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149 W 3rd St
B Composite 74.88
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +6.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$64,900

149 W 3rd St · Oil City, PA 16301
5 bd · 2.5 ba · 2,567 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 132 Days on market
Built 1900 0.37 ac lot $25/sqft · 53% below area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

There's a timeless charm in an old Victorian house—tall ceilings, ornate woodwork, and stained glass windows whisper stories of the past. This spacious 6-bedroom, 2-bath beauty has had all the major updates completed, including electrical, plumbing, and a new furnace, making it the perfect canvas for your dream home. Picture yourself sipping coffee on the beautiful front porch, the breeze gently rustling the trees as the neighborhood comes to life. Inside, imagine restoring hardwood floors, freshening up intricate trim, and blending vintage character with modern comfort. This isn't just a house—it's a piece of history waiting to be lovingly reimagined.

Key facts

  • New furnace
  • Tall ceilings
  • Front porch

Tags

TALL CEILINGSORNATE WOODWORKSTAINED GLASS WINDOWSNEW FURNACEFRONT PORCHHARDWOOD FLOORS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $65k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $589 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $65k).
  • Recommended offer: $57k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 17.2% vs local median 9.6% in Oil City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#704 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Oil City Area SD (town): math 20% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #436 of 539 in PA (top 81%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 53 active listings in the ZIP; 42 units permitted in Venango County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $2k of equity ($449 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (2.2% local appreciation)).
  • Venango County population projected at -30% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (2.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 132 days — a 12% lower offer ($57k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.5% of price; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $57,112 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 132 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.23%
Cap rate
17.18%
Cash-on-cash
38.88%
DSCR
2.73
GRM
3.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$138,971
List price
$64,900
Delta
-53.30%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
14 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
151 W 3rd 0.01mi 6/1.0 (+1) 2,869 (+12%) 10mo $30,000 $10 60
924 W 1st St 0.45mi 6/2.0 (+1) 2,628 (+2%) 12mo $30,000 $11 58
827 Allegheny Ave 0.63mi 5/2.0 2,308 (-10%) 22mo $134,500 $58 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

2.18% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
43.2%
Equity multiple
3.35×
Total profit
$42,616
Equity at exit
$26,218
10-year hold
IRR
43.9%
Equity multiple
6.66×
Total profit
$102,878
Equity at exit
$38,236

Cash invested: $18,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 16301

Home prices YoY
1.0%
Active inventory
53
Price-to-rent
3.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,450 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$340
Tax from tax record
$190 /mo · $2,277/yr
Insurance
$27
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$305
Net cashflow
$589

Break-even live

Break-even rent $705
Max offer price $64,900
Occupancy floor 54%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,225
Closing costs
$1,947
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $64,900 Active 132 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $64,900 Active 131 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $64,900 Active 130 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $64,900 Active 129 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $64,900 Active 127 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $64,900 Active 126 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $64,900 Active 123 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $64,900 Active 122 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $64,900 Active 121 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $64,900 Active 120 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $64,900 Active 117 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $64,900 Active 116 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $64,900 Active 115 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $64,900 Active 114 DOM
  15. 2026-02-06
    listed $64,900 Active 672-char remark
    Show marketing remark (672 chars)

    There's a timeless charm in an old Victorian house—tall ceilings, ornate woodwork, and stained glass windows whisper stories of the past. This spacious 6-bedroom, 2-bath beauty has had all the major updates completed, including electrical, plumbing, and a new furnace, making it the perfect canvas for your dream home. Picture yourself sipping coffee on the beautiful front porch, the breeze gently rustling the trees as the neighborhood comes to life. Inside, imagine restoring hardwood floors, freshening up intricate trim, and blending vintage character with modern comfort. This isn't just a house—it's a piece of history waiting to be lovingly reimagined.

  16. 2026-01-30
    listed $64,900 Active 690-char remark
    Show marketing remark (690 chars)

    There’s a timeless charm in an old Victorian house—tall ceilings, ornate woodwork, and stained glass windows whisper stories of the past. This spacious 6-bedroom, 2-bath beauty has had all the major updates completed, including electrical, plumbing, and a new furnace, making it the perfect canvas for your dream home. Picture yourself sipping coffee on the beautiful front porch, the breeze gently rustling the trees as the neighborhood comes to life. Inside, imagine restoring hardwood floors, freshening up intricate trim, and blending vintage character with modern comfort. This isn’t just a house—it’s a piece of history waiting to be lovingly reimagined.

  17. 2025-10-15
    status Active
  18. 2025-08-20
    historical Active Under Contract
  19. 2025-06-19
    price $64,900
  20. 2025-05-02
    listed $74,900 Active
  21. 2017-04-28
    soldstatus $87,500
  22. 2017-04-28
    soldstatus $87,500
  23. 1981-06-29
    soldstatus $40,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,277 · $190/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,277 · $190/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,405
− Mortgage interest
−$3,635
− Property taxes
−$2,277
− Insurance
−$324
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,392
− Management
−$1,392
− Depreciation
−$1,888
Taxable income
$6,495
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,559
After-tax cash flow
$5,506/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Oil City Area SD
NCES district ID
4218090
Math proficiency
20% ▼ -19.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$37,451
Composite
27.39/100
National rank
#6973
State rank
#436 of 539 in PA

Livability — Oil City

Score
71/100
State rank
#704
US rank
#6931

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Oil City, PA
Population (ZIP)
15,067

Population outlook (Venango County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
48,827 people
By 2030
46,061 · -5.7%
By 2040
39,989 · -18.1%
By 2050
34,094 · -30.2%
By 2075
22,500 · -53.9%
By 2100
13,659 · -72.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 7% Iranian 3% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
1%

Political lean MEDSL · Venango

2024 margin
Solid R (+42.1) · D 28.5% · R 70.6%
2008→2024 swing
-22.9pp toward R · 2008: -19.2pp · 2024: -42.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+42.1 2020: R+41.4 2016: R+42.4 2012: R+26.3 2008: R+19.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 2.18%
Current HPI
218.0124
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+62.3% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-06 Listed $64,900 AVBREALTORS
  • 2026-01-30 Listed $64,900 West Penn MLS
  • 2025-10-15 Relisted AVBREALTORS
  • 2025-08-20 Contingent AVBREALTORS
  • 2025-06-19 Price Changed $64,900 AVBREALTORS
  • 2025-05-02 Listed $74,900 AVBREALTORS
  • 2017-04-28 Sold (Public Records) $87,500 Public Records
  • 2017-04-28 Sold (MLS) $87,500 AVBREALTORS
  • 1981-06-29 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+0.8%/yr

Latest (2026): $2,277 · -1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…