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200 Old Harrodsburg Rd #19
B Composite 70.54
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +4.1/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$90,000

200 Old Harrodsburg Rd #19 · Frankfort, KY 40601
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,100 sqft · SingleFamily · 86 Days on market
Built 1990 7,840 sqft lot $32/mo HOA · 2% of rent ↓ 40% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to 200 Old Harrodsburg Rd, a beautifully maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath home on a permanent foundation, ideally located just minutes from the heart of Frankfort. This property offers the perfect balance of convenience and comfort, with quick access to downtown Frankfort, major roadways, shopping, dining, and state offices—making daily commuting and errands effortless. Inside, the home is in wonderful condition and features attractive finishes throughout, a warm and inviting fireplace, and well-appointed kitchen finishes that make the space both functional and welcoming. The thoughtful layout includes spacious bedrooms and two full bathrooms, providing flexibility for a variety o

Key facts

  • Permanent foundation
  • Sunroom
  • Added storage room

Tags

PERMANENT FOUNDATIONADDED STORAGE ROOMSUNROOMQUICK ACCESS TO DOWNTOWN

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $450 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
  • Recommended offer: $85k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.3% vs local median 3.3% in Frankfort — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#111 in KY, #4,772 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, health & safety F.
  • Franklin County (town): math 25% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #89 of 165 in KY (top 54%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Collins Lane (math 42% / reading 50%, grade D-, #137 of 676 statewide, top 21%, 507 students, 57% FRL); Bondurant Middle School (math 22% / reading 44%, grade F, #112 of 217 statewide, top 53%, 643 students, 54% FRL); Western Hills High School (math 32% / reading 37%, grade F, #76 of 254 statewide, top 34%, 817 students, 45% FRL) — zoned schools at 52% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.5%/yr); 308 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 123 units permitted in Franklin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Franklin County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.5% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 86 days — a 6% lower offer ($85k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $60k (40%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Recommended offer $84,600 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 86 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.55%
Cap rate
12.29%
Cash-on-cash
21.41%
DSCR
1.95
GRM
5.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$224,400
Comps found
5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
200 Old Harrodsburg Rd #19 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,100 (0%) 1mo $90,000 $82 99
409 Briar Patch Ln 0.12mi 3/2.0 1,121 (+2%) 2mo $250,000 $223 90
108 Cedar Crest Ln 0.24mi 3/2.0 1,104 (+0%) 9mo $225,100 $204 81
104 Cedar Crest Ln 0.25mi 3/2.0 1,206 (+10%) 21mo $200,000 $166 55
104 Rabbit Ridge Ln 0.27mi 3/2.0 1,260 (+14%) 12mo $260,000 $206 53

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.55% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
18.1%
Equity multiple
1.76×
Total profit
$19,258
Equity at exit
$13,419
10-year hold
IRR
28.9%
Equity multiple
4.04×
Total profit
$76,616
Equity at exit
$7,782

Cash invested: $25,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kentucky
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit (URLTA cities); generally landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 40601

Home prices YoY
-26.1%
Rents YoY
6.5%
Active inventory
308
Price-to-rent
5.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,397 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$472
Tax est. 1.5%
$112 /mo · $1,350/yr
Insurance
$38
HOA
$32
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$293
Net cashflow
$450

Break-even live

Break-even rent $828
Max offer price $90,000
Occupancy floor 63%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $512 -5% $481 +0% $450 +5% $418 +10% $387
Rent -10% $339 -5% $394 +0% $450 +5% $505 +10% $560
Rate -1.0pp $495 -0.5pp $472 base $450 +0.5pp $426 +1.0pp $403

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,500
Closing costs
$2,700
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
80 Saint James Ct Unit 80 Frankfort, KY 2.0 2.5 1100 $1,525 $1.39 46d 1 0.25mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$32 · $384/yr

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-04-17
    status Pending
  2. 2026-03-20
    status Active
  3. 2026-03-20
    price $90,000
  4. 2026-03-12
    historical Active Under Contract
  5. 2026-03-02
    status Active
  6. 2026-02-23
    historical
  7. 2026-01-31
    price $124,999
  8. 2026-01-14
    listed $150,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,763
− Mortgage interest
−$5,041
− Property taxes
−$1,350
− Insurance
−$450
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,341
− Management
−$1,341
− HOA
−$384
− Depreciation
−$2,618
Taxable income
$4,237
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,017
After-tax cash flow
$4,378/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Franklin County
NCES district ID
2102010
Math proficiency
25% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
37% ▼ -14.00%
Median HH income
$50,879
Composite
27.07/100
National rank
#7049
State rank
#89 of 165 in KY

Livability — Frankfort

Score
74/100
State rank
#111
US rank
#4772

Category grades

Amenities F Commute C Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Franklin County · 51,893 people
City population
51,893
Metro
Frankfort, KY
Population (ZIP)
51,893
Household income
$65,732
Rent vs Own
35.3% rent · 64.7% own
Severe rent burden
1621.0

Population outlook (Franklin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
52,996 people
By 2030
54,049 · +2.0%
By 2040
55,561 · +4.8%
By 2050
56,677 · +6.9%
By 2075
59,458 · +12.2%
By 2100
58,885 · +11.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (81%)
Race & ethnicity
White 81% Black 9% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Franklin

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 46.6% · R 51.4% · Other 2.0%
2008→2024 swing
-4.2pp toward R · 2008: -0.6pp · 2024: -4.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+4.8 2020: R+0.9 2016: R+4.6 2012: D+0.8 2008: R+0.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -87.43%
Current HPI
248.0324
Rent YoY
▲ 6.55%
Metro
Frankfort, KY
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.81%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-40.0% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-17 Pending Metro Search MLS
  • 2026-03-20 Relisted Metro Search MLS
  • 2026-03-20 Price Changed $90,000 Metro Search MLS
  • 2026-03-12 Contingent Metro Search MLS
  • 2026-03-02 Relisted Metro Search MLS
  • 2026-02-23 Listing Removed Metro Search MLS
  • 2026-01-31 Price Changed $124,999 Metro Search MLS
  • 2026-01-14 Listed $150,000 Metro Search MLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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