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48 Echo Lake Dr W
B Composite 70.47
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$55,750

48 Echo Lake Dr W · Monrovia, IN 46158
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 924 sqft · Manufactured · 34 Days on market
Built 2005 Good condition 5,000 sqft lot $500/mo HOA · 33% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Low maintenance living can be yours with this 924 sf 3 BR/2 BA completely remodeled home in the picturesque Echo Lake Community. This home has more new things than you can count. New paint, floor coverings, drywall, toilets, master bath fixtures, complete new kitchen, Air Conditioning, decks, skirting, windows and doors. All for a fraction of what it would take to buy a house in a subdivision. Enjoy off street parking, no one above or below you, and maintain your own yard space. Mini barns allowed pet friendly. The Echo Lake Community offers a fishing lake, walking trails, covered mailbox areas, playgrounds, BB court, and soon picnic shelters for family gatherings. We are located close to t

Key facts

  • Air conditioning
  • New kitchen
  • Off street parking

Tags

COMPLETELY REMODELED HOMENEW KITCHENAIR CONDITIONINGOFF STREET PARKINGMAINTAIN YOUR OWN YARD SPACEFISHING LAKE

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot size approximately 0.115 acre (<1/4 acre); Model/legal: 2005 Skyline 14x66; GPS-friendly directions
  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with monthly fee of $500; HOA includes maintenance, park/playground, management, snow removal and trash; Low-maintenance lifestyle community

Exterior

  • Parking: Gravel parking
  • Security: Security lights; Smoke detectors
  • Utilities: Public water; Community sewer; Separate electric and gas meters; No solid waste service listed
  • Home design: Manufactured home; One level; Faces southeast; Updated / remodeled condition; Ownership: Other / see remarks
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Crawl space foundation; Built by Skyline
  • Exterior features: Deck; No fence; Lot has access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range hood; Water heater
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Vaulted ceilings; Eat-in kitchen
  • Laundry & utility: In-unit laundry with all connections; Dedicated laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $56k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $313 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $56k).
  • Recommended offer: $54k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 13.0% vs local median 4.5% in Monrovia — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#304 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Monroe-Gregg School District (rural): math 31% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #143 of 301 in IN (top 48%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Monrovia Elementary School (math 42% / reading 44%, grade F, #417 of 994 statewide, top 43%, 702 students, 47% FRL); Monrovia High School (math 32% / reading 57%, grade F, #169 of 369 statewide, top 51%, 528 students, 36% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 134 active listings in the ZIP; 330 units permitted in Morgan County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $386 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Morgan County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $16k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($54k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 33% of rent.
Recommended offer $54,077 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.72%
Cap rate
13.03%
Cash-on-cash
24.06%
DSCR
2.07
GRM
3.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
17.7%
Equity multiple
1.72×
Total profit
$11,230
Equity at exit
$8,313
10-year hold
IRR
26.4%
Equity multiple
3.36×
Total profit
$36,788
Equity at exit
$4,820

Cash invested: $15,610 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Indiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

ZIP-level market 46158

Home prices YoY
-26.3%
Active inventory
134
Price-to-rent
3.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,517 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$292
Tax est. 1.5%
$70 /mo · $836/yr
Insurance
$23
HOA
$500
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$319
Net cashflow
$313

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,121
Max offer price $55,750
Occupancy floor 74%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$13,938
Closing costs
$1,672
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$500 · $6,000/yr
Likely covers
landscaping

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $55,750 Active 34 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $55,750 Active 33 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $55,750 Active 32 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $55,750 Active 31 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $55,750 Active 29 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $55,750 Active 25 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $55,750 Active 24 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $55,750 Active 23 DOM
  9. 2026-06-05
    days on market $55,750 Active 20 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $55,750 Active 19 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $55,750 Active 18 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $55,750 Active 17 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $55,750 Active 16 DOM
  14. 2026-05-15
    listed $55,750 Active 791-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,201
− Mortgage interest
−$3,123
− Property taxes
−$836
− Insurance
−$279
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,456
− Management
−$1,456
− HOA
−$6,000
− Depreciation
−$1,622
Taxable income
$3,429
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$823
After-tax cash flow
$2,933/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This 924 sq ft 3 BR/2 BA home in the Echo Lake Community is fully remodeled with new paint, flooring, and appliances. It offers low maintenance living with a new deck, landscaping, and air conditioning. The home is move-in ready and has a good condition score.

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale Paint the exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Resale Replace the deck if necessary — Improves outdoor living space and value
  • Resale Inspect and replace any damaged windows — Ensures energy efficiency and safety

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Resale Paint the exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Resale Replace the deck if necessary — Improves outdoor living space and value
  • Resale Inspect and replace any damaged windows — Ensures energy efficiency and safety

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Monroe-Gregg School District
NCES district ID
1804140
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$64,767
Composite
34.2/100
National rank
#5266
State rank
#143 of 301 in IN

Livability — Monrovia

Score
66/100
State rank
#304
US rank
#12092

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
24,622

Population outlook (Morgan County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
71,081 people
By 2030
71,178 · +0.1%
By 2040
69,907 · -1.7%
By 2050
66,455 · -6.5%
By 2075
57,291 · -19.4%
By 2100
43,782 · -38.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (94%)
Race & ethnicity
White 94% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Italian 2% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Morgan

2024 margin
Solid R (+54.3) · D 22.0% · R 76.3% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
-27.3pp toward R · 2008: -27.1pp · 2024: -54.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+54.3 2020: R+54.6 2016: R+56.6 2012: R+41.1 2008: R+27.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -90.62%
Current HPI
254.0837
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.90%
F500 in state
18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-15 Listed $55,750 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…