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76 Armadillo Run
B+ Composite 75.33
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.6/10.0
  • Appreciation +7.9/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +3.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$72,000

76 Armadillo Run · Hortense, GA 31543
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 784 sqft · Other · 164 Days on market
Built 1984 1.70 ac lot ↓ 20% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Looking for land with options? This 1.7-acre double lot features a single wide home and two power poles already installed, providing excellent potential for expansion or future development. With ample space and utilities ready, this property is well-suited for investors, multi-home setups (where permitted), or buyers seeking privacy and flexibility. Bring your vision and make this property work for you.

Key facts

  • Privacy
  • Two power poles
  • Multi-home setups

Tags

1.7-ACRE DOUBLE LOTTWO POWER POLESUTILITIES READYMULTI-HOME SETUPSPRIVACYFLEXIBILITY

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Annual taxes approximately $229.16 (2024)

Exterior

  • Exterior features: 1.7-acre lot

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Interior features: 5 total rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $72k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $337 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($979 rent vs $72k).
  • Recommended offer: $63k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Brantley County (rural): math 48% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #26 of 174 in GA (top 15%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 43 active listings in the ZIP; 49 units permitted in Brantley County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $5k of equity ($498 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (5.9% local appreciation)).
  • Brantley County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (5.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 164 days — a 12% lower offer ($63k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $18k (20%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $63,360 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 164 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.36%
Cap rate
11.91%
Cash-on-cash
20.08%
DSCR
1.89
GRM
6.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

5.9% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
32.0%
Equity multiple
3.07×
Total profit
$41,816
Equity at exit
$44,805
10-year hold
IRR
29.8%
Equity multiple
6.27×
Total profit
$106,248
Equity at exit
$80,859

Cash invested: $20,160 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 31543

Home prices YoY
3.7%
Active inventory
43
Price-to-rent
6.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$979 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$378
Tax from tax record
$28 /mo · $342/yr
Insurance
$30
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$206
Net cashflow
$337

Break-even live

Break-even rent $552
Max offer price $72,000
Occupancy floor 61%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,000
Closing costs
$2,160
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $72,000 Active 164 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $72,000 Active 163 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $72,000 Active 162 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $72,000 Active 161 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $72,000 Active 159 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $72,000 Active 158 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $72,000 Active 155 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $72,000 Active 154 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $72,000 Active 153 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $72,000 Active 152 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $72,000 Active 149 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $72,000 Active 148 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $72,000 Active 147 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $72,000 Active 146 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $72,000 Active 145 DOM
  16. 2026-05-19
    status Active
  17. 2026-04-07
    historical Active Under Contract
  18. 2026-02-24
    price $72,000
  19. 2026-01-21
    price $80,000
  20. 2026-01-05
    listed $89,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$342 · $28/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$662 · $55/mo
Expected delta
+$321/yr (+$27/mo · 93.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 8/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,746
− Mortgage interest
−$4,033
− Property taxes
−$342
− Insurance
−$360
− Repairs & maintenance
−$940
− Management
−$940
− Depreciation
−$2,095
Taxable income
$3,038
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$729
After-tax cash flow
$3,318/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Brantley County
NCES district ID
1300480
Math proficiency
48% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$37,053
Composite
37.85/100
National rank
#4328
State rank
#26 of 174 in GA

Livability — Hortense

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
4,914

Population outlook (Brantley County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
18,422 people
By 2030
18,220 · -1.1%
By 2040
17,441 · -5.3%
By 2050
16,044 · -12.9%
By 2075
11,707 · -36.5%
By 2100
7,006 · -62.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (91%)
Race & ethnicity
White 91% Black 5% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Scotch-Irish 1% Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada

Political lean MEDSL · Brantley

2024 margin
Solid R (+82.5) · D 8.7% · R 91.1%
2008→2024 swing
-19.4pp toward R · 2008: -63.1pp · 2024: -82.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+82.5 2020: R+81.2 2016: R+78.6 2012: R+67.0 2008: R+63.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 5.90%
Current HPI
167.0028
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-19.9% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Relisted GIAR
  • 2026-04-07 Contingent GIAR
  • 2026-02-24 Price Changed $72,000 GIAR
  • 2026-01-21 Price Changed $80,000 GIAR
  • 2026-01-05 Listed $89,900 GIAR

Property tax history

+0.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $342 · +49.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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