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34498 Fleet St Unit E-776
B- Composite 65.33
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +4.0/15.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$135,000

34498 Fleet St Unit E-776 · Long Neck, DE 19966
5 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,456 sqft · SingleFamily · 200 Days on market
Built 1993 Est $125k · 8% over ↓ 10% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Located in the desirable Pot-Nets Bayside community—renowned for its two pools, private beaches, marinas, Paradise Grille, dog park, tennis and pickleball courts, playgrounds, walking trails, and freshwater ponds—this home offers a rare combination of space and efficiency. With five bedrooms thoughtfully arranged within just under 1,300 square feet, it’s the perfect retreat for hosting family and friends while still maintaining a cozy, easy-to-manage footprint. Outdoor living shines with a welcoming porch, a covered gazebo, and a picnic area ideal for gatherings. A convenient shed provides storage for all your beach toys, making it easy to enjoy Bayside’s waterfront

Key facts

  • Dog park
  • Playgrounds
  • Marinas

Tags

TWO POOLSPRIVATE BEACHESMARINASDOG PARKTENNIS AND PICKLEBALL COURTSPLAYGROUNDS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $135k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $772 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $135k).
  • Recommended offer: $119k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 17.2% vs local median 3.2% in Long Neck — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#30 in DE) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Indian River School District (rural): math 25% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #14 of 26 in DE (top 54%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Long Neck Elementary School (math 22% / reading 35%, grade F, #57 of 105 statewide, top 55%, 693 students, 0% FRL); Millsboro Middle School (math 24% / reading 42%, grade F, #14 of 36 statewide, top 37%, 771 students, 0% FRL); Sussex Central High School (math 23% / reading 42%, grade F, #24 of 40 statewide, top 59%, 2,039 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 49% district-wide (49 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 870 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 4,354 units permitted in Sussex County in 2024 (344 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($78k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Sussex County population projected at +25% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 200 days — a 12% lower offer ($119k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $460/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $118,800 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 200 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.03%
Cap rate
17.25%
Cash-on-cash
39.12%
DSCR
2.74
GRM
4.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$125,216
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
34498 Fleet St Unit E-776 0.00mi 5/2.0 1,456 (0%) 0mo $125,000 $86 100
34482 Basin Cir #655 0.38mi 4/3.0 (-1) 1,484 (+2%) 9mo $199,000 $134 63
34756 W Harbor Dr #56744 0.73mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,512 (+4%) 9mo $125,000 $83 47

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
18.0%
Equity multiple
1.73×
Total profit
$27,609
Equity at exit
$20,129
10-year hold
IRR
26.5%
Equity multiple
3.35×
Total profit
$88,660
Equity at exit
$11,672

Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
70 Landlord-Friendly
State Delaware
70 Landlord-Friendly · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Court of Common Pleas hears L&T; moderate-paced. No state rent control.

ZIP-level market 19966

Home prices YoY
-6.4%
Active inventory
870
Price-to-rent
4.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,741 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$708
Tax est. 1.5%
$169 /mo · $2,025/yr
Insurance
$56
Flood insurance flood zone
−$460 /mo · $5,525/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$576
Net cashflow
$772

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,764
Max offer price $135,000
Occupancy floor 67%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $865 -5% $819 +0% $772 +5% $725 +10% $679
Rent -10% $555 -5% $664 +0% $772 +5% $880 +10% $988
Rate -1.0pp $840 -0.5pp $806 base $772 +0.5pp $737 +1.0pp $701

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$33,750
Closing costs
$4,050
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-03-30
    status Pending
  2. 2026-03-22
    price $135,000
  3. 2025-11-11
    price $140,000
  4. 2025-09-11
    listed $150,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$32,890
− Mortgage interest
−$7,562
− Property taxes
−$2,025
− Insurance
−$6,200
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,631
− Management
−$2,631
− Depreciation
−$3,927
Taxable income
$7,913
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,899
After-tax cash flow
$7,363/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Indian River School District
NCES district ID
1000680
Math proficiency
25% ▼ -27.00%
Reading proficiency
41% ▼ -17.00%
Median HH income
$53,838
Composite
28.99/100
National rank
#6620
State rank
#14 of 26 in DE

Livability — Long Neck

Score
69/100
State rank
#30
US rank
#8720

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Long Neck, DE
County
Sussex County · 82,708 people
Metro
Salisbury, MD-DE
Population (ZIP)
35,884
Household income
$78,305
Rent vs Own
17.8% rent · 82.2% own
Severe rent burden
464.0

Population outlook (Sussex County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
248,853 people
By 2030
264,464 · +6.3%
By 2040
290,980 · +16.9%
By 2050
311,259 · +25.1%
By 2075
352,488 · +41.6%
By 2100
367,406 · +47.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (74%)
Race & ethnicity
White 74% Hispanic / Latino 11% Black 8% Two or more races 7% Native American 3% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Slovak 2% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, China
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Sussex

2024 margin
R (+11.0) · D 43.9% · R 54.9% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-2.4pp toward R · 2008: -8.6pp · 2024: -11.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+11.0 2020: R+11.2 2016: R+22.0 2012: R+13.0 2008: R+8.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -18.26%
Current HPI
268.5609
Rent YoY
Metro
Salisbury, MD-DE
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

-10.0% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-30 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-03-22 Price Changed $135,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-11-11 Price Changed $140,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-09-11 Listed $150,000 BRIGHT MLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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