24414 University Ave #108 · Loma Linda, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 25 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 31 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.0/30.0
- DSCR +8.7/10.0
- 1% rule +6.9/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$205,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This manufactured home is down the street from LLUMC / VA Hospital, Hospitality Lane and 215/10 Freeways. This is a well taken care of park and this home has 3 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms. The kitchen is fully upgraded with quartz counter tops, new cabinets and appliances. All upgraded beautiful HDF hardwood flooring. There is a nice sized dining area. Along with a living room that overlooks the kitchen. There is also a family room. All 3 bedrooms are well sized rooms. The 2 bathrooms are full bathrooms. Plus and individual indoor laundry room. The front porch is nice and roomy. This home maybe the only one with a raised backyard patio with privacy. The large carport can fit 2-3 vehicles. It has great curb appeal. This is a must see unit. The furniture is negotiable as well.
Key facts
- New cabinets
- New appliances
- Quartz counter tops
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $205k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $508 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $205k).
- Recommended offer: $187k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.3% vs local median 2.7% in Loma Linda — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#335 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+; Watch: employment C-, health & safety C-, amenities D-.
- Colton Joint Unified (suburban): math 16% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #373 of 517 in CA (top 72%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.7%/yr); 53 active listings in the ZIP; 29 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 5,458 units permitted in San Bernardino County in 2024 (1,500 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($84k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- San Bernardino County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 98 days — a 9% lower offer ($187k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 98 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.19% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.27%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.63%
- DSCR
- 1.47
- GRM
- 7.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $152,707
- List price
- $205,000
- Delta
- 34.24%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 9 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24414 University Ave #53 | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 | 1,440 (+1%) | 0mo | $169,000 | $117 | 91 |
| 24414 University Ave #123 | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 | 1,440 (+1%) | 3mo | $124,000 | $86 | 89 |
| 24414 University Ave #150 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,296 (-9%) | 4mo | $220,000 | $170 | 82 |
| 24414 University Ave #104 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,344 (-6%) | 10mo | $155,000 | $115 | 78 |
| 24414 University Ave #145 | 0.14mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,344 (-6%) | 5mo | $115,000 | $86 | 75 |
| 24414 University Ave #46 | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 | 1,344 (-6%) | 13mo | $165,000 | $123 | 73 |
| 24414 University Ave #13 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,584 (+11%) | 11mo | $176,900 | $112 | 72 |
| 24414-12 University Ave #12 | 0.14mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,344 (-6%) | 12mo | $140,000 | $104 | 69 |
| 24414 University Ave #142 | 0.15mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,560 (+10%) | 7mo | $150,000 | $96 | 66 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.74% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.97×
- Total profit
- $-1,440
- Equity at exit
- $30,566
- IRR
- 8.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.66×
- Total profit
- $37,992
- Equity at exit
- $17,725
Cash invested: $57,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 92354
- Rents YoY
- 2.7%
- Active inventory
- 53
- Price-to-rent
- 7.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,437 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,075
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$256 /mo · $3,075/yr
- Insurance
- −$85
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$512
- Net cashflow
- $508
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $51,250
- Closing costs
- $6,150
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 29 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24458 University Ave Loma Linda, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1035 | $2,500 | $2.42 | 15d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 10979 Rincon St Loma Linda, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,750 | $1.75 | 43d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 10932 Rincon St Unit 10934 Loma Linda, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,850 | $2.06 | 15d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 24570 Stewart St Loma Linda, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 935 | $1,972 | $2.11 | 43d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 11171 Oakwood Dr Loma Linda, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 801 | $2,330 | $2.91 | 16d | 14 | 0.27mi |
| 11286 San Mateo Dr Loma Linda, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $2,800 | $2.55 | 1d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 11444 Campus St Unit A Loma Linda, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $3,000 | $3.00 | 1d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 116 N Plymouth Way San Bernardino, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1459 | $3,100 | $2.12 | 43d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 11170 Richmont Rd Loma Linda, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,995 | $2.22 | 43d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 10670 Ohio St Unit A Loma Linda, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,900 | $2.11 | 24d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 1333 Reche Canyon Rd Colton, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 935 | $2,064 | $2.21 | 2d | 10 | 1.00mi |
| 25181 Starr St Unit 181 Loma Linda, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,975 | $1.52 | 18d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 25193 Starr St Loma Linda, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $2,095 | $2.33 | 43d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 25145 Daisy Ave Loma Linda, CA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1621 | $3,600 | $2.22 | 11d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 2255 Cahuilla St Colton, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 982 | $2,195 | $2.24 | 24d | 3 | 1.09mi |
