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107 Potts Rd
B- Composite 67.84
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +1.0/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.6/10.0

$38,900

107 Potts Rd · Russellville, AL 35654
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 960 sqft · SingleFamily · 5 Days on market
Built 1995 Poor condition 0.48 ac lot $41/sqft · 72% below area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Home on . 48 Ac lot located inside Russellville city limits and minutes away from Hwy 43, Russellville schools and the Russellville sports complex. Utilities are available. This property is being "Sold As Is". With a little imagination and TLC this property can become a rental or a private residence

Key facts

  • 48 ac lot
  • 0.48 acre lot
  • Built 1995

Tags

48 AC LOTMINUTES AWAY FROM HWY 43UTILITIES ARE AVAILABLE

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Zoned R1; Lot approximately 0.48 acre with dimensions ~179.85 x 117.48 and 179.85 frontage

Exterior

  • Utilities: Cable available; Electricity available; Natural gas available; Phone available; Public sewer available; Water available
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; One-story (main living on main level)
  • Construction: Metal roof; Block and pillar/post/pier foundation; Approximately 1970s–2000s era construction (year built not provided)
  • Exterior features: No fencing; Gravel road access

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Two main-level bedrooms
  • Flooring: Laminate
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; No central cooling
  • Interior features: Laminate flooring; Total of 6 rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $39k. Condition is rated poor.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $414 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($865 rent vs $39k).
  • Cap rate 19.1% vs local median 2.9% in Russellville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#37 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Russellville City (town): math 24% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #61 of 129 in AL (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: West Elementary School (719 students, 42% FRL); Russellville Middle School (math 17% / reading 43%, grade F, #121 of 257 statewide, top 50%, 579 students, 51% FRL); Russellville High School (math 27% / reading 32%, grade F, #70 of 305 statewide, top 27%, 740 students, 48% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 43 active listings in the ZIP; 15 units permitted in Franklin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $269 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 25% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $38,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.22%
Cap rate
19.07%
Cash-on-cash
45.63%
DSCR
3.03
GRM
3.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$140,221
List price
$38,900
Delta
-72.26%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
17 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
76 Una Loop 0.44mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,008 (+5%) 1mo $162,000 $161 63
210 Cherry St 0.48mi 2/1.0 880 (-8%) 5mo $150,000 $170 60
56 Pine St 0.27mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,050 (+9%) 22mo $135,000 $129 48

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
42.8%
Equity multiple
2.84×
Total profit
$20,086
Equity at exit
$5,800
10-year hold
IRR
48.9%
Equity multiple
5.73×
Total profit
$51,508
Equity at exit
$3,363

Cash invested: $10,892 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35654

Home prices YoY
-4.6%
Active inventory
43
Price-to-rent
3.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$865 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$204
Tax est. 1.5%
$49 /mo · $584/yr
Insurance
$16
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$182
Net cashflow
$414

Break-even live

Break-even rent $340
Max offer price $38,900
Occupancy floor 47%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$9,725
Closing costs
$1,167
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 1 events

  1. 2026-05-14
    listed $38,900 Active 310-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 5/10 Major 25% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,374
− Mortgage interest
−$2,179
− Property taxes
−$584
− Insurance
−$194
− Repairs & maintenance
−$830
− Management
−$830
− Depreciation
−$1,132
Taxable income
$4,626
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,110
After-tax cash flow
$3,860/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 2 photos

Poor 20/100 Extensive rehab

This property requires extensive repairs and maintenance, including a new roof, siding, HVAC systems, and landscaping. Significant investment is needed to bring it up to a livable condition.

Repairs flagged

  • Major roof — Significant damage and discoloration suggest a major repair is needed.
  • Major siding — Peeling and chipping paint indicate a major repair is needed.
  • Major HVAC/mechanicals — The exterior condition suggests these systems may be in poor condition and need replacement.
  • Major landscaping — The overgrown and unkempt landscaping detracts from the property's value and needs immediate attention.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both repair and replace roof — A new roof will improve the property's appearance and functionality.
  • Both repair and replace siding — New siding will improve the property's appearance and increase its value.
  • Both repair and replace HVAC/mechanicals — Upgrading HVAC systems will improve comfort and energy efficiency.
  • Both landscaping and curb appeal — A well-maintained landscape will enhance the property's curb appeal and value.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
roof · Significant damage and discoloration suggest a major repair is needed. Major $15,000–50,000
siding · Peeling and chipping paint indicate a major repair is needed. Major $15,000–50,000
HVAC/mechanicals · The exterior condition suggests these systems may be in poor condition and need replacement. Major $15,000–50,000
landscaping · The overgrown and unkempt landscaping detracts from the property's value and needs immediate attention. Major $15,000–50,000
Total estimated repair cost · 4 items $60,000–200,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both repair and replace roof — A new roof will improve the property's appearance and functionality.
  • Both repair and replace siding — New siding will improve the property's appearance and increase its value.
  • Both repair and replace HVAC/mechanicals — Upgrading HVAC systems will improve comfort and energy efficiency.
  • Both landscaping and curb appeal — A well-maintained landscape will enhance the property's curb appeal and value.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Russellville City
NCES district ID
0102910
Math proficiency
24% ▼ -21.00%
Reading proficiency
41% ▲ 4.00%
Median HH income
$33,970
Composite
26.68/100
National rank
#7158
State rank
#61 of 129 in AL

Livability — Russellville

Score
71/100
State rank
#37
US rank
#6823

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Russellville, AL
Population (ZIP)
8,396

Population outlook (Franklin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
31,545 people
By 2030
31,335 · -0.7%
By 2040
30,983 · -1.8%
By 2050
30,744 · -2.5%
By 2075
30,173 · -4.3%
By 2100
29,478 · -6.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (76%)
Race & ethnicity
White 76% Hispanic / Latino 18% Two or more races 8% Black 4% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 11%
Common ancestry
Serbian 1% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada
Languages at home
85% English-only · Spanish 15%

Political lean MEDSL · Franklin

2024 margin
Solid R (+73.3) · D 13.0% · R 86.2%
2008→2024 swing
-34.1pp toward R · 2008: -39.2pp · 2024: -73.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+73.3 2020: R+65.9 2016: R+60.8 2012: R+40.5 2008: R+39.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -8.75%
Current HPI
181.7
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-20 Pending SAARMLS
  • 2026-05-14 Listed $38,900 SAARMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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