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9477 Lansdowne Rd 🏷️ Likely Rental
B Composite 72.3
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.6/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$74,900

9477 Lansdowne Rd · Central, LA 70818
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,140 sqft · SingleFamily · 267 Days on market
Built 2025 Good condition $66/sqft · 58% below area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Brand New Mobile Homes located in Central City School District and available for immediate move-in. Quiet neighborhood with security cameras throughout. Paved streets and driveways. On-site management for immediate attention to needs and concerns. $425/mo lot rent. 6 homes are available as of 2/18/2026

Key facts

  • Security cameras
  • Quiet neighborhood
  • On-site management

Tags

CENTRAL CITY SCHOOL DISTRICTQUIET NEIGHBORHOODSECURITY CAMERASPAVED STREETSON-SITE MANAGEMENT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $74,900 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$178,267) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $75k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $976 ($12k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $75k).
  • Recommended offer: $66k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 21.9% vs local median 3.3% in Central — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#25 in LA, #4,761 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Central Community School District (suburban): math 50% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #9 of 98 in LA (top 9%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 128 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 2,252 units permitted in East Baton Rouge Parish in 2024 (440 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $518 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • East Baton Rouge County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 267 days — a 12% lower offer ($66k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 31 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask is 5662% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Recommended offer $65,912 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 267 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.52%
Cap rate
21.94%
Cash-on-cash
55.87%
DSCR
3.49
GRM
3.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$178,267
List price
$74,900
Delta
-57.98%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
11 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
54.2%
Equity multiple
3.39×
Total profit
$50,081
Equity at exit
$11,168
10-year hold
IRR
59.3%
Equity multiple
6.90×
Total profit
$123,804
Equity at exit
$6,476

Cash invested: $20,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Louisiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 70818

Active inventory
128
Price-to-rent
3.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,891 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$393
Tax est. 1.5%
$94 /mo · $1,124/yr
Insurance
$31
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$397
Net cashflow
$976

Break-even live

Break-even rent $655
Max offer price $74,900
Occupancy floor 43%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,028 -5% $1,002 +0% $976 +5% $951 +10% $925
Rent -10% $827 -5% $902 +0% $976 +5% $1,051 +10% $1,126
Rate -1.0pp $1,014 -0.5pp $995 base $976 +0.5pp $957 +1.0pp $937

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,725
Closing costs
$2,247
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $74,900 Active 267 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $74,900 Active 266 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $74,900 Active 265 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $74,900 Active 264 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $74,900 Active 262 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $74,900 Active 259 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $74,900 Active 258 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $74,900 Active 257 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $74,900 Active 256 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $74,900 Active 253 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $74,900 Active 252 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $74,900 Active 251 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $74,900 Active 250 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $74,900 Active 249 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $74,900 Active 248 DOM
  16. 2026-05-13
    listed $1,300
  17. 2026-01-17
    historical $1,250
  18. 2026-01-15
    listed $1,250
  19. 2025-12-05
    historical $1,250
  20. 2025-11-23
    price $1,250
  21. 2025-10-30
    listed $1,300
  22. 2025-09-23
    listed $74,900 Active 303-char remark
    Show marketing remark (303 chars)

    Brand New Mobile Homes located in Central City School District and available for immediate move-in. Quiet neighborhood with security cameras throughout. Paved streets and driveways. On-site management for immediate attention to needs and concerns. $425/mo lot rent. 6 homes are available as of 2/18/2026

  23. 2025-09-23
    listed $74,900 Active 303-char remark
    Show marketing remark (303 chars)

    Brand New Mobile Homes located in Central City School District and available for immediate move-in. Quiet neighborhood with security cameras throughout. Paved streets and driveways. On-site management for immediate attention to needs and concerns. $425/mo lot rent. 6 homes are available as of 2/18/2026

