37 Patch Dr · Columbus, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 7/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 78.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.1/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +4.6/10.0
- 1% rule +3.2/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$109,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
2 bedroom 1 bath brick ranch home. ?“All offers must be submitted by the buyer's agent using the online offer management system. Access the system via the link below. A technology fee will apply to the buyer's broker upon consummation of a sale. ” Offer link to property: http://www. spsreo.com/?c=CU25
Key facts
- Fresh paint
- Refreshed bathrooms
- Updated flooring
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residential home
- Construction: Brick construction
- Exterior features: Lot approximately 0.26 acres; Located in the City View Heights subdivision
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Gas range
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating
- Interior features: Dishwasher; Gas range; Natural gas heating
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $36 ($436/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $90k (17.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $90k (17.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 4.7% in Columbus — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#254 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B; Watch: amenities D+, schools F, crime F.
- Muscogee County (urban): math 21% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #120 of 174 in GA (top 69%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.8%/yr); 100 active listings in the ZIP; 26 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 42% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 291 units permitted in Muscogee County in 2024 (30 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($32k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $760 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Muscogee County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($108k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $43k; list at $110k implies a 156% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 78% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.82% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.69%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.42%
- DSCR
- 1.06
- GRM
- 10.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $65,928
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Stuart Dr | 0.20mi | 2/1.0 | 1,009 (+2%) | 3mo | $100,000 | $99 | 84 |
| 48 Patton Dr | 0.10mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 990 (+1%) | 16mo | $50,000 | $51 | 76 |
| 43 Munson Dr | 0.42mi | 2/1.0 | 968 (-2%) | 4mo | $40,000 | $41 | 75 |
| 13 Patton Dr | 0.12mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 888 (-10%) | 3mo | $36,500 | $41 | 71 |
| 22 Mason Dr | 0.42mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 966 (-2%) | 11mo | $27,000 | $28 | 63 |
| 131 Ticknor Dr | 0.22mi | 2/1.0 | 1,064 (+8%) | 17mo | $55,000 | $52 | 62 |
| 48 Douglas St | 0.14mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,038 (+6%) | 22mo | $69,900 | $67 | 61 |
| 31 Cantrell Dr | 0.24mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,111 (+13%) | 3mo | $146,000 | $131 | 60 |
| 4020 Union St | 0.71mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,015 (+3%) | 1mo | $72,500 | $71 | 56 |
| 17 Lowe Dr | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,082 (+10%) | 9mo | $119,900 | $111 | 53 |
| 134 Torch Hill Rd | 0.50mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,057 (+7%) | 14mo | $108,000 | $102 | 48 |
| 1551 Bowman St | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,014 (+3%) | 16mo | $32,000 | $32 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.82% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -15.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.46×
- Total profit
- $-16,594
- Equity at exit
- $16,386
- IRR
- -8.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.48×
- Total profit
- $-15,872
- Equity at exit
- $9,502
Cash invested: $30,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 31903
- Home prices YoY
- -14.5%
- Rents YoY
- 1.8%
- Active inventory
- 100
- Price-to-rent
- 10.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $904 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$576
- Tax from tax record
- −$56 /mo · $673/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$190
- Net cashflow
- $36
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,475
- Closing costs
- $3,297
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 26 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48 Douglas St Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1038 | $980 | $0.94 | 13d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 171 Munson Dr Columbus, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 780 | $800 | $1.03 | 21d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 88 Infantry Dr Columbus, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1122 | $900 | $0.80 | 43d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 58 Stonewall Dr Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1002 | $1,000 | $1.00 | 43d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 2220 Ticknor Dr Unit 1 Columbus, GA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 706 | $750 | $1.06 | 21d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 2220 Ticknor Dr Columbus, GA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 706 | $650 | $0.92 | 13d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 2220 Ticknor Dr Unit 9 Columbus, GA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 706 | $675 | $0.96 | 13d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 2220 Ticknor Dr Columbus, GA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 706 | $675 | $0.96 | 43d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 61 Lanier Dr Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 896 | $875 | $0.98 | 13d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 