| 2255 Cahuilla St Colton, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 989 | $2,350 | $2.38 | 2d | 3 | 1.09mi |
| 2255 Cahuilla St Colton, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 978 | $2,095 | $2.14 | 5d | 4 | 1.09mi |
| 10623 Poplar St Unit 3 Loma Linda, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $2,000 | $2.11 | 24d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 1170 Mohave Dr Colton, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1472 | $2,295 | $1.56 | 24d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 2270 Cahuilla St Colton, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 820 | $2,095 | $2.55 | 3d | 9 | 1.13mi |
| 62 Willa St Loma Linda, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $2,500 | $1.92 | 1d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 1189 Mohave Dr Colton, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1272 | $2,500 | $1.97 | 43d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 1314 E Laurelwood Dr San Bernardino, CA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1150 | $2,800 | $2.43 | 1d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 10740 Coloma St Loma Linda, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1332 | $3,100 | $2.33 | 18d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 1140 Valley Spring Ln Colton, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $3,100 | $2.07 | 24d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 1446 E Laurelwood Dr San Bernardino, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1820 | $3,450 | $1.90 | 1d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 1423 Willow Tree Ln San Bernardino, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1101 | $2,495 | $2.27 | 43d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 10540 Coloma St Loma Linda, CA | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1197 | $2,500 | $2.09 | 43d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 25590 Prospect Ave Loma Linda, CA | 2.0–3.0 | 2.5 | 1125 | $2,850 | $2.53 | 1d | 11 | 1.41mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $205,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $205,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $205,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $205,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $205,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $205,000 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $205,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $205,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $205,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $205,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $205,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $205,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $205,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $205,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-03-12$205,000 Active 787-char remark
Show marketing remark (787 chars)
This manufactured home is down the street from LLUMC / VA Hospital, Hospitality Lane and 215/10 Freeways. This is a well taken care of park and this home has 3 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms. The kitchen is fully upgraded with quartz counter tops, new cabinets and appliances. All upgraded beautiful HDF hardwood flooring. There is a nice sized dining area. Along with a living room that overlooks the kitchen. There is also a family room. All 3 bedrooms are well sized rooms. The 2 bathrooms are full bathrooms. Plus and individual indoor laundry room. The front porch is nice and roomy. This home maybe the only one with a raised backyard patio with privacy. The large carport can fit 2-3 vehicles. It has great curb appeal. This is a must see unit. The furniture is negotiable as well.
-
2026-02-07historical
-
2025-08-15$195,000 Active
-
2025-08-15historical
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 25 unhealthy d/yr today · 31 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,242
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,483
- − Property taxes
- −$3,075
- − Insurance
- −$1,025
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,339
- − Management
- −$2,339
- − Depreciation
- −$5,964
- Taxable income
- $3,016
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$724
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,376/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Colton Joint Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0609390
- Math proficiency
- 16% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 38% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,178
- Composite
- 23.74/100
- National rank
- #7820
- State rank
- #373 of 517 in CA
Livability — Loma Linda
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #335
- US rank
- #11546
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Loma Linda, CA
- County
- San Bernardino County · 2,030,291 people
- City population
- 22,051
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,051
- Household income
- $83,847
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1375.0
Population outlook (San Bernardino County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,300,329 people
- By 2030
- 2,378,907 · +3.4%
- By 2040
- 2,523,137 · +9.7%
- By 2050
- 2,642,388 · +14.9%
- By 2075
- 2,880,769 · +25.2%
- By 2100
- 2,909,436 · +26.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.75)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 31% Hispanic / Latino 28% Asian 27% Two or more races 12% Black 10% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 20%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Iranian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 28% · Canada, South Korea, China
- Languages at home
- 55% English-only · Spanish 18% Other Asian/Pacific 8% Tagalog/Filipino 5%
Political lean MEDSL · San Bernardino
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.5% · R 49.7% · Other 2.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.5pp toward R · 2008: 6.3pp · 2024: -2.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+2.1 2020: D+10.7 2016: D+9.8 2012: D+5.4 2008: D+6.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -395.36%
- Current HPI
- 362.4305
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.74%
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
+5.1% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-12 Listed $205,000 CRMLS
- 2026-02-07 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2025-08-15 Listed $195,000 CRMLS
- 2025-08-15 Coming Soon — CRMLS
Property tax history
-4.9%/yrLatest (2025): $141 · -54.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…