609 W End Dr · New Roads, LA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +2.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$57,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great potential in this 2 or 3 bedroom home. Spacious living room with built-ins. Has large laundry room with storage, sink and room for extra refrigerator or deep freezer. Home was remodeled in 2011 with a new HVAC, roof, floor updates and cabinetry updates. Refrigerator to remain! Schedule your showing today! Sits on 2 lots, has great parking for RV or boat, large patio area and 2 separate concrete slabs that previously was part of a workshop and storage shed.
Key facts
- Large patio area
- New hvac
- Large laundry room
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $57k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $458 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $57k).
- Recommended offer: $50k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 15.9% vs local median 3.4% in New Roads — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 55/100 on livability (#365 in LA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: crime C-, schools D, amenities F.
- Pointe Coupee Parish (rural): math 21% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #56 of 98 in LA (top 57%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 76% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 66 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 60 units permitted in Pointe Coupee Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $394 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pointe Coupee County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $16k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 138 days — a 12% lower offer ($50k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 29 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 138 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.88% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.93%
- Cash-on-cash
- 34.41%
- DSCR
- 2.53
- GRM
- 4.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $169,500
- Comps found
- 10
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 205 Olinde St | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 | 1,512 (+1%) | 11mo | $238,000 | $157 | 78 |
| 607 Poydras St | 0.46mi | 3/1.0 | 1,462 (-2%) | 7mo | $129,000 | $88 | 64 |
| 1013 Berthier St | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 | 1,322 (-12%) | 17mo | $149,500 | $113 | 55 |
| 602 Berthier St | 0.07mi | 3/1.5 | 1,281 (-15%) | 18mo | $160,000 | $125 | 55 |
| 611 Poydras St | 0.46mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,400 (-7%) | 8mo | $129,000 | $92 | 52 |
| 301 Olinde St | 0.23mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,392 (-7%) | 22mo | $194,900 | $140 | 50 |
| 405 Janis St | 0.15mi | 3/1.0 | 1,288 (-14%) | 22mo | $129,900 | $101 | 47 |
| 207 Berthier St | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 | 1,696 (+13%) | 23mo | $184,900 | $109 | 46 |
| 302 Olinde St | 0.24mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,280 (-15%) | 16mo | $120,000 | $94 | 46 |
| 311 Pennsylvania Ave | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,658 (+10%) | 18mo | $229,900 | $139 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 29.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.25×
- Total profit
- $19,926
- Equity at exit
- $8,499
- IRR
- 37.2%
- Equity multiple
- 4.44×
- Total profit
- $54,937
- Equity at exit
- $4,928
Cash invested: $15,960 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70760
- Home prices YoY
- -31.5%
- Active inventory
- 66
- Price-to-rent
- 4.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,069 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$299
- Tax from tax record
- −$64 /mo · $772/yr
- Insurance
- −$24
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$225
- Net cashflow
- $458
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $490 | -5% $474 | +0% $458 | +5% $442 | +10% $425 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $373 | -5% $415 | +0% $458 | +5% $500 | +10% $542 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $486 | -0.5pp $472 | base $458 | +0.5pp $443 | +1.0pp $428 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $14,250
- Closing costs
- $1,710
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 659 W Main St Unit 5 New Roads, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $800 | $0.67 | 44d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 9620 Island Rd Ventress, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1805 | $1,850 | $1.02 | 44d | 1 | 1.39mi |
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $57,000 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $57,000 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $57,000 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $57,000 Active 134 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $57,000 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $57,000 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $57,000 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $57,000 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $57,000 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $57,000 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $57,000 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $57,000 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $57,000 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $57,000 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-05-31remarks 684-char remark
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2026-05-31days on market $57,000 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $57,000 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-04-22status Pending 466-char remark
Show marketing remark (466 chars)
Great potential in this 2 or 3 bedroom home. Spacious living room with built-ins. Has large laundry room with storage, sink and room for extra refrigerator or deep freezer. Home was remodeled in 2011 with a new HVAC, roof, floor updates and cabinetry updates. Refrigerator to remain! Schedule your showing today! Sits on 2 lots, has great parking for RV or boat, large patio area and 2 separate concrete slabs that previously was part of a workshop and storage shed.
-
2026-04-22status Pending
Show marketing remark (466 chars)
Great potential in this 2 or 3 bedroom home. Spacious living room with built-ins. Has large laundry room with storage, sink and room for extra refrigerator or deep freezer. Home was remodeled in 2011 with a new HVAC, roof, floor updates and cabinetry updates. Refrigerator to remain! Schedule your showing today! Sits on 2 lots, has great parking for RV or boat, large patio area and 2 separate concrete slabs that previously was part of a workshop and storage shed.
-
2025-12-29$57,000 Active
Show marketing remark (466 chars)
Great potential in this 2 or 3 bedroom home. Spacious living room with built-ins. Has large laundry room with storage, sink and room for extra refrigerator or deep freezer. Home was remodeled in 2011 with a new HVAC, roof, floor updates and cabinetry updates. Refrigerator to remain! Schedule your showing today! Sits on 2 lots, has great parking for RV or boat, large patio area and 2 separate concrete slabs that previously was part of a workshop and storage shed.