25 Mason Dr Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1038 | $1,100 | $1.06 | 21d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 121 Torch Hill Rd Columbus, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 936 | $825 | $0.88 | 43d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 1 Engineer Dr Unit H1 Columbus, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 816 | $850 | $1.04 | 43d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 76 Mathews St Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,100 | $1.00 | 13d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 1459 Ivan Ave Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1003 | $975 | $0.97 | 43d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 1414 Foye Ave Columbus, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1021 | $895 | $0.88 | 13d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 2051 Somerset Ave Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1092 | $1,100 | $1.01 | 43d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 2354 Banks Ave Unit 1 Columbus, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 942 | $725 | $0.77 | 13d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 2329 S Lumpkin Rd Columbus, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 816 | $850 | $1.04 | 43d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 3122 Meade St Unit 1 Columbus, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 949 | $725 | $0.76 | 13d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 3909 Baker Plaza Dr Columbus, GA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 869 | $1,010 | $1.16 | 13d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 3053 Blan St Columbus, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 868 | $875 | $1.01 | 13d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 1206 Winston Rd Columbus, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 868 | $750 | $0.86 | 43d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 3014 Drake St Columbus, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 858 | $950 | $1.11 | 43d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 3028 Meade St Columbus, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1016 | $950 | $0.94 | 43d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 1048 Brooks Rd Columbus, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 942 | $925 | $0.98 | 21d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 4614 Old Cusseta Rd Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 948 | $1,250 | $1.32 | 13d | 1 | 1.35mi |
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $109,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $109,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $109,900 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $109,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $109,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $109,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $109,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $109,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $109,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $109,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $109,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $109,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-02remarks 693-char remark
-
2026-06-02$109,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $673 · $56/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,011 · $84/mo
- Expected delta
- +$338/yr (+$28/mo · 50.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 7/10 Severe 78% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,854
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,156
- − Property taxes
- −$673
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$868
- − Management
- −$868
- − Depreciation
- −$3,197
- Taxable loss
- −$1,459
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$350
- After-tax cash flow
- $786/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Muscogee County
- NCES district ID
- 1303870
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 30% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,176
- Composite
- 21.6/100
- National rank
- #8297
- State rank
- #120 of 174 in GA
Livability — Columbus
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #254
- US rank
- #14102
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Columbus, GA
- County
- Muscogee County · 180,764 people
- City population
- 180,764
- Metro
- Columbus, GA-AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,644
- Household income
- $32,401
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1878.0
Population outlook (Muscogee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 216,729 people
- By 2030
- 224,504 · +3.6%
- By 2040
- 238,318 · +10.0%
- By 2050
- 249,027 · +14.9%
- By 2075
- 264,862 · +22.2%
- By 2100
- 254,786 · +17.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 77% Hispanic / Latino 11% White 9% Two or more races 3% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6% Puerto Rican 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 10% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Muscogee
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+23.4) · D 61.4% · R 38.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.7pp toward D · 2008: 19.7pp · 2024: 23.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+23.4 2020: D+24.0 2016: D+18.6 2012: D+21.3 2008: D+19.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -22.30%
- Current HPI
- 131.4761
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.82%
- Metro
- Columbus, GA-AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
+90.3% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-01 Listed $109,900 CBOR
- 2024-06-12 Price Changed $100,000 CBOR
- 2023-12-12 Sold (MLS) $43,000 CBOR
- 2023-11-07 Pending — CBOR
- 2023-10-24 Price Changed $44,900 CBOR
- 2023-09-19 Price Changed $49,900 CBOR
- 2023-09-14 Relisted — CBOR
- 2023-09-12 Pending — CBOR
- 2023-08-11 Listed $57,750 CBOR
Property tax history
-1.0%/yrLatest (2025): $673 · -1.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…