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427 Capitol St
B- Composite 65.93
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.3/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.7/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +2.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.0/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$147,500

427 Capitol St · Palmona Park, FL 33903
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 660 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 70 Days on market
Built 1962 10,010 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

EXCELLENT LOCATION AT NORTH FORT MYERS, EXTRA SIZED CORNER LOT IN ATLANTIC AVE WITH CAPITOL STREET. BEAUTIFUL RENOVATED HOUSE, INTERIOR AREA: 660 S/F UNDER A/C. 2.5 TON NEW A/C. RENOVATED KITCHEN WITH NICE WHITE CABINETS, MUST SEE IT. THE LOT IS BIG ENOUGH TO KEEP BOATS OR MAYBE TO BUILD ANOTHER HOUSE. CLOSE TO WALMART, RESTAURANTS AND COMMERCIAL AREA. CITY WATER AND CLOSE TO THE BUS STOP.

Key facts

  • Tile throughout
  • Fully fenced in yard
  • 0.23 acre lot

Tags

CORNER DOUBLE-LOT HOMEFULLY FENCED IN YARDSPACE TO BUILD A GARAGESPACE TO BUILD A POOLSPACE TO BUILD ADDITIONAL HOMETILE THROUGHOUT

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Zoning: RS-1; Oversize lot; Lot dimensions approx. 100 x 100; Lot area approx. 0.2298 acres; Source of lot dimensions: Property Appraiser Office; Possession at closing
  • HOA & community: No HOA maintenance or amenities; Non-gated community; Subdivision: Palmona Park

Exterior

  • Utilities: Central water; Central sewer; Cable available
  • Home design: Single family residence; 1-story ranch; South rear exposure; Residential property
  • Construction: Wood frame construction; Vinyl siding exterior; Shingle roof; Built in 1962
  • Exterior features: Fence; Room for pool; Landscaped view

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Microwave; Refrigerator/Freezer
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Tile
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; No master bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central electric heating; Central electric cooling
  • Interior features: High-speed internet available; Smoke detectors; Great room floor plan; Balcony
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $148k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $395 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $148k).
  • Recommended offer: $139k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 55/100 on livability (#875 in FL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A, health & safety A; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Lee (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #42 of 73 in FL (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.9%/yr); 472 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 15,411 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (4,686 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($57k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lee County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 70 days — a 6% lower offer ($139k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 28y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $78k; list at $148k implies a 90% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $125/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $138,650 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 70 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.27%
Cap rate
10.52%
Cash-on-cash
15.11%
DSCR
1.67
GRM
6.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-2.8%
Equity multiple
0.90×
Total profit
$-4,164
Equity at exit
$21,993
10-year hold
IRR
3.1%
Equity multiple
1.19×
Total profit
$7,846
Equity at exit
$12,753

Cash invested: $41,300 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33903

Rents YoY
-1.9%
Active inventory
472
Price-to-rent
6.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,871 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$774
Tax from tax record
$123 /mo · $1,477/yr
Insurance
$61
Flood insurance flood zone
−$125 /mo · $1,502/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$393
Net cashflow
$395

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,371
Max offer price $147,500
Occupancy floor 74%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$36,875
Closing costs
$4,425
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3260 Stockton St North Fort Myers, FL 3.0 1.0–2.0 976 $2,371 $2.43 2d 27 0.39mi
240 W Mariana Ave Apt B North Fort Myers, FL 1.0 1.0 600 $1,295 $2.16 24d 1 0.72mi
2700 Diplomat Pkwy E Cape Coral, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1116 $2,382 $2.13 3d 41 0.99mi
1640 Daniels Dr Unit B North Fort Myers, FL 1.0 1.0 400 $1,099 $2.75 24d 1 1.32mi

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-04-10
    price $147,500
  2. 2026-04-03
    price $149,000
  3. 2026-03-17
    listed $150,000 Active
  4. 2025-10-06
    soldstatus $77,500
  5. 2024-12-07
    historical
  6. 2024-11-28
    price $122,990
  7. 2024-11-21
    price $124,990
  8. 2024-11-15
    listed $139,990 Active
  9. 2017-02-24
    price $63,000 392-char remark
    Show marketing remark (392 chars)

    EXCELLENT LOCATION AT NORTH FORT MYERS, EXTRA SIZED CORNER LOT IN ATLANTIC AVE WITH CAPITOL STREET. BEAUTIFUL RENOVATED HOUSE, INTERIOR AREA: 660 S/F UNDER A/C. 2.5 TON NEW A/C. RENOVATED KITCHEN WITH NICE WHITE CABINETS, MUST SEE IT. THE LOT IS BIG ENOUGH TO KEEP BOATS OR MAYBE TO BUILD ANOTHER HOUSE. CLOSE TO WALMART, RESTAURANTS AND COMMERCIAL AREA. CITY WATER AND CLOSE TO THE BUS STOP.

