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757 Armstrong Ave
C+ Composite 63.1
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +7.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$329,900

757 Armstrong Ave · St. Paul, MN 55102
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 2,074 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 4 Days on market
Built 1898 4,791 sqft lot $159/sqft · 22% below area Est $410k · 20% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Beautiful brick home, located in the vibrant heart of West Seventh Street near award winning restaurants and watering holes. Steeped in character and old-world craftsmanship, 757 Armstrong features natural woodwork, hardwood floors, and rare original folk art fresco paintings (with more delicately taken down to fix ceiling plaster & ready to go back up). Thats timeless elegance you simply won’t find again! Recent updates include a brand-new boiler + entire system gone thru. While the home has benefited from many historically sensitive renovations over the years, it offers the perfect opportunity for you to add your personal touch with a refresh—allowing a buyer tailor the

Key facts

  • Natural woodwork
  • Recent updates
  • Expansive 3rd floor

Tags

BRICK HOMENATURAL WOODWORKHARDWOOD FLOORSRECENT UPDATESEXPANSIVE 3RD FLOORIMPRESSIVE CEILINGS

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: 1-car detached garage (30x10, 7' high, 8' wide)
  • Utilities: City water connected; City sewer connected; Natural gas; Electric service via Xcel Energy
  • Home design: Residential property; More than 2 stories
  • Construction: Stone foundation; Roof older than 8 years
  • Exterior features: Stone exterior accents; Full yard fencing; Covered front and rear porches; City street frontage (120x39 lot)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen center island; Kitchen window; Range; Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Exhaust fan
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (one main-level bedroom 19x12; other bedrooms 15x12 and 12x9)
  • Bathrooms: One full bath (upper level); One half bath (main floor)
  • Heating & cooling: Boiler hot water heating; Window AC unit(s)
  • Interior features: Natural woodwork; Porch; Covered front and rear porches; Full unfinished basement; Wood-burning fireplace; Kitchen with center island and window; Breakfast bar and separate/formal dining room; 2nd floor laundry
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $330k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $646 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $330k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • St. Paul Public School District (urban): math 21% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #270 of 301 in MN (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 145 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,202 units permitted in Ramsey County in 2024 (880 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $3,670/mo this rent would consume 58% of the median local household income ($76k/yr) (locally 1116% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Ramsey County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1898 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $329,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1898 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.11%
Cap rate
8.64%
Cash-on-cash
8.39%
DSCR
1.37
GRM
7.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$409,837
List price
$329,900
Delta
-19.50%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
3 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.6% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-5.1%
Equity multiple
0.81×
Total profit
$-17,402
Equity at exit
$49,189
10-year hold
IRR
2.8%
Equity multiple
1.19×
Total profit
$17,609
Equity at exit
$28,524

Cash invested: $92,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
46 Balanced
State Minnesota
46 Balanced · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2024 reforms strengthened tenant protections; ramsey/hennepin courts paced moderate to slow.

ZIP-level market 55102

Rents YoY
1.6%
Active inventory
145
Price-to-rent
7.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,670 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,730
Tax from tax record
$386 /mo · $4,634/yr
Insurance
$137
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$771
Net cashflow
$646

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,853
Max offer price $329,900
Occupancy floor 77%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$82,475
Closing costs
$9,897
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
740 Victoria St S Saint Paul, MN 3.0 1.0–2.0 1076 $3,746 $3.48 2d 39 0.45mi
470 Lexington Pkwy S Saint Paul, MN 2.0 1.0–2.0 1175 $3,500 $2.98 2d 19 0.71mi
695 Grand Ave Saint Paul, MN 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1130 $5,795 $5.13 18d 10 1.05mi
871 Sibley Memorial Hwy Saint Paul, MN 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1207 $5,930 $4.91 2d 8 1.31mi

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-05-16
    status Pending 1441-char remark
  2. 2026-04-30
    listed $329,900 Active 1441-char remark
  3. 2015-11-01
    historical
  4. 2015-10-14
    historical Contingent - Application Received
  5. 2015-09-15
    listed $1,500 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$4,634 · $386/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,634 · $386/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$44,039
− Mortgage interest
−$18,480
− Property taxes
−$4,634
− Insurance
−$1,650
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,523
− Management
−$3,523
− Depreciation
−$9,597
Taxable income
$2,632
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$632
After-tax cash flow
$7,115/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
St. Paul Public School District
NCES district ID
2733840
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
33% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$48,316
Composite
23.51/100
National rank
#7868
State rank
#270 of 301 in MN

Livability — St. Paul

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
St. Paul, MN
County
Ramsey County · 542,837 people
City population
280,599
Metro
Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
Population (ZIP)
19,630
Household income
$76,406
Rent vs Own
55.1% rent · 44.9% own
Severe rent burden
1116.0

Population outlook (Ramsey County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
603,431 people
By 2030
636,459 · +5.5%
By 2040
700,596 · +16.1%
By 2050
765,819 · +26.9%
By 2075
929,297 · +54.0%
By 2100
1,053,924 · +74.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (77%)
Race & ethnicity
White 77% Black 10% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 10% Lithuanian 5% Romanian 3%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
87% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Ramsey

2024 margin
Solid D (+43.3) · D 70.5% · R 27.2% · Other 2.3%
2008→2024 swing
+9.4pp toward D · 2008: 33.9pp · 2024: 43.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+43.3 2020: D+45.4 2016: D+39.4 2012: D+35.3 2008: D+33.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -217.83%
Current HPI
241.7112
Rent YoY
▲ 1.60%
Metro
Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.41%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+21893.3% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-04 Sold (MLS) $329,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-16 Pending NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-30 Listed $329,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2015-11-01 Listing Removed NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2015-10-14 Contingent NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2015-09-15 Listed $1,500 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+1.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,634 · +12.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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