-
2025-12-29$57,000 Active 466-char remark
Show marketing remark (466 chars)
Great potential in this 2 or 3 bedroom home. Spacious living room with built-ins. Has large laundry room with storage, sink and room for extra refrigerator or deep freezer. Home was remodeled in 2011 with a new HVAC, roof, floor updates and cabinetry updates. Refrigerator to remain! Schedule your showing today! Sits on 2 lots, has great parking for RV or boat, large patio area and 2 separate concrete slabs that previously was part of a workshop and storage shed.
-
2025-10-31status Active
-
2025-07-17status Pending
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2025-06-20$88,000 Active
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2025-06-20$88,000 Active
-
2025-03-12price $100,665
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2025-03-12price $100,665
-
2025-03-10status Active
-
2025-02-19status Pending
-
2025-02-17price $101,714
-
2025-02-11price $101,714
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2024-12-20price $104,860
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2024-12-20price $104,860
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2024-12-11$107,800 Active
-
2024-12-11historical
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2024-11-06$107,800 Active
-
2024-11-06$107,800 Active
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2024-01-22historical
-
2023-09-27$151,900 Active
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2023-09-27$151,900
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2019-08-13soldstatus $109,000
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2019-08-12soldstatus Sold
-
2019-05-24status Pending
-
2019-05-23$109,000 Active
-
2019-05-23$109,000
-
2016-05-31soldstatus Sold
-
2016-05-31soldstatus $92,000
-
2016-05-18status Pending
-
2015-07-31price $99,900
-
2015-06-03$105,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $772 · $64/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $772 · $64/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,831
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,193
- − Property taxes
- −$772
- − Insurance
- −$285
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,026
- − Management
- −$1,026
- − Depreciation
- −$1,658
- Taxable income
- $4,870
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,169
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,324/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pointe Coupee Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2201260
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -35.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 29% ▼ -35.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,565
- Composite
- 21.32/100
- National rank
- #8379
- State rank
- #56 of 98 in LA
Livability — New Roads
- Score
- 55/100
- State rank
- #365
- US rank
- #23356
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New Roads, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,119
Population outlook (Pointe Coupee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 21,165 people
- By 2030
- 20,406 · -3.6%
- By 2040
- 18,650 · -11.9%
- By 2050
- 16,946 · -19.9%
- By 2075
- 13,844 · -34.6%
- By 2100
- 11,154 · -47.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (63%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 63% White 31% Two or more races 5%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 11% Serbian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · China, Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Pointe Coupee
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+27.6) · D 35.7% · R 63.3% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.0pp toward R · 2008: -9.5pp · 2024: -27.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+27.6 2020: R+22.8 2016: R+17.2 2012: R+9.2 2008: R+9.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -51.48%
- Current HPI
- 112.0492
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
|
||
| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
|
||
| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
|
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Price history
+3.6% since first listed49 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-22 Pending — AcadianaMLS
- 2026-04-22 Pending — GBRMLS
- 2025-12-29 Listed $57,000 GBRMLS
- 2025-12-29 Listed $57,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-10-31 Relisted — GBRMLS
- 2025-07-17 Pending — GBRMLS
- 2025-06-20 Listed $88,000 GBRMLS
- 2025-06-20 Listed $88,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-03-12 Price Changed $100,665 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-03-12 Price Changed $100,665 GBRMLS
- 2025-03-10 Relisted — GBRMLS
- 2025-02-19 Pending — GBRMLS
- 2025-02-17 Price Changed $101,714 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-02-11 Price Changed $101,714 GBRMLS
- 2024-12-20 Price Changed $104,860 GBRMLS
- 2024-12-20 Price Changed $104,860 AcadianaMLS
- 2024-12-11 Listed $107,800 GBRMLS
- 2024-12-11 Delisted — GBRMLS
- 2024-11-06 Listed $107,800 GBRMLS
- 2024-11-06 Listed $107,800 AcadianaMLS
- 2024-01-22 Delisted — GBRMLS
- 2023-09-27 Listed $151,900 AcadianaMLS
- 2023-09-27 Listed $151,900 GBRMLS
- 2019-08-13 Sold (Public Records) $109,000 Public Records
- 2019-08-12 Sold (MLS) — GBRMLS
- 2019-05-24 Pending — GBRMLS
- 2019-05-23 Listed $109,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2019-05-23 Listed $109,000 GBRMLS
- 2016-05-31 Sold (Public Records) $92,000 Public Records
- 2016-05-31 Sold (MLS) — GBRMLS
- 2016-05-18 Pending — GBRMLS
- 2015-07-31 Price Changed $99,900 GBRMLS
- 2015-06-03 Listed $105,000 GBRMLS
- 2014-10-01 Listed $99,900 AcadianaMLS
- 2014-01-23 Listed $119,900 AcadianaMLS
- 2014-01-23 Listed $119,900 GBRMLS
- 2013-01-08 Listed $115,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2013-01-08 Listed $115,000 GBRMLS
- 2012-06-15 Listed $119,900 AcadianaMLS
- 2012-06-15 Listed $119,900 GBRMLS
- 2011-10-24 Listed $119,900 AcadianaMLS
- 2011-10-24 Listed $119,900 GBRMLS
- 2011-04-29 Listed $135,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2011-04-29 Listed $135,000 GBRMLS
- 2011-01-17 Listed $144,900 AcadianaMLS
- 2011-01-17 Listed $144,900 GBRMLS
- 2010-05-25 Listed $144,900 AcadianaMLS
- 2010-05-25 Listed $144,900 GBRMLS
- 2009-11-12 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.9%/yrLatest (2025): $772 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…