2024 Rice Ave · McAllen, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +11.8/30.0
- ARV discount +8.3/15.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- 1% rule +3.7/10.0
- DSCR +3.5/10.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$320,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Great home in an amazing location! Conveniently located near schools, shopping, restaurants, entertainment, and the university. Enjoy your own private pool, beautiful window shutters, and a front fence that adds extra privacy. Located in a beautiful neighborhood win NO HOA. Opportunities like this don’t last long — schedule your showing today and come see everything this home has to offer!
Key facts
- Private pool
- Window shutters
- Front fence
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Living area source: HidalgoCAD
- HOA & community: No association; Sidewalks in the community; Community features: Other
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage; 2 covered parking spaces
- Security: Smoke detectors
- Utilities: City sewer
- Home design: Stucco construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation
- Construction: Stucco exterior; Slab foundation; Shingle roof
- Exterior features: Private outdoor pool; Pool (outdoor); Wood fencing; Sprinkler system; Gravel road surface
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range / stove; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom with walk-in closet(s)
- Flooring: Tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric); Attic fans
- Interior features: Entrance foyer; Granite countertops; Ceiling fans; Decorative / high ceilings; Plantation shutters
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room with washer/dryer connections; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $320k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-91 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $304k (5.0% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $279k (12.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $279k (12.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 3.7% in McAllen — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#119 in TX, #3,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
- Edinburg CISD (urban): math 20% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #699 of 826 in TX (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Cavazos El (math 37% / reading 42%, grade F, #1,545 of 4,322 statewide, top 38%, 409 students, 83% FRL); South Middle (math 23% / reading 46%, grade F, #858 of 1,662 statewide, top 54%, 1,309 students, 66% FRL); Robert R Vela H S (math 27% / reading 48%, grade F, #888 of 1,632 statewide, top 55%, 2,189 students, 62% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.6%/yr); 888 active listings in the ZIP; 32 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 7,378 units permitted in Hidalgo County in 2024 (641 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($82k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hidalgo County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.87% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.95%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.21%
- DSCR
- 0.95
- GRM
- 9.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $325,728
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2005 Queens Ave | 0.10mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,846 (-1%) | 2mo | $285,000 | $154 | 84 |
| 2020 Queens Ave | 0.05mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,812 (-3%) | 1mo | $310,000 | $171 | 82 |
| 1821 Stanford Ave | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,869 (-0%) | 2mo | $280,000 | $150 | 82 |
| 1804 Ozark Ave | 0.26mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,872 (0%) | 0mo | $325,000 | $174 | 80 |
| 2208 Providence Ave | 0.12mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,804 (-4%) | 3mo | $289,000 | $160 | 79 |
| 9904 N 24th St | 0.27mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,012 (+8%) | 4mo | $422,500 | $210 | 64 |
| 9102 N 25th Ln | 0.56mi | 4/2.5 | 1,920 (+3%) | 4mo | $354,000 | $184 | 64 |
| 9119 N 25th St | 0.52mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,768 (-6%) | 0mo | $315,000 | $178 | 59 |
| 9106 N 25th Ln | 0.56mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,785 (-5%) | 1mo | $319,000 | $179 | 59 |
| 9903 N 25th Ln | 0.40mi | 4/3.5 | 2,100 (+12%) | 1mo | $399,000 | $190 | 58 |
| 9101 N 28th St | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,954 (+4%) | 1mo | $255,000 | $131 | 48 |
| 2901 Providence Ave | 0.70mi | 4/2.5 | 2,088 (+12%) | 3mo | $265,000 | $127 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.57% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -18.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.34×
- Total profit
- $-58,734
- Equity at exit
- $47,713
- IRR
- -12.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.30×
- Total profit
- $-63,087
- Equity at exit
- $27,668
Cash invested: $89,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 78504
- Home prices YoY
- -29.4%
- Rents YoY
- 2.6%
- Active inventory
- 888
- Price-to-rent
- 9.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,793 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,678
- Tax from tax record
- −$486 /mo · $5,831/yr
- Insurance
- −$133
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$587
- Net cashflow
- $-91
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $91 | -5% $0 | +0% $-91 | +5% $-181 | +10% $-272 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-311 | -5% $-201 | +0% $-91 | +5% $20 | +10% $130 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $71 | -0.5pp $-9 | base $-91 | +0.5pp $-174 | +1.0pp $-258 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $80,000
- Closing costs
- $9,600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 32 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9809 N 24th St McAllen, TX | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2300 | $4,500 | $1.96 | 44d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 9805 N 24th St McAllen, TX | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2300 | $3,700 | $1.61 | 44d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 9813 N 24th St McAllen, TX | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2300 | $3,700 | $1.61 | 44d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 9806 N 24th Ln McAllen, TX | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2300 | $3,700 | $1.61 | 44d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 9807 N 24th Ln McAllen, TX | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2300 | $3,700 | $1.61 | 15d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 10338 N 23rd Ln McAllen, TX | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2563 | $2,700 | $1.05 | 45d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 1800 Kingsborough Ave McAllen, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2027 | $2,200 | $1.09 | 