CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
5423 Pennsylvania 309
B- Composite 65.45
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +13.7/15.0
  • DSCR +7.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$189,000

5423 Pennsylvania 309 · Monroe, PA 18618
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 2,695 sqft · Other · 15 Days on market
Built 1943 1.33 ac lot $70/sqft · 14% below area Est $219k · 14% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This charming 3-bedroom home in Harvey's Lake sits on over 1.3 acres and offers solid construction with plenty of character. Built in 1943, it features timeless charm that's hard to find today. New roof installed in 2020. Inside, you'll find hardwood floors beneath the carpeting, a cozy wood stove in the living room, and a spacious layout ready for your personal touch. The home includes 1,623 square feet of above-grade finished living space, plus additional square feet in the upstairs and the unfinished basement--perfect for future expansion. Enjoy outdoor living on the large porch, and take advantage of the detached one car garage and whole-house generator for added convenience and pe

Key facts

  • Cozy wood stove
  • Large porch
  • Hardwood floors

Tags

HARDWOOD FLOORSCOZY WOOD STOVELARGE PORCHWHOLE-HOUSE GENERATOR

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property on approximately 1.33 acres; Residential zoning

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage (1 car); Additional open parking for 6 vehicles; Driveway; garage faces front
  • Utilities: Well water; Septic tank
  • Home design: Single-family house; Residential property
  • Construction: Vinyl and wood siding; Shingle roof; Full basement
  • Exterior features: Side porch and wrap-around porch; Level, sloped, and cleared yard; Paved road access (publicly maintained); Road frontage on state and county roads

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Total of 7 rooms (bedroom count not specified)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Linoleum
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Oil heating
  • Interior features: Unfurnished; Wood-burning fireplace in the living room
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry located in the basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $189k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $262 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $187k (1.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $186k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#1,161 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Tunkhannock Area SD (town): math 29% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #397 of 539 in PA (top 74%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 36 active listings in the ZIP; 33 units permitted in Wyoming County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $5k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $3k appreciation (1.7% local appreciation)).
  • Wyoming County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (1.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $53k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($186k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1943 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $186,165 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1943 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.99%
Cap rate
8.31%
Cash-on-cash
7.20%
DSCR
1.32
GRM
8.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$218,926
List price
$189,000
Delta
-13.67%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
2 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

1.72% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
9.6%
Equity multiple
1.51×
Total profit
$26,901
Equity at exit
$71,666
10-year hold
IRR
12.9%
Equity multiple
2.68×
Total profit
$88,801
Equity at exit
$101,032

Cash invested: $52,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 18618

Home prices YoY
0.6%
Active inventory
36
Price-to-rent
8.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,868 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$991
Tax from tax record
$88 /mo · $1,061/yr
Insurance
$79
Flood insurance flood zone
−$56 /mo · $666/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$392
Net cashflow
$262

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,537
Max offer price $189,000
Occupancy floor 81%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$47,250
Closing costs
$5,670
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-06-01
    status $189,000 Pending 15 DOM
  2. 2026-05-31
    days on market $189,000 Active 15 DOM
  3. 2026-05-30
    days on market $189,000 Active 14 DOM
  4. 2026-05-16
    status Pending 823-char remark
  5. 2026-05-10
    listed $189,000 Active 823-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,061 · $88/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,024 · $169/mo
Expected delta
+$963/yr (+$80/mo · 90.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,416
− Mortgage interest
−$10,587
− Property taxes
−$1,061
− Insurance
−$1,612
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,793
− Management
−$1,793
− Depreciation
−$5,498
Taxable income
$72
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$17
After-tax cash flow
$3,125/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Tunkhannock Area SD
NCES district ID
4223850
Math proficiency
29% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -18.00%
Median HH income
$51,545
Composite
31.27/100
National rank
#6022
State rank
#397 of 539 in PA

Livability — Monroe

Score
65/100
State rank
#1161
US rank
#13436

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
3,583

Population outlook (Wyoming County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
26,334 people
By 2030
25,225 · -4.2%
By 2040
22,707 · -13.8%
By 2050
20,250 · -23.1%
By 2075
15,192 · -42.3%
By 2100
10,961 · -58.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 17% Scotch-Irish 3% Subsaharan African 1%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wyoming

2024 margin
Solid R (+36.8) · D 31.1% · R 67.9% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
-29.2pp toward R · 2008: -7.6pp · 2024: -36.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+36.8 2020: R+35.2 2016: R+38.7 2012: R+12.3 2008: R+7.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.72%
Current HPI
314.2169
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-31 Pending PMAR
  • 2026-05-22 Relisted PMAR
  • 2026-05-16 Pending PMAR
  • 2026-05-10 Listed $189,000 PMAR

Property tax history

-7.9%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,061 · -64.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…