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85 Cedarwood Ter
B+ Composite 76.73
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +11.3/15.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +8.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.6/10.0
  • Schools +4.4/10.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0

$230,000

85 Cedarwood Ter · The Hideout, PA 18436
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,157 sqft · SingleFamily · 81 Days on market
Built 1979 Good condition 0.43 ac lot $199/sqft · 8% below area Est $251k · 8% under $180/mo HOA · 6% of rent ↓ 7% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Escape to this cute-as-a-button 3-bedroom, 1-bath chalet with a bonus room and spacious loft featuring an air hockey table. This charming home comes fully furnished and is located in the heart of The Hideout. Step inside to an inviting open-concept living space with soaring cathedral ceilings, an updated kitchen, and a cozy brick-accented LP fireplace--perfect for relaxing after a day of enjoying the great outdoors. With three comfortable bedrooms, there's plenty of space for family and friends. A bonus den or playroom and an open loft area provide additional flexibility for work, relaxation, or entertainment. The Hideout is a premier gated community offering a true resort-style lifestyle. As a resident, you'll enjoy exclusive access to: Multiple lakes (motorboating and non-motorboating) Sandy beaches, Swimming pools, pristine golf course, private ski hill, Tennis courts, clubhouse and community amenities Whether you're searching for a peaceful vacation retreat, a full-time residence, or a profitable investment property, this charming chalet is your opportunity to create lasting memories.

Key facts

  • Bonus room
  • Sandy beaches
  • Updated kitchen

Tags

BONUS ROOMSPACIOUS LOFTUPDATED KITCHENBRICK-ACCENTED LP FIREPLACEMULTIPLE LAKESSANDY BEACHES

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $230k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $522 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $230k).
  • Recommended offer: $216k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.0% vs local median 5.0% in The Hideout — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#668 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Western Wayne SD (rural): math 39% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #165 of 539 in PA (top 31%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 337 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 177 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $25k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $23k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $64k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$40k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 81 days — a 6% lower offer ($216k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $216,200 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 81 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.26%
Cap rate
9.01%
Cash-on-cash
9.72%
DSCR
1.43
GRM
6.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$251,170
List price
$230,000
Delta
-8.43%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
265 Parkwood Dr 0.09mi 3/1.5 1,120 (-3%) 0mo $289,990 $259 88
126 Oak Cir 0.14mi 3/1.0 1,200 (+4%) 8mo $260,000 $217 81
12 Oak Ct 0.37mi 3/1.0 1,140 (-2%) 7mo $257,000 $225 74
12 Oak Court Ct 0.37mi 3/1.0 1,140 (-2%) 7mo $257,000 $225 74
28 Lakewood Dr 0.28mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,100 (-5%) 6mo $162,500 $148 69
10 Vista Ct 0.34mi 3/2.0 1,205 (+4%) 6mo $241,700 $201 68
80 Lakewood Dr 0.14mi 3/2.0 1,050 (-9%) 12mo $255,000 $243 64
11 Oak Ct 0.34mi 3/2.0 1,176 (+2%) 19mo $235,000 $200 61
210 Deerfield Rd 0.74mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,100 (-5%) 7mo $239,000 $217 43
35 Elmwood Ct 0.75mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,012 (-12%) 6mo $262,000 $259 32
15 Windemere Ln 0.69mi 3/1.5 1,300 (+12%) 19mo $282,000 $217 29
81 Parkwood Dr Lot 65 0.65mi 3/2.0 1,330 (+15%) 15mo $265,000 $199 28

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
31.4%
Equity multiple
3.46×
Total profit
$158,634
Equity at exit
$207,202
10-year hold
IRR
27.2%
Equity multiple
7.85×
Total profit
$441,338
Equity at exit
$446,839

Cash invested: $64,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 18436

Home prices YoY
16.9%
Active inventory
337
Price-to-rent
6.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,900 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,206
Tax est. 1.5%
$288 /mo · $3,450/yr
Insurance
$96
HOA
$180
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$609
Net cashflow
$522

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,240
Max offer price $230,000
Occupancy floor 77%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $680 -5% $601 +0% $522 +5% $442 +10% $363
Rent -10% $292 -5% $407 +0% $522 +5% $636 +10% $751
Rate -1.0pp $637 -0.5pp $580 base $522 +0.5pp $462 +1.0pp $401

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$57,500
Closing costs
$6,900
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1148 Golf Park Dr Lake Ariel, PA 3.0 1.0 1210 $2,900 $2.40 25d 1 1.36mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$180 · $2,160/yr
Likely covers
poolsecurity

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-05-12
    price $230,000 1105-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1105 chars)

    Escape to this cute-as-a-button 3-bedroom, 1-bath chalet with a bonus room and spacious loft featuring an air hockey table. This charming home comes fully furnished and is located in the heart of The Hideout. Step inside to an inviting open-concept living space with soaring cathedral ceilings, an updated kitchen, and a cozy brick-accented LP fireplace--perfect for relaxing after a day of enjoying the great outdoors. With three comfortable bedrooms, there's plenty of space for family and friends. A bonus den or playroom and an open loft area provide additional flexibility for work, relaxation, or entertainment. The Hideout is a premier gated community offering a true resort-style lifestyle. As a resident, you'll enjoy exclusive access to: Multiple lakes (motorboating and non-motorboating) Sandy beaches, Swimming pools, pristine golf course, private ski hill, Tennis courts, clubhouse and community amenities Whether you're searching for a peaceful vacation retreat, a full-time residence, or a profitable investment property, this charming chalet is your opportunity to create lasting memories.