  24. 2025-09-11
    historical $1,300
  25. 2025-08-19
    listed $1,300
  26. 2025-08-12
    historical $1,200
  27. 2025-05-24
    listed $1,250
  28. 2025-05-05
    historical $1,250
  29. 2025-04-19
    price $1,250
  30. 2025-04-17
    listed $1,250
  31. 2025-04-17
    historical $1,250
  32. 2025-04-04
    listed $1,250
  33. 2025-03-02
    historical $1,200
  34. 2025-02-11
    listed $1,200
  35. 2025-01-17
    historical $1,211
  36. 2025-01-11
    listed $1,211
  37. 2024-12-21
    historical $1,211
  38. 2024-11-27
    listed $1,211
  39. 2024-11-25
    historical $1,250
  40. 2024-11-21
    price $1,250
  41. 2024-11-18
    listed $1,200
  42. 2024-11-17
    historical $1,200
  43. 2024-10-22
    historical $1,200
  44. 2024-10-22
    listed $1,200
  45. 2024-10-22
    listed $1,250
  46. 2024-10-22
    historical $1,200
  47. 2024-09-22
    listed $1,200
  48. 2024-09-22
    historical $1,200
  49. 2024-07-26
    listed $1,200
  50. 2024-07-26
    historical $1,300

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,694
− Mortgage interest
−$4,196
− Property taxes
−$1,124
− Insurance
−$374
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,816
− Management
−$1,816
− Depreciation
−$2,179
Taxable income
$11,191
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,686
After-tax cash flow
$9,031/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 10 photos

Good 80/100 None rehab

This mobile home is in excellent condition with no visible repairs needed. It is move-in ready and offers a good investment opportunity.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Landscaping — Aesthetic improvements can enhance curb appeal and property value
  • Both Painting — Fresh paint can make the interior look more inviting and modern

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Landscaping — Aesthetic improvements can enhance curb appeal and property value
  • Both Painting — Fresh paint can make the interior look more inviting and modern

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Central Community School District
NCES district ID
2200125
Math proficiency
50% ▼ -32.00%
Reading proficiency
54% ▼ -31.00%
Median HH income
$66,584
Composite
46.02/100
National rank
#2528
State rank
#9 of 98 in LA

Livability — Central

Score
74/100
State rank
#25
US rank
#4761

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B Crime B Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety C+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Central, LA
County
East Baton Rouge Parish · 399,686 people
City population
10,403
Metro
Baton Rouge, LA
Population (ZIP)
9,370
Household income
$78,432
Rent vs Own
20.7% rent · 79.3% own
Severe rent burden
408.0

Population outlook (East Baton Rouge County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
464,810 people
By 2030
472,137 · +1.6%
By 2040
480,243 · +3.3%
By 2050
484,422 · +4.2%
By 2075
492,069 · +5.9%
By 2100
476,347 · +2.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (70%)
Race & ethnicity
White 70% Black 21% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 8% Italian 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · East Baton Rouge

