5667 Ramsey Rd · Bemus Point, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 90°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.9/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.3/10.0
- DSCR +4.5/10.0
- 1% rule +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$110,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Tucked away in the countryside on a half-acre lot, this charming country cabin offers the peaceful setting you’ve been looking for. Surrounded by open fields that enhance the sense of privacy, this cozy two-bedroom, one-bath home features an inviting open floor plan perfect for relaxing weekends or year-round living. Warm up beside the woodburning stove or choose from electric baseboard heat and propane space heaters for added comfort and flexibility. The home also includes a convenient laundry room, detached garage/shed for storage or hobbies, and classic country wood siding that complements the rural setting. Enjoy quiet mornings on the covered front porch or unwind on the covered b
Key facts
- Open floor plan
- Half-acre lot
- Laundry room
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage; 1 garage space
- Utilities: Electricity connected; Well water; Septic system
- Home design: Single-story; Existing construction; Wood siding
- Construction: Block foundation
- Exterior features: Dirt driveway; Rectangular, rural lot (approx. 0.5 acre, 165 x 132)
Interior
- Kitchen: Free-standing range; Oven; Refrigerator; Country kitchen layout
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl; Varies
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Propane heating; Wood heating; Baseboard heating; Space heater
- Interior features: Separate/formal living room; Country kitchen; Combined living and dining area; Crawl space basement
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $32 ($380/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $100k (9.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $100k (9.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 1.6% in Bemus Point — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#539 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A, cost of living A, health & safety A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Chautauqua Lake Central School District (rural): math 65% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #218 of 590 in NY (top 37%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 37 active listings in the ZIP; 127 units permitted in Chautauqua County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $12k of equity ($761 loan paydown + $11k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Chautauqua County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$42k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($108k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1858 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1858 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.91% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.64%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.23%
- DSCR
- 1.05
- GRM
- 9.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $288,836
- List price
- $110,000
- Delta
- -61.92%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 6 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 25.2%
- Equity multiple
- 3.01×
- Total profit
- $61,938
- Equity at exit
- $99,097
- IRR
- 22.2%
- Equity multiple
- 6.87×
- Total profit
- $180,838
- Equity at exit
- $213,706
Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14710
- Home prices YoY
- 14.9%
- Active inventory
- 37
- Price-to-rent
- 9.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $999 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$577
- Tax from tax record
- −$135 /mo · $1,615/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$210
- Net cashflow
- $32
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $94 | -5% $63 | +0% $32 | +5% $1 | +10% $-31 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-47 | -5% $-8 | +0% $32 | +5% $71 | +10% $111 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $87 | -0.5pp $60 | base $32 | +0.5pp $3 | +1.0pp $-26 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,500
- Closing costs
- $3,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-06-12statusdays on market $110,000 Pending 26 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $110,000 Active Under Contract 25 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $110,000 Active Under Contract 24 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $110,000 Active Under Contract 23 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $110,000 Active Under Contract 21 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $110,000 Active Under Contract 19 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $110,000 Active Under Contract 18 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $110,000 Active Under Contract 17 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $110,000 Active Under Contract 16 DOM
-
2026-05-15$110,000 Active 846-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,615 · $135/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,737 · $145/mo
- Expected delta
- +$122/yr (+$10/mo · 7.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,983
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,162
- − Property taxes
- −$1,615
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$959
- − Management
- −$959
- − Depreciation
- −$3,200
- Taxable loss
- −$1,461
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$351
- After-tax cash flow
- $730/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Chautauqua Lake Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3600018
- Math proficiency
- 65% ▲ 4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 59% ▲ 7.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,728
- Composite
- 52.84/100
- National rank
- #1535
- State rank
- #218 of 590 in NY
Livability — Bemus Point
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #539
- US rank
- #9687
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,951
Population outlook (Chautauqua County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 123,454 people
- By 2030
- 118,509 · -4.0%
- By 2040
- 107,311 · -13.1%
- By 2050
- 96,703 · -21.7%
- By 2075
- 76,757 · -37.8%
- By 2100
- 60,984 · -50.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (97%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 97% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Iranian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Chautauqua
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+22.0) · D 39.0% · R 61.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.9pp toward R · 2008: 0.9pp · 2024: -22.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+22.0 2020: R+19.8 2016: R+24.6 2012: R+8.2 2008: D+0.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 44.70%
- Current HPI
- 344.7366
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
||
Price history
3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-10 Pending — UNYREIS
- 2026-05-22 Contingent — UNYREIS
- 2026-05-15 Listed $110,000 UNYREIS
Property tax history
+0.6%/yrLatest (2025): $1,615 · +22.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…