812 Meadowbrook Ln · Tylertown, MS
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- A
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,009 – $1,996
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.2/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.5/10.0
- 1% rule +7.4/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Schools +1.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$99,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Nice quiet neighborhood within walking distance of downtown, churches, schools and shopping.
Key facts
- Bricked
- Move in ready
- Small subdivision
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Located in General Residence District (zoning); Approximately 0.2 acre lot
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Natural gas available and connected; Water available
- Home design: Single-family residence, one story; House; Slab foundation; Brick construction; Composition roof
- Construction: Built with brick exterior; Slab foundation; Composition roof
- Exterior features: Private yard; Shed(s); Corner lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central electric heating; Central electric cooling
- Interior features: Fireplace (see remarks); Dishwasher
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $161 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $98k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.7% vs local median 4.1% in Tylertown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#46 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Walthall County School District (rural): math 22% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #86 of 130 in MS (top 66%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 76% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 90 active listings in the ZIP.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $688 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Walthall County population projected at -30% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($98k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $125/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.24% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.74%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.31%
- DSCR
- 1.55
- GRM
- 6.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $146,813
- List price
- $99,500
- Delta
- -32.23%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 99 Magee Drive Dr | 0.55mi | 3/3.0 (+1) | 1,878 (+12%) | 6mo | $269,000 | $143 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.79×
- Total profit
- $-5,800
- Equity at exit
- $14,836
- IRR
- 4.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.31×
- Total profit
- $8,508
- Equity at exit
- $8,603
Cash invested: $27,860 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 39667
- Home prices YoY
- -18.4%
- Active inventory
- 90
- Price-to-rent
- 6.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,232 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$522
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$124 /mo · $1,492/yr
- Insurance
- −$41
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$125 /mo · $1,502/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$259
- Net cashflow
- $161
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,875
- Closing costs
- $2,985
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-06-04days on market $99,500 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $99,500 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $99,500 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $99,500 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-14$99,500 Active 421-char remark
-
2013-12-04soldstatus 92-char remark
Show marketing remark (92 chars)
Nice quiet neighborhood within walking distance of downtown, churches, schools and shopping.
-
2013-07-15$79,500 92-char remark
Show marketing remark (92 chars)
Nice quiet neighborhood within walking distance of downtown, churches, schools and shopping.
-
2012-09-22historical
-
2011-09-22$89,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone A · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,786
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,574
- − Property taxes
- −$1,492
- − Insurance
- −$2,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,183
- − Management
- −$1,183
- − Depreciation
- −$2,895
- Taxable income
- $460
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$110
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,817/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
The home is in fair condition with moderate repairs needed, primarily in the kitchen and bathrooms. Updating these areas would significantly increase its resale and rental value.
Repairs flagged
- Major kitchen cabinets — dated and in poor condition
- Major kitchen flooring — dated and in poor condition
- Major bathroom fixtures — dated and in poor condition
- Major bathroom flooring — dated and in poor condition
- Major living room carpet — dated and in poor condition
Value-add opportunities
- Resale update kitchen cabinets and flooring — modernizing the kitchen would attract more buyers
- Resale update bathroom fixtures and flooring — modernizing the bathroom would attract more buyers
- Both paint interior walls — improves the home's appearance and can be done on a budget
- Both trim and paint exterior — improves the home's curb appeal and can be done on a budget
- Both replace carpet in living areas — modernizing the living areas would improve the home's appearance and can be done on a budget
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| kitchen cabinets · dated and in poor condition | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| kitchen flooring · dated and in poor condition | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| bathroom fixtures · dated and in poor condition | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| bathroom flooring · dated and in poor condition | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| living room carpet · dated and in poor condition | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 5 items | $75,000–250,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale update kitchen cabinets and flooring — modernizing the kitchen would attract more buyers ↑
- Resale update bathroom fixtures and flooring — modernizing the bathroom would attract more buyers ↑
- Both paint interior walls — improves the home's appearance and can be done on a budget ↑
- Both trim and paint exterior — improves the home's curb appeal and can be done on a budget ↑
- Both replace carpet in living areas — modernizing the living areas would improve the home's appearance and can be done on a budget ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Walthall County School District
- NCES district ID
- 2804440
- Math proficiency
- 22% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 23% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,939
- Composite
- 18.26/100
- National rank
- #8959
- State rank
- #86 of 130 in MS
Livability — Tylertown
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #46
- US rank
- #8187
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Tylertown, MS
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,138
Population outlook (Walthall County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 13,180 people
- By 2030
- 12,361 · -6.2%
- By 2040
- 10,728 · -18.6%
- By 2050
- 9,233 · -29.9%
- By 2075
- 6,445 · -51.1%
- By 2100
- 4,955 · -62.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 50% Black 43% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Walthall
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+26.9) · D 36.1% · R 63.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.7pp toward R · 2008: -10.2pp · 2024: -26.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+26.9 2020: R+19.4 2016: R+15.2 2012: R+8.4 2008: R+10.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -33.26%
- Current HPI
- 147.5232
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+11.2% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-03 Listing Removed — MLSU
- 2026-05-14 Listed $99,500 MLSU
- 2013-12-04 Sold (MLS) — MLSU
- 2013-07-15 Listed $79,500 MLSU
- 2012-09-22 Listing Removed — MLSU
- 2011-09-22 Listed $89,500 MLSU
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…