2024 margin
D (+11.1) · D 54.5% · R 43.4% · Other 2.1%
2008→2024 swing
+8.9pp toward D · 2008: 2.2pp · 2024: 11.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+11.1 2020: D+13.1 2016: D+9.2 2012: D+5.2 2008: D+2.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -132.34%
Current HPI
169.9642
Rent YoY
Metro
Baton Rouge, LA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.29%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+18.2% since first listed
63 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-13 Listed for Rent $1,300 TURBOTENANT
  • 2026-01-17 Rental Removed $1,250 TURBOTENANT
  • 2026-01-15 Listed for Rent $1,250 TURBOTENANT
  • 2025-12-05 Rental Removed $1,250 TURBOTENANT
  • 2025-11-23 Price Changed $1,250 TURBOTENANT
  • 2025-10-30 Listed for Rent $1,300 TURBOTENANT
  • 2025-09-23 Listed $74,900 AcadianaMLS
  • 2025-09-23 Listed $74,900 GSREIN
  • 2025-09-11 Rental Removed $1,300 TURBOTENANT
  • 2025-08-19 Listed for Rent $1,300 TURBOTENANT
  • 2025-08-12 Rental Removed $1,200 TURBOTENANT
  • 2025-05-24 Listed for Rent $1,250 TURBOTENANT
  • 2025-05-05 Rental Removed $1,250 TURBOTENANT
  • 2025-04-19 Price Changed $1,250 TURBOTENANT
  • 2025-04-17 Listed for Rent $1,250 TURBOTENANT
  • 2025-04-17 Rental Removed $1,250 TURBOTENANT
  • 2025-04-04 Listed for Rent $1,250 TURBOTENANT
  • 2025-03-02 Rental Removed $1,200 TURBOTENANT
  • 2025-02-11 Listed for Rent $1,200 TURBOTENANT
  • 2025-01-17 Rental Removed $1,211 TURBOTENANT
  • 2025-01-11 Listed for Rent $1,211 TURBOTENANT
  • 2024-12-21 Rental Removed $1,211 TURBOTENANT
  • 2024-11-27 Listed for Rent $1,211 TURBOTENANT
  • 2024-11-25 Rental Removed $1,250 TURBOTENANT
  • 2024-11-21 Price Changed $1,250 TURBOTENANT
  • 2024-11-18 Listed for Rent $1,200 TURBOTENANT
  • 2024-11-17 Rental Removed $1,200 TURBOTENANT
  • 2024-10-22 Rental Removed $1,200 TURBOTENANT
  • 2024-10-22 Listed for Rent $1,200 TURBOTENANT
  • 2024-10-22 Listed for Rent $1,250 TURBOTENANT
  • 2024-10-22 Rental Removed $1,200 TURBOTENANT
  • 2024-09-22 Listed for Rent $1,200 TURBOTENANT
  • 2024-09-22 Rental Removed $1,200 TURBOTENANT
  • 2024-07-26 Listed for Rent $1,200 TURBOTENANT
  • 2024-07-26 Rental Removed $1,300 TURBOTENANT
  • 2024-07-23 Listed for Rent $1,300 TURBOTENANT
  • 2024-07-19 Rental Removed $1,300 TURBOTENANT
  • 2024-07-19 Rental Removed $1,300 TURBOTENANT
  • 2024-07-18 Listed for Rent $1,300 TURBOTENANT
  • 2024-06-30 Listed for Rent $1,200 TURBOTENANT
  • 2024-06-30 Rental Removed $1,200 TURBOTENANT
  • 2024-06-21 Listed for Rent $1,200 TURBOTENANT
  • 2024-06-21 Rental Removed $1,250 TURBOTENANT
  • 2024-06-12 Listed for Rent $1,250 TURBOTENANT
  • 2024-06-12 Rental Removed $1,250 TURBOTENANT
  • 2024-06-12 Rental Removed $1,250 TURBOTENANT
  • 2024-06-05 Listed for Rent $1,250 TURBOTENANT
  • 2024-04-24 Listed for Rent $1,200 TURBOTENANT
  • 2024-02-24 Rental Removed $1,100 TURBOTENANT
  • 2024-02-07 Listed for Rent $1,100 TURBOTENANT
  • 2024-01-28 Rental Removed $1,100 TURBOTENANT
  • 2023-12-08 Listed for Rent $1,100 TURBOTENANT
  • 2023-11-20 Rental Removed $1,100 TURBOTENANT
  • 2023-10-20 Listed for Rent $1,100 TURBOTENANT
  • 2023-10-14 Rental Removed $1,100 TURBOTENANT
  • 2023-09-24 Listed for Rent $1,100 TURBOTENANT
  • 2023-08-24 Rental Removed $1,100 TURBOTENANT
  • 2023-08-17 Listed for Rent $1,100 TURBOTENANT
  • 2023-08-13 Rental Removed $1,100 TURBOTENANT
  • 2023-08-10 Listed for Rent $1,100 TURBOTENANT
  • 2023-08-03 Rental Removed $1,100 TURBOTENANT
  • 2023-08-02 Listed for Rent $1,100 TURBOTENANT
  • 2022-11-18 Rental Removed TURBOTENANT

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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