1251 Baldridge Dr · Lilburn, GA 30044

$168,500

3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,746 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 1 Days on market

Built 1988 8,712 sqft lot $33/mo HOA · 2% of rent

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Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +28.2/30.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• 1% rule +7.0/10.0
• Schools +3.7/10.0
• Livability +3.6/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Rent growth +1.8/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Key facts

• 8,712 sq ft lot
• 2 garage spots
• Community pool

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Located on asphalt road; directions: use GPS; Situated in Gwinnett County
• HOA & community: Annual association fee of $397; Association maintains grounds and provides access to a community pool and tennis courts; Homeowners association present

Exterior

• Parking: Attached front-facing garage with 2 spaces
• Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; 110-volt electric; Cable available; Electricity available; Natural gas available; Sewer available
• Home design: One-and-one-half story layout; Fixer condition
• Construction: Brick and lap siding exterior; Composition roof; Slab foundation; Built with traditional construction materials
• Exterior features: Front porch; Patio; No shared/common walls

Interior

• Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric oven
• Bedrooms: Three upper-level bedrooms
• Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One half bathroom (main level)
• Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
• Interior features: One fireplace located in the family room; Insulated windows; Open-concept dining area; Living room
• Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $168k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $536 ($6k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $168k).
• Cap rate 10.1% vs local median 3.5% in Lilburn — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 72/100 on livability (#61 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living A, amenities B; Watch: commute F.
• Gwinnett County (suburban): math 39% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #32 of 174 in GA (top 18%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Kanoheda Elementary School (math 32% / reading 34%, grade F, #567 of 1,228 statewide, top 47%, 890 students, 83% FRL); Sweetwater Middle School (math 26% / reading 35%, grade F, #240 of 470 statewide, top 51%, 1,480 students, 85% FRL); Berkmar High School (math 2% / reading 8%, grade F, #394 of 424 statewide, top 97%, 3,029 students, 76% FRL) — zoned schools average 81% FRL vs 47% district-wide (34 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Zoned-school proficiency averages 23% at this address vs 41% district-wide (-18 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Gwinnett County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
• Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.8%/yr); 397 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 5,607 units permitted in Gwinnett County in 2024 (1,277 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($77k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Gwinnett County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $168,500

Questions for the listing agent

1. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.20% ✓
• Cap rate: 10.11%
• Cash-on-cash: 13.63%
• DSCR: 1.61
• GRM: 7.0

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $364,914
• Comps found: 12

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
1230 Hampton Hill Ct	0.41mi	3/2.5	1,722 (-1%)	6mo	$345,000	$200	74
1510 Lyon Way Dr	0.46mi	3/2.5	1,749 (+0%)	9mo	$450,000	$257	71
2619 Porter Dr	0.41mi	3/2.0	1,616 (-7%)	1mo	$325,000	$201	66
1017 Memory Ln	0.47mi	3/2.0	1,680 (-4%)	8mo	$350,000	$208	63
1035 Dominion Ct	0.53mi	4/2.5 (+1)	1,678 (-4%)	4mo	$359,900	$214	60
2618 Porter Dr	0.44mi	3/2.5	1,568 (-10%)	4mo	$290,000	$185	59
1255 Avalon Dr	0.43mi	3/2.0	1,592 (-9%)	8mo	$358,000	$225	56
1375 Avalon Dr	0.34mi	3/2.0	1,503 (-14%)	4mo	$339,000	$226	55
2688 Porter Dr	0.51mi	4/3.0 (+1)	1,870 (+7%)	3mo	$335,000	$179	55
1151 Holly Cir	0.47mi	3/2.5	1,532 (-12%)	6mo	$319,900	$209	52
1020 Hampton Hill Ct	0.57mi	3/2.5	1,528 (-12%)	1mo	$323,000	$211	52
980 Hampton Hill Ct	0.59mi	3/3.0	1,488 (-15%)	1mo	$299,000	$201	45

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 0.5%
• Equity multiple: 1.02×
• Total profit: $880
• Equity at exit: $25,124

10-year hold

• IRR: 7.0%
• Equity multiple: 1.46×
• Total profit: $21,748
• Equity at exit: $14,569

Cash invested: $47,180 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Georgia: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 30044

