6439 S Francis St · Dunsmuir, CA 96025

$59,000

6 bd · 2.0 ba · 860 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 14 Days on market

Built 1935

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Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Schools +4.1/10.0
• Livability +2.7/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Located on approximately 0.13 acres (5,831 sq ft lot), this property is being sold AS-IS and is a TEAR DOWN. The existing structure is NOT LIVABLE and will require removal or major rebuild. Ideal for investors, builders, contractors, flippers, or developers looking for a fixer opportunity or land value purchase. Great opportunity to build a new home or investment property depending on local zoning and requirements. Buyer to verify utilities, permits, zoning, and building possibilities. Seller will make NO REPAIRS. Cash or investor financing preferred. Quick close possible

Key facts

• Built 1935
• Listed 14 days

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 6-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $59k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $59k).
• Cap rate 29.5% vs local median 3.8% in Dunsmuir — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 53/100 on livability (#967 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A-; Watch: cost of living D+, schools D, crime F.
• Dunsmuir Joint Union High (rural): math 25% / reading 75% proficiency, ranked #163 of 517 in CA (top 32%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Market conditions: 36 active listings in the ZIP; 50 units permitted in Siskiyou County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $408 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Siskiyou County population projected at -26% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1935 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 10→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $59,000

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1935 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 3.31% ✓
• Cap rate: 29.52%
• Cash-on-cash: 82.95%
• DSCR: 4.69
• GRM: 2.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 83.3%
• Equity multiple: 4.83×
• Total profit: $63,193
• Equity at exit: $8,797

10-year hold

• IRR: 86.6%
• Equity multiple: 10.01×
• Total profit: $148,781
• Equity at exit: $5,101

Cash invested: $16,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
• State California: 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 96025

• Active inventory: 36
• Price-to-rent: 2.5×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,955 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$309
• Tax from tax record: −$68 /mo · $821/yr
• Insurance: −$25
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$411
• Net cashflow: $1,142

Break-even live

Break-even rent $509

Max offer price $59,000

Occupancy floor 37%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $1,175	-5% $1,159	+0% $1,142	+5% $1,125	+10% $1,108
Rent	-10% $987	-5% $1,065	+0% $1,142	+5% $1,219	+10% $1,296
Rate	-1.0pp $1,172	-0.5pp $1,157	base $1,142	+0.5pp $1,127	+1.0pp $1,111

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $14,750
• Closing costs: $1,770
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 1 events

1. 2026-05-12
   listed $59,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $821 · $68/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $821 · $68/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 72% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
• 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 10 d/yr ≥95°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 10/10 Extreme 51 unhealthy d/yr today · 52 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $23,458
• − Mortgage interest: −$3,305
• − Property taxes: −$821
• − Insurance: −$295
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,877
• − Management: −$1,877
• − Depreciation: −$1,716
• Taxable income: $13,567
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$3,256
• After-tax cash flow: $10,446/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Dunsmuir Joint Union High
• NCES district ID: 0611700
• Math proficiency: 25% ▲ 25.00%
• Reading proficiency: 75% ▲ 75.00%
• Median HH income: $32,255
• Composite: 40.88/100
• National rank: #3620
• State rank: #163 of 517 in CA

Livability — Dunsmuir

• Score: 53/100
• State rank: #967
• US rank: #24546

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living D+ Crime F Employment F Housing A- Health & safety F User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Population (ZIP): 2,150

Population outlook (Siskiyou County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 39,337 people
• By 2030: 36,930 · -6.1%
• By 2040: 32,367 · -17.7%
• By 2050: 29,030 · -26.2%
• By 2075: 23,534 · -40.2%
• By 2100: 19,312 · -50.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (76%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 76% Two or more races 13% Hispanic / Latino 12% Asian 1% Black 1% Native American 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 9%
• Common ancestry: Italian 4% Romanian 4% Lithuanian 3%
• Foreign-born: 6% · Canada, China, South Korea
• Languages at home: 94% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Siskiyou

• 2024 margin: R (+19.2) · D 38.8% · R 58.0% · Other 3.2%
• 2008→2024 swing: -8.8pp toward R · 2008: -10.4pp · 2024: -19.2pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+19.2 2020: R+15.8 2016: R+20.7 2012: R+15.6 2008: R+10.4

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -140.66%
• Current HPI: 144.676
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.21%
• F500 in state: 116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Technology	27	$1,492B
▸Financial Services	3	$174B
▸Retail	3	$44B
▸Insurance	3	$26B
▸Media / Entertainment	2	$115B
▸Pharmaceuticals / Biotech	2	$62B

Price history

1 event — show timeline

• 2026-05-12 Listed $59,000 FSBO.com

Property tax history

+1.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $821 · +1.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.