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843 County Road 4900
C- Composite 50.44
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.8/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +4.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.9/10.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$225,000

843 County Road 4900 · Trenton, TX 75490
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,596 sqft · Manufactured public records · 41 Days on market
Built 1994 2.51 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Gorgeous double-wide home on 2.5 acres. Home features large family room open to the kitchen and dining, Large kitchen with all builtin appliances, lots cabinets and room for a work island, breakfast room and also formal dining room. Large Master Suite with corner garden tub, separate shower and double closets. Nicely sized 3 bedrooms and bath with game room or family room with closet which could be used as 5th bedroom. Wrap around front covered porch, property is fenced and cross-fenced for animals, about a 2 acre pasture in the back perfect for horses. Home is in excellent condition.

Key facts

  • Split bedroom design
  • Wrap-around porch
  • Flex room

Tags

WRAP-AROUND PORCHDETACHED GARAGECONCRETE STORM SHELTEROPEN-CONCEPT LAYOUTSPLIT BEDROOM DESIGNFLEX ROOM

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property is on approximately 2.507 acres (lot dimensions 161 x 709); Utilities easement present; Horse permitted
  • Financial info: Listing terms: Cash, Conventional, Other; Loan type treated as clear; No second mortgage
  • HOA & community: No homeowners association

Exterior

  • Parking: 2 covered parking spaces; 2-car garage; Driveway and open/outside parking
  • Security: Fire alarm; Smoke detectors; Audio and video surveillance present
  • Utilities: Co-op water; Individual water meter; Septic system; Gravel/rock access; Outside city limits / unincorporated
  • Home design: Manufactured home (Residential); One story; No attached units; Year built 1994; No restrictions
  • Construction: Metal roof; Siding exterior; Pillar/post/pier foundation
  • Exterior features: Covered deck; Covered porch(es); Deck; Cross-fenced yard; Large backyard with grass; Few trees; Pasture; Interior lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Breakfast bar; Built-in cabinets; Pantry; Solid-surface countertops
  • Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms (all on the main level); Split-bedroom layout
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; Primary bath with dual sinks, separate shower and garden tub, built-in cabinets and linen closet
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Electric heating; Fireplace heating; Central air conditioning (electric)
  • Interior features: High-speed internet available; Window coverings; Fireplace in living area; Two living areas; Two dining areas; 12 total rooms; One-level floorplan
  • Laundry & utility: Full-size washer/dryer area; Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Utility room with drip/dry area and space for a freezer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $225k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $20 ($243/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $200k (11.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $200k (11.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 2.7% in Trenton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#1,108 in TX) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B+; Watch: crime D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Trenton ISD (rural): math 27% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #483 of 826 in TX (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Trenton El (math 22% / reading 32%, grade F, #2,791 of 4,322 statewide, top 68%, 299 students, 46% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 165 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 82 units permitted in Fannin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $24k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $22k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Fannin County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $63k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$39k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($218k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 9y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $200,000 (11.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 11% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.89%
Cap rate
6.40%
Cash-on-cash
0.39%
DSCR
1.02
GRM
9.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
24.6%
Equity multiple
2.97×
Total profit
$123,863
Equity at exit
$202,698
10-year hold
IRR
21.7%
Equity multiple
6.77×
Total profit
$363,808
Equity at exit
$437,126

Cash invested: $63,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 75490

Home prices YoY
5.6%
Active inventory
165
Price-to-rent
9.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,000 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,180
Tax from tax record
$286 /mo · $3,433/yr
Insurance
$94
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$420
Net cashflow
$20

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,974
Max offer price $225,000
Occupancy floor 94%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $148 -5% $84 +0% $20 +5% $-43 +10% $-107
Rent -10% $-138 -5% $-59 +0% $20 +5% $99 +10% $178
Rate -1.0pp $134 -0.5pp $77 base $20 +0.5pp $-38 +1.0pp $-97

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$56,250
Closing costs
$6,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
340 Sunnyside Dr Unit B Trenton, TX 3.0 3.5 1673 $2,000 $1.20 2d 1 1.27mi

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $225,000 Active 41 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $225,000 Active 40 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $225,000 Active 39 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    price $225,000 Active 38 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $237,500 Active 38 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $237,500 Active 36 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $237,500 Active 32 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $237,500 Active 31 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $237,500 Active 30 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $237,500 Active 27 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $237,500 Active 26 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $237,500 Active 25 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $237,500 Active 24 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $237,500 Active 23 DOM
  15. 2026-05-08
    listed $250,000 Active 1917-char remark
  16. 2017-11-06
    soldstatus
  17. 2017-11-03
    soldstatus Sold 591-char remark
    Show marketing remark (591 chars)

