🏷️ Likely Rental
9477 Lansdowne Rd · Central, LA
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.6/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$74,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Brand New Mobile Homes located in Central City School District and available for immediate move-in. Quiet neighborhood with security cameras throughout. Paved streets and driveways. On-site management for immediate attention to needs and concerns. $425/mo lot rent. 6 homes are available as of 2/18/2026
Key facts
- Security cameras
- Quiet neighborhood
- On-site management
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $75k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $976 ($12k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $75k).
- Recommended offer: $66k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 21.9% vs local median 3.3% in Central — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#25 in LA, #4,761 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Central Community School District (suburban): math 50% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #9 of 98 in LA (top 9%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 128 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 2,252 units permitted in East Baton Rouge Parish in 2024 (440 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $518 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- East Baton Rouge County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 267 days — a 12% lower offer ($66k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 31 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask is 5662% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 267 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.52% ✓
- Cap rate
- 21.94%
- Cash-on-cash
- 55.87%
- DSCR
- 3.49
- GRM
- 3.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $178,267
- List price
- $74,900
- Delta
- -57.98%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 11 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 54.2%
- Equity multiple
- 3.39×
- Total profit
- $50,081
- Equity at exit
- $11,168
- IRR
- 59.3%
- Equity multiple
- 6.90×
- Total profit
- $123,804
- Equity at exit
- $6,476
Cash invested: $20,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70818
- Active inventory
- 128
- Price-to-rent
- 3.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,891 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$393
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$94 /mo · $1,124/yr
- Insurance
- −$31
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$397
- Net cashflow
- $976
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,028 | -5% $1,002 | +0% $976 | +5% $951 | +10% $925 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $827 | -5% $902 | +0% $976 | +5% $1,051 | +10% $1,126 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,014 | -0.5pp $995 | base $976 | +0.5pp $957 | +1.0pp $937 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,725
- Closing costs
- $2,247
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 50 events
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2026-06-18days on market $74,900 Active 267 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $74,900 Active 266 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $74,900 Active 265 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $74,900 Active 264 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $74,900 Active 262 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $74,900 Active 259 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $74,900 Active 258 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $74,900 Active 257 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $74,900 Active 256 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $74,900 Active 253 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $74,900 Active 252 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $74,900 Active 251 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $74,900 Active 250 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $74,900 Active 249 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $74,900 Active 248 DOM
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2026-05-13$1,300
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2026-01-17historical $1,250
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2026-01-15$1,250
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2025-12-05historical $1,250
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2025-11-23price $1,250
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2025-10-30$1,300
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2025-09-23$74,900 Active 303-char remark
Show marketing remark (303 chars)
Brand New Mobile Homes located in Central City School District and available for immediate move-in. Quiet neighborhood with security cameras throughout. Paved streets and driveways. On-site management for immediate attention to needs and concerns. $425/mo lot rent. 6 homes are available as of 2/18/2026
-
2025-09-23$74,900 Active 303-char remark
Show marketing remark (303 chars)
Brand New Mobile Homes located in Central City School District and available for immediate move-in. Quiet neighborhood with security cameras throughout. Paved streets and driveways. On-site management for immediate attention to needs and concerns. $425/mo lot rent. 6 homes are available as of 2/18/2026
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2025-09-11historical $1,300
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2025-08-19$1,300
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2025-08-12historical $1,200
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2025-05-24$1,250
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2025-05-05historical $1,250
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2025-04-19price $1,250
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2025-04-17$1,250
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2025-04-17historical $1,250
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2025-04-04$1,250
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2025-03-02historical $1,200
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2025-02-11$1,200
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2025-01-17historical $1,211
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2025-01-11$1,211
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2024-12-21historical $1,211
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2024-11-27$1,211
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2024-11-25historical $1,250
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2024-11-21price $1,250
