281 Sycamore Rd · Elkton, MD
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $755 – $1,403
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.9/30.0
- ARV discount +9.9/15.0
- DSCR +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- 1% rule +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$282,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
TOTALLY REMODELED 3 BR 3BTH FMRM W/ MINI KITCHEN, 2 ADDITIONAL ROOMS IN BSMT W/ SEPERATE HEAT AND A/C, CERAMIC FLOORS, FENCED IN BACKYARD, HARDTOP DRIVEWAY, LARGE SHED WITH ELECTRIC, MASTER BEDROOM W/ WALK IN CLOSET AND BATH, MASTERBR ALSO HAS GLASS DOOR LEADING TO LARGE DECK, ALL NEW STAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCES, SEPERATOR WASH AND DRYER AREA, BACKS TO A FARM GIVING YOU PEACEFUL VIEWS AND PRIVACY.
Key facts
- Large windows
- Private backyard
- Ss appliances
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway parking with space for two vehicles; Two total garage/parking spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Detached single-family home; Estimated effective renovation in 2014; Outside city limits
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Concrete perimeter foundation; Above-grade finished living area (estimated 2,080)
- Exterior features: Paved driveway
Interior
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level
- Bathrooms: Three full bathrooms (two on main level, one on lower level)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (electric); Heat pump cooling (electric); Electric hot water
- Interior features: Finished basement with connecting stairway
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $282k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $31 ($370/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $228k (19.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $228k (19.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 4.1% in Elkton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#261 in MD) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A; Watch: crime F, commute F.
- Cecil County Public Schools (rural): math 15% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #15 of 24 in MD (top 62%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Cecil Manor Elementary (math 12% / reading 12%, grade F, #550 of 860 statewide, top 66%, 424 students, 65% FRL); Elkton Middle (math 6% / reading 25%, grade F, #190 of 225 statewide, top 85%, 523 students, 74% FRL); Elkton High (math 32% / reading 58%, grade D-, #124 of 222 statewide, top 56%, 1,106 students, 62% FRL) — zoned schools average 67% FRL vs 37% district-wide (30 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.3%/yr); 206 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 563 units permitted in Cecil County in 2024 (330 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($86k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 13 sale attempts since 29y ago; this cycle's ask is 5% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.81% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.42%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.47%
- DSCR
- 1.02
- GRM
- 10.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $298,401
- List price
- $282,500
- Delta
- -5.33%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 281 Sycamore Rd | 0.00mi | 3/3.0 | 2,080 (0%) | 1mo | $282,500 | $136 | 100 |
| 15 Peach Rd | 0.31mi | 3/2.5 | 1,850 (-11%) | 2mo | $339,900 | $184 | 64 |
| 260 Chestnut Dr | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 2,067 (-1%) | 8mo | $350,000 | $169 | 55 |
| 10 Stirrup Dr | 0.52mi | 3/2.5 | 2,124 (+2%) | 24mo | $373,900 | $176 | 50 |
| 121 Chestnut Dr | 0.68mi | 3/2.5 | 1,834 (-12%) | 14mo | $370,000 | $202 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.32% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.43×
- Total profit
- $-45,438
- Equity at exit
- $42,122
- IRR
- -9.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.45×
- Total profit
- $-43,622
- Equity at exit
- $24,425
Cash invested: $79,100 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 21921
- Rents YoY
- 2.3%
- Active inventory
- 206
- Price-to-rent
- 10.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,279 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,481
- Tax from tax record
- −$170 /mo · $2,046/yr
- Insurance
- −$118
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$479
- Net cashflow
- $31
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $191 | -5% $111 | +0% $31 | +5% $-49 | +10% $-129 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-149 | -5% $-59 | +0% $31 | +5% $121 | +10% $211 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $173 | -0.5pp $103 | base $31 | +0.5pp $-42 | +1.0pp $-117 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $70,625
- Closing costs
- $8,475
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 525 S Twin Lakes Blvd Newark, DE | 3.0 | 3.5 | 2075 | $2,800 | $1.35 | 26d | 1 | 0.97mi |
Listing history 39 events
-
2026-05-03status Pending 992-char remark
-
2026-05-02historical 992-char remark
-
2026-05-02price $282,500 992-char remark
-
2026-04-29$269,900 Active 992-char remark
-
2014-05-30soldstatus $165,000
-
2014-05-16soldstatus $165,000 Sold 399-char remark
Show marketing remark (399 chars)
TOTALLY REMODELED 3 BR 3BTH FMRM W/ MINI KITCHEN, 2 ADDITIONAL ROOMS IN BSMT W/ SEPERATE HEAT AND A/C, CERAMIC FLOORS, FENCED IN BACKYARD, HARDTOP DRIVEWAY, LARGE SHED WITH ELECTRIC, MASTER BEDROOM W/ WALK IN CLOSET AND BATH, MASTERBR ALSO HAS GLASS DOOR LEADING TO LARGE DECK, ALL NEW STAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCES, SEPERATOR WASH AND DRYER AREA, BACKS TO A FARM GIVING YOU PEACEFUL VIEWS AND PRIVACY.