    Gorgeous double-wide home on 2.5 acres. Home features large family room open to the kitchen and dining, Large kitchen with all builtin appliances, lots cabinets and room for a work island, breakfast room and also formal dining room. Large Master Suite with corner garden tub, separate shower and double closets. Nicely sized 3 bedrooms and bath with game room or family room with closet which could be used as 5th bedroom. Wrap around front covered porch, property is fenced and cross-fenced for animals, about a 2 acre pasture in the back perfect for horses. Home is in excellent condition.

  18. 2017-10-09
    status Pending 591-char remark
    Show marketing remark (591 chars)

    Gorgeous double-wide home on 2.5 acres. Home features large family room open to the kitchen and dining, Large kitchen with all builtin appliances, lots cabinets and room for a work island, breakfast room and also formal dining room. Large Master Suite with corner garden tub, separate shower and double closets. Nicely sized 3 bedrooms and bath with game room or family room with closet which could be used as 5th bedroom. Wrap around front covered porch, property is fenced and cross-fenced for animals, about a 2 acre pasture in the back perfect for horses. Home is in excellent condition.

  19. 2017-09-26
    historical Active Option Contract 591-char remark
    Show marketing remark (591 chars)

    Gorgeous double-wide home on 2.5 acres. Home features large family room open to the kitchen and dining, Large kitchen with all builtin appliances, lots cabinets and room for a work island, breakfast room and also formal dining room. Large Master Suite with corner garden tub, separate shower and double closets. Nicely sized 3 bedrooms and bath with game room or family room with closet which could be used as 5th bedroom. Wrap around front covered porch, property is fenced and cross-fenced for animals, about a 2 acre pasture in the back perfect for horses. Home is in excellent condition.

  20. 2017-09-20
    listed $137,500 Active 591-char remark
    Show marketing remark (591 chars)

    Gorgeous double-wide home on 2.5 acres. Home features large family room open to the kitchen and dining, Large kitchen with all builtin appliances, lots cabinets and room for a work island, breakfast room and also formal dining room. Large Master Suite with corner garden tub, separate shower and double closets. Nicely sized 3 bedrooms and bath with game room or family room with closet which could be used as 5th bedroom. Wrap around front covered porch, property is fenced and cross-fenced for animals, about a 2 acre pasture in the back perfect for horses. Home is in excellent condition.

  21. 2007-06-14
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,433 · $286/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,118 · $343/mo
Expected delta
+$684/yr (+$57/mo · 19.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 6 d/yr ≥109°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,000
− Mortgage interest
−$12,603
− Property taxes
−$3,433
− Insurance
−$1,125
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,920
− Management
−$1,920
− Depreciation
−$6,545
Taxable loss
−$3,547
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$851
After-tax cash flow
$1,094/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Trenton ISD
NCES district ID
4843140
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$61,383
Composite
31.38/100
National rank
#5993
State rank
#483 of 826 in TX

Livability — Trenton

Score
59/100
State rank
#1108
US rank
#19614

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment B+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
3,024

Population outlook (Fannin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
33,423 people
By 2030
33,035 · -1.2%
By 2040
32,250 · -3.5%
By 2050
31,462 · -5.9%
By 2075
29,447 · -11.9%
By 2100
25,459 · -23.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (84%)
Race & ethnicity
White 84% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 8% Black 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, Dominican Republic
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Fannin

2024 margin
Solid R (+67.4) · D 15.9% · R 83.3%
2008→2024 swing
-27.8pp toward R · 2008: -39.6pp · 2024: -67.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+67.4 2020: R+63.4 2016: R+61.9 2012: R+52.5 2008: R+39.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 16.09%
Current HPI
301.2127
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+63.6% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-16 Price Changed $225,000 NTREIS
  • 2026-05-26 Price Changed $237,500 NTREIS
  • 2026-05-08 Listed $250,000 NTREIS
  • 2017-11-06 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2017-11-03 Sold (MLS) NTREIS
  • 2017-10-09 Pending NTREIS
  • 2017-09-26 Contingent NTREIS
  • 2017-09-20 Listed $137,500 NTREIS
  • 2007-06-14 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+15.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,433 · +4.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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