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281 Sycamore Rd
D Composite 42.05
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +9.9/15.0
  • DSCR +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.1/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$282,500

281 Sycamore Rd · Elkton, MD 21921
3 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,080 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 3 Days on market
Built 1986 7,143 sqft lot $136/sqft · 5% below area Est $298k · 5% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

TOTALLY REMODELED 3 BR 3BTH FMRM W/ MINI KITCHEN, 2 ADDITIONAL ROOMS IN BSMT W/ SEPERATE HEAT AND A/C, CERAMIC FLOORS, FENCED IN BACKYARD, HARDTOP DRIVEWAY, LARGE SHED WITH ELECTRIC, MASTER BEDROOM W/ WALK IN CLOSET AND BATH, MASTERBR ALSO HAS GLASS DOOR LEADING TO LARGE DECK, ALL NEW STAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCES, SEPERATOR WASH AND DRYER AREA, BACKS TO A FARM GIVING YOU PEACEFUL VIEWS AND PRIVACY.

Key facts

  • Large windows
  • Private backyard
  • Ss appliances

Tags

UPDATED KITCHENPRIVATE BACKYARDBONUS LIVING SPACELARGE WINDOWSGENEROUS COUNTER SPACESS APPLIANCES

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway parking with space for two vehicles; Two total garage/parking spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Detached single-family home; Estimated effective renovation in 2014; Outside city limits
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Concrete perimeter foundation; Above-grade finished living area (estimated 2,080)
  • Exterior features: Paved driveway

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level
  • Bathrooms: Three full bathrooms (two on main level, one on lower level)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (electric); Heat pump cooling (electric); Electric hot water
  • Interior features: Finished basement with connecting stairway

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $282k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $31 ($370/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $228k (19.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $228k (19.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 4.1% in Elkton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#261 in MD) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A; Watch: crime F, commute F.
  • Cecil County Public Schools (rural): math 15% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #15 of 24 in MD (top 62%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Cecil Manor Elementary (math 12% / reading 12%, grade F, #550 of 860 statewide, top 66%, 424 students, 65% FRL); Elkton Middle (math 6% / reading 25%, grade F, #190 of 225 statewide, top 85%, 523 students, 74% FRL); Elkton High (math 32% / reading 58%, grade D-, #124 of 222 statewide, top 56%, 1,106 students, 62% FRL) — zoned schools average 67% FRL vs 37% district-wide (30 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.3%/yr); 206 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 563 units permitted in Cecil County in 2024 (330 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($86k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 13 sale attempts since 29y ago; this cycle's ask is 5% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $227,914 (19.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.81%
Cap rate
6.42%
Cash-on-cash
0.47%
DSCR
1.02
GRM
10.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$298,401
List price
$282,500
Delta
-5.33%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
281 Sycamore Rd 0.00mi 3/3.0 2,080 (0%) 1mo $282,500 $136 100
15 Peach Rd 0.31mi 3/2.5 1,850 (-11%) 2mo $339,900 $184 64
260 Chestnut Dr 0.71mi 3/2.0 2,067 (-1%) 8mo $350,000 $169 55
10 Stirrup Dr 0.52mi 3/2.5 2,124 (+2%) 24mo $373,900 $176 50
121 Chestnut Dr 0.68mi 3/2.5 1,834 (-12%) 14mo $370,000 $202 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.32% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-16.3%
Equity multiple
0.43×
Total profit
$-45,438
Equity at exit
$42,122
10-year hold
IRR
-9.2%
Equity multiple
0.45×
Total profit
$-43,622
Equity at exit
$24,425

Cash invested: $79,100 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
27 Tenant-Leaning
State Maryland
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Failure-to-pay is dismissed if cured before judgment; Baltimore has just-cause; strict deposit rules.

ZIP-level market 21921

Rents YoY
2.3%
Active inventory
206
Price-to-rent
10.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,279 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,481
Tax from tax record
$170 /mo · $2,046/yr
Insurance
$118
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$479
Net cashflow
$31

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,240
Max offer price $282,500
Occupancy floor 94%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $191 -5% $111 +0% $31 +5% $-49 +10% $-129
Rent -10% $-149 -5% $-59 +0% $31 +5% $121 +10% $211
Rate -1.0pp $173 -0.5pp $103 base $31 +0.5pp $-42 +1.0pp $-117

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$70,625
Closing costs
$8,475
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
525 S Twin Lakes Blvd Newark, DE 3.0 3.5 2075 $2,800 $1.35 26d 1 0.97mi

Listing history 39 events

  1. 2026-05-03
    status Pending 992-char remark
  2. 2026-05-02
    historical 992-char remark
  3. 2026-05-02
    price $282,500 992-char remark
  4. 2026-04-29
    listed $269,900 Active 992-char remark
  5. 2014-05-30
    soldstatus $165,000
  6. 2014-05-16
    soldstatus $165,000 Sold 399-char remark
    Show marketing remark (399 chars)

