18108 Fountainbleau Dr · Hazel Crest, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.2/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.8/10.0
- ARV discount +7.7/15.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.5/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$185,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
There are no remarks available.
Key facts
- Private back yard
- Lower level room
- Garage
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $185k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $588 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $185k).
- Recommended offer: $179k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#229 in IL, #4,242 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D-, crime F.
- Bremen Chsd 228 (suburban): math 15% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #468 of 620 in IL (top 76%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 80 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $52k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 40 days — a 3% lower offer ($179k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 40 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.28% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.11%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.62%
- DSCR
- 1.61
- GRM
- 6.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $185,852
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18104 Fountainbleau Dr | 0.02mi | 3/1.5 | 958 (0%) | 8mo | $263,000 | $275 | 93 |
| 18208 Fountainbleau Dr | 0.09mi | 3/1.5 | 958 (0%) | 5mo | $185,000 | $193 | 91 |
| 3513 Bordeaux Ct | 0.12mi | 3/1.5 | 1,028 (+7%) | 9mo | $229,900 | $224 | 74 |
| 3501 School Dr | 0.32mi | 3/1.0 | 1,008 (+5%) | 8mo | $167,000 | $166 | 67 |
| 18111 Orleans Dr | 0.33mi | 3/1.5 | 1,033 (+8%) | 10mo | $160,000 | $155 | 63 |
| 17801 Yale Ln | 0.44mi | 3/1.5 | 1,040 (+9%) | 3mo | $206,000 | $198 | 63 |
| 17711 Country Club Ln | 0.58mi | 3/1.0 | 1,022 (+7%) | 10mo | $198,000 | $194 | 51 |
| 3701 176th St | 0.71mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 908 (-5%) | 10mo | $197,000 | $217 | 43 |
| 18040 Olympia Dr | 0.60mi | 3/1.5 | 1,100 (+15%) | 7mo | $212,000 | $193 | 41 |
| 17781 Princeton Ln | 0.45mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,100 (+15%) | 8mo | $195,000 | $177 | 41 |
| 17610 Hillcrest Dr | 0.69mi | 3/1.5 | 1,054 (+10%) | 14mo | $180,000 | $171 | 40 |
| 3760 176th Pl | 0.73mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 836 (-13%) | 10mo | $201,000 | $240 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 3.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.15×
- Total profit
- $7,516
- Equity at exit
- $27,584
- IRR
- 13.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.06×
- Total profit
- $54,924
- Equity at exit
- $15,995
Cash invested: $51,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 60429
- Home prices YoY
- -14.0%
- Active inventory
- 80
- Price-to-rent
- 6.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,363 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$970
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$231 /mo · $2,775/yr
- Insurance
- −$77
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$496
- Net cashflow
- $588
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $716 | -5% $652 | +0% $588 | +5% $524 | +10% $460 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $401 | -5% $495 | +0% $588 | +5% $681 | +10% $775 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $681 | -0.5pp $635 | base $588 | +0.5pp $540 | +1.0pp $491 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $46,250
- Closing costs
- $5,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3501 177th St Country Club Hills, IL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 839 | $2,850 | $3.40 | 0d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 17984 Amherst Ct Country Club Hills, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,900 | $1.90 | 2d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 17306 Peach Grove Ln Hazel Crest, IL | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1034 | $2,700 | $2.61 | 2d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 2420 183rd St Homewood, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,750 | $1.59 | 11d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-04-28status Pending
-
2026-03-19$185,000 Active
-
2026-02-23historical
-
2025-10-16Auction
-
2022-12-01soldstatus $230,000
-
2022-11-23soldstatus $230,000 Closed 31-char remark
Show marketing remark (31 chars)
There are no remarks available.
-
2022-10-28historical Contingent - Continue to Show 31-char remark
Show marketing remark (31 chars)
There are no remarks available.
-
2022-09-20status Active 31-char remark
Show marketing remark (31 chars)
There are no remarks available.
-
2022-08-04historical Contingent - Continue to Show 31-char remark
Show marketing remark (31 chars)
There are no remarks available.
-
2022-07-07$240,000 Active 31-char remark
Show marketing remark (31 chars)
There are no remarks available.
-
2017-06-23soldstatus $130,000
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2017-06-02soldstatus $130,000 Closed Sale
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2017-04-13status Contingent (Do Not Show)
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2017-04-04status Reactivated
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2017-03-23status Contingent (Do Not Show)
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2017-03-07$130,000 New
-
2005-06-22soldstatus $150,000
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2004-04-23soldstatus $130,000
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1998-10-08soldstatus $86,500
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1993-02-16soldstatus $74,000
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1990-03-06soldstatus $69,000
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1980-08-04soldstatus $9,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,354
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,363
- − Property taxes
- −$2,775
- − Insurance
- −$925
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,268
- − Management
- −$2,268
- − Depreciation
- −$5,382
- Taxable income
- $4,373
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,049
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,008/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bremen Chsd 228
- NCES district ID
- 1707050
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 17% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $57,625
- Composite
- 15.32/100
- National rank
- #9327
- State rank
- #468 of 620 in IL
Livability — Hazel Crest
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #229
- US rank
- #4242
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 14,602
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,602
Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,347,519 people
- By 2030
- 5,357,703 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 5,324,924 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 5,230,762 · -2.2%
- By 2075
- 4,785,735 · -10.5%
- By 2100
- 4,188,836 · -21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 83% White 7% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 6%
Political lean MEDSL · Cook
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -46.04%
- Current HPI
- 282.3552
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
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Price history
+1847.4% since first listed22 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-28 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-19 Listed $185,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-23 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-16 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-12-01 Sold (Public Records) $230,000 Public Records
- 2022-11-23 Sold (MLS) $230,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-10-28 Contingent — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-09-20 Relisted — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-08-04 Contingent — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-07-07 Listed $240,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-06-23 Sold (Public Records) $130,000 Public Records
- 2017-06-02 Sold (MLS) $130,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-04-13 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-04-04 Relisted — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-03-23 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-03-07 Listed $130,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-06-22 Sold (Public Records) $150,000 Public Records
- 2004-04-23 Sold (Public Records) $130,000 Public Records
- 1998-10-08 Sold (Public Records) $86,500 Public Records
- 1993-02-16 Sold (Public Records) $74,000 Public Records
- 1990-03-06 Sold (Public Records) $69,000 Public Records
- 1980-08-04 Sold (Public Records) $9,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+9.2%/yrLatest (2023): $10,545 · +148.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…