  10. 2017-02-17
    soldstatus $63,000
  11. 2017-02-16
    soldstatus $63,000 Sold 392-char remark
    Show marketing remark (392 chars)

    EXCELLENT LOCATION AT NORTH FORT MYERS, EXTRA SIZED CORNER LOT IN ATLANTIC AVE WITH CAPITOL STREET. BEAUTIFUL RENOVATED HOUSE, INTERIOR AREA: 660 S/F UNDER A/C. 2.5 TON NEW A/C. RENOVATED KITCHEN WITH NICE WHITE CABINETS, MUST SEE IT. THE LOT IS BIG ENOUGH TO KEEP BOATS OR MAYBE TO BUILD ANOTHER HOUSE. CLOSE TO WALMART, RESTAURANTS AND COMMERCIAL AREA. CITY WATER AND CLOSE TO THE BUS STOP.

  12. 2017-02-16
    price $67,000 392-char remark
    Show marketing remark (392 chars)

    EXCELLENT LOCATION AT NORTH FORT MYERS, EXTRA SIZED CORNER LOT IN ATLANTIC AVE WITH CAPITOL STREET. BEAUTIFUL RENOVATED HOUSE, INTERIOR AREA: 660 S/F UNDER A/C. 2.5 TON NEW A/C. RENOVATED KITCHEN WITH NICE WHITE CABINETS, MUST SEE IT. THE LOT IS BIG ENOUGH TO KEEP BOATS OR MAYBE TO BUILD ANOTHER HOUSE. CLOSE TO WALMART, RESTAURANTS AND COMMERCIAL AREA. CITY WATER AND CLOSE TO THE BUS STOP.

  13. 2017-01-17
    status Pending 392-char remark
    Show marketing remark (392 chars)

    EXCELLENT LOCATION AT NORTH FORT MYERS, EXTRA SIZED CORNER LOT IN ATLANTIC AVE WITH CAPITOL STREET. BEAUTIFUL RENOVATED HOUSE, INTERIOR AREA: 660 S/F UNDER A/C. 2.5 TON NEW A/C. RENOVATED KITCHEN WITH NICE WHITE CABINETS, MUST SEE IT. THE LOT IS BIG ENOUGH TO KEEP BOATS OR MAYBE TO BUILD ANOTHER HOUSE. CLOSE TO WALMART, RESTAURANTS AND COMMERCIAL AREA. CITY WATER AND CLOSE TO THE BUS STOP.

  14. 2017-01-16
    price $67,000 392-char remark
    Show marketing remark (392 chars)

    EXCELLENT LOCATION AT NORTH FORT MYERS, EXTRA SIZED CORNER LOT IN ATLANTIC AVE WITH CAPITOL STREET. BEAUTIFUL RENOVATED HOUSE, INTERIOR AREA: 660 S/F UNDER A/C. 2.5 TON NEW A/C. RENOVATED KITCHEN WITH NICE WHITE CABINETS, MUST SEE IT. THE LOT IS BIG ENOUGH TO KEEP BOATS OR MAYBE TO BUILD ANOTHER HOUSE. CLOSE TO WALMART, RESTAURANTS AND COMMERCIAL AREA. CITY WATER AND CLOSE TO THE BUS STOP.

  15. 2017-01-16
    status Active 392-char remark
    Show marketing remark (392 chars)

    EXCELLENT LOCATION AT NORTH FORT MYERS, EXTRA SIZED CORNER LOT IN ATLANTIC AVE WITH CAPITOL STREET. BEAUTIFUL RENOVATED HOUSE, INTERIOR AREA: 660 S/F UNDER A/C. 2.5 TON NEW A/C. RENOVATED KITCHEN WITH NICE WHITE CABINETS, MUST SEE IT. THE LOT IS BIG ENOUGH TO KEEP BOATS OR MAYBE TO BUILD ANOTHER HOUSE. CLOSE TO WALMART, RESTAURANTS AND COMMERCIAL AREA. CITY WATER AND CLOSE TO THE BUS STOP.

  16. 2016-11-16
    status Pending 392-char remark
    Show marketing remark (392 chars)

    EXCELLENT LOCATION AT NORTH FORT MYERS, EXTRA SIZED CORNER LOT IN ATLANTIC AVE WITH CAPITOL STREET. BEAUTIFUL RENOVATED HOUSE, INTERIOR AREA: 660 S/F UNDER A/C. 2.5 TON NEW A/C. RENOVATED KITCHEN WITH NICE WHITE CABINETS, MUST SEE IT. THE LOT IS BIG ENOUGH TO KEEP BOATS OR MAYBE TO BUILD ANOTHER HOUSE. CLOSE TO WALMART, RESTAURANTS AND COMMERCIAL AREA. CITY WATER AND CLOSE TO THE BUS STOP.