    TOTALLY REMODELED 3 BR 3BTH FMRM W/ MINI KITCHEN, 2 ADDITIONAL ROOMS IN BSMT W/ SEPERATE HEAT AND A/C, CERAMIC FLOORS, FENCED IN BACKYARD, HARDTOP DRIVEWAY, LARGE SHED WITH ELECTRIC, MASTER BEDROOM W/ WALK IN CLOSET AND BATH, MASTERBR ALSO HAS GLASS DOOR LEADING TO LARGE DECK, ALL NEW STAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCES, SEPERATOR WASH AND DRYER AREA, BACKS TO A FARM GIVING YOU PEACEFUL VIEWS AND PRIVACY.

  7. 2014-05-16
    soldstatus $165,000
    Show marketing remark (399 chars)

    TOTALLY REMODELED 3 BR 3BTH FMRM W/ MINI KITCHEN, 2 ADDITIONAL ROOMS IN BSMT W/ SEPERATE HEAT AND A/C, CERAMIC FLOORS, FENCED IN BACKYARD, HARDTOP DRIVEWAY, LARGE SHED WITH ELECTRIC, MASTER BEDROOM W/ WALK IN CLOSET AND BATH, MASTERBR ALSO HAS GLASS DOOR LEADING TO LARGE DECK, ALL NEW STAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCES, SEPERATOR WASH AND DRYER AREA, BACKS TO A FARM GIVING YOU PEACEFUL VIEWS AND PRIVACY.

  8. 2014-04-10
    status Contract 399-char remark
    Show marketing remark (399 chars)

    TOTALLY REMODELED 3 BR 3BTH FMRM W/ MINI KITCHEN, 2 ADDITIONAL ROOMS IN BSMT W/ SEPERATE HEAT AND A/C, CERAMIC FLOORS, FENCED IN BACKYARD, HARDTOP DRIVEWAY, LARGE SHED WITH ELECTRIC, MASTER BEDROOM W/ WALK IN CLOSET AND BATH, MASTERBR ALSO HAS GLASS DOOR LEADING TO LARGE DECK, ALL NEW STAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCES, SEPERATOR WASH AND DRYER AREA, BACKS TO A FARM GIVING YOU PEACEFUL VIEWS AND PRIVACY.

  9. 2014-04-10
    historical
    Show marketing remark (399 chars)

    TOTALLY REMODELED 3 BR 3BTH FMRM W/ MINI KITCHEN, 2 ADDITIONAL ROOMS IN BSMT W/ SEPERATE HEAT AND A/C, CERAMIC FLOORS, FENCED IN BACKYARD, HARDTOP DRIVEWAY, LARGE SHED WITH ELECTRIC, MASTER BEDROOM W/ WALK IN CLOSET AND BATH, MASTERBR ALSO HAS GLASS DOOR LEADING TO LARGE DECK, ALL NEW STAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCES, SEPERATOR WASH AND DRYER AREA, BACKS TO A FARM GIVING YOU PEACEFUL VIEWS AND PRIVACY.

  10. 2014-03-10
    listed $169,900 Active 399-char remark
    Show marketing remark (399 chars)

    TOTALLY REMODELED 3 BR 3BTH FMRM W/ MINI KITCHEN, 2 ADDITIONAL ROOMS IN BSMT W/ SEPERATE HEAT AND A/C, CERAMIC FLOORS, FENCED IN BACKYARD, HARDTOP DRIVEWAY, LARGE SHED WITH ELECTRIC, MASTER BEDROOM W/ WALK IN CLOSET AND BATH, MASTERBR ALSO HAS GLASS DOOR LEADING TO LARGE DECK, ALL NEW STAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCES, SEPERATOR WASH AND DRYER AREA, BACKS TO A FARM GIVING YOU PEACEFUL VIEWS AND PRIVACY.

  11. 2014-03-10
    listed $169,900
    Show marketing remark (399 chars)

    TOTALLY REMODELED 3 BR 3BTH FMRM W/ MINI KITCHEN, 2 ADDITIONAL ROOMS IN BSMT W/ SEPERATE HEAT AND A/C, CERAMIC FLOORS, FENCED IN BACKYARD, HARDTOP DRIVEWAY, LARGE SHED WITH ELECTRIC, MASTER BEDROOM W/ WALK IN CLOSET AND BATH, MASTERBR ALSO HAS GLASS DOOR LEADING TO LARGE DECK, ALL NEW STAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCES, SEPERATOR WASH AND DRYER AREA, BACKS TO A FARM GIVING YOU PEACEFUL VIEWS AND PRIVACY.