• Rents YoY: -2.8%
• Active inventory: 397
• Price-to-rent: 7.0×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,014 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$884
• Tax from tax record: −$68 /mo · $818/yr
• Insurance: −$70
• HOA: −$33
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$423
• Net cashflow: $536

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,335

Max offer price $168,500

Occupancy floor 68%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $42,125
• Closing costs: $5,055
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 40 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
1286 Britain Dr NW Lawrenceville, GA	2.0	2.0	1265	$1,600	$1.26	5d	1	0.18mi
1268 Britain Dr NW Lawrenceville, GA	2.0	2.0	1200	$1,425	$1.19	15d	1	0.18mi
1181 Izod Ct Lawrenceville, GA	3.0	2.5	1766	$2,200	$1.25	24d	1	0.28mi
100 Veranda Chase Dr Lawrenceville, GA	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	1297	$2,139	$1.65	1d	22	0.28mi
1205 Empire Cir Lawrenceville, GA	3.0	2.5	1847	$1,700	$0.92	13d	1	0.34mi
1174 Empire Cir Lawrenceville, GA	4.0	2.5	1866	$2,200	$1.18	44d	1	0.39mi
1470 Boggs Rd Duluth, GA	3.0–4.0	2.0–3.0	1447	$1,681	$1.16	3d	19	0.40mi
2906 Old Norcross Rd Duluth, GA	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.5	1360	$2,049	$1.51	2d	27	0.49mi
3111 Linden Dr Lawrenceville, GA	3.0	2.5	1814	$2,000	$1.10	24d	1	0.53mi
3131 Linden Dr Lawrenceville, GA	3.0	2.5	1496	$2,081	$1.39	5d	1	0.54mi
1011 Hampton Hill Ct Lawrenceville, GA	3.0	3.0	1578	$1,845	$1.17	21d	1	0.58mi
1011 Hampton Hill Ct Lawrenceville, GA	3.0	2.5	1578	$1,845	$1.17	44d	1	0.58mi
2800 Herrington Woods Ct Lawrenceville, GA	1.0–4.0	1.0–3.0	1090	$1,892	$1.73	2d	14	0.58mi
790 Hampton Hill Ct Lawrenceville, GA	2.0	2.5	1502	$1,900	$1.26	19d	1	0.58mi
790 Hampton Hill Ct Lawrenceville, GA	3.0	2.5	1502	$1,900	$1.26	17d	1	0.58mi
790 Hampton Hill Ct Lawrenceville, GA	3.0	2.5	1502	$1,900	$1.26	24d	1	0.58mi
3615 Shore Wood Ave Lawrenceville, GA	3.0	2.5	1888	$2,380	$1.26	44d	1	0.60mi
1161 Primrose View Cir Lawrenceville, GA	2.0	2.5	1550	$1,750	$1.13	24d	1	0.61mi
1161 Primrose View Cir NW #1161 Lawrenceville, GA	2.0	3.0	1530	$1,750	$1.14	22d	1	0.61mi
3635 Shore Wood Ave Lawrenceville, GA	3.0	2.5	1742	$2,300	$1.32	44d	1	0.61mi
1212 Primrose View Cir Lawrenceville, GA	2.0	2.5	1450	$1,800	$1.24	44d	1	0.63mi
4738 Red Lion Pl Lawrenceville, GA	4.0	3.0	2160	$2,790	$1.29	24d	1	0.63mi
1475 Boggs Rd Duluth, GA	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	950	$1,577	$1.66	1d	22	0.64mi
1500 Boggs Rd Duluth, GA	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	1007	$2,007	$1.99	1d	39	0.64mi
2995 Meadow Wood Ct Lawrenceville, GA	3.0	2.5	1344	$2,250	$1.67	13d	1	0.64mi
2100 Arbor Dr Duluth, GA	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	1078	$1,844	$1.71	3d	26	0.66mi
2945 Cruse Rd Lawrenceville, GA	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	1100	$2,194	$1.99	1d	15	0.69mi
1265 Herrington Rd Lawrenceville, GA	4.0	2.5	1852	$2,200	$1.19	18d	1	0.71mi
3110 Dowry Dr Lawrenceville, GA	3.0	2.0	1536	$1,550	$1.01	13d	1	0.71mi
2490 Emma Way Lawrenceville, GA	3.0	2.5	1952	$2,250	$1.15	4d	1	0.74mi
2485 Emma Way Lawrenceville, GA	3.0	2.5	1698	$2,000	$1.18	44d	1	0.74mi
4264 Holland Grove Rd Lawrenceville, GA	3.0	2.5	1880	$2,400	$1.28	44d	1	0.76mi
4264 Holland Grove Rd Lawrenceville, GA	3.0	2.5	1880	$2,500	$1.33	21d	1	0.76mi
960 Melrose Park Pl Lawrenceville, GA	3.0	2.5	1480	$2,100	$1.42	24d	1	0.82mi
3275 Long Iron Pl Lawrenceville, GA	2.0	2.5	1232	$1,750	$1.42	44d	1	0.83mi
3100 Sweetwater Rd Lawrenceville, GA	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	1040	$1,763	$1.70	2d	26	0.86mi
2580 Binghampton Ln Lawrenceville, GA	3.0	2.5	1848	$2,300	$1.24	24d	1	0.86mi
3090 Meadowview Ln Lawrenceville, GA	3.0	2.0	1392	$2,021	$1.45	2d	1	0.88mi
970 Meadow Walk Ave Lawrenceville, GA	3.0	2.0	1581	$1,950	$1.23	5d	1	0.89mi
1399 Herrington Rd Lawrenceville, GA	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	984	$1,994	$2.03	1d	21	0.91mi