-
2014-05-16soldstatus $165,000
Show marketing remark (399 chars)
TOTALLY REMODELED 3 BR 3BTH FMRM W/ MINI KITCHEN, 2 ADDITIONAL ROOMS IN BSMT W/ SEPERATE HEAT AND A/C, CERAMIC FLOORS, FENCED IN BACKYARD, HARDTOP DRIVEWAY, LARGE SHED WITH ELECTRIC, MASTER BEDROOM W/ WALK IN CLOSET AND BATH, MASTERBR ALSO HAS GLASS DOOR LEADING TO LARGE DECK, ALL NEW STAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCES, SEPERATOR WASH AND DRYER AREA, BACKS TO A FARM GIVING YOU PEACEFUL VIEWS AND PRIVACY.
-
2014-04-10status Contract 399-char remark
Show marketing remark (399 chars)
TOTALLY REMODELED 3 BR 3BTH FMRM W/ MINI KITCHEN, 2 ADDITIONAL ROOMS IN BSMT W/ SEPERATE HEAT AND A/C, CERAMIC FLOORS, FENCED IN BACKYARD, HARDTOP DRIVEWAY, LARGE SHED WITH ELECTRIC, MASTER BEDROOM W/ WALK IN CLOSET AND BATH, MASTERBR ALSO HAS GLASS DOOR LEADING TO LARGE DECK, ALL NEW STAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCES, SEPERATOR WASH AND DRYER AREA, BACKS TO A FARM GIVING YOU PEACEFUL VIEWS AND PRIVACY.
-
2014-04-10historical
Show marketing remark (399 chars)
TOTALLY REMODELED 3 BR 3BTH FMRM W/ MINI KITCHEN, 2 ADDITIONAL ROOMS IN BSMT W/ SEPERATE HEAT AND A/C, CERAMIC FLOORS, FENCED IN BACKYARD, HARDTOP DRIVEWAY, LARGE SHED WITH ELECTRIC, MASTER BEDROOM W/ WALK IN CLOSET AND BATH, MASTERBR ALSO HAS GLASS DOOR LEADING TO LARGE DECK, ALL NEW STAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCES, SEPERATOR WASH AND DRYER AREA, BACKS TO A FARM GIVING YOU PEACEFUL VIEWS AND PRIVACY.
-
2014-03-10$169,900 Active 399-char remark
Show marketing remark (399 chars)
TOTALLY REMODELED 3 BR 3BTH FMRM W/ MINI KITCHEN, 2 ADDITIONAL ROOMS IN BSMT W/ SEPERATE HEAT AND A/C, CERAMIC FLOORS, FENCED IN BACKYARD, HARDTOP DRIVEWAY, LARGE SHED WITH ELECTRIC, MASTER BEDROOM W/ WALK IN CLOSET AND BATH, MASTERBR ALSO HAS GLASS DOOR LEADING TO LARGE DECK, ALL NEW STAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCES, SEPERATOR WASH AND DRYER AREA, BACKS TO A FARM GIVING YOU PEACEFUL VIEWS AND PRIVACY.
-
2014-03-10$169,900
Show marketing remark (399 chars)
TOTALLY REMODELED 3 BR 3BTH FMRM W/ MINI KITCHEN, 2 ADDITIONAL ROOMS IN BSMT W/ SEPERATE HEAT AND A/C, CERAMIC FLOORS, FENCED IN BACKYARD, HARDTOP DRIVEWAY, LARGE SHED WITH ELECTRIC, MASTER BEDROOM W/ WALK IN CLOSET AND BATH, MASTERBR ALSO HAS GLASS DOOR LEADING TO LARGE DECK, ALL NEW STAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCES, SEPERATOR WASH AND DRYER AREA, BACKS TO A FARM GIVING YOU PEACEFUL VIEWS AND PRIVACY.
