4051 W 100 N · Bargersville, IN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.9/30.0
- DSCR +9.3/10.0
- ARV discount +7.6/15.0
- 1% rule +6.0/10.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$200,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
LOTS OF POTENTIAL FOR THIS HISTORICAL BRICK HOME ON 1 ACRE IN THE DESIRED TOWN OF PROVIDENCE. PAINTED HARDWOOD FLOORS UNDER CARPET. ROOF, FURNACE, WATER HEATER APPROX 7 YEARS, 11X24 BIG FRONT PORCH, HOME LISTED AS 3 BED ROOM-ONLY 1 HAS A CLOSET. FEW NEIGHBORS, CORNFIELDS TO THE WEST. HOME SOLD AS-IS. NEEDS COSMETICS. SOME NEWER WINDOWS. CELLAR ACCESS THROUGH LAUNDRY ROOM FLOOR, SELLER HAS NOT BEEN IN CELLAR FOR YEARS. 1 YEAR HOME WARRAN TY PROVIDED.
Key facts
- Exposed brick walls
- Tall windows
- Formal dining room
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $551 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $200k).
- Recommended offer: $176k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#150 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, employment A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Franklin Community School Corporation (suburban): math 36% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #133 of 301 in IN (top 44%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Franklin Community High School (math 29% / reading 69%, grade D, #136 of 369 statewide, top 37%, 1,610 students, 41% FRL).
- Market conditions: 16 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 1,133 units permitted in Johnson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Johnson County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $56k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 171 days — a 12% lower offer ($176k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 23y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $35k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $72k; list at $200k implies a 180% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1891 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 171 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1891 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.10% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.60%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.82%
- DSCR
- 1.53
- GRM
- 7.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $200,260
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4051 W 100 N | 0.00mi | 3/1.0 | 1,292 (0%) | 0mo | $200,000 | $155 | 100 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.05×
- Total profit
- $2,629
- Equity at exit
- $29,821
- IRR
- 10.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.84×
- Total profit
- $47,171
- Equity at exit
- $17,292
Cash invested: $56,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 46106
- Home prices YoY
- -32.9%
- Active inventory
- 16
- Price-to-rent
- 7.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,205 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,049
- Tax from tax record
- −$58 /mo · $701/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$463
- Net cashflow
- $551
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $665 | -5% $608 | +0% $551 | +5% $495 | +10% $438 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $377 | -5% $464 | +0% $551 | +5% $639 | +10% $726 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $652 | -0.5pp $602 | base $551 | +0.5pp $500 | +1.0pp $447 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $50,000
- Closing costs
- $6,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-04-18status Pending
-
2026-03-27price $200,000
-
2026-02-24price $225,000
-
2025-10-29$235,000 Active
-
2004-02-04soldstatus $71,500 453-char remark
Show marketing remark (453 chars)
LOTS OF POTENTIAL FOR THIS HISTORICAL BRICK HOME ON 1 ACRE IN THE DESIRED TOWN OF PROVIDENCE. PAINTED HARDWOOD FLOORS UNDER CARPET. ROOF, FURNACE, WATER HEATER APPROX 7 YEARS, 11X24 BIG FRONT PORCH, HOME LISTED AS 3 BED ROOM-ONLY 1 HAS A CLOSET. FEW NEIGHBORS, CORNFIELDS TO THE WEST. HOME SOLD AS-IS. NEEDS COSMETICS. SOME NEWER WINDOWS. CELLAR ACCESS THROUGH LAUNDRY ROOM FLOOR, SELLER HAS NOT BEEN IN CELLAR FOR YEARS. 1 YEAR HOME WARRAN TY PROVIDED.
-
2003-11-03$89,900 453-char remark
Show marketing remark (453 chars)
LOTS OF POTENTIAL FOR THIS HISTORICAL BRICK HOME ON 1 ACRE IN THE DESIRED TOWN OF PROVIDENCE. PAINTED HARDWOOD FLOORS UNDER CARPET. ROOF, FURNACE, WATER HEATER APPROX 7 YEARS, 11X24 BIG FRONT PORCH, HOME LISTED AS 3 BED ROOM-ONLY 1 HAS A CLOSET. FEW NEIGHBORS, CORNFIELDS TO THE WEST. HOME SOLD AS-IS. NEEDS COSMETICS. SOME NEWER WINDOWS. CELLAR ACCESS THROUGH LAUNDRY ROOM FLOOR, SELLER HAS NOT BEEN IN CELLAR FOR YEARS. 1 YEAR HOME WARRAN TY PROVIDED.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $701 · $58/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,200 · $100/mo
- Expected delta
- +$500/yr (+$42/mo · 71.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,461
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,203
- − Property taxes
- −$701
- − Insurance
- −$1,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,117
- − Management
- −$2,117
- − Depreciation
- −$5,818
- Taxable income
- $3,505
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$841
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,776/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Franklin Community School Corporation
- NCES district ID
- 1803690
- Math proficiency
- 36% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $54,855
- Composite
- 34.93/100
- National rank
- #5066
- State rank
- #133 of 301 in IN
Livability — Bargersville
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #150
- US rank
- #7573
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Johnson County · 154,261 people
- City population
- 10,159
- Metro
- Indianapolis-Carmel-Anderson, IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,159
- Household income
- $120,072
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 335.0
Population outlook (Johnson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 170,080 people
- By 2030
- 179,983 · +5.8%
- By 2040
- 198,580 · +16.8%
- By 2050
- 214,661 · +26.2%
- By 2075
- 247,990 · +45.8%
- By 2100
- 257,821 · +51.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Two or more races 4% Asian 3% Black 1% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 10% Romanian 3% Portuguese 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Spanish 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Johnson
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+34.3) · D 32.0% · R 66.3% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.9pp toward R · 2008: -25.5pp · 2024: -34.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+34.3 2020: R+34.1 2016: R+42.5 2012: R+38.5 2008: R+25.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -107.10%
- Current HPI
- 218.0302
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Indianapolis-Carmel-Anderson, IN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
+122.5% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-18 Pending — MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-27 Price Changed $200,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-24 Price Changed $225,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-29 Listed $235,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2004-02-04 Sold (MLS) $71,500 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2003-11-03 Listed $89,900 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
-7.2%/yrLatest (2024): $701 · +12.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…