HOA detail

• Monthly dues: $33 · $396/yr

Listing history 1 events

1. 2026-06-18
   listed $168,500 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $818 · $68/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,550 · $129/mo
• Expected delta: +$732/yr (+$61/mo · 89.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 17% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $24,163
• − Mortgage interest: −$9,439
• − Property taxes: −$818
• − Insurance: −$842
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,933
• − Management: −$1,933
• − HOA: −$396
• − Depreciation: −$4,902
• Taxable income: $3,900
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$936
• After-tax cash flow: $5,493/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Gwinnett County
• NCES district ID: 1302550
• Math proficiency: 39% ▼ -15.00%
• Reading proficiency: 43% ▼ -10.00%
• Median HH income: $62,416
• Composite: 36.5/100
• National rank: #4648
• State rank: #32 of 174 in GA

Livability — Lilburn

• Score: 72/100
• State rank: #61
• US rank: #5949

Category grades

Amenities B Commute F Cost of living A Crime B- Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: Gwinnett County · 952,346 people
• City population: 70,121
• Metro: Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
• Population (ZIP): 101,475
• Household income: $77,321
• Rent vs Own: 38.1% rent · 61.9% own
• Severe rent burden: 3075.0

Population outlook (Gwinnett County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 1,106,028 people
• By 2030: 1,211,414 · +9.5%
• By 2040: 1,422,277 · +28.6%
• By 2050: 1,623,204 · +46.8%
• By 2075: 2,105,240 · +90.3%
• By 2100: 2,443,321 · +120.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.75)
• Race & ethnicity: Hispanic / Latino 32% Black 28% White 21% Asian 14% Two or more races 12%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 13% Puerto Rican 2% Dominican 2%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 1% Romanian 1% Italian 1%
• Foreign-born: 34% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
• Languages at home: 54% English-only · Spanish 30% Vietnamese 5% Other Indo-European 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Gwinnett

• 2024 margin: D (+16.5) · D 57.6% · R 41.1% · Other 1.2%
• 2008→2024 swing: +26.8pp toward D · 2008: -10.2pp · 2024: 16.5pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+16.5 2020: D+18.3 2016: D+5.8 2012: R+9.4 2008: R+10.2

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -304.00%
• Current HPI: 241.2788
• Rent YoY: ▼ -2.78%
• Metro: Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.66%
• F500 in state: 28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Paper / Packaging	2	$29B
▸Retail	1	$160B
▸Transportation / Logistics	1	$91B
▸Airlines	1	$62B
▸Consumer Goods	1	$47B
▸Utilities	1	$25B

Price history

1 event — show timeline

• 2026-06-16 Listed $168,500 FMLS

Property tax history

-4.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $818 · +23.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.