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2013-05-23soldstatus $55,000
-
2013-05-10historical
-
2013-02-21$59,500
-
2002-10-07soldstatus $110,000
-
2002-08-28soldstatus $110,000
-
2002-07-25historical
-
2002-06-18$109,999
-
2000-09-27soldstatus $99,900
-
2000-06-28soldstatus $99,900
-
2000-06-02historical
-
2000-05-30$99,900
-
1999-06-07soldstatus $87,000
-
1999-05-24soldstatus $87,000
-
1999-04-09historical
-
1999-04-09historical
-
1998-11-30$87,000
-
1998-11-25$87,000
-
1998-10-28historical
-
1998-07-27historical
-
1998-07-06historical
-
1998-07-06$87,900
-
1998-07-06
-
1997-11-11
-
1997-10-17historical
-
1997-09-25
-
1997-09-16historical
-
1997-09-16$92,000
-
1991-06-24soldstatus $89,650
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,046 · $170/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,563 · $214/mo
- Expected delta
- +$517/yr (+$43/mo · 25.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,350
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,824
- − Property taxes
- −$2,046
- − Insurance
- −$1,412
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,188
- − Management
- −$2,188
- − Depreciation
- −$8,218
- Taxable loss
- −$4,527
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,087
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,457/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Cecil County Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400240
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -21.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 30% ▼ -15.00%
- Median HH income
- $66,544
- Composite
- 21.51/100
- National rank
- #8322
- State rank
- #15 of 24 in MD
Livability — Elkton
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #261
- US rank
- #13293
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Cecil County · 65,041 people
- City population
- 45,527
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 45,527
- Household income
- $85,775
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1438.0
Population outlook (Cecil County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 105,877 people
- By 2030
- 106,905 · +1.0%
- By 2040
- 107,156 · +1.2%
- By 2050
- 104,170 · -1.6%
- By 2075
- 95,771 · -9.5%
- By 2100
- 82,381 · -22.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 76% Black 9% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Slovak 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cecil
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+30.9) · D 33.5% · R 64.4% · Other 2.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.3pp toward R · 2008: -14.6pp · 2024: -30.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+30.9 2020: R+26.6 2016: R+35.3 2012: R+20.4 2008: R+14.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -192.67%
- Current HPI
- 253.7641
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.32%
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
|
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| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
|
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Price history
+215.1% since first listed40 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-05 Sold (MLS) $282,500 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-03 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-02 Price Changed $282,500 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-02 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-29 Listed $269,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2014-05-30 Sold (Public Records) $165,000 Public Records
- 2014-05-16 Sold (MLS) $165,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2014-05-16 Sold (MLS) $165,000 MRIS
- 2014-04-10 Pending — MRIS
- 2014-04-10 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2014-03-10 Listed $169,900 MRIS
- 2014-03-10 Listed $169,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2013-05-23 Sold (MLS) $55,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2013-05-10 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2013-02-21 Listed $59,500 BRIGHT MLS
- 2002-10-07 Sold (Public Records) $110,000 Public Records
- 2002-08-28 Sold (MLS) $110,000 MRIS
- 2002-07-25 Delisted — MRIS
- 2002-06-18 Listed $109,999 MRIS
- 2000-09-27 Sold (Public Records) $99,900 Public Records
- 2000-06-28 Sold (MLS) $99,900 MRIS
- 2000-06-02 Delisted — MRIS
- 2000-05-30 Listed $99,900 MRIS
- 1999-06-07 Sold (Public Records) $87,000 Public Records
- 1999-05-24 Sold (MLS) $87,000 MRIS
- 1999-04-09 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 1999-04-09 Delisted — MRIS
- 1998-11-30 Listed $87,000 MRIS
- 1998-11-25 Listed $87,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 1998-10-28 Delisted — MRIS
- 1998-07-27 Delisted — MRIS
- 1998-07-06 Listed — MRIS
- 1998-07-06 Listed $87,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 1998-07-06 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 1997-11-11 Listed — MRIS
- 1997-10-17 Delisted — MRIS
- 1997-09-25 Listed — MRIS
- 1997-09-16 Listed $92,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 1997-09-16 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 1991-06-24 Sold (Public Records) $89,650 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.0%/yrLatest (2025): $2,046 · +27.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…