CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
5667 Ramsey Rd
C- Composite 54.68
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.9/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +5.3/10.0
  • DSCR +4.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$110,000

5667 Ramsey Rd · Bemus Point, NY 14710
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,125 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 26 Days on market
Built 1858 0.50 ac lot $98/sqft · 62% below area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Tucked away in the countryside on a half-acre lot, this charming country cabin offers the peaceful setting you’ve been looking for. Surrounded by open fields that enhance the sense of privacy, this cozy two-bedroom, one-bath home features an inviting open floor plan perfect for relaxing weekends or year-round living. Warm up beside the woodburning stove or choose from electric baseboard heat and propane space heaters for added comfort and flexibility. The home also includes a convenient laundry room, detached garage/shed for storage or hobbies, and classic country wood siding that complements the rural setting. Enjoy quiet mornings on the covered front porch or unwind on the covered b

Key facts

  • Open floor plan
  • Half-acre lot
  • Laundry room

Tags

HALF-ACRE LOTOPEN FLOOR PLANWOODBURNING STOVELAUNDRY ROOMDETACHED GARAGEWOOD SIDING

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage; 1 garage space
  • Utilities: Electricity connected; Well water; Septic system
  • Home design: Single-story; Existing construction; Wood siding
  • Construction: Block foundation
  • Exterior features: Dirt driveway; Rectangular, rural lot (approx. 0.5 acre, 165 x 132)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Free-standing range; Oven; Refrigerator; Country kitchen layout
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl; Varies
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Propane heating; Wood heating; Baseboard heating; Space heater
  • Interior features: Separate/formal living room; Country kitchen; Combined living and dining area; Crawl space basement
  • Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $32 ($380/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $100k (9.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $100k (9.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 1.6% in Bemus Point — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#539 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A, cost of living A, health & safety A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Chautauqua Lake Central School District (rural): math 65% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #218 of 590 in NY (top 37%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 37 active listings in the ZIP; 127 units permitted in Chautauqua County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $12k of equity ($761 loan paydown + $11k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Chautauqua County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$42k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($108k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1858 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $99,860 (9.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1858 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.91%
Cap rate
6.64%
Cash-on-cash
1.23%
DSCR
1.05
GRM
9.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$288,836
List price
$110,000
Delta
-61.92%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
6 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
25.2%
Equity multiple
3.01×
Total profit
$61,938
Equity at exit
$99,097
10-year hold
IRR
22.2%
Equity multiple
6.87×
Total profit
$180,838
Equity at exit
$213,706

Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14710

Home prices YoY
14.9%
Active inventory
37
Price-to-rent
9.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$999 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$577
Tax from tax record
$135 /mo · $1,615/yr
Insurance
$46
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$210
Net cashflow
$32

Break-even live

Break-even rent $959
Max offer price $110,000
Occupancy floor 92%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $94 -5% $63 +0% $32 +5% $1 +10% $-31
Rent -10% $-47 -5% $-8 +0% $32 +5% $71 +10% $111
Rate -1.0pp $87 -0.5pp $60 base $32 +0.5pp $3 +1.0pp $-26

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,500
Closing costs
$3,300
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-06-12
    statusdays on market $110,000 Pending 26 DOM
  2. 2026-06-09
    days on market $110,000 Active Under Contract 25 DOM
  3. 2026-06-08
    days on market $110,000 Active Under Contract 24 DOM
  4. 2026-06-07
    days on market $110,000 Active Under Contract 23 DOM
  5. 2026-06-05
    days on market $110,000 Active Under Contract 21 DOM
  6. 2026-06-04
    days on market $110,000 Active Under Contract 19 DOM
  7. 2026-06-02
    days on market $110,000 Active Under Contract 18 DOM
  8. 2026-06-01
    days on market $110,000 Active Under Contract 17 DOM
  9. 2026-05-31
    days on market $110,000 Active Under Contract 16 DOM
  10. 2026-05-15
    listed $110,000 Active 846-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,615 · $135/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,737 · $145/mo
Expected delta
+$122/yr (+$10/mo · 7.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,983
− Mortgage interest
−$6,162
− Property taxes
−$1,615
− Insurance
−$550
− Repairs & maintenance
−$959
− Management
−$959
− Depreciation
−$3,200
Taxable loss
−$1,461
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$351
After-tax cash flow
$730/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Chautauqua Lake Central School District
NCES district ID
3600018
Math proficiency
65% ▲ 4.00%
Reading proficiency
59% ▲ 7.00%
Median HH income
$50,728
Composite
52.84/100
National rank
#1535
State rank
#218 of 590 in NY

Livability — Bemus Point

Score
68/100
State rank
#539
US rank
#9687

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A Crime A Employment F Housing B- Health & safety A User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
2,951

Population outlook (Chautauqua County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
123,454 people
By 2030
118,509 · -4.0%
By 2040
107,311 · -13.1%
By 2050
96,703 · -21.7%
By 2075
76,757 · -37.8%
By 2100
60,984 · -50.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (97%)
Race & ethnicity
White 97% Two or more races 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Iranian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
0%
Languages at home
98% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Chautauqua

2024 margin
Strong R (+22.0) · D 39.0% · R 61.0%
2008→2024 swing
-22.9pp toward R · 2008: 0.9pp · 2024: -22.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+22.0 2020: R+19.8 2016: R+24.6 2012: R+8.2 2008: D+0.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 44.70%
Current HPI
344.7366
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-10 Pending UNYREIS
  • 2026-05-22 Contingent UNYREIS
  • 2026-05-15 Listed $110,000 UNYREIS

Property tax history

+0.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,615 · +22.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…