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301 Willow
C- Composite 50.97
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +17.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +5.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.5/10.0
  • DSCR +5.5/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$199,000

301 Willow · Huron, OH 44839
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,200 sqft · Condo public records · 38 Days on market
Built 1989 $220/mo HOA · 11% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

EXCEPTIONAL END UNIT! Pristine condition and move-in ready 3 Bedroom, 2 Full Bath Creekside Condo. You'll love the relaxing 12x30 deck overlooking the creek. A unique feature available in just a few condos in this development. This condo has all new laminate plank flooring in entry, kitchen and baths. New carpeting in living room, dining room and master bedroom. The kitchen has brand new countertops, and new, never used, drop in range! Both baths have new vanities, counters, mirrors, and the main bath has a new tub surround. Plus all new light fixtures and ceiling fans. Complimenting this condo living is a child and pet friendly neighborhood with access to a beautiful pool and party room. Close to schools, shopping, & walking path.

Key facts

  • New appliances
  • New countertops
  • New vanities

Tags

NEW LAMINATE PLANK FLOORINGNEW COUNTERTOPSNEW VANITIESUPDATED LIGHT FIXTURESUPDATED CEILING FANSNEW APPLIANCES

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Part of Creekside Condominiums HOA; Monthly association fee of $220; HOA covers insurance, grounds and structure maintenance, reserve fund, snow removal, and trash; Community features include common grounds and a pool

Exterior

  • Parking: Paved private parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-story home; Entry level is 1; Property has an attached element; Brick and vinyl siding exterior; Shingle (asphalt/fiberglass) roof
  • Construction: Built (year per public records); Brick and vinyl siding construction; Asphalt/fiberglass roof
  • Exterior features: Private entrance; Deck; Community pool; Corner lot at a dead-end with a stream/creek and a spring

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Microwave; Dishwasher; Garbage disposal; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Three main-level bedrooms
  • Flooring: Laminate in entry and kitchen; Carpet in bedrooms, living room, and dining room
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Baseboard electric heating; Wall cooling unit(s)
  • Interior features: Entry/foyer; Living room; Dining room; Has view
  • Laundry & utility: In-unit washer and dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $199k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $160 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $199k).
  • Recommended offer: $193k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.3% vs local median 3.9% in Huron — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 79/100 on livability (#137 in OH, #2,149 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities D-, commute F.
  • Huron City Schools (town): math 60% / reading 76% proficiency, ranked #164 of 656 in OH (top 25%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 92 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 128 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($77k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Erie County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($193k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $16k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $119k; list at $199k implies a 67% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $193,030 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.05%
Cap rate
7.26%
Cash-on-cash
3.45%
DSCR
1.15
GRM
8.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-10.8%
Equity multiple
0.61×
Total profit
$-21,953
Equity at exit
$29,672
10-year hold
IRR
-1.5%
Equity multiple
0.90×
Total profit
$-5,588
Equity at exit
$17,206

Cash invested: $55,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 44839

Active inventory
92
Price-to-rent
8.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,082 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,044
Tax from tax record
$138 /mo · $1,661/yr
Insurance
$83
HOA
$220
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$437
Net cashflow
$160

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,880
Max offer price $199,000
Occupancy floor 87%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$49,750
Closing costs
$5,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$220 · $2,640/yr
Likely covers
pool
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 26 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $199,000 Active 38 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $199,000 Active 37 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $199,000 Active 36 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $199,000 Active 35 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $199,000 Active 34 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $199,000 Active 32 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $199,000 Active 31 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $199,000 Active 28 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $199,000 Active 27 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $199,000 Active 26 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $199,000 Active 22 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $199,000 Active 21 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $199,000 Active 20 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $199,000 Active 19 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $199,000 Active 18 DOM
  16. 2026-05-19
    price $199,000
  17. 2026-05-08
    listed $215,000 Active
  18. 2023-09-19
    historical $1,900
  19. 2023-09-14
    historical
  20. 2023-09-06
    listed $1,900
  21. 2023-06-28
    listed $225,000 Active
  22. 2020-06-16
    soldstatus $119,400
  23. 2020-06-15
    soldstatus $119,900 746-char remark
    Show marketing remark (746 chars)

