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2024 Rice Ave
D- Composite 38.92
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +11.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +8.3/15.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.7/10.0
  • DSCR +3.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.1/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$320,000

2024 Rice Ave · McAllen, TX 78504
4 bd · 3.0 ba · 1,872 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 13 Days on market
Built 2011 6,713 sqft lot Est $326k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Great home in an amazing location! Conveniently located near schools, shopping, restaurants, entertainment, and the university. Enjoy your own private pool, beautiful window shutters, and a front fence that adds extra privacy. Located in a beautiful neighborhood win NO HOA. Opportunities like this don’t last long — schedule your showing today and come see everything this home has to offer!

Key facts

  • Private pool
  • Window shutters
  • Front fence

Tags

PRIVATE POOLWINDOW SHUTTERSFRONT FENCEBEAUTIFUL NEIGHBORHOOD

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Living area source: HidalgoCAD
  • HOA & community: No association; Sidewalks in the community; Community features: Other

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 2-car garage; 2 covered parking spaces
  • Security: Smoke detectors
  • Utilities: City sewer
  • Home design: Stucco construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation
  • Construction: Stucco exterior; Slab foundation; Shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Private outdoor pool; Pool (outdoor); Wood fencing; Sprinkler system; Gravel road surface

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric range / stove; Microwave; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom with walk-in closet(s)
  • Flooring: Tile
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric); Attic fans
  • Interior features: Entrance foyer; Granite countertops; Ceiling fans; Decorative / high ceilings; Plantation shutters
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room with washer/dryer connections; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $320k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-91 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $304k (5.0% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $279k (12.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $279k (12.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 3.7% in McAllen — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#119 in TX, #3,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Edinburg CISD (urban): math 20% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #699 of 826 in TX (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Cavazos El (math 37% / reading 42%, grade F, #1,545 of 4,322 statewide, top 38%, 409 students, 83% FRL); South Middle (math 23% / reading 46%, grade F, #858 of 1,662 statewide, top 54%, 1,309 students, 66% FRL); Robert R Vela H S (math 27% / reading 48%, grade F, #888 of 1,632 statewide, top 55%, 2,189 students, 62% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.6%/yr); 888 active listings in the ZIP; 32 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 7,378 units permitted in Hidalgo County in 2024 (641 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($82k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Hidalgo County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $279,335 (12.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.87%
Cap rate
5.95%
Cash-on-cash
-1.21%
DSCR
0.95
GRM
9.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$325,728
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2005 Queens Ave 0.10mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,846 (-1%) 2mo $285,000 $154 84
2020 Queens Ave 0.05mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,812 (-3%) 1mo $310,000 $171 82
1821 Stanford Ave 0.16mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,869 (-0%) 2mo $280,000 $150 82
1804 Ozark Ave 0.26mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,872 (0%) 0mo $325,000 $174 80
2208 Providence Ave 0.12mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,804 (-4%) 3mo $289,000 $160 79
9904 N 24th St 0.27mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,012 (+8%) 4mo $422,500 $210 64
9102 N 25th Ln 0.56mi 4/2.5 1,920 (+3%) 4mo $354,000 $184 64
9119 N 25th St 0.52mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,768 (-6%) 0mo $315,000 $178 59
9106 N 25th Ln 0.56mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,785 (-5%) 1mo $319,000 $179 59
9903 N 25th Ln 0.40mi 4/3.5 2,100 (+12%) 1mo $399,000 $190 58
9101 N 28th St 0.74mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,954 (+4%) 1mo $255,000 $131 48
2901 Providence Ave 0.70mi 4/2.5 2,088 (+12%) 3mo $265,000 $127 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.57% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-18.8%
Equity multiple
0.34×
Total profit
$-58,734
Equity at exit
$47,713
10-year hold
IRR
-12.1%
Equity multiple
0.30×
Total profit
$-63,087
Equity at exit
$27,668

Cash invested: $89,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 78504

Home prices YoY
-29.4%
Rents YoY
2.6%
Active inventory
888
Price-to-rent
9.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,793 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,678
Tax from tax record
$486 /mo · $5,831/yr
Insurance
$133
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$587
Net cashflow
$-91

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,908
Max offer price $303,990
Occupancy floor 98%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $91 -5% $0 +0% $-91 +5% $-181 +10% $-272
Rent -10% $-311 -5% $-201 +0% $-91 +5% $20 +10% $130
Rate -1.0pp $71 -0.5pp $-9 base $-91 +0.5pp $-174 +1.0pp $-258