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2024-11-18$1,200
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2024-11-17historical $1,200
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2024-10-22historical $1,200
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2024-10-22$1,200
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2024-10-22$1,250
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2024-10-22historical $1,200
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2024-09-22$1,200
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2024-09-22historical $1,200
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2024-07-26$1,200
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2024-07-26historical $1,300
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,694
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,196
- − Property taxes
- −$1,124
- − Insurance
- −$374
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,816
- − Management
- −$1,816
- − Depreciation
- −$2,179
- Taxable income
- $11,191
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,686
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,031/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 10 photos
This mobile home is in excellent condition with no visible repairs needed. It is move-in ready and offers a good investment opportunity.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Landscaping — Aesthetic improvements can enhance curb appeal and property value
- Both Painting — Fresh paint can make the interior look more inviting and modern
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Landscaping — Aesthetic improvements can enhance curb appeal and property value ↑
- Both Painting — Fresh paint can make the interior look more inviting and modern ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Central Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 2200125
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▼ -32.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -31.00%
- Median HH income
- $66,584
- Composite
- 46.02/100
- National rank
- #2528
- State rank
- #9 of 98 in LA
Livability — Central
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #25
- US rank
- #4761
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Central, LA
- County
- East Baton Rouge Parish · 399,686 people
- City population
- 10,403
- Metro
- Baton Rouge, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,370
- Household income
- $78,432
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 408.0
Population outlook (East Baton Rouge County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 464,810 people
- By 2030
- 472,137 · +1.6%
- By 2040
- 480,243 · +3.3%
- By 2050
- 484,422 · +4.2%
- By 2075
- 492,069 · +5.9%
- By 2100
- 476,347 · +2.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (70%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 70% Black 21% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 8% Italian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · East Baton Rouge
- 2024 margin
- D (+11.1) · D 54.5% · R 43.4% · Other 2.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +8.9pp toward D · 2008: 2.2pp · 2024: 11.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+11.1 2020: D+13.1 2016: D+9.2 2012: D+5.2 2008: D+2.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -132.34%
- Current HPI
- 169.9642
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Baton Rouge, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
|
||
| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
|
||
| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
|
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Price history
+18.2% since first listed63 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Listed for Rent $1,300 TURBOTENANT
- 2026-01-17 Rental Removed $1,250 TURBOTENANT
- 2026-01-15 Listed for Rent $1,250 TURBOTENANT
- 2025-12-05 Rental Removed $1,250 TURBOTENANT
- 2025-11-23 Price Changed $1,250 TURBOTENANT
- 2025-10-30 Listed for Rent $1,300 TURBOTENANT
- 2025-09-23 Listed $74,900 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-09-23 Listed $74,900 GSREIN
- 2025-09-11 Rental Removed $1,300 TURBOTENANT
- 2025-08-19 Listed for Rent $1,300 TURBOTENANT
- 2025-08-12 Rental Removed $1,200 TURBOTENANT
- 2025-05-24 Listed for Rent $1,250 TURBOTENANT
- 2025-05-05 Rental Removed $1,250 TURBOTENANT
- 2025-04-19 Price Changed $1,250 TURBOTENANT
- 2025-04-17 Listed for Rent $1,250 TURBOTENANT
- 2025-04-17 Rental Removed $1,250 TURBOTENANT
- 2025-04-04 Listed for Rent $1,250 TURBOTENANT
- 2025-03-02 Rental Removed $1,200 TURBOTENANT
- 2025-02-11 Listed for Rent $1,200 TURBOTENANT
- 2025-01-17 Rental Removed $1,211 TURBOTENANT
- 2025-01-11 Listed for Rent $1,211 TURBOTENANT
- 2024-12-21 Rental Removed $1,211 TURBOTENANT
- 2024-11-27 Listed for Rent $1,211 TURBOTENANT
- 2024-11-25 Rental Removed $1,250 TURBOTENANT
- 2024-11-21 Price Changed $1,250 TURBOTENANT
- 2024-11-18 Listed for Rent $1,200 TURBOTENANT
- 2024-11-17 Rental Removed $1,200 TURBOTENANT
- 2024-10-22 Rental Removed $1,200 TURBOTENANT
- 2024-10-22 Listed for Rent $1,200 TURBOTENANT
- 2024-10-22 Listed for Rent $1,250 TURBOTENANT
- 2024-10-22 Rental Removed $1,200 TURBOTENANT
- 2024-09-22 Listed for Rent $1,200 TURBOTENANT
- 2024-09-22 Rental Removed $1,200 TURBOTENANT
- 2024-07-26 Listed for Rent $1,200 TURBOTENANT
- 2024-07-26 Rental Removed $1,300 TURBOTENANT
- 2024-07-23 Listed for Rent $1,300 TURBOTENANT
- 2024-07-19 Rental Removed $1,300 TURBOTENANT
- 2024-07-19 Rental Removed $1,300 TURBOTENANT
- 2024-07-18 Listed for Rent $1,300 TURBOTENANT
- 2024-06-30 Listed for Rent $1,200 TURBOTENANT
- 2024-06-30 Rental Removed $1,200 TURBOTENANT
- 2024-06-21 Listed for Rent $1,200 TURBOTENANT
- 2024-06-21 Rental Removed $1,250 TURBOTENANT
- 2024-06-12 Listed for Rent $1,250 TURBOTENANT
- 2024-06-12 Rental Removed $1,250 TURBOTENANT
- 2024-06-12 Rental Removed $1,250 TURBOTENANT
- 2024-06-05 Listed for Rent $1,250 TURBOTENANT
- 2024-04-24 Listed for Rent $1,200 TURBOTENANT
- 2024-02-24 Rental Removed $1,100 TURBOTENANT
- 2024-02-07 Listed for Rent $1,100 TURBOTENANT
- 2024-01-28 Rental Removed $1,100 TURBOTENANT
- 2023-12-08 Listed for Rent $1,100 TURBOTENANT
- 2023-11-20 Rental Removed $1,100 TURBOTENANT
- 2023-10-20 Listed for Rent $1,100 TURBOTENANT
- 2023-10-14 Rental Removed $1,100 TURBOTENANT
- 2023-09-24 Listed for Rent $1,100 TURBOTENANT
- 2023-08-24 Rental Removed $1,100 TURBOTENANT
- 2023-08-17 Listed for Rent $1,100 TURBOTENANT
- 2023-08-13 Rental Removed $1,100 TURBOTENANT
- 2023-08-10 Listed for Rent $1,100 TURBOTENANT
- 2023-08-03 Rental Removed $1,100 TURBOTENANT
- 2023-08-02 Listed for Rent $1,100 TURBOTENANT
- 2022-11-18 Rental Removed — TURBOTENANT
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…