24d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 10315 N 26th Ln McAllen, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2124 | $2,300 | $1.08 | 15d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 10221 N 15th St McAllen, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1418 | $2,200 | $1.55 | 44d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 1304 Providence Ave McAllen, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2029 | $3,750 | $1.85 | 44d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 10218 N 15th St McAllen, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1768 | $3,150 | $1.78 | 44d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 10321 N 15th St McAllen, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1502 | $2,000 | $1.33 | 15d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 10321 N 15th St McAllen, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1502 | $2,200 | $1.46 | 44d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 10333 N 15th St McAllen, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1414 | $2,100 | $1.49 | 15d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 2908 Providence Ave McAllen, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1646 | $1,750 | $1.06 | 44d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 1205 Ozark Ave McAllen, TX | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1955 | $2,800 | $1.43 | 24d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 9104 N 28th St McAllen, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1747 | $1,900 | $1.09 | 15d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 2920 Providence Ave McAllen, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1848 | $1,600 | $0.87 | 24d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 10328 N 13th St McAllen, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1963 | $2,100 | $1.07 | 19d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 3213 Princeton Ave McAllen, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1868 | $1,850 | $0.99 | 15d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 2613 Fairmont Ave McAllen, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1735 | $2,000 | $1.15 | 44d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 2809 Grambling Ave McAllen, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2152 | $2,500 | $1.16 | 44d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 3132 Zurich Ave McAllen, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,900 | $1.36 | 19d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 8101 N 23rd St Unit 29 McAllen, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1600 | $1,900 | $1.19 | 44d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 8101 N 23rd St Unit 27 McAllen, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1600 | $1,900 | $1.19 | 24d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 2909 Fuerte Ave McAllen, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1440 | $1,600 | $1.11 | 44d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 8406 N 33rd Ln McAllen, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1448 | $2,000 | $1.38 | 15d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 4923 N 35th Ln McAllen, TX | 2.0–4.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1373 | $2,435 | $1.77 | 15d | 11 | 1.27mi |
| 3200 Guadalupe McAllen, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2136 | $2,800 | $1.31 | 15d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 7601 N 21st St McAllen, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1888 | $2,600 | $1.38 | 44d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 7504 N 21st St McAllen, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1746 | $1,800 | $1.03 | 15d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 2629 Warbler Ave McAllen, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1420 | $2,100 | $1.48 | 44d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $320,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $320,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $320,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $320,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $320,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $320,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $320,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $320,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $320,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 392-char remark
-
2026-06-07$320,000 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $5,831 · $486/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,856 · $488/mo
- Expected delta
- +$25/yr (+$2/mo · 0.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $33,520
- − Mortgage interest
- −$17,925
- − Property taxes
- −$5,831
- − Insurance
- −$1,600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,682
- − Management
- −$2,682
- − Depreciation
- −$9,309
- Taxable loss
- −$6,508
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,562
- After-tax cash flow
- $474/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Edinburg CISD
- NCES district ID
- 4818180
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -34.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,985
- Composite
- 22.42/100
- National rank
- #8114
- State rank
- #699 of 826 in TX
Livability — McAllen
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #119
- US rank
- #3771
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- McAllen, TX
- County
- Hidalgo County · 623,128 people
- City population
- 144,650
- Metro
- McAllen-Edinburg-Mission, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 63,094
- Household income
- $81,905
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1468.0
Population outlook (Hidalgo County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 955,232 people
- By 2030
- 1,009,774 · +5.7%
- By 2040
- 1,120,332 · +17.3%
- By 2050
- 1,225,036 · +28.2%
- By 2075
- 1,439,189 · +50.7%
- By 2100
- 1,533,429 · +60.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 82% Two or more races 39% White 11% Asian 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 75%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 24% · Canada, South Korea, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 34% English-only · Spanish 62% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Hidalgo
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.1% · R 51.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -41.6pp toward R · 2008: 38.7pp · 2024: -2.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+2.9 2020: D+17.1 2016: D+40.5 2012: D+41.8 2008: D+38.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -80.87%
- Current HPI
- 194.1764
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.57%
- Metro
- McAllen-Edinburg-Mission, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-05 Listed $320,000 MCALLENMLS
Property tax history
+2.4%/yrLatest (2025): $5,831 · -4.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…