  17. 2016-10-21
    listed $68,900 Active 392-char remark
    Show marketing remark (392 chars)

    EXCELLENT LOCATION AT NORTH FORT MYERS, EXTRA SIZED CORNER LOT IN ATLANTIC AVE WITH CAPITOL STREET. BEAUTIFUL RENOVATED HOUSE, INTERIOR AREA: 660 S/F UNDER A/C. 2.5 TON NEW A/C. RENOVATED KITCHEN WITH NICE WHITE CABINETS, MUST SEE IT. THE LOT IS BIG ENOUGH TO KEEP BOATS OR MAYBE TO BUILD ANOTHER HOUSE. CLOSE TO WALMART, RESTAURANTS AND COMMERCIAL AREA. CITY WATER AND CLOSE TO THE BUS STOP.

  18. 2005-12-03
    historical
  19. 2005-10-13
    listed $114,900
  20. 2002-12-17
    soldstatus $50,000
  21. 2002-12-10
    soldstatus $50,000
  22. 2002-11-06
    price $55,000
  23. 1999-03-09
    soldstatus $29,000
  24. 1998-07-24
    listed $29,900
  25. 1990-10-03
    soldstatus $25,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,477 · $123/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,477 · $123/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone A · 12% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 6 d/yr ≥106°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,453
− Mortgage interest
−$8,262
− Property taxes
−$1,477
− Insurance
−$2,240
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,796
− Management
−$1,796
− Depreciation
−$4,291
Taxable income
$2,591
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$622
After-tax cash flow
$4,117/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lee
NCES district ID
1201080
Math proficiency
47% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$49,518
Composite
41.49/100
National rank
#3458
State rank
#42 of 73 in FL

Livability — Palmona Park

Score
55/100
State rank
#875
US rank
#23153

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment F Housing B Health & safety A User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Palmona Park, FL
County
Lee County · 788,662 people
Metro
Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
Population (ZIP)
23,655
Household income
$56,993
Rent vs Own
17.6% rent · 82.4% own
Severe rent burden
468.0

Population outlook (Lee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
871,946 people
By 2030
955,468 · +9.6%
By 2040
1,113,587 · +27.7%
By 2050
1,256,891 · +44.1%
By 2075
1,560,270 · +78.9%
By 2100
1,726,848 · +98.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (81%)
Race & ethnicity
White 81% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 8% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 3%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 4% Romanian 4% Italian 3%
Foreign-born
11% · Canada
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lee

2024 margin
Strong R (+28.4) · D 35.5% · R 63.9%
2008→2024 swing
-18.0pp toward R · 2008: -10.4pp · 2024: -28.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+28.4 2020: R+19.2 2016: R+20.4 2012: R+16.6 2008: R+10.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -172.26%
Current HPI
256.773
Rent YoY
▼ -1.94%
Metro
Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+469.5% since first listed
25 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-10 Price Changed $147,500 NAPLESMLS
  • 2026-04-03 Price Changed $149,000 NAPLESMLS
  • 2026-03-17 Listed $150,000 NAPLESMLS
  • 2025-10-06 Sold (Public Records) $77,500 Public Records
  • 2024-12-07 Listing Removed FORTMLS
  • 2024-11-28 Price Changed $122,990 FORTMLS
  • 2024-11-21 Price Changed $124,990 FORTMLS
  • 2024-11-15 Listed $139,990 FORTMLS
  • 2017-02-24 Price Changed $63,000 FORTMLS
  • 2017-02-17 Sold (Public Records) $63,000 Public Records
  • 2017-02-16 Price Changed $67,000 FORTMLS
  • 2017-02-16 Sold (MLS) $63,000 FORTMLS
  • 2017-01-17 Pending FORTMLS
  • 2017-01-16 Price Changed $67,000 FORTMLS
  • 2017-01-16 Relisted FORTMLS
  • 2016-11-16 Pending FORTMLS
  • 2016-10-21 Listed $68,900 FORTMLS
  • 2005-12-03 Listing Removed FORTMLS
  • 2005-10-13 Listed $114,900 FORTMLS
  • 2002-12-17 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
  • 2002-12-10 Sold (MLS) $50,000 FORTMLS
  • 2002-11-06 Price Changed $55,000 FORTMLS
  • 1999-03-09 Sold (Public Records) $29,000 Public Records
  • 1998-07-24 Listed $29,900 FORTMLS
  • 1990-10-03 Sold (Public Records) $25,900 Public Records

Property tax history

+11.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,477 · +2.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…