47 Poinsettia Dr · Fort Myers, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 29 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.4/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +8.4/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +4.3/5.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +1.8/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$91,800
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to this well-maintained 2-bedroom, 1.5-bath mobile home located in the desirable Poinsettia Park HOA. The open floor plan provides a seamless flow from the kitchen to the main living area, creating a bright and comfortable space ideal for everyday living or entertaining. Enjoy relaxing in the enclosed lanai, perfect for embracing the Florida lifestyle year-round. This home truly reflects pride of ownership throughout. Recent updates include a 3 year old TPO membrane roof, the carport was replaced at the same time with a composite panel roof giving you years of worry free maintenance. Offers a laundry room and workshop with additional storage. This home is being sold furnished for a
Key facts
- Open floor plan
- Newer roof
- Covered carport
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Senior community; 323 units in the community; Pets allowed with conditions (up to 2 pets, max 50 lbs)
- Financial info: Association fee: $246 monthly
- HOA & community: Homeowners association (monthly fee); Association fee includes cable TV, internet, grounds maintenance, recreation facilities, reserve fund, road maintenance, street lights, trash; Community amenities: clubhouse, pool, bocce court, billiard room, billiards, laundry, library, barbecue, picnic area, pickleball
Exterior
- Parking: Attached carport; 2 covered carport spaces
- Security: Security gate; Gated community; Key card entry
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available
- Home design: Manufactured home with aluminum siding; Single-story; Entry level 1; Faces south; Resale property
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Manufactured construction; Roof over
- Exterior features: Lanai; Porch; Screened porch; Community pool; Rectangular lot; Private paved road; Private maintained road; North exposure
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Eat-in kitchen
- Flooring: Laminate flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric); Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Tub with shower; Cable TV available; High-speed internet available; Single-hung windows; Furnished
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Common area laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $92k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $211 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $92k).
- Recommended offer: $81k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.1% vs local median 3.0% in Fort Myers — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 86/100 on livability (#14 in FL, #383 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+.
- Lee (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #42 of 73 in FL (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-3.0%/yr); 763 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 15,411 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (4,686 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $635 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lee County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 124 days — a 12% lower offer ($81k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→29/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 124 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.50% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.06%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.87%
- DSCR
- 1.44
- GRM
- 5.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.79×
- Total profit
- $-5,279
- Equity at exit
- $13,688
- IRR
- -1.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.92×
- Total profit
- $-2,161
- Equity at exit
- $7,937
Cash invested: $25,704 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33905
- Home prices YoY
- -31.4%
- Rents YoY
- -3.0%
- Active inventory
- 763
- Price-to-rent
- 5.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,376 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$481
- Tax from tax record
- −$110 /mo · $1,317/yr
- Insurance
- −$38
- HOA
- −$246
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$289
- Net cashflow
- $211
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $263 | -5% $237 | +0% $211 | +5% $185 | +10% $159 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $103 | -5% $157 | +0% $211 | +5% $266 | +10% $320 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $258 | -0.5pp $235 | base $211 | +0.5pp $188 | +1.0pp $163 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,950
- Closing costs
- $2,754
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 11 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3870 Calle De Jardin Fort Myers, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 952 | $1,229 | $1.29 | 24d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 3875 E Michigan Ave Fort Myers, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 710 | $1,621 | $2.28 | 15d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 4104 Desoto Ave Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,195 | $1.71 | 24d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 227 Maria St Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,095 | $1.52 | 24d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 221 Maria St Unit 225 Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,095 | $1.52 | 24d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 4900 Tice St Unit 5 Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $800 | $1.14 | 24d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 464 Carolina Ave Unit A Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 714 | $1,150 | $1.61 | 4d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 464 Carolina Ave Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $975 | $1.30 | 20d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 9145 Flying Eagle DR Tice, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1072 | $2,174 | $2.03 | 4d | 14 | 1.32mi |
| 3814 Desoto Ave Fort Myers, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $959 | $1.37 | 4d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 3744 Estelle Ave Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $999 | $1.38 | 24d | 1 | 1.47mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $246 · $2,952/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-17days on market $91,800 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $91,800 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $91,800 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $91,800 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $91,800 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $91,800 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $91,800 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $91,800 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $91,800 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $91,800 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-03-09price $91,800
-
2026-02-08$93,800 Active
-
1995-10-12soldstatus $6,600,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,317 · $110/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,317 · $110/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 29 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,508
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,142
- − Property taxes
- −$1,317
- − Insurance
- −$459
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,321
- − Management
- −$1,321
- − HOA
- −$2,952
- − Depreciation
- −$2,671
- Taxable income
- $1,325
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$318
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,218/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lee
- NCES district ID
- 1201080
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,518
- Composite
- 41.49/100
- National rank
- #3458
- State rank
- #42 of 73 in FL
Livability — Fort Myers
- Score
- 86/100
- State rank
- #14
- US rank
- #383
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Fort Myers, FL
- County
- Lee County · 788,662 people
- City population
- 278,598
- Metro
- Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 41,381
- Household income
- $71,987
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1358.0
Population outlook (Lee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 871,946 people
- By 2030
- 955,468 · +9.6%
- By 2040
- 1,113,587 · +27.7%
- By 2050
- 1,256,891 · +44.1%
- By 2075
- 1,560,270 · +78.9%
- By 2100
- 1,726,848 · +98.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 53% Hispanic / Latino 34% Two or more races 17% Black 9% Native American 4% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 11% Puerto Rican 5% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 20% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 68% English-only · Spanish 29% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lee
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+28.4) · D 35.5% · R 63.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.0pp toward R · 2008: -10.4pp · 2024: -28.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+28.4 2020: R+19.2 2016: R+20.4 2012: R+16.6 2008: R+10.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -122.89%
- Current HPI
- 268.4598
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -2.97%
- Metro
- Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
-98.6% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-09 Price Changed $91,800 FORTMLS
- 2026-02-08 Listed $93,800 FORTMLS
- 1995-10-12 Sold (Public Records) $6,600,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,317 · -1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…