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12 Connecticut Ave
C+ Composite 62.72
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +6.4/10.0
  • Schools +6.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$220,000

12 Connecticut Ave · Hampton Manor, NY 12144
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 831 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 7 Days on market
Built 1925 6,534 sqft lot $265/sqft · 20% below area Est $274k · 20% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Sold before print. Good Condition

Key facts

  • Wood floors
  • Full bathroom
  • Updated kitchen

Tags

UPDATED KITCHENFULL BATHROOMWALK-IN SHOWERCERAMIC TILE SURROUNDWOOD FLOORSENCLOSED FRONT PORCH

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage (1 garage space); Total of 3 parking spaces; Off-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single family residence; Level lot
  • Construction: Aluminum and shingle siding; Asphalt roof
  • Exterior features: Front porch; Deck; Back yard with chain link fencing; Paved driveway; Exterior lighting; Detached garage structure

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Dishwasher; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the first floor
  • Flooring: Wood flooring
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom (first floor); One half bathroom (basement)
  • Heating & cooling: Baseboard hot water heating; Natural gas heating
  • Interior features: Updated/remodeled interior; 6 total rooms; Full basement with interior entry; Driveway is paved and exterior lighting present
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included; Laundry located in the basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $220k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $276 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $220k).
  • Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 1.9% in Hampton Manor — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#189 in NY, #2,794 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • East Greenbush Central School District (suburban): math 68% / reading 71% proficiency, ranked #132 of 590 in NY (top 22%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 15% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Columbia High School (math 97% / reading 87%, grade A+, #171 of 1,100 statewide, top 18%, 1,252 students, 27% FRL).
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 92% at this address vs 70% district-wide (+22 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the East Greenbush Central School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 102 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 405 units permitted in Rensselaer County in 2024 (224 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($91k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Rensselaer County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $110k; list at $220k implies a 100% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $220,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.10%
Cap rate
7.80%
Cash-on-cash
5.37%
DSCR
1.24
GRM
7.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$274,043
List price
$220,000
Delta
-19.72%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
11 Rhode Island Ave 0.03mi 2/1.5 (-1) 884 (+6%) 2mo $236,000 $267 82
38 Genesee Ave 0.20mi 3/1.0 864 (+4%) 16mo $223,100 $258 69
231 Washington Ave E 0.42mi 3/1.0 875 (+5%) 3mo $180,000 $206 67
12 New Hampshire Ave 0.21mi 2/1.0 (-1) 800 (-4%) 12mo $185,000 $231 67
305 E Madison Ave 0.54mi 2/1.0 (-1) 882 (+6%) 10mo $211,000 $239 49
379 Eastern Ave Ave 0.61mi 3/1.0 950 (+14%) 19mo $265,000 $279 30

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.9% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-10.5%
Equity multiple
0.63×
Total profit
$-22,976
Equity at exit
$32,803
10-year hold
IRR
-4.6%
Equity multiple
0.73×
Total profit
$-16,634
Equity at exit
$19,022

Cash invested: $61,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 12144

Home prices YoY
-33.4%
Rents YoY
0.9%
Active inventory
102
Price-to-rent
7.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,418 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,154
Tax from tax record
$389 /mo · $4,663/yr
Insurance
$92
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$508
Net cashflow
$276

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,068
Max offer price $220,000
Occupancy floor 84%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $400 -5% $338 +0% $276 +5% $214 +10% $151
Rent -10% $85 -5% $180 +0% $276 +5% $371 +10% $467
Rate -1.0pp $387 -0.5pp $332 base $276 +0.5pp $219 +1.0pp $161

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$55,000
Closing costs
$6,600
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1 Forrest Pointe Dr East Greenbush, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1193 $2,889 $2.42 15d 1 1.05mi
7 Elm Ct Rensselaer, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 829 $1,830 $2.21 15d 1 1.15mi

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-05-07
    status Pending 540-char remark
  2. 2026-05-01
    listed $220,000 Active 540-char remark
  3. 2021-04-20
    soldstatus $110,000
  4. 2021-04-13
    soldstatus $110,000 Closed (Final Sale) 33-char remark
    Show marketing remark (33 chars)

    Sold before print. Good Condition

  5. 2021-03-16
    listed $110,000 33-char remark
    Show marketing remark (33 chars)

    Sold before print. Good Condition

  6. 2021-03-16
    historical 33-char remark
    Show marketing remark (33 chars)

    Sold before print. Good Condition

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$4,663 · $389/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,663 · $389/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 7% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$29,010
− Mortgage interest
−$12,323
− Property taxes
−$4,663
− Insurance
−$1,100
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,321
− Management
−$2,321
− Depreciation
−$6,400
Taxable loss
−$118
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$28
After-tax cash flow
$3,339/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
East Greenbush Central School District
NCES district ID
3609630
Math proficiency
68% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
71% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$73,174
Composite
61.16/100
National rank
#783
State rank
#132 of 590 in NY

Livability — Hampton Manor

Score
77/100
State rank
#189
US rank
#2794

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living C+ Crime C+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hampton Manor, NY
County
Rensselaer County · 75,590 people
City population
21,631
Metro
Albany-Schenectady-Troy, NY
Population (ZIP)
22,111
Household income
$90,738
Rent vs Own
41.0% rent · 59.0% own
Severe rent burden
541.0

Population outlook (Rensselaer County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
162,400 people
By 2030
161,746 · -0.4%
By 2040
158,095 · -2.7%
By 2050
152,966 · -5.8%
By 2075
140,767 · -13.3%
By 2100
124,727 · -23.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (76%)
Race & ethnicity
White 76% Two or more races 8% Asian 7% Hispanic / Latino 6% Black 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 7% Lithuanian 6% Iranian 3%
Foreign-born
7% · Philippines, Canada, China
Languages at home
91% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 3% Spanish 2% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Rensselaer

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 50.7% · R 49.3%
2008→2024 swing
-8.0pp toward R · 2008: 9.3pp · 2024: 1.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+1.4 2020: D+5.6 2016: R+2.9 2012: D+11.8 2008: D+9.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -138.26%
Current HPI
276.2239
Rent YoY
▲ 0.90%
Metro
Albany-Schenectady-Troy, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+100.0% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-07 Pending Global MLS
  • 2026-05-01 Listed $220,000 Global MLS
  • 2021-04-20 Sold (Public Records) $110,000 Public Records
  • 2021-04-13 Sold (MLS) $110,000 Global MLS
  • 2021-03-16 Listing Removed Global MLS
  • 2021-03-16 Listed $110,000 Global MLS

Property tax history

+3.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,663 · +5.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…