4256 Oaklawn Dr · Jackson, MS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.2/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$110,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great investment opportunity. Currently has a tenant, great cash flowing property. Long term tenant, has been paying on time for many years. Can be bought as a package with MLS #315906
Key facts
- Granite countertops
- Fenced lot
- Concrete driveway
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: One covered carport; Concrete parking surface
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Cable available; Phone available
- Home design: Single family residence (house); One story; Public records used for living area and year built
- Construction: Brick and siding exterior; Asphalt shingle roof; Conventional foundation; Built in public-records era
- Exterior features: Patio; Partial fencing
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas cooktop; Oven; Refrigerator
- Flooring: Ceramic tile; Wood
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Insulated windows; Lighting
- Laundry & utility: Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $455 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $110k).
- Recommended offer: $107k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#66 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, employment F, health & safety F.
- Jackson Public School District (urban): math 9% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #112 of 130 in MS (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 88% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Green Elementary School (math 2% / reading 8%, grade F, #356 of 375 statewide, top 98%, 273 students, 100% FRL); Powell Middle School (math 3% / reading 6%, grade F, #177 of 179 statewide, top 99%, 320 students, 100% FRL); Callaway High School (math 3% / reading 10%, grade F, #191 of 197 statewide, top 97%, 923 students, 100% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.8%/yr); 119 active listings in the ZIP; 26 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 167 units permitted in Hinds County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 44% of the median local income ($43k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hinds County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.8% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($107k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.42% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.26%
- Cash-on-cash
- 17.73%
- DSCR
- 1.79
- GRM
- 5.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $71,624
- List price
- $110,000
- Delta
- 53.58%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 216 Pine Ridge Rd | 0.22mi | 3/1.5 | 1,421 (-6%) | 5mo | $124,900 | $88 | 73 |
| 4816 Maplewood Dr | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 | 1,510 (-0%) | 6mo | $76,720 | $51 | 73 |
| 130 Wacker Dr | 0.08mi | 3/1.0 | 1,302 (-14%) | 1mo | $35,000 | $27 | 68 |
| 4189 Del Rosa Dr | 0.37mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,550 (+2%) | 7mo | $83,000 | $54 | 68 |
| 670 Piermont St | 0.59mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,467 (-3%) | 3mo | $79,900 | $54 | 60 |
| 4636 Normandy Dr | 0.59mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,556 (+3%) | 5mo | $39,900 | $26 | 59 |
| 415 E Northside Dr | 0.70mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,486 (-2%) | 1mo | $50,000 | $34 | 58 |
| 729 Heather Ln | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 | 1,570 (+4%) | 6mo | $70,000 | $45 | 53 |
| 684 Heather Ln | 0.65mi | 3/1.5 | 1,400 (-8%) | 6mo | $50,000 | $36 | 50 |
| 521 Launcelot Rd | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 | 1,346 (-11%) | 6mo | $87,000 | $65 | 47 |
| 4650 Manila Dr | 0.52mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,732 (+14%) | 7mo | $169,000 | $98 | 41 |
| 610 Lawrence Rd | 0.73mi | 3/1.0 | 1,302 (-14%) | 4mo | $69,900 | $54 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.83% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 9.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.35×
- Total profit
- $10,928
- Equity at exit
- $16,401
- IRR
- 18.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.49×
- Total profit
- $45,886
- Equity at exit
- $9,511
Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 39206
- Home prices YoY
- -10.3%
- Rents YoY
- 2.8%
- Active inventory
- 119
- Price-to-rent
- 5.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,559 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$577
- Tax from tax record
- −$154 /mo · $1,850/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$327
- Net cashflow
- $455
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,500
- Closing costs
- $3,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 26 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 612 Heather Ln Jackson, MS | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1642 | $1,675 | $1.02 | 23d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 320 Lawrence Rd Jackson, MS | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1270 | $1,400 | $1.10 | 23d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 320 Lawrence Rd Jackson, MS | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1270 | $1,400 | $1.10 | 13d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 4858 Sheridan Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,550 | $1.19 | 23d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 508 Benning Rd Jackson, MS | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1216 | $1,400 | $1.15 | 43d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 508 Benning Rd Jackson, MS | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1216 | $1,400 | $1.15 | 13d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 521 Launcelot Rd Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1346 | $1,423 | $1.06 | 43d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 220 Melbourne Rd Jackson, MS | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1744 | $1,350 | $0.77 | 43d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 214 Melbourne Rd Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1207 | $1,500 | $1.24 | 43d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 341 E Northside Dr Jackson, MS | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1732 | $1,775 | $1.02 | 23d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 815 Berwood Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1248 | $1,300 | $1.04 | 43d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 200 Stillwood Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1088 | $1,300 | $1.19 | 13d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 200 Stillwood Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1088 | $1,300 | $1.19 | 43d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 701 Cedarhurst Dr Jackson, MS | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1419 | $1,250 | $0.88 | 23d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 4426 Desoto St Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1079 | $1,250 | $1.16 | 13d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 4426 Desoto St Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1079 | $1,250 | $1.16 | 23d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 622 Naples Rd Jackson, MS | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2210 | $1,650 | $0.75 | 23d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 963 Pine Lake Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1196 | $1,050 | $0.88 | 43d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 4627 Estelle Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1489 | $1,475 | $0.99 | 23d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 724 Meadowbrook Rd Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1593 | $2,150 | $1.35 | 43d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 4091 Pine Hill Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1551 | $3,000 | $1.93 | 23d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 5421 Crepe Myrtle Dr Jackson, MS | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1079 | $1,295 | $1.20 | 23d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 4220 Council Cir Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1780 | $1,850 | $1.04 | 23d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 4056 Redwing Ave Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1678 | $1,850 | $1.10 | 43d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 20 N Hill Pkwy Jackson, MS | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1046 | $1,100 | $1.05 | 13d | 31 | 1.33mi |
| 425 Beasley Rd Jackson, MS | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 995 | $885 | $0.89 | 13d | 3 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $110,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $110,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $110,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $110,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $110,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $110,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $110,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $110,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $110,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $110,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $110,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $110,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $110,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $110,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $110,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $110,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-05-15$110,000 Active 948-char remark
-
2022-08-17price $1,400
-
2022-07-01soldstatus
-
2019-02-06soldstatus 184-char remark
Show marketing remark (184 chars)
Great investment opportunity. Currently has a tenant, great cash flowing property. Long term tenant, has been paying on time for many years. Can be bought as a package with MLS #315906
-
2019-01-15$35,000 184-char remark
Show marketing remark (184 chars)
Great investment opportunity. Currently has a tenant, great cash flowing property. Long term tenant, has been paying on time for many years. Can be bought as a package with MLS #315906
-
2017-03-01soldstatus
-
2015-10-29soldstatus
-
1998-09-30soldstatus
-
1996-08-21soldstatus
-
1993-03-30soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,850 · $154/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,850 · $154/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 6 d/yr ≥108°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,713
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,162
- − Property taxes
- −$1,850
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,497
- − Management
- −$1,497
- − Depreciation
- −$3,200
- Taxable income
- $3,957
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$950
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,511/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jackson Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2802190
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 18% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,234
- Composite
- 10.89/100
- National rank
- #9755
- State rank
- #112 of 130 in MS
Livability — Jackson
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #66
- US rank
- #9695
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Jackson, MS
- County
- Hinds County · 167,040 people
- City population
- 140,204
- Metro
- Jackson, MS
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,257
- Household income
- $42,686
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1554.0
Population outlook (Hinds County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 242,528 people
- By 2030
- 241,113 · -0.6%
- By 2040
- 235,557 · -2.9%
- By 2050
- 226,946 · -6.4%
- By 2075
- 199,995 · -17.5%
- By 2100
- 164,165 · -32.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 85% White 9% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Hinds
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+46.1) · D 72.4% · R 26.3% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.1pp toward D · 2008: 39.0pp · 2024: 46.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+46.1 2020: D+48.3 2016: D+43.7 2012: D+45.1 2008: D+39.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -22.38%
- Current HPI
- 194.5873
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.83%
- Metro
- Jackson, MS
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+214.3% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Listed $110,000 MLSU
- 2022-08-17 Price Changed $1,400 RENT.
- 2022-07-01 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2019-02-06 Sold (MLS) — MLSU
- 2019-01-15 Listed $35,000 MLSU
- 2017-03-01 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2015-10-29 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1998-09-30 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1996-08-21 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1993-03-30 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+1.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,850 · +1.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…