  2. 2026-05-06
    price $235,000 1105-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1105 chars)

    Escape to this cute-as-a-button 3-bedroom, 1-bath chalet with a bonus room and spacious loft featuring an air hockey table. This charming home comes fully furnished and is located in the heart of The Hideout. Step inside to an inviting open-concept living space with soaring cathedral ceilings, an updated kitchen, and a cozy brick-accented LP fireplace--perfect for relaxing after a day of enjoying the great outdoors. With three comfortable bedrooms, there's plenty of space for family and friends. A bonus den or playroom and an open loft area provide additional flexibility for work, relaxation, or entertainment. The Hideout is a premier gated community offering a true resort-style lifestyle. As a resident, you'll enjoy exclusive access to: Multiple lakes (motorboating and non-motorboating) Sandy beaches, Swimming pools, pristine golf course, private ski hill, Tennis courts, clubhouse and community amenities Whether you're searching for a peaceful vacation retreat, a full-time residence, or a profitable investment property, this charming chalet is your opportunity to create lasting memories.

  3. 2026-04-01
    price $242,500 1105-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1105 chars)

    Escape to this cute-as-a-button 3-bedroom, 1-bath chalet with a bonus room and spacious loft featuring an air hockey table. This charming home comes fully furnished and is located in the heart of The Hideout. Step inside to an inviting open-concept living space with soaring cathedral ceilings, an updated kitchen, and a cozy brick-accented LP fireplace--perfect for relaxing after a day of enjoying the great outdoors. With three comfortable bedrooms, there's plenty of space for family and friends. A bonus den or playroom and an open loft area provide additional flexibility for work, relaxation, or entertainment. The Hideout is a premier gated community offering a true resort-style lifestyle. As a resident, you'll enjoy exclusive access to: Multiple lakes (motorboating and non-motorboating) Sandy beaches, Swimming pools, pristine golf course, private ski hill, Tennis courts, clubhouse and community amenities Whether you're searching for a peaceful vacation retreat, a full-time residence, or a profitable investment property, this charming chalet is your opportunity to create lasting memories.

  4. 2026-03-06
    listed $247,500 Active 1105-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1105 chars)

    Escape to this cute-as-a-button 3-bedroom, 1-bath chalet with a bonus room and spacious loft featuring an air hockey table. This charming home comes fully furnished and is located in the heart of The Hideout. Step inside to an inviting open-concept living space with soaring cathedral ceilings, an updated kitchen, and a cozy brick-accented LP fireplace--perfect for relaxing after a day of enjoying the great outdoors. With three comfortable bedrooms, there's plenty of space for family and friends. A bonus den or playroom and an open loft area provide additional flexibility for work, relaxation, or entertainment. The Hideout is a premier gated community offering a true resort-style lifestyle. As a resident, you'll enjoy exclusive access to: Multiple lakes (motorboating and non-motorboating) Sandy beaches, Swimming pools, pristine golf course, private ski hill, Tennis courts, clubhouse and community amenities Whether you're searching for a peaceful vacation retreat, a full-time residence, or a profitable investment property, this charming chalet is your opportunity to create lasting memories.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$34,800
− Mortgage interest
−$12,884
− Property taxes
−$3,450
− Insurance
−$1,150
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,784
− Management
−$2,784
− HOA
−$2,160
− Depreciation
−$6,691
Taxable income
$2,898
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$695
After-tax cash flow
$5,563/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This charming 3-bedroom chalet in The Hideout is in good condition with updated appliances and a spacious layout. It's move-in ready with minor maintenance items to address.

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale Paint exterior trim — Enhances curb appeal and can increase property value
  • Rental Clean gutters — Keeps property in good condition and prevents water damage

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Resale Paint exterior trim — Enhances curb appeal and can increase property value
  • Rental Clean gutters — Keeps property in good condition and prevents water damage

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Western Wayne SD
NCES district ID
4226070
Math proficiency
39% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
63% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$51,358
Composite
43.65/100
National rank
#2964
State rank
#165 of 539 in PA

Livability — The Hideout

Score
72/100
State rank
#668
US rank
#6516

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
The Hideout, PA
Population (ZIP)
13,225

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
47,924 people
By 2030
46,191 · -3.6%
By 2040
42,815 · -10.7%
By 2050
39,873 · -16.8%
By 2075
34,556 · -27.9%
By 2100
28,358 · -40.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (95%)
Race & ethnicity
White 95% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 9% Scotch-Irish 2% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
4%
Languages at home
95% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Solid R (+37.1) · D 31.1% · R 68.2%
2008→2024 swing
-24.8pp toward R · 2008: -12.3pp · 2024: -37.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+37.1 2020: R+33.6 2016: R+39.7 2012: R+20.9 2008: R+12.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 47.95%
Current HPI
331.9645
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-7.1% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Price Changed $230,000 PMAR
  • 2026-05-06 Price Changed $235,000 PMAR
  • 2026-04-01 Price Changed $242,500 PMAR
  • 2026-03-06 Listed $247,500 PMAR

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…