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$80,000
Closing costs
$9,600
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 32 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
9809 N 24th St McAllen, TX 4.0 3.5 2300 $4,500 $1.96 44d 1 0.20mi
9805 N 24th St McAllen, TX 4.0 3.5 2300 $3,700 $1.61 44d 1 0.21mi
9813 N 24th St McAllen, TX 4.0 3.5 2300 $3,700 $1.61 44d 1 0.21mi
9806 N 24th Ln McAllen, TX 4.0 3.5 2300 $3,700 $1.61 44d 1 0.23mi
9807 N 24th Ln McAllen, TX 4.0 3.5 2300 $3,700 $1.61 15d 1 0.24mi
10338 N 23rd Ln McAllen, TX 4.0 3.5 2563 $2,700 $1.05 45d 1 0.52mi
1800 Kingsborough Ave McAllen, TX 3.0 2.0 2027 $2,200 $1.09 24d 1 0.53mi
10315 N 26th Ln McAllen, TX 3.0 2.5 2124 $2,300 $1.08 15d 1 0.60mi
10221 N 15th St McAllen, TX 3.0 2.0 1418 $2,200 $1.55 44d 1 0.60mi
1304 Providence Ave McAllen, TX 3.0 2.5 2029 $3,750 $1.85 44d 1 0.62mi
10218 N 15th St McAllen, TX 3.0 2.5 1768 $3,150 $1.78 44d 1 0.62mi
10321 N 15th St McAllen, TX 3.0 2.0 1502 $2,000 $1.33 15d 1 0.65mi
10321 N 15th St McAllen, TX 3.0 2.0 1502 $2,200 $1.46 44d 1 0.65mi
10333 N 15th St McAllen, TX 3.0 2.0 1414 $2,100 $1.49 15d 1 0.66mi
2908 Providence Ave McAllen, TX 3.0 2.5 1646 $1,750 $1.06 44d 1 0.67mi
1205 Ozark Ave McAllen, TX 3.0 3.0 1955 $2,800 $1.43 24d 1 0.68mi
9104 N 28th St McAllen, TX 3.0 2.0 1747 $1,900 $1.09 15d 1 0.69mi
2920 Providence Ave McAllen, TX 3.0 2.5 1848 $1,600 $0.87 24d 1 0.71mi
10328 N 13th St McAllen, TX 3.0 2.0 1963 $2,100 $1.07 19d 1 0.78mi
3213 Princeton Ave McAllen, TX 3.0 2.5 1868 $1,850 $0.99 15d 1 0.90mi
2613 Fairmont Ave McAllen, TX 3.0 2.0 1735 $2,000 $1.15 44d 1 1.02mi
2809 Grambling Ave McAllen, TX 3.0 2.5 2152 $2,500 $1.16 44d 1 1.02mi
3132 Zurich Ave McAllen, TX 3.0 2.0 1400 $1,900 $1.36 19d 1 1.04mi
8101 N 23rd St Unit 29 McAllen, TX 3.0 2.5 1600 $1,900 $1.19 44d 1 1.04mi
8101 N 23rd St Unit 27 McAllen, TX 3.0 2.5 1600 $1,900 $1.19 24d 1 1.04mi
2909 Fuerte Ave McAllen, TX 3.0 2.0 1440 $1,600 $1.11 44d 1 1.15mi
8406 N 33rd Ln McAllen, TX 3.0 2.0 1448 $2,000 $1.38 15d 1 1.25mi
4923 N 35th Ln McAllen, TX 2.0–4.0 2.0–2.5 1373 $2,435 $1.77 15d 11 1.27mi
3200 Guadalupe McAllen, TX 4.0 3.0 2136 $2,800 $1.31 15d 1 1.31mi
7601 N 21st St McAllen, TX 3.0 2.5 1888 $2,600 $1.38 44d 1 1.32mi
7504 N 21st St McAllen, TX 3.0 2.0 1746 $1,800 $1.03 15d 1 1.33mi
2629 Warbler Ave McAllen, TX 3.0 2.5 1420 $2,100 $1.48 44d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $320,000 Active 13 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $320,000 Active 12 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $320,000 Active 11 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $320,000 Active 10 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $320,000 Active 8 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $320,000 Active 7 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $320,000 Active 5 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $320,000 Active 4 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $320,000 Active 3 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    remarks 392-char remark
  11. 2026-06-07
    listed $320,000 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$5,831 · $486/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,856 · $488/mo
Expected delta
+$25/yr (+$2/mo · 0.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$33,520
− Mortgage interest
−$17,925
− Property taxes
−$5,831
− Insurance
−$1,600
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,682
− Management
−$2,682
− Depreciation
−$9,309
Taxable loss
−$6,508
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,562
After-tax cash flow
$474/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Edinburg CISD
NCES district ID
4818180
Math proficiency
20% ▼ -34.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$36,985
Composite
22.42/100
National rank
#8114
State rank
#699 of 826 in TX

Livability — McAllen

Score
76/100
State rank
#119
US rank
#3771

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
McAllen, TX
County
Hidalgo County · 623,128 people
City population
144,650
Metro
McAllen-Edinburg-Mission, TX
Population (ZIP)
63,094
Household income
$81,905
Rent vs Own
30.1% rent · 69.9% own
Severe rent burden
1468.0

Population outlook (Hidalgo County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
955,232 people
By 2030
1,009,774 · +5.7%
By 2040
1,120,332 · +17.3%
By 2050
1,225,036 · +28.2%
By 2075
1,439,189 · +50.7%
By 2100
1,533,429 · +60.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (82%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 82% Two or more races 39% White 11% Asian 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 75%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
24% · Canada, South Korea, Vietnam
Languages at home
34% English-only · Spanish 62% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Hidalgo

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.1% · R 51.0%
2008→2024 swing
-41.6pp toward R · 2008: 38.7pp · 2024: -2.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+2.9 2020: D+17.1 2016: D+40.5 2012: D+41.8 2008: D+38.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -80.87%
Current HPI
194.1764
Rent YoY
▲ 2.57%
Metro
McAllen-Edinburg-Mission, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-05 Listed $320,000 MCALLENMLS

Property tax history

+2.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,831 · -4.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…