  12. 2013-05-23
    soldstatus $55,000
  13. 2013-05-10
    historical
  14. 2013-02-21
    listed $59,500
  15. 2002-10-07
    soldstatus $110,000
  16. 2002-08-28
    soldstatus $110,000
  17. 2002-07-25
    historical
  18. 2002-06-18
    listed $109,999
  19. 2000-09-27
    soldstatus $99,900
  20. 2000-06-28
    soldstatus $99,900
  21. 2000-06-02
    historical
  22. 2000-05-30
    listed $99,900
  23. 1999-06-07
    soldstatus $87,000
  24. 1999-05-24
    soldstatus $87,000
  25. 1999-04-09
    historical
  26. 1999-04-09
    historical
  27. 1998-11-30
    listed $87,000
  28. 1998-11-25
    listed $87,000
  29. 1998-10-28
    historical
  30. 1998-07-27
    historical
  31. 1998-07-06
    historical
  32. 1998-07-06
    listed $87,900
  33. 1998-07-06
    listed
  34. 1997-11-11
    listed
  35. 1997-10-17
    historical
  36. 1997-09-25
    listed
  37. 1997-09-16
    historical
  38. 1997-09-16
    listed $92,000
  39. 1991-06-24
    soldstatus $89,650

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,046 · $170/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,563 · $214/mo
Expected delta
+$517/yr (+$43/mo · 25.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,350
− Mortgage interest
−$15,824
− Property taxes
−$2,046
− Insurance
−$1,412
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,188
− Management
−$2,188
− Depreciation
−$8,218
Taxable loss
−$4,527
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,087
After-tax cash flow
$1,457/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Cecil County Public Schools
NCES district ID
2400240
Math proficiency
15% ▼ -21.00%
Reading proficiency
30% ▼ -15.00%
Median HH income
$66,544
Composite
21.51/100
National rank
#8322
State rank
#15 of 24 in MD

Livability — Elkton

Score
65/100
State rank
#261
US rank
#13293

Category grades

Amenities B+ Commute F Cost of living A Crime F Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Cecil County · 65,041 people
City population
45,527
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
Population (ZIP)
45,527
Household income
$85,775
Rent vs Own
30.2% rent · 69.8% own
Severe rent burden
1438.0

Population outlook (Cecil County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
105,877 people
By 2030
106,905 · +1.0%
By 2040
107,156 · +1.2%
By 2050
104,170 · -1.6%
By 2075
95,771 · -9.5%
By 2100
82,381 · -22.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (76%)
Race & ethnicity
White 76% Black 9% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Slovak 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cecil

2024 margin
Solid R (+30.9) · D 33.5% · R 64.4% · Other 2.1%
2008→2024 swing
-16.3pp toward R · 2008: -14.6pp · 2024: -30.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+30.9 2020: R+26.6 2016: R+35.3 2012: R+20.4 2008: R+14.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -192.67%
Current HPI
253.7641
Rent YoY
▲ 2.32%
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.97%
F500 in state
12

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+215.1% since first listed
40 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-05 Sold (MLS) $282,500 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-03 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-02 Price Changed $282,500 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-02 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-04-29 Listed $269,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2014-05-30 Sold (Public Records) $165,000 Public Records
  • 2014-05-16 Sold (MLS) $165,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2014-05-16 Sold (MLS) $165,000 MRIS
  • 2014-04-10 Pending MRIS
  • 2014-04-10 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2014-03-10 Listed $169,900 MRIS
  • 2014-03-10 Listed $169,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2013-05-23 Sold (MLS) $55,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2013-05-10 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2013-02-21 Listed $59,500 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2002-10-07 Sold (Public Records) $110,000 Public Records
  • 2002-08-28 Sold (MLS) $110,000 MRIS
  • 2002-07-25 Delisted MRIS
  • 2002-06-18 Listed $109,999 MRIS
  • 2000-09-27 Sold (Public Records) $99,900 Public Records
  • 2000-06-28 Sold (MLS) $99,900 MRIS
  • 2000-06-02 Delisted MRIS
  • 2000-05-30 Listed $99,900 MRIS
  • 1999-06-07 Sold (Public Records) $87,000 Public Records
  • 1999-05-24 Sold (MLS) $87,000 MRIS
  • 1999-04-09 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 1999-04-09 Delisted MRIS
  • 1998-11-30 Listed $87,000 MRIS
  • 1998-11-25 Listed $87,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 1998-10-28 Delisted MRIS
  • 1998-07-27 Delisted MRIS
  • 1998-07-06 Listed MRIS
  • 1998-07-06 Listed $87,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 1998-07-06 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 1997-11-11 Listed MRIS
  • 1997-10-17 Delisted MRIS
  • 1997-09-25 Listed MRIS
  • 1997-09-16 Listed $92,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 1997-09-16 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 1991-06-24 Sold (Public Records) $89,650 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,046 · +27.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…