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-05-22price $104,000
-
2026-05-15$111,000 Active
-
2021-01-25soldstatus $47,000
-
2008-04-20historical 136-char remark
Show marketing remark (136 chars)
SPACIOUS DWMH, FNCED DOUBLE LOT, DETACHED SHED, SPLIT BDRM PLAN, SEP DNRM, AND EAT IN KITCHEN. HOME IN NEED OF SEVERAL REPAIRS. 'AS IS'
-
2008-04-19soldstatus $25,000 136-char remark
Show marketing remark (136 chars)
SPACIOUS DWMH, FNCED DOUBLE LOT, DETACHED SHED, SPLIT BDRM PLAN, SEP DNRM, AND EAT IN KITCHEN. HOME IN NEED OF SEVERAL REPAIRS. 'AS IS'
-
2007-11-03$29,900 136-char remark
Show marketing remark (136 chars)
SPACIOUS DWMH, FNCED DOUBLE LOT, DETACHED SHED, SPLIT BDRM PLAN, SEP DNRM, AND EAT IN KITCHEN. HOME IN NEED OF SEVERAL REPAIRS. 'AS IS'
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $910 · $76/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $910 · $76/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,971
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,434
- − Property taxes
- −$910
- − Insurance
- −$485
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,358
- − Management
- −$1,358
- − Depreciation
- −$2,822
- Taxable income
- $4,606
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,105
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,803/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Putnam
- NCES district ID
- 1201620
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,350
- Composite
- 29.99/100
- National rank
- #6361
- State rank
- #66 of 73 in FL
Livability — Interlachen
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #540
- US rank
- #10162
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 11,580
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,580
Population outlook (Putnam County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 65,299 people
- By 2030
- 61,255 · -6.2%
- By 2040
- 52,930 · -18.9%
- By 2050
- 45,051 · -31.0%
- By 2075
- 28,720 · -56.0%
- By 2100
- 15,852 · -75.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 8% Black 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 4% Lithuanian 3% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Putnam
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+47.8) · D 25.8% · R 73.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.5pp toward R · 2008: -19.3pp · 2024: -47.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+47.8 2020: R+41.2 2016: R+36.6 2012: R+24.5 2008: R+19.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -16.98%
- Current HPI
- 277.2763
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+247.8% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Price Changed $104,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-15 Listed $111,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-01-25 Sold (Public Records) $47,000 Public Records
- 2008-04-20 Listing Removed — realMLS
- 2008-04-19 Sold (MLS) $25,000 realMLS
- 2007-11-03 Listed $29,900 realMLS
Property tax history
+1.4%/yrLatest (2025): $910 · -33.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…