7608 W Otter St · Homosassa Springs, FL
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 26 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.8/30.0
- ARV discount +13.0/15.0
- DSCR +8.0/10.0
- 1% rule +5.2/10.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$190,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
FULLY REBUILT double-wide on 0.23 acres! New in 2022-23: real hardwood floors throughout, all new kitchen, all new double-pane low-e windows (most are impact resistant) with new pressure-treated framing and walls reinforcements, ALL new PVC plumbing, new water heater, new Well with water filtration, travertine natural stone bathrooms with a Bubble bath (and necessary weight supporting columns), video surveillance, 6 in-wall AC units with heat pumps (no ducts, clean air, low electricity bill), 1/4 in. plywood over original drywall all over interior perimeter walls for added rigidity and sound proofing. New in 2016: insulated aluminum roof over and insulated siding. New in 2026 full septic s
Key facts
- Real hardwood floors
- New water heater
- New pvc plumbing
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached carport; Driveway; Gravel parking; 1 total parking space
- Utilities: Private well water; Septic tank sewer
- Home design: Manufactured home (double wide); Residential property
- Construction: Metal roof
- Exterior features: Cleared lot; Private maintained road access; Private road frontage
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric oven; Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Flooring: Wood flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Wall furnace heating; Wall/window air conditioning units
- Interior features: Dryer; Dishwasher; Electric oven; Microwave; Refrigerator; Washer
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $190k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $335 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $190k).
- Recommended offer: $184k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.8% vs local median 5.9% in Homosassa Springs — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#391 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Citrus (rural): math 49% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #44 of 73 in FL (top 60%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Homosassa Elementary School (math 62% / reading 47%, grade C, #892 of 2,144 statewide, top 44%, 411 students, 78% FRL); Crystal River Middle School (math 49% / reading 47%, grade C-, #286 of 571 statewide, top 50%, 900 students, 64% FRL); Crystal River High School (math 31% / reading 44%, grade F, #336 of 667 statewide, top 51%, 1,249 students, 56% FRL).
- Market conditions: 586 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 2,443 units permitted in Citrus County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($59k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Citrus County population projected to shrink 10% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($184k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $6k; list at $190k implies a 3355% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.02% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.83%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.05%
- DSCR
- 1.40
- GRM
- 8.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $216,216
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4965 S Quiz Pt | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 | 1,523 (+1%) | 6mo | $199,900 | $131 | 87 |
| 4931 S Phial Pt | 0.16mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,344 (-11%) | 8mo | $190,000 | $141 | 63 |
| 7627 W Autumn St | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 | 1,344 (-11%) | 8mo | $205,000 | $153 | 57 |
| 7419 W Astoria Ct | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 1,568 (+4%) | 5mo | $226,000 | $144 | 55 |
| 7315 W Hadenotter Ln | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 | 1,295 (-14%) | 9mo | $185,000 | $143 | 54 |
| 7418 W Astoria Ct | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 1,500 (-1%) | 19mo | $236,000 | $157 | 50 |
| 7668 W Grove St | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 | 1,626 (+8%) | 13mo | $200,000 | $123 | 50 |
| 5356 S Suffolk Ter | 0.28mi | 3/1.0 | 1,294 (-14%) | 14mo | $199,000 | $154 | 48 |
| 5535 S Scarlett Oak Ter | 0.63mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,344 (-11%) | 2mo | $170,000 | $126 | 46 |
| 7393 Astoria Ct | 0.74mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,568 (+4%) | 11mo | $222,900 | $142 | 46 |
| 4995 S Roebuck Way | 0.60mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,716 (+14%) | 14mo | $198,000 | $115 | 33 |
| 4631 S Memorial Dr | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,296 (-14%) | 12mo | $199,000 | $154 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.82×
- Total profit
- $-9,507
- Equity at exit
- $28,330
- IRR
- 4.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.36×
- Total profit
- $19,017
- Equity at exit
- $16,428
Cash invested: $53,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34446
- Home prices YoY
- -10.4%
- Active inventory
- 586
- Price-to-rent
- 8.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,946 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$996
- Tax from tax record
- −$60 /mo · $724/yr
- Insurance
- −$79
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$409
- Net cashflow
- $335
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $442 | -5% $389 | +0% $335 | +5% $281 | +10% $227 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $181 | -5% $258 | +0% $335 | +5% $412 | +10% $488 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $430 | -0.5pp $383 | base $335 | +0.5pp $286 | +1.0pp $235 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $47,500
- Closing costs
- $5,700
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5900 S Oakridge Dr Homosassa, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $1,575 | $1.50 | 22d | 1 | 0.92mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-21pricedays on market $190,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $195,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $195,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $195,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $195,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $195,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $195,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $195,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $199,500 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $199,500 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $199,500 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-03pricedays on market $199,500 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $205,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $205,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $205,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $205,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-05-15$210,000 Active
-
2019-03-06soldstatus $5,500
-
1990-03-01soldstatus $32,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $724 · $60/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,577 · $131/mo
- Expected delta
- +$853/yr (+$71/mo · 118.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (shaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,347
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,643
- − Property taxes
- −$724
- − Insurance
- −$1,748
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,868
- − Management
- −$1,868
- − Depreciation
- −$5,527
- Taxable income
- $971
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$233
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,784/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Citrus
- NCES district ID
- 1200270
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,618
- Composite
- 41.28/100
- National rank
- #3519
- State rank
- #44 of 73 in FL
Livability — Homosassa Springs
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #391
- US rank
- #6877
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Homosassa Springs, FL
- County
- Citrus County · 111,314 people
- Metro
- Homosassa Springs, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,102
- Household income
- $58,802
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 121.0
Population outlook (Citrus County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 138,622 people
- By 2030
- 136,886 · -1.3%
- By 2040
- 132,009 · -4.8%
- By 2050
- 125,196 · -9.7%
- By 2075
- 108,570 · -21.7%
- By 2100
- 84,454 · -39.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Citrus
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+45.9) · D 26.8% · R 72.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -29.8pp toward R · 2008: -16.1pp · 2024: -45.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+45.9 2020: R+41.0 2016: R+39.7 2012: R+21.9 2008: R+16.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -32.11%
- Current HPI
- 277.2576
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Homosassa Springs, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
+556.2% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Listed $210,000 RACC
- 2019-03-06 Sold (Public Records) $5,500 Public Records
- 1990-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $32,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+18.0%/yrLatest (2025): $724 · +9.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…