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1809 Cedar Heights Dr
B+ Composite 75.29
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +13.9/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.4/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$98,000

1809 Cedar Heights Dr · Jonesboro, AR 72401
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,120 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 5 Days on market
Est $114k · 14% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Investor Opportunity!!!! This remodeled townhome offers the rare combination of immediate income potential and long-term upside. Featuring 3 bedrooms and 1.5 bathrooms, this unit is individually parceled and can be purchased separately or combined with additional units as part of a larger investment package. Recent improvements to the Cedar Heights community include extensive renovations and capital improvements, including major updates to roofing, plumbing, HVAC systems, water heaters, flooring, paint, appliances, and more. Each unit includes a stove, refrigerator, washer/dryer hookups, individually metered utilities, and a private storage shed. Many units are currently occupied, while oth

Key facts

  • Remodeled townhome
  • Private storage shed
  • Listed 4 days

Tags

REMODELED TOWNHOMEIMMEDIATE INCOME POTENTIALINDIVIDUALLY PARCELEDEXTENSIVE RENOVATIONSPRIVATE STORAGE SHEDINDIVIDUALLY METERED UTILITIES

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Residential condominium
  • Construction: Brick construction
  • Exterior features: Located in the Cedar Heights subdivision

Interior

  • Kitchen: Refrigerator
  • Flooring: Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Living room fireplace; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
  • Laundry & utility: Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $98k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $570 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $98k).
  • Cap rate 13.3% vs local median 4.4% in Jonesboro — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#145 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Jonesboro School District (urban): math 28% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #169 of 238 in AR (top 71%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Douglas Macarthur Jhs (math 25% / reading 27%, grade F, #159 of 201 statewide, top 80%, 732 students, 100% FRL); The Academies At Jonesboro High School (math 16% / reading 27%, grade F, #225 of 292 statewide, top 78%, 1,386 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 67% district-wide (33 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.6%/yr); 295 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 926 units permitted in Craighead County in 2024 (69 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($45k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $678 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Craighead County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.6% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $98,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.49%
Cap rate
13.27%
Cash-on-cash
24.91%
DSCR
2.11
GRM
5.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$114,240
Comps found
5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
404 Habitat Cv 0.42mi 3/1.0 1,120 (0%) 7mo $95,000 $85 73
2409 Carter 0.64mi 3/1.0 1,200 (+7%) 5mo $157,000 $131 52
405 State St St 0.07mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,274 (+14%) 24mo $99,900 $78 45
1121 Sandino Dr 0.66mi 3/2.0 1,275 (+14%) 3mo $160,000 $125 42
1208 Sandino Dr 0.74mi 3/2.0 1,272 (+14%) 14mo $130,000 $102 30

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.64% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
19.0%
Equity multiple
1.78×
Total profit
$21,317
Equity at exit
$14,612
10-year hold
IRR
27.7%
Equity multiple
3.52×
Total profit
$69,084
Equity at exit
$8,473

Cash invested: $27,440 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arkansas
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 72401

Home prices YoY
-34.2%
Rents YoY
3.6%
Active inventory
295
Price-to-rent
5.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,462 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$514
Tax from tax record
$31 /mo · $371/yr
Insurance
$41
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$307
Net cashflow
$570

Break-even live

Break-even rent $741
Max offer price $98,000
Occupancy floor 56%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,500
Closing costs
$2,940
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
500 N Caraway Rd Jonesboro, AR 2.0–3.0 2.0–3.0 1000 $1,099 $1.10 43d 1 0.68mi
3101 Carnaby St Jonesboro, AR 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1167 $1,758 $1.51 43d 9 1.14mi

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $98,000 Active 5 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $98,000 Active 4 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $98,000 Active 3 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $98,000 Active 2 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    remarks 699-char remark
  6. 2026-06-15
    listed $98,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$371 · $31/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$627 · $52/mo
Expected delta
+$256/yr (+$21/mo · 69.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 7% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,550
− Mortgage interest
−$5,490
− Property taxes
−$371
− Insurance
−$490
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,404
− Management
−$1,404
− Depreciation
−$2,851
Taxable income
$5,540
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,330
After-tax cash flow
$5,507/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jonesboro School District
NCES district ID
0508280
Math proficiency
28% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
28% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$34,347
Composite
23.06/100
National rank
#7967
State rank
#169 of 238 in AR

Livability — Jonesboro

Score
65/100
State rank
#145
US rank
#12692

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Jonesboro, AR
County
Craighead County · 97,185 people
City population
91,245
Metro
Jonesboro, AR
Population (ZIP)
42,602
Household income
$45,329
Rent vs Own
51.1% rent · 48.9% own
Severe rent burden
2606.0

Population outlook (Craighead County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
122,235 people
By 2030
131,338 · +7.4%
By 2040
149,862 · +22.6%
By 2050
168,034 · +37.5%
By 2075
208,094 · +70.2%
By 2100
233,251 · +90.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
White 60% Black 26% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 7%

Political lean MEDSL · Craighead

2024 margin
Solid R (+37.4) · D 30.1% · R 67.5% · Other 2.4%
2008→2024 swing
-12.9pp toward R · 2008: -24.5pp · 2024: -37.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+37.4 2020: R+35.4 2016: R+35.2 2012: R+31.1 2008: R+24.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -108.25%
Current HPI
208.2079
Rent YoY
▲ 3.64%
Metro
Jonesboro, AR
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.80%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+326.1% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-14 Listed $98,000 NEABOR MLS
  • 2023-04-20 Sold (Public Records) $618,000 Public Records
  • 2016-05-06 Sold (Public Records) $92,000 Public Records
  • 2008-09-23 Sold (Public Records) $105,000 Public Records
  • 2002-12-03 Sold (Public Records) $23,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $371 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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