    EXCEPTIONAL END UNIT! Pristine condition and move-in ready 3 Bedroom, 2 Full Bath Creekside Condo. You'll love the relaxing 12x30 deck overlooking the creek. A unique feature available in just a few condos in this development. This condo has all new laminate plank flooring in entry, kitchen and baths. New carpeting in living room, dining room and master bedroom. The kitchen has brand new countertops, and new, never used, drop in range! Both baths have new vanities, counters, mirrors, and the main bath has a new tub surround. Plus all new light fixtures and ceiling fans. Complimenting this condo living is a child and pet friendly neighborhood with access to a beautiful pool and party room. Close to schools, shopping, & walking path.

  24. 2020-04-29
    listed $119,900 746-char remark
    Show marketing remark (746 chars)

    EXCEPTIONAL END UNIT! Pristine condition and move-in ready 3 Bedroom, 2 Full Bath Creekside Condo. You'll love the relaxing 12x30 deck overlooking the creek. A unique feature available in just a few condos in this development. This condo has all new laminate plank flooring in entry, kitchen and baths. New carpeting in living room, dining room and master bedroom. The kitchen has brand new countertops, and new, never used, drop in range! Both baths have new vanities, counters, mirrors, and the main bath has a new tub surround. Plus all new light fixtures and ceiling fans. Complimenting this condo living is a child and pet friendly neighborhood with access to a beautiful pool and party room. Close to schools, shopping, & walking path.

  25. 2004-02-18
    soldstatus $97,000
  26. 1994-06-07
    soldstatus $70,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,661 · $138/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,383 · $199/mo
Expected delta
+$722/yr (+$60/mo · 43.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,987
− Mortgage interest
−$11,147
− Property taxes
−$1,661
− Insurance
−$995
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,999
− Management
−$1,999
− HOA
−$2,640
− Depreciation
−$5,789
Taxable loss
−$1,243
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$298
After-tax cash flow
$2,219/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Huron City Schools
NCES district ID
3904413
Math proficiency
60% ▼ -18.00%
Reading proficiency
76% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$56,995
Composite
58.32/100
National rank
#1013
State rank
#164 of 656 in OH

Livability — Huron

Score
79/100
State rank
#137
US rank
#2149

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Huron, OH
County
Erie · 78,232 people
City population
12,702
Metro
Sandusky, OH
Population (ZIP)
12,702
Household income
$77,377
Rent vs Own
17.6% rent · 82.4% own
Severe rent burden
4.0

Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
73,204 people
By 2030
71,341 · -2.5%
By 2040
66,771 · -8.8%
By 2050
62,512 · -14.6%
By 2075
56,154 · -23.3%
By 2100
49,045 · -33.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (91%)
Race & ethnicity
White 91% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 4% Romanian 3% Iranian 3%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, South Korea, Jamaica
Languages at home
95% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Spanish 2% Korean 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Erie

2024 margin
R (+14.1) · D 42.5% · R 56.6%
2008→2024 swing
-28.0pp toward R · 2008: 13.9pp · 2024: -14.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+14.1 2020: R+11.6 2016: R+9.8 2012: D+11.3 2008: D+13.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -111.15%
Current HPI
200.6889
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+182.3% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Price Changed $199,000 MLSNOW
  • 2026-05-08 Listed $215,000 MLSNOW
  • 2023-09-19 Rental Removed $1,900 Avail
  • 2023-09-14 Listing Removed MLSNOW
  • 2023-09-06 Listed for Rent $1,900 Avail
  • 2023-06-28 Listed $225,000 MLSNOW
  • 2020-06-16 Sold (Public Records) $119,400 Public Records
  • 2020-06-15 Sold (MLS) $119,900 FAOR
  • 2020-04-29 Listed $119,900 FAOR
  • 2004-02-18 Sold (Public Records) $97,000 Public Records
  • 1994-06-07 Sold (Public Records) $70,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,661 · -20.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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