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1857 County Road 318
B+ Composite 78.7
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$49,999

1857 County Road 318 · Brazoria, TX 77422
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 720 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 133 Days on market
Built 1952 0.36 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

JUST LISTED This FIXER UPPER on a 0.36-acre parcel in Brazoria, Texas. The house is rough and is being sold AS IS but the lot is big and has a lot of potential. This is a solid opportunity for renovation or a fresh start in a small-town setting. Located in the 77422 area with proximity to local roads and neighborhood services. WE MAKE IT EASY TO OWN. This is a great opportunity! Don't wait, call us today to get more information on the owner's easy terms and smooth process that may be able to put the deed in your name and make this your dream property. When you call us be sure and ask about the other properties that we have available in the Brazoria Texas Area.

Key facts

  • Big lot
  • 0.36-acre parcel
  • Small-town setting

Tags

0.36-ACRE PARCELBIG LOTSMALL-TOWN SETTINGPROXIMITY TO LOCAL ROADSNEIGHBORHOOD SERVICES

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $541 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $50k).
  • Recommended offer: $44k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 19.3% vs local median 3.1% in Brazoria — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#1,001 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Sweeny ISD (town): math 32% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #480 of 826 in TX (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Sweeny El (math 34% / reading 41%, grade F, #1,744 of 4,322 statewide, top 41%, 864 students, 67% FRL); Sweeny J H (math 29% / reading 36%, grade F, #947 of 1,662 statewide, top 58%, 445 students, 57% FRL); Sweeny H S (math 37% / reading 47%, grade F, #730 of 1,632 statewide, top 47%, 589 students, 51% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 212 active listings in the ZIP; 3,960 units permitted in Brazoria County in 2024 (593 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $5k of equity ($345 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Brazoria County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 133 days — a 12% lower offer ($44k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $43,999 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 133 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.20%
Cap rate
19.27%
Cash-on-cash
46.35%
DSCR
3.06
GRM
3.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
60.5%
Equity multiple
5.41×
Total profit
$61,677
Equity at exit
$45,043
10-year hold
IRR
54.0%
Equity multiple
12.04×
Total profit
$154,558
Equity at exit
$97,137

Cash invested: $14,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77422

Home prices YoY
5.1%
Active inventory
212
Price-to-rent
3.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,102 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$262
Tax from tax record
$47 /mo · $559/yr
Insurance
$21
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$231
Net cashflow
$541

Break-even live

Break-even rent $417
Max offer price $49,999
Occupancy floor 46%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $569 -5% $555 +0% $541 +5% $527 +10% $512
Rent -10% $454 -5% $497 +0% $541 +5% $584 +10% $628
Rate -1.0pp $566 -0.5pp $553 base $541 +0.5pp $528 +1.0pp $515

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$12,500
Closing costs
$1,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $49,999 Active 133 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $49,999 Active 132 DOM
  3. 2026-06-19
    days on market $49,999 Active 130 DOM
  4. 2026-06-18
    days on market $49,999 Active 129 DOM
  5. 2026-06-17
    days on market $49,999 Active 128 DOM
  6. 2026-06-16
    days on market $49,999 Active 127 DOM
  7. 2026-06-15
    days on market $49,999 Active 126 DOM
  8. 2026-06-14
    days on market $49,999 Active 124 DOM
  9. 2026-06-12
    days on market $49,999 Active 123 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $49,999 Active 120 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $49,999 Active 119 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $49,999 Active 118 DOM
  13. 2026-06-07
    days on market $49,999 Active 117 DOM
  14. 2026-06-03
    days on market $49,999 Active 114 DOM
  15. 2026-06-02
    days on market $49,999 Active 113 DOM
  16. 2026-06-01
    days on market $49,999 Active 112 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $49,999 Active 111 DOM
  18. 2026-05-30
    days on market $49,999 Active 110 DOM
  19. 2026-02-09
    listed $49,999 Active 670-char remark
    Show marketing remark (670 chars)

    JUST LISTED This FIXER UPPER on a 0.36-acre parcel in Brazoria, Texas. The house is rough and is being sold AS IS but the lot is big and has a lot of potential. This is a solid opportunity for renovation or a fresh start in a small-town setting. Located in the 77422 area with proximity to local roads and neighborhood services. WE MAKE IT EASY TO OWN. This is a great opportunity! Don't wait, call us today to get more information on the owner's easy terms and smooth process that may be able to put the deed in your name and make this your dream property. When you call us be sure and ask about the other properties that we have available in the Brazoria Texas Area.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$559 · $47/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$915 · $76/mo
Expected delta
+$356/yr (+$30/mo · 63.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (shaded) · 54% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥116°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,220
− Mortgage interest
−$2,801
− Property taxes
−$559
− Insurance
−$250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,058
− Management
−$1,058
− Depreciation
−$1,455
Taxable income
$6,041
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,450
After-tax cash flow
$5,039/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Sweeny ISD
NCES district ID
4841970
Math proficiency
32% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$53,607
Composite
31.49/100
National rank
#5975
State rank
#480 of 826 in TX

Livability — Brazoria

Score
61/100
State rank
#1001
US rank
#17755

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
14,548

Population outlook (Brazoria County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
420,414 people
By 2030
457,585 · +8.8%
By 2040
532,232 · +26.6%
By 2050
605,399 · +44.0%
By 2075
779,358 · +85.4%
By 2100
883,759 · +110.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (64%)
Race & ethnicity
White 64% Hispanic / Latino 21% Two or more races 15% Black 10%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 18%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 13%

Political lean MEDSL · Brazoria

2024 margin
R (+19.7) · D 39.5% · R 59.2% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
+9.9pp toward D · 2008: -29.6pp · 2024: -19.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+19.7 2020: R+18.2 2016: R+24.6 2012: R+34.2 2008: R+29.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 14.41%
Current HPI
296.0632
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-02-09 Listed $49,999 HARMLS

Property tax history

+3.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $559 · -18.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…