12 Connecticut Ave · Hampton Manor, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 7.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.2/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.4/10.0
- Schools +6.1/10.0
- 1% rule +6.0/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$220,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Sold before print. Good Condition
Key facts
- Wood floors
- Full bathroom
- Updated kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage (1 garage space); Total of 3 parking spaces; Off-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single family residence; Level lot
- Construction: Aluminum and shingle siding; Asphalt roof
- Exterior features: Front porch; Deck; Back yard with chain link fencing; Paved driveway; Exterior lighting; Detached garage structure
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Dishwasher; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the first floor
- Flooring: Wood flooring
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom (first floor); One half bathroom (basement)
- Heating & cooling: Baseboard hot water heating; Natural gas heating
- Interior features: Updated/remodeled interior; 6 total rooms; Full basement with interior entry; Driveway is paved and exterior lighting present
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included; Laundry located in the basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $220k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $276 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $220k).
- Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 1.9% in Hampton Manor — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#189 in NY, #2,794 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- East Greenbush Central School District (suburban): math 68% / reading 71% proficiency, ranked #132 of 590 in NY (top 22%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 15% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Columbia High School (math 97% / reading 87%, grade A+, #171 of 1,100 statewide, top 18%, 1,252 students, 27% FRL).
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 92% at this address vs 70% district-wide (+22 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the East Greenbush Central School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 102 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 405 units permitted in Rensselaer County in 2024 (224 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($91k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Rensselaer County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $110k; list at $220k implies a 100% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.10% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.80%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.37%
- DSCR
- 1.24
- GRM
- 7.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $274,043
- List price
- $220,000
- Delta
- -19.72%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Rhode Island Ave | 0.03mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 884 (+6%) | 2mo | $236,000 | $267 | 82 |
| 38 Genesee Ave | 0.20mi | 3/1.0 | 864 (+4%) | 16mo | $223,100 | $258 | 69 |
| 231 Washington Ave E | 0.42mi | 3/1.0 | 875 (+5%) | 3mo | $180,000 | $206 | 67 |
| 12 New Hampshire Ave | 0.21mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 800 (-4%) | 12mo | $185,000 | $231 | 67 |
| 305 E Madison Ave | 0.54mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 882 (+6%) | 10mo | $211,000 | $239 | 49 |
| 379 Eastern Ave Ave | 0.61mi | 3/1.0 | 950 (+14%) | 19mo | $265,000 | $279 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.9% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -10.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.63×
- Total profit
- $-22,976
- Equity at exit
- $32,803
- IRR
- -4.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.73×
- Total profit
- $-16,634
- Equity at exit
- $19,022
Cash invested: $61,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 12144
- Home prices YoY
- -33.4%
- Rents YoY
- 0.9%
- Active inventory
- 102
- Price-to-rent
- 7.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,418 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,154
- Tax from tax record
- −$389 /mo · $4,663/yr
- Insurance
- −$92
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$508
- Net cashflow
- $276
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $400 | -5% $338 | +0% $276 | +5% $214 | +10% $151 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $85 | -5% $180 | +0% $276 | +5% $371 | +10% $467 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $387 | -0.5pp $332 | base $276 | +0.5pp $219 | +1.0pp $161 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $55,000
- Closing costs
- $6,600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Forrest Pointe Dr East Greenbush, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1193 | $2,889 | $2.42 | 15d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 7 Elm Ct Rensselaer, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 829 | $1,830 | $2.21 | 15d | 1 | 1.15mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-05-07status Pending 540-char remark
-
2026-05-01$220,000 Active 540-char remark
-
2021-04-20soldstatus $110,000
-
2021-04-13soldstatus $110,000 Closed (Final Sale) 33-char remark
Show marketing remark (33 chars)
Sold before print. Good Condition
-
2021-03-16$110,000 33-char remark
Show marketing remark (33 chars)
Sold before print. Good Condition
-
2021-03-16historical 33-char remark
Show marketing remark (33 chars)
Sold before print. Good Condition
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,663 · $389/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,663 · $389/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 7% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,010
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,323
- − Property taxes
- −$4,663
- − Insurance
- −$1,100
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,321
- − Management
- −$2,321
- − Depreciation
- −$6,400
- Taxable loss
- −$118
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$28
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,339/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- East Greenbush Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3609630
- Math proficiency
- 68% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 71% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $73,174
- Composite
- 61.16/100
- National rank
- #783
- State rank
- #132 of 590 in NY
Livability — Hampton Manor
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #189
- US rank
- #2794
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hampton Manor, NY
- County
- Rensselaer County · 75,590 people
- City population
- 21,631
- Metro
- Albany-Schenectady-Troy, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,111
- Household income
- $90,738
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 541.0
Population outlook (Rensselaer County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 162,400 people
- By 2030
- 161,746 · -0.4%
- By 2040
- 158,095 · -2.7%
- By 2050
- 152,966 · -5.8%
- By 2075
- 140,767 · -13.3%
- By 2100
- 124,727 · -23.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 76% Two or more races 8% Asian 7% Hispanic / Latino 6% Black 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 7% Lithuanian 6% Iranian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Philippines, Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 3% Spanish 2% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Rensselaer
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.7% · R 49.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.0pp toward R · 2008: 9.3pp · 2024: 1.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+1.4 2020: D+5.6 2016: R+2.9 2012: D+11.8 2008: D+9.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -138.26%
- Current HPI
- 276.2239
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.90%
- Metro
- Albany-Schenectady-Troy, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+100.0% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-07 Pending — Global MLS
- 2026-05-01 Listed $220,000 Global MLS
- 2021-04-20 Sold (Public Records) $110,000 Public Records
- 2021-04-13 Sold (MLS) $110,000 Global MLS
- 2021-03-16 Listing Removed — Global MLS
- 2021-03-16 Listed $110,000 Global MLS
Property tax history
+3.4%/yrLatest (2025): $4,663 · +5.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…