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315 Buttonwoods Rd
F Composite 34.13
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.9/30.0
  • DSCR +4.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.1/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0
  • ARV discount +1.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$272,000

315 Buttonwoods Rd · Elkton, MD 21921
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,600 sqft · Townhouse public records · 8 Days on market
Built 1993 3,049 sqft lot Est $240k · 13% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Lots of Potential with this end townhome that has lots of upgrades. The list includes new windows, new flooring, upgraded plumbing. Granite counters, upgraded bathrooms. Deck with retractable awing. Fully finished basement with Family room & Bonus room. Located close to town conveniences and major highways.

Key facts

  • Private back deck
  • Granite countertops
  • Versatile bonus room

Tags

VINYL PLANK FLOORINGGRANITE COUNTERTOPSPRIVATE BACK DECKFIRST-FLOOR LAUNDRYPARTIALLY FINISHED BASEMENTVERSATILE BONUS ROOM

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Lease not considered

Exterior

  • Parking: Two assigned parking spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service for heating, cooling, and hot water
  • Home design: End of row townhouse; Fee simple ownership
  • Construction: Block construction; Block foundation; Shingle roof; Approximately 1,280 finished square feet above grade; Approximately 320 finished square feet below grade
  • Exterior features: Not located in a federal flood zone; Above-grade and below-grade additional structures; Pets allowed with no pet restrictions

Interior

  • Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen (appliances not listed)
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the upper level
  • Flooring: Vinyl flooring
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom (upper level); One half bathroom (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Heat pump(s) heating; Central air conditioning; Electric heating and cooling systems; Electric hot water
  • Interior features: Combination kitchen/dining area; Eat-in kitchen; Partially finished basement
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry on main floor

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath townhouse listed at $272k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $32 ($386/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $231k (15.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $231k (15.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 4.1% in Elkton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#261 in MD) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A; Watch: schools F, crime F, commute F.
  • Cecil County Public Schools (rural): math 15% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #15 of 24 in MD (top 62%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.3%/yr); 204 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 563 units permitted in Cecil County in 2024 (330 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($86k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 5 sale attempts since 28y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $220k; 24% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $230,502 (15.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.85%
Cap rate
6.43%
Cash-on-cash
0.51%
DSCR
1.02
GRM
9.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$240,000
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
606 Buttonwoods Rd 0.13mi 3/1.5 1,594 (-0%) 4mo $265,000 $166 90
602 Buttonwoods Rd 0.14mi 3/1.5 1,614 (+1%) 11mo $255,000 $158 83
7 Thyme St 0.22mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,584 (-1%) 9mo $236,000 $149 76
113 Buttonwoods Rd 0.05mi 3/2.5 1,614 (+1%) 20mo $250,000 $155 76
335 Buttonwoods Rd 0.07mi 3/2.0 1,635 (+2%) 20mo $245,000 $150 74
434 Buttonwoods Rd 0.09mi 3/1.5 1,760 (+10%) 6mo $260,000 $148 74
26 Thyme St 0.28mi 2/2.5 (-1) 1,584 (-1%) 5mo $245,000 $155 72
509 Buttonwoods Rd 0.18mi 3/2.5 1,650 (+3%) 13mo $248,000 $150 72
18 Thyme St 0.28mi 2/2.5 (-1) 1,584 (-1%) 8mo $259,000 $164 70
205 Buttonwoods Rd 0.11mi 3/1.5 1,774 (+11%) 10mo $220,000 $124 69
430 Buttonwoods Rd 0.09mi 3/2.5 1,780 (+11%) 6mo $255,000 $143 68
48 Thyme St 0.29mi 2/2.5 (-1) 1,758 (+10%) 22mo $255,000 $145 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.32% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-16.2%
Equity multiple
0.43×
Total profit
$-43,615
Equity at exit
$40,556
10-year hold
IRR
-9.1%
Equity multiple
0.45×
Total profit
$-41,768
Equity at exit
$23,518

Cash invested: $76,160 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
27 Tenant-Leaning
State Maryland
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Failure-to-pay is dismissed if cured before judgment; Baltimore has just-cause; strict deposit rules.

ZIP-level market 21921

Rents YoY
2.3%
Active inventory
204
Price-to-rent
9.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,305 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,426
Tax from tax record
$249 /mo · $2,989/yr
Insurance
$113
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$484
Net cashflow
$32

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,264
Max offer price $272,000
Occupancy floor 94%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$68,000
Closing costs
$8,160
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1001 Innovation DR Elkton, MD 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1017 $2,957 $2.91 1d 126 0.34mi

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $272,000 Active 8 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $272,000 Active 7 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $272,000 Active 6 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $272,000 Active 5 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    remarks 693-char remark
  6. 2026-06-13
    listed $272,000 Active 3 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,989 · $249/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,989 · $249/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,660
− Mortgage interest
−$15,236
− Property taxes
−$2,989
− Insurance
−$1,360
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,213
− Management
−$2,213
− Depreciation
−$7,913
Taxable loss
−$4,263
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,023
After-tax cash flow
$1,409/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Cecil County Public Schools
NCES district ID
2400240
Math proficiency
15% ▼ -21.00%
Reading proficiency
30% ▼ -15.00%
Median HH income
$66,544
Composite
21.51/100
National rank
#8322
State rank
#15 of 24 in MD

Livability — Elkton

Score
65/100
State rank
#261
US rank
#13293

Category grades

Amenities B+ Commute F Cost of living A Crime F Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Elkton, MD
County
Cecil County · 65,041 people
City population
45,527
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
Population (ZIP)
45,527
Household income
$85,775
Rent vs Own
30.2% rent · 69.8% own
Severe rent burden
1438.0

Population outlook (Cecil County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
105,877 people
By 2030
106,905 · +1.0%
By 2040
107,156 · +1.2%
By 2050
104,170 · -1.6%
By 2075
95,771 · -9.5%
By 2100
82,381 · -22.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (76%)
Race & ethnicity
White 76% Black 9% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Slovak 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cecil

2024 margin
Solid R (+30.9) · D 33.5% · R 64.4% · Other 2.1%
2008→2024 swing
-16.3pp toward R · 2008: -14.6pp · 2024: -30.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+30.9 2020: R+26.6 2016: R+35.3 2012: R+20.4 2008: R+14.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -192.67%
Current HPI
253.7641
Rent YoY
▲ 2.32%
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.97%
F500 in state
12

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+201.2% since first listed
17 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-11 Listed $272,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-06-10 Coming Soon $272,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2022-07-11 Sold (Public Records) $220,000 Public Records
  • 2022-07-06 Sold (MLS) $220,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2022-05-16 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2022-05-16 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2022-05-13 Listed $199,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2019-10-22 Sold (Public Records) $159,500 Public Records
  • 2019-10-11 Sold (MLS) $159,500 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2019-08-31 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2019-08-31 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2019-08-27 Listed $162,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 1999-09-03 Delisted MRIS
  • 1999-04-05 Listed MRIS
  • 1998-11-10 Delisted MRIS
  • 1998-06-16 Listed MRIS
  • 1994-10-28 Sold (Public Records) $90,300 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,989 · +34.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…